Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence has authored thousands of articles expounding on the three primary forms of sports handicapping: Fundamental, Statistical and Technical. To be a successful handicapper, blending all three forms of analysis into the handicapping equation. Marc relies heavily on a proprietary powerful database of scores, stats and results of games played since 1980, both College and Pro Football and College and Pro Basketball.

Marc has been handicapping sports professionally since 1975, having won more documented Top 10 Handicapping Achievement awards than any handicapper in the nation. He won the 2005 STARDUST FOOTBALL INVITATIONAL Contest and was a SEMI-FINALIST in the 2006 $100,000 LEROYS' MONEY TALKS Contest last season. He finished the 2006 season as the No. 1 handicapper in the NFL as documented by SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. Marc also finished No. 1 in the nation in College Football win percentage in 2005 as documented by both the SPORTS MONITOR in Oklahoma and SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. He was named HANDICAPPER OF THE YEAR in 2005 by FOOTBALL NEWS.

In 2008, he finished No. 1 in NFL win percentage according to SPORTS WATCH and also captured 1st place honors in the 2008 PLAYBOOK WISE GUYS CONTEST.

Marc has hosted a national radio show "MARC LAWRENCE AGAINST THE SPREAD" for each of the last 16 years on over 100 stations syndicated in the USA. He is a tireless handicapper who works a minimum 60-hour week during the football and basketball seasons. As a handicapper he firmly believes that three things can happen when you bet an underdog, and two of them are good. He enjoys helping others to become better informed.

Marc married his high school sweetheart 40 years ago and has one son, Marc Jr., who works with him in the industry. Aside from publishing the PLAYBOOK Football Yearbook magazine and Weekly Newsletters, Marc enjoys golf and horse racing.

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Wednesday, December 13, 2017


Best Bet Bowl and NFL Upsets


North Texas over Troy by 3

Bowl Mania kicks off in New Orleans but unlike the betting public who has already pushed the Trojans up to a touchdown favorite, we don’t think this visit to the Big Easy will be a walk in the park for the co-champions from the Sun Belt. Sure, the Troy boys have notched 10 wins for the second straight campaign, including 3-0 SUATS versus winning opposition this season, and are 6-1 SU in their last seven meetings with the Mean Green while North Texas got run over by FAU and the Lane Train in the Conference USA title tilt. However, we can’t get past the fact that in their season-ending 8-point win over Arkansas State to claim a share of their conference crown, Troy was outgained by 313 yards. Our database is also a bit leery of Neal Brown’s bunch as it notes the Trojans are just 2-7 ATS as favorites versus CUSA foes and 1-3 ATS as bowl chalk. Meanwhile, UNT is 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS versus the Belt when they sport a winning record and 2-0 ATS in this particular matchup when they arrive with rest. In addition, our soon-to-be-released 2017 PLAYBOOK BOWL STAT REPORT (available Thursday) reminds us that C-USA bowlers off a double-digit loss are 13-2 ATS. That’s plenty of good numbers in the Green’s favor but the fi nal tragedy for Troy comes courtesy of THE CLINCHER: Bowl favorites of 4 or more points on a 3-0 SUATS win streak are 3-9 SU and 1-11 ATS when facing a foe off a SUATS loss.



NFL

SEATTLE over LA Rams by 8

Let’s set the table. The Rams are 8-21-1 SU and 10-20 ATS in their last 30 division away games against winning division opponents, including 1-11 SU and 2-10 ATS from Game 13 out. And while you might be saying these are not the old St. Louis Rams, we would counter that Jared Goff looked a little like the “old Goff” against Philadelphia. As for Seattle, if the playoffs started today the Seahawks would be on the sidelines, so this game is critical for them. Meanwhile, the potential loss of star LB Bobby Wagner (a Defensive POY candidate) would be devastating considering the Seahawks have already lost defensive starters Richard Sherman, Kam Chancellor and Cliff Avril for the season. Just to give you an example of Wagner’s impact, the Seahawks were stout on defense in the 31 snaps with him on the fi eld last Sunday and allowed just 3 points to Jacksonville, but as soon as Wagner left the game with an aggravated hamstring injury, the fl oodgates opened and the Seahawks lost 30-24. Still, we believe in QB Russell Wilson, who has thrown for 17 TDs versus just one interception during the 4th quarter of games this season, an NFL record. Wilson is also 14-1 SU and 11-3-1 ATS at home when the Seahawks are coming off a loss, including 6-0 SUATS during the second half of the season. Safe to say, we’re all over the Seahawks today provided they’ve got 11 starters on defense.




Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at Playbook.com - One Click Handicapping
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