Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence has authored thousands of articles expounding on the three primary forms of sports handicapping: Fundamental, Statistical and Technical. To be a successful handicapper, blending all three forms of analysis into the handicapping equation. Marc relies heavily on a proprietary powerful database of scores, stats and results of games played since 1980, both College and Pro Football and College and Pro Basketball.

Marc has been handicapping sports professionally since 1975, having won more documented Top 10 Handicapping Achievement awards than any handicapper in the nation. He won the 2005 STARDUST FOOTBALL INVITATIONAL Contest and was a SEMI-FINALIST in the 2006 $100,000 LEROYS' MONEY TALKS Contest last season. He finished the 2006 season as the No. 1 handicapper in the NFL as documented by SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. Marc also finished No. 1 in the nation in College Football win percentage in 2005 as documented by both the SPORTS MONITOR in Oklahoma and SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. He was named HANDICAPPER OF THE YEAR in 2005 by FOOTBALL NEWS.

In 2008, he finished No. 1 in NFL win percentage according to SPORTS WATCH and also captured 1st place honors in the 2008 PLAYBOOK WISE GUYS CONTEST.

Marc has hosted a national radio show "MARC LAWRENCE AGAINST THE SPREAD" for each of the last 16 years on over 100 stations syndicated in the USA. He is a tireless handicapper who works a minimum 60-hour week during the football and basketball seasons. As a handicapper he firmly believes that three things can happen when you bet an underdog, and two of them are good. He enjoys helping others to become better informed.

Marc married his high school sweetheart 40 years ago and has one son, Marc Jr., who works with him in the industry. Aside from publishing the PLAYBOOK Football Yearbook magazine and Weekly Newsletters, Marc enjoys golf and horse racing.

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Thursday, January 07, 2016

Marc Lawrence NFL Wildcard Upsets

HOUSTON over KC by 4

This year’s playoffs mark the 19th consecutive year at least four new teams will be joining the festivities, with Houston and Kansas City representing two of the four new kids on the block. The Texans managed to hold six foes to season-low yards this year, including four of the last seven games. Bill Barnwell of ESPN notes that Houston turned the ball over 10 times in its first five games, but since going back to QB Brian Hoyer for good as the starter in Week 6, the Texans have just 10 giveaways in their concluding 11 games. And Hoyer is the key as he is 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in this NFL career in games versus opponents off back-to-back wins. The Chiefs enter riding a season-best 10-game win skein despite outyarding foes by only 11 YPG during the streak. Couple KC’s 2-8 SU and 0-10 ATS mark in its last ten Wild Card round games, along with head coach Andy Reid’s rotten 2-9 SU and 3-8 ATS effort in his playoff career versus an opponent off back-to-back wins – including 0-5 ATS
as a favorite – and suddenly the points become the play with this better offensive and defensive home dog.

CINCINNATI over Pittsburgh by 3

It appears the Bengals will be relying on AJ to A.J. in this division rivalry rematch with the condition of starting QB Andy Dalton’s injured thumb still up in the air (cast came off Monday – check status reports). That’s not good news considering Cincinnati has yet to eclipse 295 total yards in any of McCarron’s three starts. Rest assured there is no love lost between these two Ohio River rivals. Not only did Dalton suffered his thumb injury against Pittsburgh in their last meeting, a 33-20 win here by the Steelers, the game was so ugly that nearly $120K in fi nes were levied against the players. Good news for the Steel Curtain is its 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS record in the last 10 non-Super Bowl postseason games, and also a 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in playoff games versus division opponents
since 1989. Put alongside the Bengals’ recent postseason failures (0-6 SUATS last six playoff games), it practically looks like a closed case for the Pittsburghers. We’re not buying it, though. At least not until the redheaded rifle’s status is confirmed… and certainly not with playoff home dogs standing 9-3-1 ATS in games in which they own the better record.

Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at - One Click Handicapping
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Thursday, December 31, 2015

Marc Lawrence NFL Upsets for Weekend Jan. 2-3

BUFFALO over NY Jets by 6

In a season ending finale tailor-made for diehard Rex Ryan fans, the mold has been cast. Buffalo’s head coach will be looking to pull up even at 8-8 on the year while ruining the postseason plans of his successor in front of a rabid, victory-starved fan base. It just doesn’t get any better than this. The Jets set the table when they upset New England in overtime last week, putting themselves into position to clinch a playoff berth with a win today. They’ll need to reverse course quickly, though, as the Flyboys are just 2-4 SUATS in their next game after defeating New England. They are also 0-4 SUATS the last four games in this series and 0-8 SU and 1-7 ATS in their last eight games after winning SU as underdogs in the previous game. Meanwhile, Buffalo has upended New York three straight times as underdogs, winning each game on the scoreboard. Adding to the mix, Ryan is also the answer to this week’s TRIVIA TEASER on page 3. All of which ties hand-in-hand with The Clincher: Teams who upset defending Super Bowl champions as home dogs are 15-39 SU and 16-37-1 ATS away in their next game, including 4-21 SUATS versus a foe off a win.

OAKLAND over Kansas City by 1

Believe it or not, the MIDWEEK ALERT calls out the fact that if the playoffs were to begin this week, four of the eight participants in the Wild Card round would be teams that are allowing more yards per game on the season that they are gaining. And most amazingly, three 10-win teams would be among them, including Kansas City. Apparently all Andy Reid needed to do to put a halt to an abysmal 1-5 start was to begin being outgained as his troops have now been on the losing end of the stat sheet in four of the last five games along their current 9-game win skein. And we’ve seen it before... unless things change pronto and KC starts to win games the old-fashioned way (between the chains), a quick exit from playoffs will be no surprise. Today, however, the Chiefs must overcome a rotten 1-9 ATS ledger as home favorites off a home game, along with a lethargic 1-7 SUATS record in last home games the past eight years. Meanwhile, Jack Del Rio’s Raiders will be gunning for a .500 season knowing they are 6-2 SUATS the last eight games at Arrowhead Stadium. Sure, it’s been 13 years since Oakland last recorded a winning record but a win today goes a long way toward creating a solid foundation for next season. And like the saga of the Chicago Cubs, ‘wait until next year’ will finally mean more than looking for a new home for the Raiders.

Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at - One Click Handicapping
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Thursday, December 24, 2015

Marc Lawrence NFL Upsets, Dec. 26 Weekend

Green Bay over Arizona by 7

If Packer QB Aaron Rodgers’ eyes look as big as saucers on Sunday, it's likely due to the critical loss of the Honey Badger, Arizona star DB Tyrann Mathieu, for the season as the Cardinals have surrendered 350 and 317 passing yards in the last two games. It could be just the magic potion Rodgers needs as Green Bay is averaging only 205 passing YPG in the last five games – and that’s with Rodgers’ 61-yard Hail Mary included in the tally. Today, however, Rodgers and company find themselves taking points for only the second time this season (won 30-13 as a dog at Minnesota a month ago) in a series that Green Bay has dominated, going 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in regular season meetings of late, including 2-0 SUATS as a dog. And speaking of dogs, Rodgers is 3-0 SUATS in his NFL career during December versus greater-than .600 opponents. Given Carson Palmer’s gloomy 8-23-1 ATS career mark as a non-division home favorite, including 1-6 ATS the last seven – and Mike McCarthy being the answer to this week’s TRIVIA TEASER on page 3 – the points become the play here today. And there is always The Clincher: Green Bay is 8-0 SUATS away in games versus opponent off an away game, including 3-0 SUATS this season.

Atlanta over Carolina by 6

It's safe to say the Panthers showed signs of succumbing to the pressure at New York against the Giants last week. After blowing a 35-7 second-half lead, the Black Cats rallied late to eke out a 3-point win. The fact of the matter is they have now yielded 35 and 38 points in their last two road outings and are just 7-20-1 SU and 6-22 ATS in the last 28 games in which they surrendered 24 or more points. They are also 2-5 SU and ATS as a visitor in this series, and a wobbly 1-7 ATS as favorites against double avenging opponents. The revitalized Falcons are still in the Wild Card race and bring a lofty 9-2 ATS mark as home dogs off a non-division game into this contest. QB Matty Ryan’s stellar 3-0 ATS career home dog log in division games cements it. Oh, and in case you forgot, last week’s INCREDIBLE STAT reappears as this week’s AWESOME ANGLE (with a tightener) in the form of The Clincher: 13-0 or greater NFL teams are 1-12 ATS, including 0-7 ATS, versus an opponent off a win.

Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at - One Click Handicapping
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