Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence has authored thousands of articles expounding on the three primary forms of sports handicapping: Fundamental, Statistical and Technical. To be a successful handicapper, blending all three forms of analysis into the handicapping equation. Marc relies heavily on a proprietary powerful database of scores, stats and results of games played since 1980, both College and Pro Football and College and Pro Basketball.

Marc has been handicapping sports professionally since 1975, having won more documented Top 10 Handicapping Achievement awards than any handicapper in the nation. He won the 2005 STARDUST FOOTBALL INVITATIONAL Contest and was a SEMI-FINALIST in the 2006 $100,000 LEROYS' MONEY TALKS Contest last season. He finished the 2006 season as the No. 1 handicapper in the NFL as documented by SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. Marc also finished No. 1 in the nation in College Football win percentage in 2005 as documented by both the SPORTS MONITOR in Oklahoma and SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. He was named HANDICAPPER OF THE YEAR in 2005 by FOOTBALL NEWS.

In 2008, he finished No. 1 in NFL win percentage according to SPORTS WATCH and also captured 1st place honors in the 2008 PLAYBOOK WISE GUYS CONTEST.

Marc has hosted a national radio show "MARC LAWRENCE AGAINST THE SPREAD" for each of the last 16 years on over 100 stations syndicated in the USA. He is a tireless handicapper who works a minimum 60-hour week during the football and basketball seasons. As a handicapper he firmly believes that three things can happen when you bet an underdog, and two of them are good. He enjoys helping others to become better informed.

Marc married his high school sweetheart 40 years ago and has one son, Marc Jr., who works with him in the industry. Aside from publishing the PLAYBOOK Football Yearbook magazine and Weekly Newsletters, Marc enjoys golf and horse racing.

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Thursday, December 24, 2015

Marc Lawrence NFL Upsets, Dec. 26 Weekend

Green Bay over Arizona by 7

If Packer QB Aaron Rodgers’ eyes look as big as saucers on Sunday, it's likely due to the critical loss of the Honey Badger, Arizona star DB Tyrann Mathieu, for the season as the Cardinals have surrendered 350 and 317 passing yards in the last two games. It could be just the magic potion Rodgers needs as Green Bay is averaging only 205 passing YPG in the last five games – and that’s with Rodgers’ 61-yard Hail Mary included in the tally. Today, however, Rodgers and company find themselves taking points for only the second time this season (won 30-13 as a dog at Minnesota a month ago) in a series that Green Bay has dominated, going 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in regular season meetings of late, including 2-0 SUATS as a dog. And speaking of dogs, Rodgers is 3-0 SUATS in his NFL career during December versus greater-than .600 opponents. Given Carson Palmer’s gloomy 8-23-1 ATS career mark as a non-division home favorite, including 1-6 ATS the last seven – and Mike McCarthy being the answer to this week’s TRIVIA TEASER on page 3 – the points become the play here today. And there is always The Clincher: Green Bay is 8-0 SUATS away in games versus opponent off an away game, including 3-0 SUATS this season.

Atlanta over Carolina by 6

It's safe to say the Panthers showed signs of succumbing to the pressure at New York against the Giants last week. After blowing a 35-7 second-half lead, the Black Cats rallied late to eke out a 3-point win. The fact of the matter is they have now yielded 35 and 38 points in their last two road outings and are just 7-20-1 SU and 6-22 ATS in the last 28 games in which they surrendered 24 or more points. They are also 2-5 SU and ATS as a visitor in this series, and a wobbly 1-7 ATS as favorites against double avenging opponents. The revitalized Falcons are still in the Wild Card race and bring a lofty 9-2 ATS mark as home dogs off a non-division game into this contest. QB Matty Ryan’s stellar 3-0 ATS career home dog log in division games cements it. Oh, and in case you forgot, last week’s INCREDIBLE STAT reappears as this week’s AWESOME ANGLE (with a tightener) in the form of The Clincher: 13-0 or greater NFL teams are 1-12 ATS, including 0-7 ATS, versus an opponent off a win.

Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at - One Click Handicapping
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Wednesday, December 16, 2015

Marc Lawrence College Bowl & Pro Upsets, Weekend of Dec. 19, 2015

PHILLY over Arizona by 6

Another rescheduled Sunday night flex game pits two teams on opposite paths to the playoffs – one with a cushy 3-game lead in its division looking forward to a Bye week at the end of the season; the other locked in a heated battle atop its division looking to punch its ticket via a Wild Card invite. While the main concern in this contest is Philly’s penchant for surrendering more yards than it gains (-35 net YPG on the season), it should be noted the Cardinals are just 4-26 SU in Last Road Games of the campaign the last 30 years, including 1-23 SU versus greater than .400 opponents. Jeez. Toss in the fact that NFL home dogs in Game Two of a three-game home stand, off a SUATS home favorite win, are 3-0 SUATS the last seven years in this rare but highly successful role. We also can’t ignore Arizona’s dreary 8-15 SU and ATS record on Sunday nights. The always-informed database supplies The Clincher: Game 13 or greater .460 or better home dogs who won 9 or more games last season, taking on a foe off back-to-back wins that won 14 or less games the previous year, are 18-4-1 ATS when the visiting team is off a home game.

New Mexico Over Arizona by 1

The 2015 NCAA Bowl Season kicks off in ‘The Land of Enchantment’ but unlike Bugs, Rich Rod and his stumbling Wildcats – losers of four of their last five – probably wish they didn’t have to make a left turn into Albuquerque where only a minor payday ($456,250) awaits. Rodriguez can blame that on a lousy 3-6 Pac-12 record but this non-conference clash doesn’t figure to pique the ‘Cats’ curiosity. As it is, ASU is just 1-4 ATS in its last five bowl games while Rich Rod has only cashed twice in nine tries. The host Lobos are also just 1-4 ATS in their last five trips to the alleys but they are 9-5 ATS versus Pac-12 opposition and we just can’t pass up double-digit home dogs in this spot, not with ‘Zona arriving with the No. 106 scoring defense (35.7) in the land. And remember – New Mexico’s last bowl appearance was on this field in 2007 and they promptly whitewashed Nevada, 23-0. From a pure football style, it should be an interesting clash as the Wildcats operate from a spread-option attack while Bob Davie’s men like to ground-and-pound. And if the Lobos can do what they do best, our database likes their chances as it notes: bowl dogs who out-rush a .sub 700 opponent are 110-27-1 ATS, including 41-6-1 ATS as dogs of 6 or more points. That has us grabbing the points... especially when a disinterested favorite is handing them out. An absolute must-take.

Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at - One Click Handicapping
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Wednesday, December 09, 2015

NFL Upsets Weekend Dec.11-13

PITTSBURGH over Cincinnati by 10

Speaking of cushy leads, the Queen City Cats could lock up the AFC North with a win today over their division rivals. The problem, however, is two-fold: the Steelers are 13-3 SUATS in this building since Y2K (that’s 2000 for all of us old-timers) and have no wiggle room as they’re tied with the Chiefs and the Jets at 7-5 for one of two Wildcard spots. They also arrive with a chip on their shoulders as they lost a 16-10 home decision to the Red Rifle Gang earlier this season despite outgaining the Bengals, 356-296, which brings into play an 8-1 SUATS mark on this field with revenge. And though Pittsburgh’s 22nd-ranked defense (365 YPG) resembles more of a see-through drape than a Steel Curtain these days, December usually brings out the best in Mike Tomlin’s troops. That’s evidenced by Tomlin’s 21-11 SU record over the season’s final four games. And for a formidable 1-2 punch, we couple that with The Clincher: QB Ben Roethlisberger is 17-4 SU and 15-5-1 ATS in division games during December, including 5-0 SUATS as a dog.

New Orleans over Tampa Bay by 10

As unbelievable as it seems, the Bucs currently hold down the No. 7 seed in the NFC Wild Card playoff chase while the Saints are the No. 14 seed. And while it seems like the Grand Canyon is separating the two, the gap is only two games between these NFC South division foes. Thus, rest assured the Saints will come with everything they’ve got here today. Revenge from a 7-point loss as double-digit favorites in their home opener this season ensures it. Tampa enters 1-5 ATS in the 2nd of back-to-back division games, while head coach Lovie Smith is 1-6 ATS off a win during final four games of the season versus a foe off a pair of losses. The bottom line here is as long as Drew Brees is mathematically alive and breathing for a chance at a Wild Card playoff berth, we’ll continue to look at him, especially as a division dog with revenge, a role in which he is 9-3-1 ATS in his NFL career, including 5-1 ATS with the Saints. If that’s not enough, there’s The Clincher: New Orleans head coach Sean Payton is 8-1 SUATS in the final four games of the season versus a foe off back-to-back wins – including 8-0 SUATS if not as a double-digit dog.

Written by John Pricci

Marc Lawrence can also be found at - One Click Handicapping
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