But given the results of the two-day Breeders’ Cup festival, I didn’t know what the hell to do.
“Who’s the Horse of the Year?” a colleague asked as I stepped on the media shuttle back to the Galt House a little more than two hours after Drosselmeyer hit the finish line in the 28th Classic.
“The title should probably be vacated this year,” I said.
Horse of the Year? I didn’t even have an idea of what 10 names I was to put on the 2011 NTRA end-of-year rankings.
For instance, should a juvenile filly such as My Miss Aurelia rank ahead of, say, a turf specialist such as Acclamation?
Does a classic three year old filly like Royal Delta, who won the ultra prestigious Alabama and Ladies Classic, rank higher than a Caleb’s Posse?
This, of course, is supposed to be a measure of historical significance, as opposed to degree of difficulty which, on its face, is more subjective.
In this context, subjectivity is another word for handicapping, opinion having its place. But historical significance is the glue holding the whole game together, lending meaning to the exercise, yes?
Apparently, I am not along in this. The top three on the final NTRA Poll of 2011, open to all horses, look suspiciously alike the top three names I submitted, which “feels” right.
How could anyone argue with a slate that reads (7) 5-1-0 for Havre De Grace, one of those five being the storied Woodward vs. males?
Not to mention two other Grade 1s vs. her own kind in the Apple Blossom and Beldame, two names that certainly have a nice historical ring to it.
But the idea, as stated by the connections themselves, was to run in and win the Classic, making the eventual Horse of the Year exercise a slam dunk.
But that didn’t happen. In fact, it was her only off-the-board effort all year.
In my heart and mind, I can’t say definitively that she is better than arch rival Blind Luck. Clearly, Havre de Grace had the better 2011 and she did spot her rival those two pounds in the Delaware Handicap.
Sorry, but two pounds can make the difference in a nose defeat at a mile and quarter.
Conversely, what about the 3,000 miles and the fact that Delaware was Havre De Grace’s home base? Doesn’t that more than compensate for the two pounds?
Transcontinental trips--there were five last year for Blind Luck, if memory serves--do take their toll. Don’t take my word for it; ask Freddie Head.
Don’t know what to glean from the rankings below, exactly, but look at the dichotomy.
One two year old (filly); two three-year-olds (colt and filly); four four-year-olds (a filly, gelding, Classic winner and a turf horse) and three older horses (a turf specialist and two handicap horses) comprise the rather eclectic ranking.
Note that the number of first-place votes are in parentheses and total number of points received by the top three vote-getters are in brackets. In between is the age, gender and 2011 race record:
1. Havre de Grace (15) 4-F 7-5-1-0 [189]
2. Game On Dude (1) 4-G 8-3-3-1 [141]
3. Royal Delta (1) 3-F 7-4-1-1 [135]
4. Tizway (1) 6-H 4-2-0-2
5. Drosselmeyer (1) 4-C 7-2-2-0
6. Acclamation (2) 5-H 7-5-0-0
7. Cape Blanco (1) 4-C 6-3-0-0
8. My Miss Aurelia 2-F 4-4-0-0
9. Flat Out 5-H 7-2-3-0
10. Caleb's Posse 3-C 10-5-1-1
Further, the following horses, among others, did not rank in the final Top 10: Hansen; Union Rags; Amazombie; Goldikova; Animal Kingdom and the aforementioned Blind Luck.
This means no ranking for a member of a traditional Eclipse category, that of sprinter, where Amazombie appears a near certainty. And no love for a multiple graded stakes winning Derby hero, Animal Kingdom.
Now, what if Javier Castellano didn’t panic and won instead of losing narrowly to Hansen, what would be the headlines then? “Union Rags Overcomes Horrendous Trip to Win Juvenile; Becomes Horse of the Year Contender?”
In the modern era, three juveniles were named Horse of the Year; the great Secretariat; the 7-for-7 Favorite Trick and the great undefeated filly, Moccasin, co-Horse of the Year with Roman Brother in 1965.
So there’s even precedent for My Miss Aurelia which, perfection notwithstanding, the portfolio is a bit light at 4-for-4.
Unless, of course, the connections run her one more time this year over the Thanksgiving weekend; either in the Remsen at nine furlongs, or the Jockey Club Stakes at Churchill at a mile and a sixteenth.
Winning either of those would make her 5-for-5, including a two-turn win against males. Could make Eclipse voting even more interesting in this extraordinarily confounding season.



09 Nov 2011 at 03:55 pm | #
For once, let’s put the facts and figures aside, and let’s ask the people, who the horse was that made the greatest impression on them this year, and why?
TTT
09 Nov 2011 at 07:16 pm | #
In a year with no clear cut HOY my vote goes to…
WHO - Animal Kingdom the winner of the RUN FOR THE ROSES.
WHAT - The Kentucky Derby is the most prestigious race in the USA if not the world.
WHEN - The first Saturday in May for 3 yr. olds only with enough earnings to qualify.
WHY - You only get one chance to win the Derby. It’s the first time you go the 1 1/4 mile distance. It’s a full field of 20 which makes the trip very tough.
Animal Kingdom was a very impressive winner of the Derby, a respectable 2nd in the Preakness and ran an unbelievable race in the Belmont after losing all chance at the start.
Born in the valley
And raised in the trees
Of Western Kentucky
On wobbly knees
With mama beside you
To help you along
You’ll soon be a growing up strong.
All the long, lazy mornings
In pastures of green
The sun on your withers
The wind in your mane
Could never prepare you
For what lies ahead
The run for the roses so red --
And it’s run for the roses
As fast as you can
Your fate is delivered
Your moment’s at hand
It’s the chance of a lifetime
In a lifetime of chance
And it’s high time you joined
In the dance
It’s high time you joined
In the dance --
From sire to sire
It’s born in the blood
The fire of a mare
And the strength of a stud
It’s breeding and it’s training
And it’s something unknown
That drives you and carries
You home.
And it’s run for the roses
As fast as you can
Your fate is delivered
Your moment’s at hand
It’s the chance of a lifetime
In a lifetime of chance
And it’s high time you joined
In the dance
It’s high time you joined
In the dance—
10 Nov 2011 at 01:17 pm | #
Caleb’s Posse won two Grade 1s, the King’s Bishop and the Dirt Mile.
10 Nov 2011 at 03:04 pm | #
My first act as Racing Czar would be to require candidates for HOTY to have won at least one G1 race at 1 3/16 m or over in open company during that year.
This year, however, I would give it to Calab’s Posse if he could win the Clark, or to Game On Dude, Drosselmeyer, and Havre De Grace if they were to win that race
10 Nov 2011 at 06:25 pm | #
Indulto--love the 1-3/16s mile sentiment.
Cat--can’t knock Animal Kingdom but don’t think I could back him, either.
Goer--probably will be a miler award one day; think there should be, actually.
No fair minded observer can explain the non-DQ.
10 Nov 2011 at 07:50 pm | #
In my opinion, Animal Kingdom’s high-profile performances in the Derby and Preakness were against a questionable 3YO crop not on a par with Drosselmeyer’s competition in his BC and JCGC performances.
11 Nov 2011 at 08:23 am | #
Since winning on dirt at 1 1/4 miles is the only thing that is important in this discussion, I suggest we simply get rid of all but the Classic on BC day as the rest of the racing is clearly irrelevant. Further, all racing after the BC should be cancelled as it is also irrelevant. One race, one trophy to whoever wins so we don’t have to hear these arguments ad nauseum for the next 2 1/2 months
11 Nov 2011 at 11:03 am | #
Hi John,
When you get to Atlanta, there is a restaurant named Pricci in the Buckhead section of town.
Italian, obviously, pretty cool. Enjoy.
11 Nov 2011 at 04:23 pm | #
Al,
I have a better idea. Let’s get rid of the Breeders’ Cup.
Eclipse voters have proven too dense to understand horses have more than one race a year. Thoroughbred form cycles don’t equate with team sports, and to try to shoe horn horses into that mold is nuts.
Perhaps we can keep the individual Cup races, just spread them across the country over the fall months.
The Breeders’ Cup has killed historic races like the Santa Anita Handicap and almost every major race before August. Sorry, but I prefer a tasty menu of racing throughout the year, not just one or two days.
11 Nov 2011 at 04:59 pm | #
Stephen,
My late father actually researched that a number of years ago to find out there are distant cousins from the old country. Unfortunately , was on a schedule that demanded only one overnight in Atlanta. Perhaps next time, but thanks.
Nick,
I understand the sentiment but think the onus is more on turf writers than Breeders’ Cup. Those two days in a perfect world should provide slam dunks, not out-of-the-blue chanmpions.
JP
11 Nov 2011 at 07:18 pm | #
Love the post John.
It’s a shame that My Miss Aurelia appears done for the year. If she were to run in the Remsen and beat colts or head west to CA and compete in one of the 2 year olds stakes and win it-Might be hard to deny her HOY. There’s not a Coplean situation here....she will win divisional honors regardless....even if she were to totally flop.
I know there’s something to be said about letting 2 year olds mature, but when was the last time a 2 year old filly was in discussion for HOY? I wonder if Jess J. were still alive (given that the filly was bred by Stonestreet Stables)that there would be a more ambitious plan? C’mon Steve A. Remember Rachel?
11 Nov 2011 at 07:23 pm | #
I agree with the common sentiment that the HOTY 2011 race mirrors the Republican primary field - whoever wins, it won’t be a choice anyone is excited about outside of family members and sexual partners…
But I think we’re all biased against Havre de Grace. She is the obvious choice. We’re just a bit tired of the whole “girl beating the boys” thing.
Havre de Grace is a cut below Rachel and Zenyatta. The movie “Oceans 13” was a cut below “Oceans 12” and “Oceans 11”. But taken on its own, “Oceans 13” was a pretty good movie. It’s just that after following two similar and superior movies, George Clooney’s smile switched from charming to annoying, and Brad Pitt’s goatee moved from striking to unnecessary.
Havre is the third born child. We’ve had enough. She doesn’t live up to her hotter, more talented sisters. But she’s still had a better year than everyone else. I’m not happy about it, but let’s not punish her for being mediocre by comparison.
11 Nov 2011 at 08:05 pm | #
Hey SDL,
With everything staying the same today as it is, I’m totally with you. HDG ran a respectable race....perhaps one after she peaked and she still showed her class. I would like to see how she would have done in the Classic in mid-summer form. With no changes I concur
12 Nov 2011 at 03:57 am | #
The primary function of the Breeders’ Cup was to (1) bring together the best in racing, and (2) showcase it to a national television audience to promote the sport.
Given the TV ratings, down 25 percent on Friday, and down 50-60 percent on Saturday, how’s number 2 working out?
14 Nov 2011 at 05:24 am | #
yes totally agreed with you Nick, I am definitelly gonna watch it!
Leadership Development