ITEM: Undefeated Frankel (provisionally) assigned highest Timeform Rating ever at 147
First of all, if you didn’t see Frankel’s electrifying performance in Tuesday’s Royal Ascot lidlifter, get thee to a replay center, pronto. If limited to a single word, the best description would be electrifying, such was the turn of foot he demonstrated.
Guess the provisional part has to do with some of the true greats that have not earned as lofty a Timeform rating. Falling in behind are the great Sea Bird II (145), Ribot (142) and Mill Reef at 141, just to name a few.
Not quite sure what the standard for the ratings are but currently Frankel is rated 11 points higher than the remarkable, undefeated Australian mare, Black Caviar at 136. Indeed, Frankel might be better, but that kind of disparity? Well, the Timeform folks left themselves an out with the provisional qualifier.
By way of comparison, the highest rating earned by an American this year was 131 assigned to Wise Dan, presumably for winning Keeneland’s Ben Ali and not for his narrow defeat in the Stephen Foster over the weekend. Given that the Wise Dan rating came on Polytrack, the 147 in the Queen Anne indeed might prove to be the best ever.
ITEM: Royal Delta wins the Fleur de Lis by more than a second faster than it took Ron The Greek to win the Foster
But no sooner had they hit the Foster wire on Saturday night when calls for running Royal Delta in the Breeders’ Cup Classic began to surface. For Bill Mott, this is a nice problem to have.
At this point, the stated goals for each is for Royal Delta to defend her Ladies Classic title and for Ron The Greek to point for the Classic at the same distance and over the same surface as his Santa Anita Handicap victory last winter.
Having a highly rated contender for one race and the horse to beat in another is a horse trainer’s dream. But running Royal Delta in the Dubai World Cup was very un-Mott like and seemed to be more the brainchild of owner Benjamin Leon who shelled out $8.5 million for the mare following the 2011 Breeders’ Cup.
The fact the mare had an impossible trip against a bulky field of the world’s best males while competing on the synthetic Tapeta is a contributing factor in the connections deciding to tackle males again. The other was her tour de force Fleur de Lis, which should require a second visit to a video replay center near you.
It is said that Mott rarely deviates from his game plan, including the one he has mapped out for To Honor And Serve. The second argument is that racing against males compromised and shortened Rachel Alexandra’s career and so Royal Delta should stick with her own kind. Three things:
The call to race in the Classic might not solely be Mott’s to make. Second, Rachel Alexandra met males in the spring of the year two weeks after a lifetime best performance in the Kentucky Oaks and again in late summer at Saratoga—as a 3-year-old vs. older males. Royal Delta is, of course, a 4-year-old.
Finally, if the Fleur de Lis is any indication of what Royal Delta has become, with Mott hinting that there might be even more to Royal Delta will be with added maturity, it might be a disservice to her equine legacy not to try to emulate the great Zenyatta by becoming the second female ever to win the Classic.
If money was ever an issue for Leon, he likely would not have spent as much as he did to acquire the filly last fall. Leon has made no secret of wanting to become a major player. Royal Delta is just the horse that can get him there.
ITEM: Median up 68.4% at Ocala Breeders’ Under Tack Sale on Day One
The sales topper raced an eighth of a mile in :10 flat. Second highest was a colt that ran a quarter of a mile in :21 1/5. In third, another colt that worked a furlong in :10. Fourth highest, a filly that worked a quarter-mile in :21 1/5. And fifth, a colt that worked an eighth in :10 2/5.
All we read from concerned critics and apologists alike is that everyone knows what racing’s problems are and what’s lacking is the will to implement meaningful change. Well, here’s something the industry can do something about:
Buyers can refuse to support breeze-up sales that put stress on young bones, ban them completely, or place strict limits on how fast horses are allowed to work under tack.
Don’t hold your breath that the first two suggestions would be implemented but there’s no reason why time restraints cannot be placed on sales’ time trials, which was the case when Frank Stronach’s group conducted under tack sales.
What can’t a good horseman tell about the stride and potential athleticism of babies that run, say, a 12-clip, as opposed to those that work in an absurdly fast 10 seconds? When Adena Springs held their under tack sales three years ago, consigners were "encouraged" to work their horses in the 12-to-14 second range per furlong.
Considering that Adena Springs has been the country's leading breeder for seven of the past eight years, it follows that the outfit knows something about top horsemanship.
What does an eight-mile in :10--faster than a horse will ever race on a conventional track in its life--prove that a well-trained eye cannot understand? Or is the idea simply to impress sales newcomers who can barely tell which side of a horse eats?
Historically, statistics relative to high breeze-up speeds and the ability of expensive purchases that actually make it to the races are very poor. Doing what’s best for the horse? That’s easier said than done when the mistakes of the past go unabated.
Everyone had better hope that William C. Rhoden doesn’t get wind of the latest Ocala Breeders Sales Company release.


20 Jun 2012 at 12:56 pm | #
Einstein taught us the theory of relativity; let’s keep time and everybody’s mother out of the equation.
TTT
20 Jun 2012 at 02:09 pm | #
Did the track maintenance people at Churchill forget to water the track between races 7 & 8?
How else do you explain the much slower time in the Foster?
Note that besides Delta running 6 points faster than ever, Neck N’ Neck ran 10 points faster than his previous best a couple of races before that.
Ron the Greek, on the other hand ran 4 points slower and still clunked up to win, when just about everybody else ran ran slower than their best numbers.
Not that I’m complaining, I was happy to hit part of the $735 Pick 4 with a backup ticket. Much better than the $144 that Wise Dan would have paid. Though less than the $1111 Nates Mineshaft would have returned hadn’t he hit the wall at the end, for some unknown reason. Did the tack change?
20 Jun 2012 at 02:18 pm | #
correction: Greek ran 5 points slower, as did Dan, on dirt( 17 on poly), Nate 7 less than his last and 13 less than his best, Fort Larned 8 less.
Ron The Greek saved all the ground to boot! The race simply fell apart.
20 Jun 2012 at 02:24 pm | #
another correction: the also rans ran much slower than their previous top (not what I noted above).
20 Jun 2012 at 03:34 pm | #
Denny, apparently the only thing you got right was including ‘Ron’ in your Pick 4. Wish I had, kudos; I singled Wise Dan.
Don’t know anything about how the surface was maintained. But my advise is not get caught in the trap of trying to define numbers after the fact. Sometimes horses freak; like the filly did. Sometimes horses don’t perform up to par, like the Foster horses. It happens.
Meanwhile, when Mr. Fotias returns from vacation, I’ll ask him for figures on ‘Delta’ and ‘Ron’. If I forget, please remind me. Thanks.
20 Jun 2012 at 04:56 pm | #
Preach,
Juddmonte could not have scripted a better tribute for Bobby Frankel. Now if the horse wins undefeated at the Breeders Cup in California the story comes full circle.
If I leave here tomorrow
Would you still remember me?
For I must be traveling on, now
‘Cause there’s too many places I’ve got to see…
20 Jun 2012 at 06:56 pm | #
John, ALERT: SATURDAY JULY 28, 2012 AT SARATOGA (Should be the first Saturday of the meet) -
Factor in all of the “unanticipatable” crazy stuff that happens very rarely in any given year.
Serious. Dead serious. Please do not reply by telling me that crazy things happen every day at Saratoga.
If you’re handicapping relies on some angle of predictable behavior on the part of the horses’ past form, this will be exactly the wrong day to employ that angle.
*****
Thank goodness Johnny V. survived that spill. He must be a cat with 8 lives left!
*****
Hunch Bettors Cashed In, Arlington today (June 20, 2012):
Winner of 1st race, “Holy Cow She’s Sassy” ($27.40).
2nd race, “Call Me Classy” ($25.60).
Talk about regretting that you didn’t parlay it yourself; exacta sure should have paid more than $209.60!
Don Reed
(06/20/12 8:30 pm)
20 Jun 2012 at 09:00 pm | #
Cat, just what I was thinking, intimated as much on radio this a.m. Remarkable, really. Meanwhile, story this week said no BC for Frankel. Could they change their minds? HIghly doubtful.
Don, don’t understand July 28 reference. Might not affect me anyway; driving to Jersey Shore for the Haskell on the following day.
20 Jun 2012 at 09:08 pm | #
JP: I’m not surprised that the Frankel connections would pass on the BC.
Wasn’t it just last year that the European trainers tried to train their horses at Churchill (it was CD, right?) prior to the racing weekend - and were told, no.
That message was heard loud and clear.
I also suspect that the classy Americans who were running the BC 1980s-2000s have retired, and their replacements are probably too crude for the European owners to stomach. Just a guess.
Can’t explain the July 28th message any more clearly.
If you’re coming to the Haskell, good! Let’s coordinate so we can meet there; even better, come have lunch with us on that day at David Burke’s, one of the nice restuarants in Rumson, which is where we’re headed this Saturday.
Be well.
20 Jun 2012 at 09:54 pm | #
Thanks for the invite Don but I’m there to work then have dinner at my daughter’s that night. But thanks. Perhaps we’ll see you at the Spa!
21 Jun 2012 at 04:06 pm | #
Isn’t July 28th Bill Mott’s birthday which is usually worth a win or two?
21 Jun 2012 at 04:44 pm | #
Close, but no Cigar (sorry, couldn’t resist, Dick; it’s the 29th.
Question: If he ships a horse to Monmouth on the 29th, Haskell Day, what’s the play? I gots to know.
21 Jun 2012 at 05:53 pm | #
Mott’s BD is the 29th.
On the 28th, he gets tripped up. The following comparison suffers, because Mott is obviously not anything like the fellow who, years ago, in a snit, refused to report to work at NBC because spomeone else got to do a scheduled interview with some lout.
The lout blew off the interview, and the NBC reporter got into hot water with the brass for nothing.
Mott - a complete professional who wouldn’t dream of pulling this stuff - should anticipate the unthinkable on the 28th.
I wouldn’t be wild about betting his mounts (to win) on the 28th. The 29th, no problem. He may win or lose, but the band won’t be playing “The World Is Upside Down.”