Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence has authored thousands of articles expounding on the three primary forms of sports handicapping: Fundamental, Statistical and Technical. To be a successful handicapper, blending all three forms of analysis into the handicapping equation. Marc relies heavily on a proprietary powerful database of scores, stats and results of games played since 1980, both College and Pro Football and College and Pro Basketball.

Marc has been handicapping sports professionally since 1975, having won more documented Top 10 Handicapping Achievement awards than any handicapper in the nation. He won the 2005 STARDUST FOOTBALL INVITATIONAL Contest and was a SEMI-FINALIST in the 2006 $100,000 LEROYS' MONEY TALKS Contest last season. He finished the 2006 season as the No. 1 handicapper in the NFL as documented by SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. Marc also finished No. 1 in the nation in College Football win percentage in 2005 as documented by both the SPORTS MONITOR in Oklahoma and SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. He was named HANDICAPPER OF THE YEAR in 2005 by FOOTBALL NEWS.

In 2008, he finished No. 1 in NFL win percentage according to SPORTS WATCH and also captured 1st place honors in the 2008 PLAYBOOK WISE GUYS CONTEST.

Marc has hosted a national radio show "MARC LAWRENCE AGAINST THE SPREAD" for each of the last 16 years on over 100 stations syndicated in the USA. He is a tireless handicapper who works a minimum 60-hour week during the football and basketball seasons. As a handicapper he firmly believes that three things can happen when you bet an underdog, and two of them are good. He enjoys helping others to become better informed.

Marc married his high school sweetheart 40 years ago and has one son, Marc Jr., who works with him in the industry. Aside from publishing the PLAYBOOK Football Yearbook magazine and Weekly Newsletters, Marc enjoys golf and horse racing.

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Wednesday, November 30, 2016


Marc Lawrence NFL Best Bets Dec. 4


Miami by 6 over BALTIMORE

First off, let’s set the table: if the NFL Playoffs started this week it would be the 3rd seeded Ravens and the 6th seeded Dolphins all set to go. The Fish enter today’s fray as one of the hottest teams in the league, winners of six straight games following a disastrous 1-4 start to the season under 1st-year head coach Adam Gase. It’s no coincidence that Miami has committed only TWO turnovers during its 6-game win skein, while winning four of the games straight-up as underdogs. Meanwhile, Miami takes a 5-1 ATS record in its last six games played in Baltimore, while the Ravens are 0-5 ATS the
last five years in their seventh home game of the season. Baltimore QB Joe Flacco joins the party, going 3-13 ATS in his last 16 starts during the month of December, including 0-8 ATS as a favorite. The final icing in the cake comes from THE CLINCHER: NFL teams riding a 6-game-exact win streak into Game Twelve of the season are 9-2 ATS off a win of 21 or fewer points since 1980, including 7-0 ATS if they scored less than 35 points in their last game.



NEW ORLEANS over Detroit by 15

Let’s cut right to the chase… for the most part NFL teams generally suck in post-Thanksgiving day affairs, especially the Lions who are 3-17 SU (1-4 ATS the last five) following Thanksgiving Day games the last 20 years. That works like a charm into a red-hot Saints’ squad that is playing its best ball of the season, going 5-3 SU and 7-1 ATS, after starting the year 0-3. Along the way, the Who Dats have out-yarded all seven foes since their bye week. N’Awlins has also bagged the cash in five of the last six games in
this series. And did we mention the Saints are 7-0 ATS at home off a home game, which fits like a training bra at a Heidi Klum newbies runway show next to Detroit’s 1-7 ATS mark in road games following consecutive homers. And chew on this, if you would: if the NFL playoffs started this week the Lions would be in and the Saints would be out. Finally, we’d be remiss if we didn’t call out THE CLINCHER: See this week’s AWESOME ANGLE on page 2.


Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at Playbook.com - One Click Handicapping
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Wednesday, November 23, 2016


College & Pro Best Bewt Upsets Nov 24-27


MINNY over Detroit by 7

A feast of football kicks off Thanksgiving Day in the Motor City where the Detroit Lions host the Minnesota Vikings in a battle for fi rst place in the NFC North at Ford Field. The Lions have long been a staple on Turkey Day where they play their 77th game on this celebratory day, standing 36-38-2 SU in previous games, but 3-0 SUATS the last three years. The Jungle Kings are also 9-3 SUATS in this series following consecutive wins, including 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS at home. Today, though, the revitalized Vikings enter 4-1 SUATS on Thanksgiving Thursday with a sparkling 11-0 ATS record following home games versus opponents off a home game. They have also held four foes to season-low yards this season. Detroit’s 1-6 mark ‘In The Stats’ in its last seven games seals the deal as we have ourselves a live division dog to sink our teeth into on this festive holiday. Pass the gravy and grab the points. And check out THE CLINCHER: QB Sam Bradford owns a 10-4 ATS career mark as a dog in division games, including 8-1 ATS the last nine, and 5-0 ATS against foes off back-to-back wins.



VANDY over Tennessee by 6


Wondering if the Volunteers can get up for this one after Florida stole the SEC East title right from under their noses? Not this schizophrenic bunch. Like James Caan trapped in a bed by Kathy Bates in ‘Misery’, it’s been downright torture trying to keep up with Tennessee this season. The Vols’ don’t get much support in today’s battle for the state championship, posting a poor 8-17 ATS record as favorites of 5 or more points against foes off a SUATS win. They also find themselves playing a rivalry dog with double revenge in this series. With Vanderbilt making one last-ditch effort to bag win No. 6 tonight in Nashville, we like the looks of the Commodores’ 9-3 ATS record as home dogs with revenge. And with Thanksgiving just days away, our SMART BOX is all over the 5-win Commies like whipped cream on pumpkin pie. Simply put, we’re going hard with the guys who still have something to play for against one that’s not sure what day it is. THE CLINCHER: Vanderbilt is 13-5 ATS as a dog of more than 6 points under head coach Derek Mason, including 5-0 ATS this season.


Toledo over W MICHIGAN by 1


If College GameDay were in Kalamazoo this week instead of last Saturday, we would advise Coach Corso to don the Toledo headwear. Of course, last week’s pick was a no-brainer as the Broncos hosted hapless Buffalo, but this Friday could be a different story as the battle for the MAC West crown comes with a noose big enough to fi t Brian Windhorst’s neck. As it is, the underdog Rockets – who are already playing with revenge from a season-finale home loss last year – are a ‘Puttin’ On The Stats’ SMART BOX play as they are 10-1 ‘ITS’ this season. They’re also 5-0 ATS after tangling with Ball State and 4-1 ATS in LRGs. In addition, Toledo is 17-3 SU in this matchup when they own a .400 or greater record while the series dog is a Pit bull-like 9-1 ATS. Meanwhile, the undefeated Broncos can taste a New Year’s Six Bowl but must first deal with a 0-6 ATS log after battling Buffalo, a 0-4 ATS record in LHGs and a 3-7 ATS mark in the second of back-to-back homers. THE CLINCHER: the Rockets are 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight weekday road games.


Arizona over Atlanta by 8


Much like grains of sand in an hourglass, there is only so much time for disappointing quality teams to get their act together before it’s too late. Meet the Arizona Cardinals, the choice of many pundits to win the NFC West this season. Currently 3 games back of frontrunning Seattle, the Red Birds will most likely secure a spot in the playoffs – if they’re fortunate – via the Wild Card. To do so, a win today is mandatory. And behind the top-ranked defense in the league, we like their chances. For openers, the underdog is 21-5 ATS in Falcons games under Dan Quinn. In addition, Atlanta is 1-6 ATS at home with rest in non-division games. With ‘Zona sporting nearly 100 yards the better defense in this bout, we turn to THE CLINCHER: Cardinals head coach Bruce Arians is 22-6 SU and 20-8 ATS in non-division regular season games following a non-division game, including 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS from Game 11 out.


Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at Playbook.com - One Click Handicapping
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Thursday, November 17, 2016


Marc Lawrence College & Pro Best Bet Upsets Nov 18-19


NFL

BALTIMORE over Dallas by 8

Imagine what must be going through Tony Romo’s mind these days. As America’s highest paid cheerleader, Romo can only stand by and wish his team well as the dynamic rookie duo of QB Dak Prescott and RB Ezekiel Elliott are at the forefront of the biggest turnaround in the NFL this season. So where does America’s team go from here after an exhilarating 8-0 SUATS march through the rest of the league this season? The good news is the Boys are 5-0 SUATS their last five games against NFC North opposition. The bad news is they are 0-4 ATS as home favorites against the AFC North. And that fits like a glove next to Dallas head coach Jason Garrett’s 3-13 ATS mark as a home favorite versus opponents off a win. It’s never hard backing the top defense in the league as a touchdown dog. Especially one that is 11-2 SU and 8-4-1 ATS in its last 13 games following Cleveland, and also 12-3 ATS as a road dog after facing the Browns. And for good measure, we toss in THE CLINCHER: NFL home favorites are 13-32 ATS after facing Mike Tomlin’s Pittsburgh Steelers.

College


VANDERBILT over Ole Miss by 1

The Rebels have to be excited at the prospects of true freshman QB Shea Patterson, who stepped in nicely for Chad Kelly last week and directed Ole Miss to an upset win at Texas A&M. The problem today, though, is there is now game film on him and frosh QBs making their second start off a winning debut tend to crash more often than the original Obamacare website. The defensive-minded Commies are one of 18 teams on this week’s card featuring 4-win teams in need of two more wins to achieve bowl eligibility and an inexperienced QB is just what the doctor ordered in Nashville. Add to that a 15-4 ATS mark for Vandy as dogs of more than 5 points with revenge, including 8-1 ATS the last nine, and you’ll see why there is a great shot at a Commodores upset. But best of all, here is THE CLINCHER: The Rebels are 1-11 against the spread as road favorites coming off a win.



MINNESOTA over Northwestern by 7

Laugh if you want but this Minnesota team could very well be undefeated right now. Only a 3-point loss to Penn State, a 7-point loss to Iowa and a 7-point loss to Nebraska is all that’s kept the Gophers from being truly Golden in 2016. But while 7-3 Minnesota has already punched its postseason ticket, Pat Fitzgerald’s Wildcats still need a win here or against Illinois to don their bowling shoes. And frankly, since both of these teams are tied in the Big Ten West with 4-3 marks in conference play, we’re trying to figure out just why Northwestern opened as the favorite in this afternoon’s matchup in Minneapolis. While we puzzle on that, our reliable database has sprung to life and informed us of the Gophers’ solid 7-3 ATS run in their previous ten LHG’s. Plus, there’s a small matter of revenge for last season’s humiliating 27-0 whitewash loss in Evanston, Minnesota’s worst loss of 2015 and the team’s first shutout since losing to Michigan in 2011. Regardless of where the line settles before Saturday’s kickoff, we look for the Gophers to git‘er done.

NFL


Jacksonville over DETROIT by 3


Look at what we have here. The FIRST PLACE 5-4 Detroit Lions host the last place 2-7 Jacksonville Jaguars... and we’re calling for the upset. Let’s set the record straight. No team in the last 13 years has made it to the Super Bowl after posting fewer than six wins through their fi rst nine games. The last team to do it? The 2002 Oakland Raiders, who were also 5-4. In addition, only one team in the NFC owns more than six wins through the first nine games this season – the Dallas Cowboys. So, yes, the race to the playoffs in the NFC is wide open. The bigger game for Detroit is on deck with Minnesota, the team they are currently tied with in the division and the team they beat in overtime before their bye week two weeks ago. The Lions are 6-20 SU and 8-18 ATS before facing the Vikings. They are also 1-6 SU and 1-5-1 ATS at home against AFC South opponents. Granted, the favorite is 5-0 ATS in this series, and the Jaguars are 0-9 ATS as non-conference underdogs of more than 3 points. But this is Detroit, caught smack in the middle of a Minnesota sandwich, laying a touchdown to a team with 38 YPG the better defense. That’s a no-no in our books.


Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at Playbook.com - One Click Handicapping
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