Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence has authored thousands of articles expounding on the three primary forms of sports handicapping: Fundamental, Statistical and Technical. To be a successful handicapper, blending all three forms of analysis into the handicapping equation. Marc relies heavily on a proprietary powerful database of scores, stats and results of games played since 1980, both College and Pro Football and College and Pro Basketball.

Marc has been handicapping sports professionally since 1975, having won more documented Top 10 Handicapping Achievement awards than any handicapper in the nation. He won the 2005 STARDUST FOOTBALL INVITATIONAL Contest and was a SEMI-FINALIST in the 2006 $100,000 LEROYS' MONEY TALKS Contest last season. He finished the 2006 season as the No. 1 handicapper in the NFL as documented by SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. Marc also finished No. 1 in the nation in College Football win percentage in 2005 as documented by both the SPORTS MONITOR in Oklahoma and SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. He was named HANDICAPPER OF THE YEAR in 2005 by FOOTBALL NEWS.

In 2008, he finished No. 1 in NFL win percentage according to SPORTS WATCH and also captured 1st place honors in the 2008 PLAYBOOK WISE GUYS CONTEST.

Marc has hosted a national radio show "MARC LAWRENCE AGAINST THE SPREAD" for each of the last 16 years on over 100 stations syndicated in the USA. He is a tireless handicapper who works a minimum 60-hour week during the football and basketball seasons. As a handicapper he firmly believes that three things can happen when you bet an underdog, and two of them are good. He enjoys helping others to become better informed.

Marc married his high school sweetheart 40 years ago and has one son, Marc Jr., who works with him in the industry. Aside from publishing the PLAYBOOK Football Yearbook magazine and Weekly Newsletters, Marc enjoys golf and horse racing.

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Friday, February 24, 2012


Turn Down the Heat


First come the headaches, followed by dizziness, then fatigue, as legs turn to rubber and a profound sense of fatigue grips the body. No, we’re not talking about getting audited by the IRS – we’re running down the symptoms of acute altitude sickness, brought on when sea-level dwellers (like the Miami Heat) struggle to maintain their oxygen level at elevations over 4,000 feet. Yes, the Utah Jazz have long benefi ted from the ‘Air Up There,’ especially in underdog roles. The homeboys should certainly be on the take tonight when rejuvenated Miami (7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS run at press time) visits the land of the Great Salt Lake. The problem for LeBron and company, however, is playing with no rest at this venue… or anywhere, for that matter.



Since the addition of the Big Three, Miami is 4-6 SU and 2-8 ATS without rest versus greater than .550 foes – regardless of altitude. Worse, the Floridians show up off a Portland revenger with a Lakers ‘showtime showdown’ on deck for Sunday. Is that a gasping for breath we hear? Our database says yes: non-rested teams at Utah who have the Lakers up next are just 5-25 SU and 12-18 ATS (where else are you going to read that?). The Jazz have exploited their home court to the tune of 12-6 SU and 11-7 ATS this year and should continue here unless Heat head coach Erik Spoelstra sneaks a few oxygen tanks behind the bench. With the Energy Solutions Arena security staff on high alert for such monkey business, our AWESOME ANGLE cements this call. Down go the Heat!


Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at Playbook.com - One Click Handicapping
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Monday, May 30, 2011


NBA Championship Round Betting Edges…


With the Dallas Mavericks and the Miami Heat set to meet in the 2011 NBA Finals, let’s look at four solid Championship Round betting theories outlined below from our powerful database. (Note: all results are ATS since 1991 unless noted otherwise.)

HOME ON THE ROAD
Life may be cozy at home, but the money can be found on the road.

Our database finds visiting teams are moneymakers in the championship round, cashing 56% of the time, going 61-48-2 ATS.

Better yet, put them in a game with the Over/Under total is 181 or higher and they improve to a 64% winning proposition, going 50-28-1 ATS.

Put these same teams on the road in games with a total of 181 or more off a SU and ATS loss and they ratchet all the way up to 19-5 ATS.



RETURN TO EARTH
Defense rules in the championship round.

When teams manage to score an inordinate amount of points in any one game, they return to the earth faster than a spaceship from a mission.

That’s validated by the fact that teams who score 110 or more points in a championship round showdown are just 5-9 SU and 4-10 ATS in their next contest.

Dress these same teams up as favorites after igniting the scoreboard and they short-circuit out, going 1-8 ATS.

RETURN TO EARTH
And speaking of returning to earth, teams in this round that had the rug pulled out from underneath them the previous game (lost straight up as a favorite) tend to right themselves in a hurry.

That’s confirmed by a rock-solid 20-10 SU and 17-12-1 ATS mark in games after being upset, including 11-3 ATS when they take to the road off the applecart loss.

Best of all, when road teams where upset as a favorite and managed not to lose by 20 or more points to the spread, they are 11-1 ATS in these payback affairs.

ZIG-ZAGGING
While the famed ‘Zig-Zag’ theory has unraveled the last 10 years in the playoffs, it still works in this round… if you work it right.

To do so you want to play on a dog off one loss exact in the championship round, as they are 22-16 ATS.

Teams taking 5.5 or more points in this role increase to 13-5 ATS, including 10-1 ATS if they own a win percentage of .647 or more.

There you have it. Four time tested Championship Round theories. Play accordingly and, like the eventual champions, you too shall rule.


Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at Playbook.com - One Click Handicapping
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Saturday, May 14, 2011


NBA ROUND THREE BETTING EDGES


One month into the NBA Playoffs and we’re down to the Conference Finals. In just two weeks the season will conclude with the Championship Finals as the 2010-11 season winds its way to the finish line.

From our database, let’s take a peek and see what we can expect from teams in the Third Round of the playoffs. Remember, all results are ATS (Against The Spread) in Third Round action over the past 20 years, unless stated otherwise. Enjoy…

DOWN BUT NOT OUT
You can blow a good team out once. Twice is not as likely.

As we’ve learned, teams that fail miserably tend to bounce back rather than stay down. In fact, teams off a pointspread loss of more than 10 points are a very profitable 39-24-1 ATS in 3rd round playoff action.



Bring them in off a SU upset loss as a favorite and they improve to 22-12-1 ATS. Let these upset losers dress up as dogs off a pointspread loss of more than 10 points and they become a 13-4-1 ATS winning proposition.


BETTER TEAMS MAKE NICE DOGS
Taking points with better teams will seldom put you in harm’s way.

Teams with a better win percentage takings points are 49-39-1 ATS on the blind. When playing after a loss, they are 21-13-1 ATS in this round. Bring them in off a loss of 4 or more points and they improve to 20-8-1 ATS.

Best of all, when taking 4 or more points with a better team off a loss of 4 or more points you have a 13-2-1 ATS winning edge.


RUNNING ON EMPTY
You can hold a good team down, but not for long.

Teams that reach the 3rd round of the playoffs have established themselves as being better than most. When good teams come up with sub par scoring efforts they tend to bounce back in followup games.

That’s confirmed by the fact the road teams in Round Three who scored 78 or fewer points in their previous game are a wallet stretching 15-5-1 ATS. Better yet, if the Over/Under total in this round is less than 186 points they improve to 13-2 against the number.

There you have it. Three rock-solid betting theories you can hang your hat on throughout the 3rd round of this year’s NBA playoffs.


Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at Playbook.com - One Click Handicapping
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