Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence has authored thousands of articles expounding on the three primary forms of sports handicapping: Fundamental, Statistical and Technical. To be a successful handicapper, blending all three forms of analysis into the handicapping equation. Marc relies heavily on a proprietary powerful database of scores, stats and results of games played since 1980, both College and Pro Football and College and Pro Basketball.

Marc has been handicapping sports professionally since 1975, having won more documented Top 10 Handicapping Achievement awards than any handicapper in the nation. He won the 2005 STARDUST FOOTBALL INVITATIONAL Contest and was a SEMI-FINALIST in the 2006 $100,000 LEROYS' MONEY TALKS Contest last season. He finished the 2006 season as the No. 1 handicapper in the NFL as documented by SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. Marc also finished No. 1 in the nation in College Football win percentage in 2005 as documented by both the SPORTS MONITOR in Oklahoma and SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. He was named HANDICAPPER OF THE YEAR in 2005 by FOOTBALL NEWS.

In 2008, he finished No. 1 in NFL win percentage according to SPORTS WATCH and also captured 1st place honors in the 2008 PLAYBOOK WISE GUYS CONTEST.

Marc has hosted a national radio show "MARC LAWRENCE AGAINST THE SPREAD" for each of the last 16 years on over 100 stations syndicated in the USA. He is a tireless handicapper who works a minimum 60-hour week during the football and basketball seasons. As a handicapper he firmly believes that three things can happen when you bet an underdog, and two of them are good. He enjoys helping others to become better informed.

Marc married his high school sweetheart 40 years ago and has one son, Marc Jr., who works with him in the industry. Aside from publishing the PLAYBOOK Football Yearbook magazine and Weekly Newsletters, Marc enjoys golf and horse racing.

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Friday, January 05, 2018


Marc Lawrence NFL Playoff Upset


New Orleans Over Carolina by 1

Same-season rematches in the NFL playoffs aren’t rare. They just aren’t all that profitable (90-79-4 ATS since 1990). It’s noteworthy in this contest, though, as the Saints took the Panthers behind the woodshed twice this season. Still, Carolina is 5-2 SUATS as an underdog this season, and the Panthers are 4-0 SUATS in playoff games against foes coming off a loss. The problem is Superman (re: Cam Newton) has been overdosing on too much kryptonite of late as the black cats have been outgained in 5 of their last 6 games. In addition, Carolina finds itself in a similar role to Buffalo in that away teams in the NFL playoffs, following a season-ending away game, tend to struggle in opening-round games. That’s confi rmed by a dismal 22-55 SU and 24-48-4 ATS mark since 1980. The question is can the Saints, who are 6-1 SUATS versus .600 or greater opponents this season, take advantage as they, too, are stumbling at the finish line. Since its 8-game win streak from the end of September to late November, New Orleans is just 3-3 SU, as well as 2-4 ATS and ITS, in its last 6 games. Looking inside the stats in this game – as we like to do each week in the MIDWEEK ALERT – Carolina was outyarded by -35 net YPG during the second half of the season, while New Orleans was also outgained during the final six games of the campaign. With no major edges either way, we’ll lean to the double-avenging division dog with the better defense.



Written by John Pricci

Marc Lawrence can also be found at Playbook.com - One Click Handicapping
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Wednesday, December 27, 2017


Best Bet College and NFL Upsets, DEC 28-31


UCF over Auburn by 3

How well liked is UCF head coach Scott Frost? So much so that when the Associated Press Coach of the Year accepted the head job at Nebraska immediately after winning the AAC Championship over Memphis, his players convinced him to remain a little longer and coach them in today’s game. In fact, the Knights are gunning to complete the ’perfect cycle’ as UCF was winless when Frost took over last year and will be looking to go out undefeated (13-0) behind him here. Auburn’s season peaked with its home win over Alabama, then headed south fast after the Tigers’ 28-7 beatdown in the SEC Title game against Georgia. Thus, despite the fact that SEC bowlers are 9-4 ATS against ‘Group of 5’ teams in bowl games, we look for a goingthrough-the-motions effort from the disappointed Tigers against the high-as-a-kite Knights today. It’s bad enough for Auburn that conference championship game losers are 4-8-1 ATS as bowl favorites of 8 or more points, including 0-5-1 ATS with a win percentage of less than .800, but HC Gus Malzahn’s cats are just 21-18 SU, 16-21-2 ATS, and 22-17 ITS versus bowlers the last four years. Contrast that with Central Florida’s quantum leap from 2016 to 2017: the Knights were 0-7 SU, 2-5 ATS, and 1-6 ITS versus bowlers last season but improved to 7-0 SU, 5-2 ATS and 4-3 ITS this season. And even though UCF was one of the most heavily penalized teams in the FBS, the Knights managed a tie for No. 2 in the net TO Margin (+1.25). The cement comes from our well-oiled machine as it supplies THE CLINCHER: College bowl dogs of 7 or more points off a win of 7 or more points who allow less than 25 PPG are 2-15-1 ATS vs. foes off a loss who allow 15 or more PPG.



NFL

CINCINNATI over Baltimore by 6

The first of three “win and you’re in” teams on today’s season-ending card (the Falcons and the Titans the others) fi nds the Ravens taking on their pesky division rival from Cincinnati, a team that has taken down the Black Birds in 6 of the last 8 series meetings. Complicating matters, the Bengals are also likely stoked to send departing head coach Marvin Lewis out a winner. And they bring dual sparkling 10-2 ATS marks into this game, both as dogs following a SU underdog win and in Last Road Games when owning a sub .500 record. Aiding Baltimore’s 5-1 winning skein since its Bye week has been a superlative 15-2 turnover edge. Hence, it’s no surprise that the Ravens are 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in games in which they’ve managed to win the turnover battle, and 0-4 SU and 0-3-1 ATS when they’ve been on the wrong side of the giveaways this season. Thus the question begs, can Cincy play a clean game today (they are averaging a respectable 1.27 TO’s per contest this year). On the fl ip side, Baltimore is 1-10 ATS at home when coming off consecutive wins and facing an opponent coming off a home game. With QB Joe Flacco sporting 7 TD passes and only 1 INT this month, the pressure is squarely on his shoulders today. With that, we’ll fade these “must-win” birds. Remember, the Bengals’ abysmal season started in a hole with a 20-0 home loss to Baltimore in their season opener.

Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at Playbook.com - One Click Handicapping
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Wednesday, December 13, 2017


Best Bet Bowl and NFL Upsets


North Texas over Troy by 3

Bowl Mania kicks off in New Orleans but unlike the betting public who has already pushed the Trojans up to a touchdown favorite, we don’t think this visit to the Big Easy will be a walk in the park for the co-champions from the Sun Belt. Sure, the Troy boys have notched 10 wins for the second straight campaign, including 3-0 SUATS versus winning opposition this season, and are 6-1 SU in their last seven meetings with the Mean Green while North Texas got run over by FAU and the Lane Train in the Conference USA title tilt. However, we can’t get past the fact that in their season-ending 8-point win over Arkansas State to claim a share of their conference crown, Troy was outgained by 313 yards. Our database is also a bit leery of Neal Brown’s bunch as it notes the Trojans are just 2-7 ATS as favorites versus CUSA foes and 1-3 ATS as bowl chalk. Meanwhile, UNT is 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS versus the Belt when they sport a winning record and 2-0 ATS in this particular matchup when they arrive with rest. In addition, our soon-to-be-released 2017 PLAYBOOK BOWL STAT REPORT (available Thursday) reminds us that C-USA bowlers off a double-digit loss are 13-2 ATS. That’s plenty of good numbers in the Green’s favor but the fi nal tragedy for Troy comes courtesy of THE CLINCHER: Bowl favorites of 4 or more points on a 3-0 SUATS win streak are 3-9 SU and 1-11 ATS when facing a foe off a SUATS loss.



NFL

SEATTLE over LA Rams by 8

Let’s set the table. The Rams are 8-21-1 SU and 10-20 ATS in their last 30 division away games against winning division opponents, including 1-11 SU and 2-10 ATS from Game 13 out. And while you might be saying these are not the old St. Louis Rams, we would counter that Jared Goff looked a little like the “old Goff” against Philadelphia. As for Seattle, if the playoffs started today the Seahawks would be on the sidelines, so this game is critical for them. Meanwhile, the potential loss of star LB Bobby Wagner (a Defensive POY candidate) would be devastating considering the Seahawks have already lost defensive starters Richard Sherman, Kam Chancellor and Cliff Avril for the season. Just to give you an example of Wagner’s impact, the Seahawks were stout on defense in the 31 snaps with him on the fi eld last Sunday and allowed just 3 points to Jacksonville, but as soon as Wagner left the game with an aggravated hamstring injury, the fl oodgates opened and the Seahawks lost 30-24. Still, we believe in QB Russell Wilson, who has thrown for 17 TDs versus just one interception during the 4th quarter of games this season, an NFL record. Wilson is also 14-1 SU and 11-3-1 ATS at home when the Seahawks are coming off a loss, including 6-0 SUATS during the second half of the season. Safe to say, we’re all over the Seahawks today provided they’ve got 11 starters on defense.




Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at Playbook.com - One Click Handicapping
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