Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence has authored thousands of articles expounding on the three primary forms of sports handicapping: Fundamental, Statistical and Technical. To be a successful handicapper, blending all three forms of analysis into the handicapping equation. Marc relies heavily on a proprietary powerful database of scores, stats and results of games played since 1980, both College and Pro Football and College and Pro Basketball.

Marc has been handicapping sports professionally since 1975, having won more documented Top 10 Handicapping Achievement awards than any handicapper in the nation. He won the 2005 STARDUST FOOTBALL INVITATIONAL Contest and was a SEMI-FINALIST in the 2006 $100,000 LEROYS' MONEY TALKS Contest last season. He finished the 2006 season as the No. 1 handicapper in the NFL as documented by SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. Marc also finished No. 1 in the nation in College Football win percentage in 2005 as documented by both the SPORTS MONITOR in Oklahoma and SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. He was named HANDICAPPER OF THE YEAR in 2005 by FOOTBALL NEWS.

In 2008, he finished No. 1 in NFL win percentage according to SPORTS WATCH and also captured 1st place honors in the 2008 PLAYBOOK WISE GUYS CONTEST.

Marc has hosted a national radio show "MARC LAWRENCE AGAINST THE SPREAD" for each of the last 16 years on over 100 stations syndicated in the USA. He is a tireless handicapper who works a minimum 60-hour week during the football and basketball seasons. As a handicapper he firmly believes that three things can happen when you bet an underdog, and two of them are good. He enjoys helping others to become better informed.

Marc married his high school sweetheart 40 years ago and has one son, Marc Jr., who works with him in the industry. Aside from publishing the PLAYBOOK Football Yearbook magazine and Weekly Newsletters, Marc enjoys golf and horse racing.

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Thursday, January 15, 2015


Grab Points with the Colts


Patriots Over the Colts by 3

After devising a game plan that completely shut down Denver in a 24-13 Colts win last week – and led to the termination of the Broncos’ entire coaching staff – Indianapolis head man Chuck Pagano sets his sights on even bigger game: New England’s implacable, steely-eyed Bill Belichick. And while those who stalk ‘The Hoodie’ on the turf of his own Gillette Stadium hood seldom succeed in bagging the prize, our database doesn’t hesitate to recommend a play on Pagano’s team this evening. For openers, conference title game losers from the previous year (Patriots) have found it extremely diffi cult reversing their losing ways, going 2-11 SU and 3-10 ATS, including 0-9 SU and 1-8 ATS when facing .722 or greater opponents. Belichick himself may have amassed a 194-73 SU record since taking over at New England 15 seasons ago, but he owns just a 5-3 SU and 3-5 ATS slate in championship affairs, including five straight pointspread failures in his last five games. He is also 0-5 ATS in title games after scoring 24 or more points in divisional round games, and 0-5 ATS off three spread losses in a row when facing greater-than .666 foes. Meanwhile, conference championship contenders like Indy that arrive off a road win preceded by a victory at home are 8-4 SU and 10-2 ATS since 1998, including 6-0 ATS as an underdog of 4 or more points. Patriot backers are still buzzing over Tom Brady’s 367-yard, 4-TD performance against Baltimore but Colts QB Andrew Luck seems to save his best for big games, going 5-1 SUATS as an underdog in his NFL career versus opponents with a win percentage of more than .750. As for the seldom-mentioned Indianapolis defense, they gave up only 288 yards to the Broncos and have held two of their last three opponents to season-low yards. Hey, we’d actually like the Colts to pull the outright upset here if not for the fact that New England is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games versus AFC South opponents. Still, we can’t back a ‘leaking oil’ favorite like the Patriots that’s been outgained in each of their last three games – and not when over half of the 33 teams in this round who put 34 or more points on the scoreboard in a divisional round victory fell short of the Super Bowl, going 16-17 SU and 10-22-1 ATS. WithIndy HC Pagano a solid 22-7 SU and 21-7-1 ATS in games with a posted O/U total of 45 or more points, we’ll take the dog in this closer-than-expected slugfest.



Written by John Pricci

Marc Lawrence can also be found at Playbook.com - One Click Handicapping
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Friday, January 09, 2015


Marc Lawrence’s Playoff Upset Best Bet


Seattle over Carolina by 7

At first glance, this looks like an ‘out of the frying pan and into the furnace of a nuclear reactor’ scenario for Cam Newton and the Panthers. Carolina got a lucky break last week when they faced an injury-ravaged Arizona team caught in a 6-week downward spiral, and the Panthers seized control in the 2nd half for a 27-16 win. Now they must travel coast-to-coast to challenge a Seattle team that is healthy, rested and playing its best football of the season. Pete Carroll’s ferocious defense has stuffed its last six foes to the tune of just 202 YPG and an incredible 39 total points while going on a 6-0 SUATS run.



Yikes! Little wonder, then, that the Seahawks opened as this weekend’s biggest favorite at -11.5 points. But could this be a classic case of ‘rest make rust’ for the fat and sassy hosts this evening? Our mean machine informs us that Russell Wilson and company are just 7-10 SU and 5-12 ATS with rest versus a foe off a SUATS win. And even though Wilson stands 24-2 SU and 18-7-1 ATS at Century Link Field, we don’t like the fact that No. 1 seeds are just 6-16 ATS in Divisional Round games since 2004, including 1-11 ATS when off a SU win (with 5 SU losses!). As for Seattle’s bid to become only the ninth team and eighth franchise to win back-to-back Super Bowls – and first since New England in 2004-05 – those that did had a QB that is either in the Hall of Fame or about to be enshrined (Patriots’ Tom Brady). We don’t think Wilson’s quite there yet and if Newton can shake off a serious turnover bug (13 INT’s and 10 fumbles in 15 games this season), we could have a signal-caller stalemate here. And let’s not forget that the streaking Panthers are 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games versus an opponent playing with rest, including 5-0 SUATS away. Carolina’s 87 YPG net edge since Game Nine seals the deal as we grab the big points in what looks to be a defensive slugfest.

Written by John Pricci

Marc Lawrence can also be found at Playbook.com - One Click Handicapping
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Friday, January 02, 2015


Marc Lawrence Wildcard Weekend Underdog Best Bet


ARIZONA over Carolina by 3

Four weeks ago, the 3-8-1 Panthers were looking at a Top 5 draft pick as opposed to a home playoff game. And no one would have faulted head coach Ron Rivera for stealing a few lines from Jim Mora (Playoffs???).
However, nothing could be fi ner than to be in Carolina these days as the NFL postseason gets underway. Well, maybe if the opponent was someone else. You see, not only does the INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK on page 3 suggest that the Cats could be one-and-done but our database informs us that dogs with a better record are 3-0 SUATS in playoff openers versus an opponent they defeated in their most recent meeting (topped the Panthers, 22-6, last season in Arizona). And speaking of one-and-done, after beating the spread six straight times in the playoffs from 2004-2006, the Cats have dropped their last two playoff openers – and both in this building. And we bet you didn’t know that the Panthers are the first playoff team with a losing record that has been asked to lay points. In fact, only four teams with losing marks have made the postseason and they are predictably 1-3 SUATS in playoff openers. Yes, Carolina is hotter than a girl in a football jersey (not by much) but Cardinals’ HC Bruce Arians thrives against opponents off a SU win, posting a 14-7 SU and 15-6 ATS mark, including 6-0 SUATS if the foe is off an underdog win. And though we realize that the Redbirds have been wobbly down the stretch behind an array of backup quarterbacks, we can’t pass on the value. Grab the points as Arizona improves to 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS in playoff appearances since 2008.



Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at Playbook.com - One Click Handicapping
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