Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence has authored thousands of articles expounding on the three primary forms of sports handicapping: Fundamental, Statistical and Technical. To be a successful handicapper, blending all three forms of analysis into the handicapping equation. Marc relies heavily on a proprietary powerful database of scores, stats and results of games played since 1980, both College and Pro Football and College and Pro Basketball.

Marc has been handicapping sports professionally since 1975, having won more documented Top 10 Handicapping Achievement awards than any handicapper in the nation. He won the 2005 STARDUST FOOTBALL INVITATIONAL Contest and was a SEMI-FINALIST in the 2006 $100,000 LEROYS' MONEY TALKS Contest last season. He finished the 2006 season as the No. 1 handicapper in the NFL as documented by SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. Marc also finished No. 1 in the nation in College Football win percentage in 2005 as documented by both the SPORTS MONITOR in Oklahoma and SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. He was named HANDICAPPER OF THE YEAR in 2005 by FOOTBALL NEWS.

In 2008, he finished No. 1 in NFL win percentage according to SPORTS WATCH and also captured 1st place honors in the 2008 PLAYBOOK WISE GUYS CONTEST.

Marc has hosted a national radio show "MARC LAWRENCE AGAINST THE SPREAD" for each of the last 16 years on over 100 stations syndicated in the USA. He is a tireless handicapper who works a minimum 60-hour week during the football and basketball seasons. As a handicapper he firmly believes that three things can happen when you bet an underdog, and two of them are good. He enjoys helping others to become better informed.

Marc married his high school sweetheart 40 years ago and has one son, Marc Jr., who works with him in the industry. Aside from publishing the PLAYBOOK Football Yearbook magazine and Weekly Newsletters, Marc enjoys golf and horse racing.

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Thursday, December 20, 2018


Best College & Pro Upsets, Weekend of DEC 22-24


Army over Houston by 13

For the second year in a row and third time ever, Army has won 10 times in a football season. These Black Knights’ seniors can cement their place in Army football history by beating Houston in this bowl and winning 11 games. The Black Knights option offense averaged 29.7 PPG and they are second in the country in rushing at 303 yards a game and No.1 in time of possession. This is not all that untypical for a military school but what separates this Army squad from previous editions is its defense. The Cadets only allowed 18 PPG (15th nationally) and held opposing teams to 9.9 PPG below their usual scoring average and to 81 fewer yards per contest. The way to look at this bowl is the execution of the Black Knights vs. the speed of Houston. When we say speed, we mean it two ways. It starts with the skill position players of the Cougars and in their linebackers. All these Cougs can scamper. Also, Houston’s offense was fourth in scoring at 46.4 PPG and they accomplished this while 129th in time of possession! Talk about your opposites! The Cougars defense might be fast, but they are always out of position and are terrible tacklers. They permit 34.4 PPG and not one bowl team allowed more yards. DT Ed Oliver decided not to play after an injury-plagued season and the Cougars other three top defensive linemen are injured. In addition, it should be noted that Army recruits the state of Texas as much as any school in the country (23 players on the roster from Texas). “This isn’t our first trip to Texas... Each time we come down here, we make it a big deal. We use all the social media avenues to reach out to prospects to let them know we’re going to be here. It further solidifies that we want Texas players on our team,” said head coach Jeff Monken. The pitch is simple enough: Come to the top public university in America, play in a football program that has as good a tradition as any in college football (three national championships, three Heisman Trophy winners) and graduate into a well-paying job as a second lieutenant. With Houston using a backup quarterback and Army 9-2 ATS in away games against a team with a winning record, they appear to be a solid choice. We salute the Army as we close it out with THE CLINCHER: Military bowlers are 33-13 ATS since 1981, including 23-4 ATS vs .600 or greater foes.



NFL

Atlanta over Carolina by 11


From Marc’s featured BETCHA DIDN’T KNOW article in this week’s USA TODAY SPORTS WEEKLY: The penultimate week in the NFL is most critical for teams whose playoff fate is on the line. In addition, teams entering Week 15 of the regular season with either 6 or 7 wins are also striving to avoid a losing campaign. As a result, when favored these teams are generally under added pressure to perform, especially at home. It’s where the Vegas oddsmakers make backing them a costly proposition. That’s confirmed by the fact that 6 or 7 win NFL home favorites in Game 15 of the regular season are just 57-47 SU but only 31-68-5 ATS. That’s not good news today for the Panthers, who enter off Monday night’s close-call loss with the Saints, which dropped them to the barely alive 9th spot in the NFC playoff picture. It’s not often you’ll find teams favored in this league riding a 6-game exact losing streak as they are just 12-20 ATS at home in this role since 1980 – including 7-18 ATS when laying 2 or more points (2-11 ATS when seeking revenge). With Superman having taken on too much kryptonite of late, we call on THE CLINCHER: Atlanta QB Matt Ryan is 7-1 ATS as a road dog with a losing record from Game Twelve out, including 6-0 ATS when not coming off a double-digit loss.

Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at Playbook.com - One Click Handicapping
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