Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence has authored thousands of articles expounding on the three primary forms of sports handicapping: Fundamental, Statistical and Technical. To be a successful handicapper, blending all three forms of analysis into the handicapping equation. Marc relies heavily on a proprietary powerful database of scores, stats and results of games played since 1980, both College and Pro Football and College and Pro Basketball.

Marc has been handicapping sports professionally since 1975, having won more documented Top 10 Handicapping Achievement awards than any handicapper in the nation. He won the 2005 STARDUST FOOTBALL INVITATIONAL Contest and was a SEMI-FINALIST in the 2006 $100,000 LEROYS' MONEY TALKS Contest last season. He finished the 2006 season as the No. 1 handicapper in the NFL as documented by SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. Marc also finished No. 1 in the nation in College Football win percentage in 2005 as documented by both the SPORTS MONITOR in Oklahoma and SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. He was named HANDICAPPER OF THE YEAR in 2005 by FOOTBALL NEWS.

In 2008, he finished No. 1 in NFL win percentage according to SPORTS WATCH and also captured 1st place honors in the 2008 PLAYBOOK WISE GUYS CONTEST.

Marc has hosted a national radio show "MARC LAWRENCE AGAINST THE SPREAD" for each of the last 16 years on over 100 stations syndicated in the USA. He is a tireless handicapper who works a minimum 60-hour week during the football and basketball seasons. As a handicapper he firmly believes that three things can happen when you bet an underdog, and two of them are good. He enjoys helping others to become better informed.

Marc married his high school sweetheart 40 years ago and has one son, Marc Jr., who works with him in the industry. Aside from publishing the PLAYBOOK Football Yearbook magazine and Weekly Newsletters, Marc enjoys golf and horse racing.

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Monday, September 27, 2010


Freshen Up


According to our powerful database, it seems Game Four of the College Football season is often times a critical stepping-stone for teams who play with a week of rest. This is especially true for teams that are on the road off a SU and ATS loss. That’s confirmed by their 30-20 ATS winning mark since 1980.

When these reinvigorated road artists are playing off their initial loss of the season they improve dramatically, going 17-5 ATS. That’s a 77% winning step in the right direction, to be sure.



This week finds two teams that will be taking a ‘freshening approach’ to the game when they shower in visitor’s locker rooms, namelyEast Carolina and Texas Tech.

More important is a startling 13-1 ATS mark if these teams were either a favorite or a dog of three or less points in their last game. Now, if you’re Red Raider raise your hand if you’re sure!


Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at Playbook.com - One Click Handicapping
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Monday, September 20, 2010


Four on the Floor


Our powerful database tells us that Game Four is a critical turning point for most College Football teams, especially if they’re playing off their first loss of the season. From a handicapping perspective, the venue goes a long way in determining Game Four ATS results as well. Check out the situations of teams in Game Four, off their initial loss of the season, since 1980...

BAD HOMERS
Teams playing at HOME in this role tend to perform poorly as evidenced by a 79-101-2 ATS overall mark. Home teams in that role this week include: Arizona State, Clemson, Houston, Iowa, Maryland and San Diego State, If these teams surrendered 28 or more points in last week’s defeat they dip to 36-64-2 ATS. Houston, Iowa and Maryland qualify here. To top it off, if they are allowing 27.5 or more points per game on the season and allowed 28+ points last week they drop to 4-15 ATS, not good news for Houston. In addition, teams that allowed 28+ points last week and won four or less games last season are just 4-16-1 SU and 4-17 ATS as bummed-out hosts. Maryland finds themselves in this precarious role this week.



GOOD VISITORS
Teams playing AWAY in this role somehow find pointspread success, nearly reversing their home counterparts by going 94-72-1 ATS. This week finds Air Force, Baylor, California and Wake Forest taking to the road this week after having their dreams of a perfect season ruined last week. (Note: East Carolina and Texas Tech journey out in this role next week.) When these teams are also off an ATS loss they improve to 83-51-1 ATS in these ‘Game Four On The Floor’ situations, those teams this week being Baylor, California and Wake Forest.And if the opponent is off a SU and ATS loss they ratchet up to 25-10 ATS, including 21-6 ATS if they allow 25 or fewer points per game on the season. That would put Baylor in this desirable role.

There you have it... a critical Game Four theory that will likely ‘floor’ a team or two this week!


Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at Playbook.com - One Click Handicapping
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Monday, September 13, 2010


EARLY RESPITES


In the majority of cases, rest is considered advantageous for most college football teams, especially late in the season. An extra blow not only helps heal tired bodies but also gives coaches a chance to better study an opponent’s game film in greater detail. However, rested teams during the opening month of the season tend to develop dichotic personalities.

RESTED TEAMS OFF A SEASON OPENING LOSS TEND TO STRUGGLE
A week of rest right out of the box in a new season, however, can either help or hinder a team depending on their previous effort and venue. In college football, teams in Game Two, playing off a LOSS with a week of rest, are just 56-70 ATS, including 28-43 ATS when on the road. This week we find North Carolina and Oregon State (both home) in this not-so-desirable role.



RESTED TEAMS OFF A SEASON OPENING WIN TEND TO PERFORM WELL
On the other side of the coin, college football teams in Game Two, playing off a WIN with a week of rest, are 114-84-4 ATS, with Boise State, Fresno State and Indiana are in this role this week.

When playing foes with wobbly defenses (allow 27 or more PPG on the season), these rested winners improve to 36-14 ATS. Boise State and Indiana fit the bill on Saturday. That’s this week’s wake-up call. You know what to do...

Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at Playbook.com - One Click Handicapping
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