For those of you who may counter with “well, what’s new about that?” don’t be disappointed if I don’t retort with some snappy comebacker. Much of what racing’s leaders do, or fail to do, is simply indefensible.
Nothing can be more instructive about the benefits of lower takeout than what’s been happening in the sunshine states, Florida and California, with respect to their low takeout, 50-Cent minimum, Pick 5.
Last year in SoCal, Santa Anita was coming off one a horrendous meeting, the result of a horseplayers’ boycott of the wagering pools in protest of a bill that raised the parimutuel rake.
But then Hollywood Park instituted a 50-Cent Pick 5 with 14% takeout--the same rate that would also be instituted in Arcadia—and voila, a reversal of fortune. California was on course for a handle decrease of $400 million for the year.
Because of the Hollywood Pick 5, bleeding slowed to $250 million for the year, the lion’s share of the losses suffered at Santa Anita.
With the day’s first race attracting Eastern and Midwest simulcast dollars which Hollywood never had seen pre-Pick 5, 2012 handle at Hollypark was up 3% for despite increases in takeout and declining handle figures in other pools, especially higher-priced exotics.
Del Mar instituted the low-cost, first-race Pick 5 this year and overall exotics handled doubled, not only because of the Pick 5 but because of increases in the five races that comprise the sequence.
There’s no sense in letting all that good research go to waste, right?
One Wednesday at Del Mar this summer, with the Pick 5 pool offering a sizable carryover, $3 million was bet in that pool despite the 50-Cent minimum; that’s right, $3 million in the first race on a Wednesday.
That was the largest exotic pool ever to start a racing card in California, including extremely high volume Kentucky Derby day and Breeders’ Cup. Opening and closing days notwithstanding, it was the highest Wednesday handle in Del Mar history.
Indeed, the stars were aligned, but still: Total handle that day was up nearly 58 percent year over year while on-track handle increased an astounding 62 percent.
That figure represented per capita betting that escalated from $114 to $178. In simo-land, the per cap rose from $271 to $308. The momentum lasted right through to the end of the meet.
When the 2012 Del Mar meet ended, on-track wagering rose by 13.3 percent despite an attendance decrease of 1.2 percent. Receipts at Advanced Deposit Wagering companies rose over 34 percent, from $1.3 million in 2011 to $1.8 million this year.
And once bettors recognize a bargain wager, they support it to the end. On closing day, a non-carryover Pick 5 handled more than $567,000, up 30% over closing day last year.
This Saturday at Calder--where the 50-Cent Pick 5 is offered at an industry low 12 percent [Lone Star and Sam Houston offer the same low rate]--the Festival of the Sun program’s Pick 5 was conducted on a wet track with the Tropical Park Derby rescheduled to the main track.
After scratches, 40 runners remained for an average field size of 8 horses per race. The payoffs were: $3.60, 2.80, 23.40, 4.40 and 5.60.
Four favorites at $5.60 or lower, and a 10-1 chance making its first start with first-Lasix for a barn that’s a profitable 42% with 46-90 day returnees and 60% efficient with non-graded stakes types, combined to pay $948.10.
That’s for 50 Cents--not the phony $2 payoffs posted by most tracks who believe that horseplayers are too stupid to know the difference and want to trumpet artificially inflated prices.
And, by the way, there was only $16,000 bet into the pool, meaning there were no “square bettors” to boost the return on investment. Further, if no one picks five, a Pick 4 consolation is paid with a carryover to the next program.
Yes, Virginia, and New York, and Pennsylvania, et.al, there is a way to attract handle in inter- and intra-race pools buy offering popular wagers with a low takeout at an affordable buy-in cost.
I’d call it a no-brainer, but why confuse the issue?


15 Oct 2012 at 11:40 pm | #
I noticed that payoff this morning when I was reviewing the weekends’ races. Just unbelievable!
I did the math in my head and the parlay on those five winners comes to something like $450 - on a $2 bet! Divide by 4 for the 50-cent, you get just over $110. So it paid almost 9 TIMES the parlay.
This may be an anomaly, but, certainly bears following.
16 Oct 2012 at 12:27 am | #
JP,
It’s hard not to be “snappy” when discussing takeout.
I wasn’t paying as much attention to Del Mar this year, but wasn’t their handle increase also the result of an extraordinary number of Pck Six carryovers?
16 Oct 2012 at 04:42 am | #
We can’t raise this issue often enough.
PA’s lack of a dime super option, and Australia’s only lowering the baisc unit to 20 cents, both drive me nuts!
When the price goes up, the creativity in consturucting exotic bets (especially the DS) is lost.
Believe it or not, it is preferable to bet the Montecello dime supers, than to curse the screen when Wagga Wagga and The Meadows makes it impossible to bet their races.
(Don’t be a smartass, you. No, I haven’t descended to the bottom-of-the-barrel option, Yonkers - which, by the way, it looks as if the city itself is going bankrupt. I figured this would happen after I left the city, at the age of 12 hours, after being born there.)
John, thank you & hoping you’re well.
16 Oct 2012 at 04:00 pm | #
Denny, I will even grant that the result could be an anomoly, but empirically I see it a lot. My college buddy and wagering partner said after we hit one of these things a few weeks that “I never really paid much attention to takeout but now I do.” So should everyone.
I, you are right, do remember reading something like 15 or 16 P6 carryovers, but a half million in the P5 without one opening day, the increases in other exotic pools during the P5 sequence made up a significant part of Del Mar’s success this year.
“When the price goes up, thecreativity in constructing tickets… is lost.” Exactly Don. One can’t raise this issue enough. With the right promotion and implementation, it can help save the game.
Have you noticed the late odds fluctuations at Keeneland this meet? Keeneland! If their straight pools are having liquidity issues, what hope remains for lesser tracks?
It’s stunning how all racing organizations, despite disparate agenda, can’t get together as one and storm every state house one at a time, an e-blast campaign--some damn thing--until the blind are made to see.
16 Oct 2012 at 04:22 pm | #
What I believe it really comes down to in the simplest of terms is that the easier you make it for persons to wager, THE WAY THEY WANT TO, giving all options, at the fairest prices possible, the more money you will take in. The continued attempts to funnel monies into a particular pool is nonsense; it’s called restraint of trade. Didn’t work for the NYRA, didn’t work for this country, and it won’t work for any other entity with ignorant bean counters who don’t have a clue. Lower takeout, offering of all pools at the lowest possible increment, customer service, and let the chips fall where they may. It is not as difficult as everyone is making it out to be.
TTT
16 Oct 2012 at 09:22 pm | #
Off topic, but…
Did anyone notice two more top 3 year-olds were retired this week?
Creative Cause and Algorithms won’t race again. Both were in rehab/training for returns to the races, but, both suffered setbacks and won’t be back.
Is this the worse year ever for our best 3-yos?
I’ll Have Another
Bodemeister
Union Rags
Paynter
Hansen
Creative Cause
Algorithms
Gemologist
Who did I forget?
And get this - breeders are excited about getting these horses.
Sure, let’s breed more fragile, undurable thoroughbreds. Some sucker out there will pay big bucks anyway.
17 Oct 2012 at 12:24 am | #
Ted,
You must not have gotten the memo from Romney and Ryan.
They’re trying to funnel money into the “job creation” pool by slashing tax rates for the wealthiest Americans.
They can’t be wrong, can they?
17 Oct 2012 at 12:26 am | #
apparently the HRI date stamp is wacko again.
I posted my first comment at 5:18 EST on 10/16
17 Oct 2012 at 03:45 am | #
Restraint of trade? Hardly. Racing’s managers apparently can’ sell low takeout and state house aren’t buying when they do.
So tracks lower the rate on one wager, lower the minimum bet, reap positive publicity and increased handle, and the horsemen and state don’t complain because they retain their same share of the high take--instead of increasing their share of revenue by convincing state governments to grow the pie.
17 Oct 2012 at 08:31 pm | #
What does Romney & Ryan have to do with a horse racing blog? Nick apparently comes from the “If you tell a lie forecefully enough and often enough, it becomes true”