Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence has authored thousands of articles expounding on the three primary forms of sports handicapping: Fundamental, Statistical and Technical. To be a successful handicapper, blending all three forms of analysis into the handicapping equation. Marc relies heavily on a proprietary powerful database of scores, stats and results of games played since 1980, both College and Pro Football and College and Pro Basketball.

Marc has been handicapping sports professionally since 1975, having won more documented Top 10 Handicapping Achievement awards than any handicapper in the nation. He won the 2005 STARDUST FOOTBALL INVITATIONAL Contest and was a SEMI-FINALIST in the 2006 $100,000 LEROYS' MONEY TALKS Contest last season. He finished the 2006 season as the No. 1 handicapper in the NFL as documented by SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. Marc also finished No. 1 in the nation in College Football win percentage in 2005 as documented by both the SPORTS MONITOR in Oklahoma and SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. He was named HANDICAPPER OF THE YEAR in 2005 by FOOTBALL NEWS.

In 2008, he finished No. 1 in NFL win percentage according to SPORTS WATCH and also captured 1st place honors in the 2008 PLAYBOOK WISE GUYS CONTEST.

Marc has hosted a national radio show "MARC LAWRENCE AGAINST THE SPREAD" for each of the last 16 years on over 100 stations syndicated in the USA. He is a tireless handicapper who works a minimum 60-hour week during the football and basketball seasons. As a handicapper he firmly believes that three things can happen when you bet an underdog, and two of them are good. He enjoys helping others to become better informed.

Marc married his high school sweetheart 40 years ago and has one son, Marc Jr., who works with him in the industry. Aside from publishing the PLAYBOOK Football Yearbook magazine and Weekly Newsletters, Marc enjoys golf and horse racing.

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Friday, October 12, 2018

Best College & Pro Upsets, OCT 13-14

ARKANSAS over Ole Miss 8

The Razorbacks bring a rock-solid 16-7 ATS home dog log into this battle and with 17 returning starters back from last year’s squad, look for the Pigs to break through into the SEC win column today. Important to consider their excellent record in this series, going 10-4 SU and 11-3 ATS, with a 6-1 ATS log at home and 6-1 ATS advantage as dogs. Mississippi QB Jordan Ta’amu was 21-of-24 passing for 374 yards and threw for fi ve TDs in the Rebels’ 70-21 rout of UL-Monroe last week. Ole Miss took its fi rst drive to the house, then scored a TD on their next eight possession, amassing a school-record 826 total yards in the process. However, with our love of fading teams off record-setting performances, we’re ordering up some BBQ with the Hogs today. Mississippi is one of three FBS squads with a 500-yard defense this season, and we love fading 500-yard road favorites. THE CLINCHER: The Rebels are 7-23-1 ATS as road favorites, including 3-17-1 ATS in games in which they are surrendering more than 13 PPG, and 4-13 SU and 2-14 ATS when coming off a win.

IOWA STATE over West Virginia by 10

A for-sure shocker in Stillwater last Saturday when the Cyclones stunned Oklahoma State as double-digit underdogs behind 3rd string freshman QB Brock Purdy, and without star RB David Montgomery. Suddenly, the Clones have three legitimate quarterbacks in Kyle Kempt, Zeb Noland and now Purdy. Who is this guy? Purdy, a 3-star recruit who was pursued by Alabama after he threw for 7,700 yards in his final two seasons in Texas high school ball. Purdy tossed four touchdowns and ran for one while gaining 402 yards in his debut against the Cowboys and will need to thwart the Mountaineers’ strong start this season (outscoring foes 62-14 in 1st quarter of games). Iowa State HC Matt Campbell (the answer to our TRIVIA TEASER on page 2) looks ready to go, too, with his 13-2 ATS record as a dog against foes coming off a SUATS win, including 11-1 ATS in conference games, and 5-0 ATS at home. Whew! Be aware that West Virginia has covered the last four meetings in this series, but the Hillbillies are a 5-0 ‘Fat Cat’ fade from last week’s SMART BOX – and we ain’t fading that, not with this added support from THE CLINCHER: 5-0 college football road favorites who scored 30 or more points in their last game and won by 30 or fewer points are 4-24 ATS in Game Six if they won 10 or fewer games last season and are facing an avenging opponent.


TAMPA BAY over Atlanta by 7

Oh how the once mighty have fallen. From its Super Bowl appearance two seasons ago to the bottom of the NFC South cellar, the Falcons can blame it all on injuries to a defense that is allowing nearly 400 YPG. Thus, this becomes a matchup of two teams allowing more points per game than any others in the league this season. That’s because the Dirty Birds are coughing up 40 PPG in their last three contests while the Bucs are yielding more points per game than any team in the loop. However, its Atlanta laying points that doesn’t fit here. Not when they stand just 5-13 ATS as chalk against opponents coming off a loss, including 0-4 ATS since its aforementioned Super Bowl appearance. Meanwhile, Tampa checks in 5-1 ATS away when coming off a bye.

DENVER over LA Rams by 6

The Broncos are riding rare 0-3 SUATS and ITS streak entering this contest and are now just 4-13 SU and 2-14-1 ATS in their last 17 overall games since a year ago. Ugh. So what could we possibly like about them here you wonder? For openers, Denver is 21-12 SU and 22-10-1 ATS as a non-division home underdog, including 9-2 SUATS when coming off a loss of more than 14 points. They are also 5-1 SUATS at home when riding a three game-exact losing skid accompanied by a three-game ATS losing streak. Enter the best the NFC has to offer, the starlets from Los Angeles who have scored 33 or more points in all fi ve contests this season, and were favored by 2.5 points in Vegas before the season started. With the Rams 0-6 ATS in games after facing Seattle when taking on sub .500 foes, and just 3-15 ATS away off an away game when tackling non-division foes, we wryly hand if off to THE CLINCHER: Denver is 10-2-1 ATS as home dogs against NFC opponents, including 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS with a win percentage of .400 or greater as well as 5-0 SUATS before Game Seven of the season.

Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at - One Click Handicapping
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