Fifteen races, 180 horses, including 29 international entrants and eight defending or returning Eclipse and/or Breeders’ Cup titlists will vie for this year’s top honors. And, yes, $25 million in purses, too.
The Kentucky Derby is America’s greatest race but the Breeders’ Cup is its greatest event as the organization gets to play host to the world.
And let's not forget that it's also America’s greatest two days of horse race wagering.
Not surprisingly, exotic and super-exotic wagers have led the growth due to the advent of multi-race wagers, fractional wagering and the consolidation of a dozen common off-track/advance deposit wagering pools into one.
Further, these factors have resulted in a shift in wagering tacks. When the Breeders’ Cup had its inaugural running in 1984, seven of every 10 dollars wagered were in the straight and exacta pools.
The Pick 4, which debuted at the Breeders’ Cup, did not exist 28 years ago. The same is true of superfectas, rolling Pick 3s and fractional wagers.
Today, almost half the money wagered is in the super-exotics, some of which are seeded with the promise of “guaranteed” money. There will be two $1 million Guaranteed pools on Friday, the Pick 6 and Pick 4.
On Saturday, there will be a $1 million guaranteed early Pick 4 and $2 million guarantees each for the Pick 6 and late Pick 4.
Last year, several Breeders’ Cup super-exotics yielded boxcar payoffs, a 50-Cent Pick 5 worth over $71,000, a Pick 4 of nearly $47,000, and a Friday $2 Pick 6 payoff that returned almost $445,000. The average Dime Super paid over $1,100.
Is there any question that betting dollars will continue to shift into low-cost, high-risk/ high-reward super-exotic pools?
To Lasix, Or Not to Lasix, That Is the Million-Dollar Question
There will be many stories written in the run-up to Breeders’ Cup XXIX to the effect that the Lasix ban in five races for juveniles will result in a parimutuel hit to some extent, how much is anyone’s guess.
Further, no one knows how young horses racing on Lasix will react to the withdrawal of the medication. The subject came up on the NTRA National Breeders’ Cup Conference call featuring a Who’s Who of American horsemen.
“This is uncharted territory,” said trainer Todd Pletcher, whose success is very closely linked to his work with two-year-olds.
“If they haven’t bled before in any of their races, I don’t anticipate any problems. I’m hoping that because they’re younger, have had less stressful races [will mitigate some of that concern].
“One concern in general is for the betting public. As an industry we have to look very closely [at the Lasix issue]. I’ve been fairly vocal on this, I’m pro-Lasix.
“[The juvenile races] will be of some concern. Hopefully all the horses wil race up to their standards.”
Mike Repole, one of Pletcher’s significant clients, will not ship his two-year-olds citing the Lasix ban. So Many Ways, a leading juvenile filly, will also skip the event, preferring to “do the best thing for their horse.”
Indeed, the Juvenile Fillies only attracted a pre-entered field of nine, the lowest in history. Half of the 10-horse Juvenile Sprint field is fillies, preferring to tackle colts than race around two turns Lasix-free.
The notion that Lasix is a factor in the juvenile dirt races is borne out by the fact that the Juvenile Turf drew a pre-entered field of 19 and the Juvenile Fillies Turf had 18 pre-entered runners.
Many in those oversubscribed races are Europeans, where Lasix is not permitted on raceday. Another bearing is that turf racing is considered by horsemen to be less stressful that running on dirt.
Advantage Europeans? “I don’t know if they have an advantage,” said Pletcher. “You have to respect European turf runners wherever you meet them but I wouldn’t say [Europeans] have an advantage because of the Lasix issue.”
Graham Motion, who will saddle returning Kentucky Derby champion in Saturday’s Mike against some of the best turf milers in the world, will tack up Kitten’s Point in Friday’s Juvenile Fillies Turf.
After breaking maiden over Presque Isle’s Tapeta surface, she finished second by a nose in the Grade 3 Jessamine at Keeneland, eschewing Lasix for both starts.
“Mr. [George] Strawbridge is one of those owners who pledged not to run his juveniles on Lasix,” Motion said.
“Are we at a disadvantage? We’ll be on the same playing field Breeders’ Cup day.
“I’m a little disappointed that two more fillies came out of the Juvenile [due to the Lasix ban]. I think it’s short-sighted, it shouldn’t be that big of a deal.”
Spoken like a man who’s confident in his horsemanship.


25 Oct 2012 at 04:42 pm | #
I’m always excited about the Breeders’ Cup JP, but I’m more excited that a step in the right direction is being taken to ban the evil “devil juice.” It is human nature to be on the side that most helps your wallet, and hide behind a convenient argument that won’t hold water. It is crystal clear; the devil juice is horrible for the horses and the game. If Dr. Mengele were still alive, he would agree with Mr. Repole about the use of the stuff.
TTT
25 Oct 2012 at 05:39 pm | #
This no lasix issue for juveniles is the most over-hyped story in racing since turf writers tried to convince people Jaycito could run.
For starters the juvenile turf races are packed, suggesting the juvenile fillies issue is avoiding the favorites, not lasix.
The irrational fear over form reversals is whacked.
Did people really think Cigar and Silver Charm were going to lose in the Dubai World Cup since they weren’t racing on lasix? Did lasix-off hurt Wesley Ward’s winning juvenile at Ascot a few years back?
If anything, lightly-raced juveniles should be LESS likely to react to lasix-off than older horses. Get a grip, people.
Richard Mandella has the Juvenile Sprint as his first choice for Beholder because he said long ago he wants to keep her short. That’s why he didn’t enter her in the SA race formerly known as the Oak Leaf, not because of lasix.
There were 6,345 reasons why a horse you bet can lose. Now there are 6,346 with the lasix issue. Big deal.
90 percent of the lasix-off issue is reactionaries trying to roll back the BC decision and prevent it from spreading to all horses next year.
As someone who handicapped every NY race every day for several years before lasix was allowed in Sept 1995, there were no more form reversals then than now. If anything, NY racing was MORE formful before lasix was legalized.
25 Oct 2012 at 08:39 pm | #
Nick, Agreed with pretty much everything you said; that’s why I posed it as a question. I’m with Motion in that it’s probably an overreaction: “It shouldn’t be that big of a deal.”
My opinion? Think it might make some negative impact on betting. How much? We’ll see.
As for So Many Ways: Given her ability, running style, and the fact that the announcement to skip the Juv Fil was made so far in advance, it had less to do with ducking and everything to do with Lasix. Consider the connections.
However, do agree 100% that the Juvenile issue now is more about next year’s ban than this year’s.
T, I was with you right up to the Repole reference: He’s protesting; he’s pro-Lasix. So???
26 Oct 2012 at 01:59 am | #
I will go out of my way to support the Breeders’ Cup no-lasix policy.
Normally, I don’t bet much on 2-yos, prefering races with older, more established runners.
This year I’ll bet more than usual on the 2-yos as a vote for the new BC policy.
As far as Pletcher’s statements and form reversals.
Horses reverse form all the time even WITH Lasix! Not just first-time lasix either. Several horses, in virtually every race, run below par, every day. That’s despite NO changes in lasix use.
Who is Pletcher kidding?
26 Oct 2012 at 04:59 pm | #
So, Lasix is not mineral water. He should stick to what he knows about; certainly not lasix.
TTT
26 Oct 2012 at 05:17 pm | #
T, Thanks for clarification.
Agreed.
26 Oct 2012 at 10:20 pm | #
The goal of BC is laudable but the means is absurd. It’s like AA adopting a new tactic: Booze all you want all year but abstain on one day in November.
If you look at the racing program on any given day, you could fairly assume that every horse in America is a bleeder while not a single horse in Europe is.
Lasix use has become like the old joke about why a dog licks himself: because he can.
27 Oct 2012 at 12:10 am | #
TV, I understand your point but you have to start somewhere; horses that have yet to race was the most logical place.
The BC rule was known for a year and horsemen had the option to not run on it. Shows you that if you can do it, you will do it; an easy, convenient and eco-centric fix to a problem that has other options, namely time and diet.
The question is will Lasix-off in all races kill the 2013 Cup. Something will have to give.
27 Oct 2012 at 03:03 am | #
Agreed, if this was an ideal world. But we saw what happened. I think Fortify is the only prominent 2YO that has raced “clean” but I’m not positive about that. In any case, it wasn’t many.
As you said, the real test will come when all ages have to race clean. All it will take is a year with five- and six-horse fields for BC to cry “uncle.” Is there any doubt they would?
Here’s a solution for Repole, who has more money than he knows what to do with, and those pissed at NYRA being passed over. Let him put up several millions to run an alternative BC at Belmont, with Lasix allowed. It would be interesting to see which one the horsemen would support and, since both BC’s would be simulcast, the bettors could vote with their money.
Would this be awful for the game? Absolutely. But when has that ever been a consideration?
I think the days when Lasix-on was a betting consideration are over, since everyone uses it, many from a horse’s first start. The wise guys have moved on to other “edges.” Most savvy bettors know who they are. But Lasix-off makes it a guessing game.
27 Oct 2012 at 04:37 pm | #
...A guessing game, inasmuch as it can be even under the best of circumstances; the nature of the beast.
Your Repole idea has been proposed already. It evolved after it was learned that NY wasn’t getting the event several years ago.
The wiseguys even named it: “The Bleeders’ Cup.”
You’re wondering what the horsemen will do? Seriously? My guess? They will flood the entry box with Dale Romans leading the charge.
(We’re not picking on Dale, but he has taken on the mantle of Lasix poster boy voluntarily.
This situation is akin to what’s happening in the US: If you try to make things better in the long term, as Breeders’ Cup is trying to do, somehow that’s un-American.
If it came to an alternative event, Repole probably would put up the millions. He already has acted as if he’s bigger than the game.
27 Oct 2012 at 06:03 pm | #
Thanks for the memories Mr. Repole. When we were kids, I remember America was not always so prosperous, and when the kid who owned the ball didn’t get things his own way, he took it and ran home, like a whiney little coward. One thing I will say, I’m all for waiting until a horse is 3 to run him in any event, and it will probably inure to the benefit of his babies.
TTT
27 Oct 2012 at 08:06 pm | #
HorseRaceInsiders
If you’re looking for a little change of pace - for one night, at least - tonight is harness racing’s BC equivalent Breeders’ Crown.
Races start at 6:30 this evening at Woodbine. There are 12 championship races being run.
Two 20-cent-minimum, guaranteed pool Pick-4’s.
FREE past performances at WoodbineEntertainment.com.