Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence has authored thousands of articles expounding on the three primary forms of sports handicapping: Fundamental, Statistical and Technical. To be a successful handicapper, blending all three forms of analysis into the handicapping equation. Marc relies heavily on a proprietary powerful database of scores, stats and results of games played since 1980, both College and Pro Football and College and Pro Basketball.

Marc has been handicapping sports professionally since 1975, having won more documented Top 10 Handicapping Achievement awards than any handicapper in the nation. He won the 2005 STARDUST FOOTBALL INVITATIONAL Contest and was a SEMI-FINALIST in the 2006 $100,000 LEROYS' MONEY TALKS Contest last season. He finished the 2006 season as the No. 1 handicapper in the NFL as documented by SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. Marc also finished No. 1 in the nation in College Football win percentage in 2005 as documented by both the SPORTS MONITOR in Oklahoma and SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. He was named HANDICAPPER OF THE YEAR in 2005 by FOOTBALL NEWS.

In 2008, he finished No. 1 in NFL win percentage according to SPORTS WATCH and also captured 1st place honors in the 2008 PLAYBOOK WISE GUYS CONTEST.

Marc has hosted a national radio show "MARC LAWRENCE AGAINST THE SPREAD" for each of the last 16 years on over 100 stations syndicated in the USA. He is a tireless handicapper who works a minimum 60-hour week during the football and basketball seasons. As a handicapper he firmly believes that three things can happen when you bet an underdog, and two of them are good. He enjoys helping others to become better informed.

Marc married his high school sweetheart 40 years ago and has one son, Marc Jr., who works with him in the industry. Aside from publishing the PLAYBOOK Football Yearbook magazine and Weekly Newsletters, Marc enjoys golf and horse racing.

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Thursday, October 15, 2015

Marc Lawrene College & Pro Upsets Oct. 17-18

Cincinnati over BYU by 6

This interesting matchup finds the 3-2 Bearcats on the prowl in Provo in search of back-to-back wins for the first time this season and looking to complete a perfect non-conference slate. It’s the first-ever meeting between these schools and we like Cincy’s chances – regardless of which quarterback is under center (Gunner who?) – as their 5-0 ‘ITS’ mark this season (winning the stats by an average of 190 YPG) has us strongly believing they’re still undervalued. A 10-2 SU record in their last 12 regular season contests, with both losses
coming against undefeated opposition, certainly speaks volumes. In addition, veteran HC Tommy Tuberville is a well-prepared 36-23 SU and 37-22 ATS away off a SU win, including
23-9 ATS before Game Seven. Meanwhile, the Mormons are an accommodating 1-6 ATS as home favorites versus rested opponents. More importantly this mid-October catfi ght finds the Cougars in the midst of a four-game home stand, which brings into play The Clincher: BYU is 2-14 ATS at home off back-to-back home games, including 1-13 ATS off a SU win.


UCLA over Stanford by 10

For this Thursday nightcap, there’s no need to bring back Richard Harris or Andy Williams – not when you have the SMART BOX supplying its ‘Deep Six’ soliloquy. And while the ‘Square’ tells us it’s ‘to be’ for the Bruins tonight in Palo Alto, our well-versed database says it’s ‘not to be’ for the Cardinal as it notes their 1-5 ATS log as conference chalk of 10 or less points. An additional not-so-silent aside from the machine also reminds us that the Bruins are 5-0 ATS with rest and 6-1 ATS in Weekday affairs. And what would this ‘Stanfordian’ tragedy be without a little revenge? You see, the Cardinal handed the Bruins a 31-10 setback in last year’s regular-season finale (the worst home loss of HC Jim Mora’s UCLA career), costing them the Pac-12 South title. And speaking of Mora, he arrives with a 5-0 SUATS dagger with regular season rest and an 8-1 SUATS record away versus a foe off a SU win. We have a feeling you’ll also be taking a look at the juicy money line after a getting a load of The Clincher: 4-1 teams off their first loss of the season are 105-53 SU in Game Six conference skirmishes, including 20-5 ATS away versus a foe off a SUATS win.

MICHIGAN STATE over Michigan by 1

An Oct. 12, 2015 report from Dolphins won’t pursue Jim Harbaugh for coaching job. Nah, there are no distractions in Ann Arbor. The good news for the ’85 Bears, err the Wolverines, is that teams off three straight shutout wins are 4-0-1 SU since 1980 (but only 2-2 ATS) while Harbaugh is 4-0 SUATS as a favorite versus undefeated foes as a CFB head coach. Are you ready for the bad news? Michigan is 1-4 ATS in the second of back-to-back home games, 2-7-1 ATS as a home chalk with conference revenge, and 4-10 ATS as a Big Ten home favorite of less than 10 points. More bad news for Michigan, via positive Michigan State records, include the Spartans being 6-1 SU, coveriing seven straight in the series, and going 4-0 ATS as dogs versus conference revenge. Yes, MSU is the only team in our database to open the season with six straight wins and six straight ATS losses. Let’s see... the preseason line on this game was MSU -5.5, and all the Spartans have done is go 6-0 to start the season... now they’re 6.5-point dogs? Baloney! It’s hard not to like a conference monster taking a touchdown, especially one that is 19-1 SU in its last 20 Big Ten games, including 10 straight conference road wins. Sometimes it’s good to be a ‘Little Brother.’

PRO: CHICAGO over Detroit by 7

What’s this? Have we suddenly become Jay Cutler groupies or is it more a case of not liking the sounds coming out of Motown these days? Call it a mix of both as Cutler’s presence in the Chicago lineup has re-invigorated Da Bears, while Detroit’s 0-5 start to the season makes last year’s playoff appearance seem like a distant memory. Granted, winless teams in Game Six of the season have been profitable in the past, but not when not taking points as they’re just 3-6 SUATS as either a ‘pick’ or favorite in these games, including 1-5 SUATS since 1996. That the Lions are 2-11 ATS in the first of back-to-back division games, and 2-9 ATS as home favorites off a home game, only adds to the Motown misery. Finally, the MIDWEEK ALERT comes strong to the Bears, noting Chicago has held three of its last four opponents to season-low yards, while the Lions have surrendered season-high yards on three occasions this campaign. With that, we hand it off to The Clincher: Detroit is 2-13 SU in this series in games where it owns a win percentage of less than .200.

WASHINGTON over NY Jets by 10

You have to give it to the Redskins. They’re looking more and more like the Hogs of old, owning the league’s No. 11 ranked rush offense and the No. 12 ranked rush defense – miles ahead of last year’s unit. As a result, Washington has outgained four of its five foes this season behind the league’s 6th-ranked overall defense. That’s not to take anything away from the Jets, a vastly improved team under the direction of new head coach Todd Bowles. The Flyboys return home off a win in England over division rival Miami at just 1-8 ATS in
games when finding themselves favored against NFC opponents. The Jets are also just 8-21-1 ATS home after dueling with the Dolphins. Having a double-revenger up next with the defending Super Bowl champion New England Patriots sets the table in this live division sandwich where New York is just 3-14 ATS at home in games before the Pats when hosting a foe off a loss. Oh yeah, and then there’s The Clincher: NFL teams off a win in London are 1-7 ATS at home in their next game.

Written by John Pricci

Marc Lawrence can also be found at - One Click Handicapping
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Friday, October 09, 2015

Marc Lawrence College & Pro Upsets Weekend Oct. 10-11

Oklahoma St over WEST VIRGINIA by 3

When is a dog a ‘Fat Cat’? When they’re 5-0 and taking more than 5 points! At least, that’s what our SMART BOX tells us with the midway point of this season rapidly approaching. It also doesn’t hurt when revenge is mixed in as the Mountaineers handed the Cowboys their initial loss of the 2013 season and their first home loss during th2014 campaign, bringing OSU’s 4-1-1 ATS mark away with conference payback into play. Mike Gundy’s men are also 8-1 ATS in Game Six of the season and 5-1 ATS after clashing with Kansas State. Meanwhile, the Mounties are an unreliable 0-5 ATS as home favorites of less than 10 points and 2-10-1 ATS at home versus a conference foe with revenge. And with 19 players who started six or more games last season returning to Stillwater, you can see why Orange may be the new black in the Big 12 (with TCU, Baylor and Oklahoma still residing in the conference, believe that and we’ll tell you than Rick Pitino didn’t try to bring some of those alleged Louisville escorts to Porcini’s Italian Restaurant for some ‘fine dining’). Nevertheless, we’ll ride with the Cowboys into Morgantown with the final word coming from The Clincher: WVU head coach Dana Holgorsen is 2-8 ATS as a conference home favorite, including 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS off a loss and 0-5 ATS versus a foe off a win.

Georgia Tech over CLEMSON by 1

Mission accomplished. We survived and beat Notre Dame and we are No. 6 in the Amway Coaches Poll poll. Teams like Clemson that get lost in the afterglow following a win over the Irish own a lousy 5-13 ATS record since 1990, including a 2-8 ATS mark when at home. The Tigers are also 2-5 ATS in the second of three straight home games and now face an angry, fired-up nest of Yellow Jackets that have not only lost three straight games but were upset by Duke and North Carolina in the last two. Tech has been able to move the ball on Clemson in the past four meetings in this series, averaging 430 YPG, including 305 YPG rushing and 5.9 YPC. The Techsters are also 13-3 ATS as road dogs off consecutive home games and 7-3 ATS versus conference revenge. In addition, Paul Johnson’s crew has covered their last four games as a dog versus ranked teams by a combined 63 points (+2.5 #18 Clemson, +10.5 #8 Georgia, +4 #2 Florida State and +6 #8 Mississippi State). Those are some pretty powerful numbers for a pissed-off dog! Grab what you can and take a ride with the Ramblin’ Wreck.


When asked by a pre-game interviewer last week how his TCU team would deal with the enormous number of injuries to key defensive personnel and still subdue a revenge-minded Texas squad in desperate need of a win, head coach Gary Patterson looked across the field andsaid, “We’ve beaten better with less.” Meeeeow, baby! Okay, so the Froggie defense finally awoke in the aforementioned 50-7 de-horning of Bevo, but here they’ll be facing a Kansas State offense that has the tools to remind ‘em how they gave up 89 points in the two games before hooking the ‘Horns. The Wildcat stop-unit always brings it at home, too: in their previous seven games at Manhattan, K-State’s ‘D’ has limited foes to just 17.2 PPG. And how hard is it backing Bill Snyder (as Keith Jackson might say, the Grandaddy of College Coaches), a man that’s been an annuity at home in his career playing in the stadium that bears his name (see this week’s TRIVIA TEASER on page 2 for a full report). When it comes to covering the pointspread, Kansas State has the best record in the FBS since the start of the 2011 season, going 35-15-1 ATS in lined contests (70%). And when it comes recent ATS history, the Wildcats are also on top of the Frogs, going 4-0 ATS in the last four series meetings and 9-1 ATS in the last ten here at BSFS while TCU counters with a lifeless 0-5 ATS in the first of back-to-back road games and an 0-3 ATS away versus Big 12 revengers. With backup like that, you’ll understand why we refuse to lay a touchdown on the road with a Horned Frog defensive unit that’s allowing 28 points and 448 yards per game in FBS wars this season. Besides, the SMART BOX demands we take a stand and fade the Frogs today.

PRO Pick

TENNESSEE over Buffalo by 8

The Bills squandered a golden opportunity to stay within arm’s length of division-leading New England, but instead amassed a whopping 17 penalties in a 14-point home loss to the Giants last week. And with it comes cause for concern as for the fourth consecutive season they have started a campaign on a 2-2 note. With that, they ride a gloomy 1-6 ATS mark since 2000 into this contest in Game Fives when sporting a .500 ledger. Suddenly, all the merriment that Rex Ryan brought to Buffalo is under scrutiny. A 3-6 SUATS record in its last nine games versus the AFC South doesn’t help matters. Nor does a disastrous 0-5 ATS non-division away log in games when playing off a SU favorite loss, or the fact that Ryan is 0-3 SUATS in his last three games versus rested opponents. In addition, the Bills are 6-13 ATS as road favorites off a loss versus a foe off a loss, including 0-8 ATS before Game Ten of the season. The Titans enter with a week of rest and stand 14-6 SU and 12-6-2 ATS in games against the Bills, including 4-0 ATS when Buffalo arrives off a SU favorite loss. With Tennessee’s offense ‘on the improve’ every game this season, we turn to the all-knowing database as it supplies The Clincher: Rex Ryan is 7-13 SU and 5-15 ATS In his NFL career in games off a SU favorite loss, including 2-10 SU and 1-11 ATS the last twelve.

Written by John Pricci

Marc Lawrence can also be found at - One Click Handicapping
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Friday, October 02, 2015

Marc Lawrence College & Pro Upsets, Oct. 3-4

Arkansas over TENNESSEE by 3

We had the Hogs in this spot last week and they failed to deliver the money when Texas A&M blew a game-winning field goal and sent the game to overtime – where the Aggies won by 7 points. But we’re right back on the Razorbacks here versus an opponent who, for the second time this season, had a statement-making win in their grasp but let it slip away. Yes, Tennessee keeps finding new ways to lose games in heart-breaking fashion: last week the Gators grabbed the lead with a 63-yard TD pass from Will Grier to Antonio Calloway with 1:26 left on 4th-and-14 to overcome a 27-14 deficit. Then the Vols saw a 55-yard FG go inches wide on the final play of the game. Wow...all this on the heels of losing in double overtime to Oklahoma two weeks prior after blowing a 17-0 lead! Bad enough that Tennessee is just 1-4 ATS as chalk after facing Florida but last Saturday’s Gator gut-wrencher at the Swamp could put this young Vols team in a serious tailspin. That’s not a prescription for success against a hungry, pissed-off Arkansas squad that’s gone 7-2 ATS of late in this series, including 5-1 ATS when placed in the role of underdog. If that’s not enough to make you go hog-wild in tonight’s game at Neyland Stadium, there’s always The Clincher: College Football teams off a SUATS loss who faced the toughest schedule in the nation last year are 21-6 SUATS since 1980 when playing off back-to-back SUATS losses, including 17-2 ATS when facing a .750 or less opponent.

NEW York Giants over Buffalo by 8

Don’t take this the wrong way. The Bills have been good to us this season and we certainly hate to bite the hand that feeds us. But from a handicapping perspective, sometimes “you gotta do what you gotta do”. After opening the season in grand style with a huge win at home over Indianapolis, Buffalo returns home off back-to-back division duels with Miami and New England. Sure, the Bills are 24-6 ATS after facing the Dolphins when taking on a losing foe. But this is Rex Ryan’s team and he is just 4-5 SUATS in games after facing the Fish. That Ryan is also just 8-14-2 ATS against the NFC, including 0-5 SU and 0-4-1 ATS the last five, serves us well, too. In addition, teams with new coaches, off a SU division upset win, are 11-26 SU and 11-22-4 ATS in their next game when facing a non-division foe off a win since 2000. Enter the Giants, off Thursday’s much needed win over the Redskins, sporting a neat 7-1 ATS road record in games off back-to-back home contests. The G-Men are also 7-1 SU and 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games versus AFC East opposition. With Buffy just 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games in this series, we ultimately turn it over to The Clincher: The Giants are 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS in their next game after playing on Thursdays.

Miami over New York Jets by 7

Look out London... here they come. Get ready for some early morning NFL football when these two teams kick off at 9:30 AM ET (or sun rise on the West Coast) In the first of three scheduled NFL games at Wembley Stadium this season. Today’s matchup represents the first divisional battle in London with Miami making its third trip across the pond, with the Jets flying over for the first time ever. The Fish cashed the chips in each of their previous two visits to London and now take flight in a state of fright following last week’s home-opening debacle against Buffalo. It sets the table for today’s fray, though, as NFL teams arriving in London, off a SU favorite loss in its last game, are 4-1 SU and ATS. On the flip side, the Flyboys are just 7-14-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a division favorite. With the Dolphins 3-0 SUATS as dogs with revenge in this series, look for the pressure of playing away from South Beach to take a bit of heat away from Joe Philbin’s toasted fanny here in this tea-and-crumpets breakfast at Wembley. And if that’s not enough, there is always The Clincher: Miami is 11-5 SU and 12-4 ATS in games with a losing record under Philbin, including 9-3 SU and 10-2 ATS when off a loss (6-0 ATS during the first half of the season.

Written by John Pricci

Marc Lawrence can also be found at - One Click Handicapping
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