Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence has authored thousands of articles expounding on the three primary forms of sports handicapping: Fundamental, Statistical and Technical. To be a successful handicapper, blending all three forms of analysis into the handicapping equation. Marc relies heavily on a proprietary powerful database of scores, stats and results of games played since 1980, both College and Pro Football and College and Pro Basketball.

Marc has been handicapping sports professionally since 1975, having won more documented Top 10 Handicapping Achievement awards than any handicapper in the nation. He won the 2005 STARDUST FOOTBALL INVITATIONAL Contest and was a SEMI-FINALIST in the 2006 $100,000 LEROYS' MONEY TALKS Contest last season. He finished the 2006 season as the No. 1 handicapper in the NFL as documented by SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. Marc also finished No. 1 in the nation in College Football win percentage in 2005 as documented by both the SPORTS MONITOR in Oklahoma and SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. He was named HANDICAPPER OF THE YEAR in 2005 by FOOTBALL NEWS.

In 2008, he finished No. 1 in NFL win percentage according to SPORTS WATCH and also captured 1st place honors in the 2008 PLAYBOOK WISE GUYS CONTEST.

Marc has hosted a national radio show "MARC LAWRENCE AGAINST THE SPREAD" for each of the last 16 years on over 100 stations syndicated in the USA. He is a tireless handicapper who works a minimum 60-hour week during the football and basketball seasons. As a handicapper he firmly believes that three things can happen when you bet an underdog, and two of them are good. He enjoys helping others to become better informed.

Marc married his high school sweetheart 40 years ago and has one son, Marc Jr., who works with him in the industry. Aside from publishing the PLAYBOOK Football Yearbook magazine and Weekly Newsletters, Marc enjoys golf and horse racing.

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Monday, November 15, 2010


Look Out Below


When teams on a win streak reach the final game of the regular season, it’s frequently with a sigh of satisfaction. Contentment, though, often turns to bitter disappointment when they enter the season finale off a straight-up underdog win.

Consider – since 1980 college teams in conference games off back-to-back victories are just 45-70-3-3 ATS in season ending games if their last win was as an underdog. This week’s team that should be bottoming out is Ball State.



Worse news for the Cardinals is the fact that these teams are just 11-28-1 ATS in these games when facing a conference opponent off a win of more than 10 points in its previous game. If our dive-bombers did not cover the spread by 20 or more points in its aforementioned upset win they dip to 5-25-1 ATS. And to really add to the crash-and-burn pattern, these same teams are 3-22-1 ATS if they failed to win 10 games the previous season.

Ball State will try and overcome this ‘return to earth’ phenomenon on Saturday against Wisconsin.

To that we say, “Look Out Below”. It won’t be an asteroid you’ll hear crashing to earth this weekend. It’s just gravity grabbing a hold of the Gonads…


Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at Playbook.com - One Click Handicapping
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Tuesday, November 09, 2010


As The Noose Tightens


November is, unquestionably, the best time of the season for sports fans. The NBA and College Hoops seasons tip off a new campaign. The NFL enters its second-half race while College Football concludes heads to the finish line with teams scurrying for bowl bids. It’s also a great time for handicappers as value-aplenty abounds.

Our focus in the world of College Football begins to center around postseason bowl games during Turkey Month. In particular, we like to zero in on undefeated teams at this stage of the season. That’s because the deeper they get into the season, the more pressure there is on them to remain unbeaten. As a result, the noose certainly gets tighter and tighter each week, especially when these perfect teams take to the road.



This is confirmed by the fact that, since 1980, undefeated College Football teams are 44-63-2 ATS when playing on the road from Game Ten or later. Put them up against a conference foe and bring them in off back-to-back double-digit victories and they slip to 13-27-1 ATS. And, if these same teams won 11 or fewer games last season they fall to 5-21-1 ATS. This week’s qualified collar-tightening team is Oregon – the top ranked team in the land.

One final caveat: if these fully qualified teams are not laying more than 28 points, the horse they sit on becomes a 2-18-1 ATS proposition. Ducks, prepare to meet your waterloo…


Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at Playbook.com - One Click Handicapping
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Monday, November 01, 2010


PUTTIN’ ON THE STATS


With Halloween now in the rear view mirror, it’s on to the best time of the College Football season – the month of November! That’s because the combination of stats and angles combine to bring us the best winning edges of the year.

Our ‘Puttin’ On The Stats’ theory is a dandy, and best of all it’s simple. What we are looking to do is to ‘Play On’ any team as a dog if they’ve won all – or all but one – of their games ITS (In The Stats) heading into November. Conversely, we will look to ‘Play Against’ any favorite that has lost all – or all but one – of their games ITS.

As we head toward Thanksgiving, here’s our list from our sister publication – the MIDWEEK ALERT - of ‘Play On’ (as dog) and ‘Play Against’ (as favorite) teams to fatten up on for the balance of the 2010 season:



Play On dogs: Air Force, Arizona, Auburn, Boise State, Central Florida, Florida State, Hawaii, Michigan State, Nebraska, Ohio State, Oregon, Southern Miss, TCU, Texas, Utah and West Virginia.

Play Against favorites:
Akron, Eastern Michigan, Florida Atlantic, Louisiana Lafayette, Marshall, Memphis, Mew Mexico, New Mexico State, Rice, San Jose State, Tennessee, Tulane, UNLV, Washington State and Wyoming.

There you have it! Pass the gravy and let the November feast begin...


Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at Playbook.com - One Click Handicapping
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