Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence has authored thousands of articles expounding on the three primary forms of sports handicapping: Fundamental, Statistical and Technical. To be a successful handicapper, blending all three forms of analysis into the handicapping equation. Marc relies heavily on a proprietary powerful database of scores, stats and results of games played since 1980, both College and Pro Football and College and Pro Basketball.

Marc has been handicapping sports professionally since 1975, having won more documented Top 10 Handicapping Achievement awards than any handicapper in the nation. He won the 2005 STARDUST FOOTBALL INVITATIONAL Contest and was a SEMI-FINALIST in the 2006 $100,000 LEROYS' MONEY TALKS Contest last season. He finished the 2006 season as the No. 1 handicapper in the NFL as documented by SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. Marc also finished No. 1 in the nation in College Football win percentage in 2005 as documented by both the SPORTS MONITOR in Oklahoma and SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. He was named HANDICAPPER OF THE YEAR in 2005 by FOOTBALL NEWS.

In 2008, he finished No. 1 in NFL win percentage according to SPORTS WATCH and also captured 1st place honors in the 2008 PLAYBOOK WISE GUYS CONTEST.

Marc has hosted a national radio show "MARC LAWRENCE AGAINST THE SPREAD" for each of the last 16 years on over 100 stations syndicated in the USA. He is a tireless handicapper who works a minimum 60-hour week during the football and basketball seasons. As a handicapper he firmly believes that three things can happen when you bet an underdog, and two of them are good. He enjoys helping others to become better informed.

Marc married his high school sweetheart 40 years ago and has one son, Marc Jr., who works with him in the industry. Aside from publishing the PLAYBOOK Football Yearbook magazine and Weekly Newsletters, Marc enjoys golf and horse racing.

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Thursday, November 17, 2016


Marc Lawrence College & Pro Best Bet Upsets Nov 18-19


NFL

BALTIMORE over Dallas by 8

Imagine what must be going through Tony Romo’s mind these days. As America’s highest paid cheerleader, Romo can only stand by and wish his team well as the dynamic rookie duo of QB Dak Prescott and RB Ezekiel Elliott are at the forefront of the biggest turnaround in the NFL this season. So where does America’s team go from here after an exhilarating 8-0 SUATS march through the rest of the league this season? The good news is the Boys are 5-0 SUATS their last five games against NFC North opposition. The bad news is they are 0-4 ATS as home favorites against the AFC North. And that fits like a glove next to Dallas head coach Jason Garrett’s 3-13 ATS mark as a home favorite versus opponents off a win. It’s never hard backing the top defense in the league as a touchdown dog. Especially one that is 11-2 SU and 8-4-1 ATS in its last 13 games following Cleveland, and also 12-3 ATS as a road dog after facing the Browns. And for good measure, we toss in THE CLINCHER: NFL home favorites are 13-32 ATS after facing Mike Tomlin’s Pittsburgh Steelers.

College


VANDERBILT over Ole Miss by 1

The Rebels have to be excited at the prospects of true freshman QB Shea Patterson, who stepped in nicely for Chad Kelly last week and directed Ole Miss to an upset win at Texas A&M. The problem today, though, is there is now game film on him and frosh QBs making their second start off a winning debut tend to crash more often than the original Obamacare website. The defensive-minded Commies are one of 18 teams on this week’s card featuring 4-win teams in need of two more wins to achieve bowl eligibility and an inexperienced QB is just what the doctor ordered in Nashville. Add to that a 15-4 ATS mark for Vandy as dogs of more than 5 points with revenge, including 8-1 ATS the last nine, and you’ll see why there is a great shot at a Commodores upset. But best of all, here is THE CLINCHER: The Rebels are 1-11 against the spread as road favorites coming off a win.



MINNESOTA over Northwestern by 7

Laugh if you want but this Minnesota team could very well be undefeated right now. Only a 3-point loss to Penn State, a 7-point loss to Iowa and a 7-point loss to Nebraska is all that’s kept the Gophers from being truly Golden in 2016. But while 7-3 Minnesota has already punched its postseason ticket, Pat Fitzgerald’s Wildcats still need a win here or against Illinois to don their bowling shoes. And frankly, since both of these teams are tied in the Big Ten West with 4-3 marks in conference play, we’re trying to figure out just why Northwestern opened as the favorite in this afternoon’s matchup in Minneapolis. While we puzzle on that, our reliable database has sprung to life and informed us of the Gophers’ solid 7-3 ATS run in their previous ten LHG’s. Plus, there’s a small matter of revenge for last season’s humiliating 27-0 whitewash loss in Evanston, Minnesota’s worst loss of 2015 and the team’s first shutout since losing to Michigan in 2011. Regardless of where the line settles before Saturday’s kickoff, we look for the Gophers to git‘er done.

NFL


Jacksonville over DETROIT by 3


Look at what we have here. The FIRST PLACE 5-4 Detroit Lions host the last place 2-7 Jacksonville Jaguars... and we’re calling for the upset. Let’s set the record straight. No team in the last 13 years has made it to the Super Bowl after posting fewer than six wins through their fi rst nine games. The last team to do it? The 2002 Oakland Raiders, who were also 5-4. In addition, only one team in the NFC owns more than six wins through the first nine games this season – the Dallas Cowboys. So, yes, the race to the playoffs in the NFC is wide open. The bigger game for Detroit is on deck with Minnesota, the team they are currently tied with in the division and the team they beat in overtime before their bye week two weeks ago. The Lions are 6-20 SU and 8-18 ATS before facing the Vikings. They are also 1-6 SU and 1-5-1 ATS at home against AFC South opponents. Granted, the favorite is 5-0 ATS in this series, and the Jaguars are 0-9 ATS as non-conference underdogs of more than 3 points. But this is Detroit, caught smack in the middle of a Minnesota sandwich, laying a touchdown to a team with 38 YPG the better defense. That’s a no-no in our books.


Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at Playbook.com - One Click Handicapping
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