Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence has authored thousands of articles expounding on the three primary forms of sports handicapping: Fundamental, Statistical and Technical. To be a successful handicapper, blending all three forms of analysis into the handicapping equation. Marc relies heavily on a proprietary powerful database of scores, stats and results of games played since 1980, both College and Pro Football and College and Pro Basketball.

Marc has been handicapping sports professionally since 1975, having won more documented Top 10 Handicapping Achievement awards than any handicapper in the nation. He won the 2005 STARDUST FOOTBALL INVITATIONAL Contest and was a SEMI-FINALIST in the 2006 $100,000 LEROYS' MONEY TALKS Contest last season. He finished the 2006 season as the No. 1 handicapper in the NFL as documented by SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. Marc also finished No. 1 in the nation in College Football win percentage in 2005 as documented by both the SPORTS MONITOR in Oklahoma and SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. He was named HANDICAPPER OF THE YEAR in 2005 by FOOTBALL NEWS.

In 2008, he finished No. 1 in NFL win percentage according to SPORTS WATCH and also captured 1st place honors in the 2008 PLAYBOOK WISE GUYS CONTEST.

Marc has hosted a national radio show "MARC LAWRENCE AGAINST THE SPREAD" for each of the last 16 years on over 100 stations syndicated in the USA. He is a tireless handicapper who works a minimum 60-hour week during the football and basketball seasons. As a handicapper he firmly believes that three things can happen when you bet an underdog, and two of them are good. He enjoys helping others to become better informed.

Marc married his high school sweetheart 40 years ago and has one son, Marc Jr., who works with him in the industry. Aside from publishing the PLAYBOOK Football Yearbook magazine and Weekly Newsletters, Marc enjoys golf and horse racing.

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Monday, December 13, 2010


Stats Matter – A Guide to Handicapping the Bowl Games


Smart handicappers alike agree on one thing – preparation is the key to success. The better prepared you are the better chance you stand at succeeding.

With the 2010 College Bowl season now upon us it’s time to get ready for the thirty-five games that await. While a myriad of different techniques and approaches exist one simple element is often overlooked and that is how teams are or have been performing on the playing field ‘In The Stats’ (ITS) as they enter into its bowl game.

As handicappers we know better than most that the scoreboard does not tell the entire story. Like a doctor examining an MRI or an X-Ray it’s vitally important to look inside the patient before rendering a diagnosis.

Listed below are noteworthy results of how the 70 bowl teams have fared ITS overall or most recently this season…



Air Force – 11-1 ITS this season
Alabama – 11-1 ITS this season
Arizona – 10-2 ITS this season
Arkansas – 9-2-1 ITS this season
Army – 0-4 ITS L4 games season
Auburn – 12-1 ITS this season
Baylor – 1-3 ITS L4 games season
Boise State – 11-1 ITS this season
Boston College – 5-1 ITS L6 games season
BYU – 4-1 ITS L5 games season
Central Florida – 2-3 ITS L5 games season
Clemson – 4-7 ITS this season
Connecticut – 1-6 ITS L7 games season
East Carolina –1-4 ITS L5 games season
Florida – held 4 foes season low yards
Florida International – 8-4 ITS this season
Florida State – 1-4 ITS L5 games season
Fresno State – 11-1 ITS this season
Georgia – 1-4 ITS L5 games season
Georgia Tech – 2-3 ITS L5 games season
Hawaii – 11-2 ITS this season
Illinois – held 5 foes 1-2 season low yards
Iowa – 0-3 ITS L3 games season
Kansas State – 0-6 ITS L6 games season
Kentucky – 4-1 ITS L5 games season
LSU –held 3 foes season low yards
Louisville – 8-4 ITS this season
Maryland – 5-7 ITS this season
Miami Fla – 7-0 ITS L7 games season
Miami Oh – 5-0 ITS L5 games season
Michigan – allowed 4 teams season high yards
Michigan State – 10-2 ITS this season
Mid Tennessee State – 2-6 ITS L8 games season
Mississippi State – 3-3 ITS L6 games season
Missouri – 2-3 ITS L5 games season
Navy – 4-5 ITS L9 games season
Nebraska – held 6 foes 1-2 season low yards
Nevada – 10-3 ITS this season
North Carolina – 8-4 ITS this season
NC State – 3-3 ITS L6 games season
Northern Illinois – 10-3 ITS this season
Northwestern – 1-3 ITS L4 games season
Notre Dame – 4-2 ITS L6 games season
Ohio State – held 10 foes 1-2 season low yards
Ohio U – 4-8 ITS this season
Oklahoma – held 5 foes 1-2 season low yards
Oklahoma State – 9-3 ITS this season
Oregon – 11-1 ITS this season
Penn State – 4-1 ITS L5 games season
Pittsburgh – 9-0 ITS L9 games season
San Diego State – 5-1 ITS L6 games season
SMU – 8-1 ITS L9 games season
South Carolina – 8-4 ITS this season
South Florida – 2-6 ITS L8 games season
Southern Miss – 9-3 ITS this season
Stanford – 10-2 ITS this season
Syracuse – 1-6 ITS L7 games season
TCU – 12-0 ITS this season
Tennessee – 4-0 ITS L4 games season
Texas A&M – 9-3 ITS this season
Texas El Paso – 1-5 ITS L6 games season
Texas Tech – allowed 3 teams season high yards
Toledo – 4-2 ITS L6 games season
Troy – 8-4 ITS this season
Tulsa – 9-3 ITS this season
Utah – 9-3 ITS this season
Virginia Tech – held 5 foes season low yards
Washington – 3-0 ITS L3 games season
West Virginia – held 6 foes 1-2 low yards
Wisconsin – 10-2 ITS this season

Given the fact that teams who outgain their opponent win the game better than 80% of the time, and straight-up winners in bowl games being 539-93-10 ATS since 1980, it’s crucial to your success when evaluating a team’s chance of winning the yardage wars.

Just another slant on handicapping the Bowl contests. Add it to your arsenal and enjoy the games!

GET IN THE KNOW… order your copy of the 2010 PLAYBOOK College Bowl Stat Report. Call 1.800.752.9266 or log on at http://www.PLAYBOOK.com


Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at Playbook.com - One Click Handicapping
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Friday, December 10, 2010


Marc Lawrence NFL Upset December 12


CHICAGO over New England by 3

Yes, we saw Branch, Welker, Woodhead and Green-Ellis run over, through and around the Jets all Monday night. We also saw the Pats’ defense allow a meager three points. And yes, we realize
that Tom Terrific hasn’t thrown an INT in seven games while Jay Cutler has the makings of a Sara Lee turnover machine. We even checked our database twice (in honor of Santa) and found out that Cutler is 10-20-2 ATS versus AFC opposition while HC Lovie Smith is 0-7 ATS off back-to-back straight up wins during the final our games of the season. We’re even aware that the Patriots own a better road record (26-11 SU, 25-12 ATS) than the Bears home record (24-13 SU, 16-20-1 ATS) of late. But we also know that we are getting points at home with the better defense – much the better defense. And we’re certain there’s another thing very few realize: non-division road teams off a Monday Night division revenge win and cover are just 7-15 ATS since 1980, including 0-3 SU and ATS when off a win of 24 or more points. While most of the trends still favor the Pats, the scheduling dynamics favor the Bears. When in doubt, opt for the defensive home dog. ‘You’ll be glad you did’.



Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at Playbook.com - One Click Handicapping
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Monday, December 06, 2010


Coaching Down The Stretch


With the NFL season approaching its stretch run for the 2010 season, let’s examine the strengths and weaknesses head coaches have displayed throughout their NFL career during the final four games of the season. By becoming aware of the good, bad and ugly roles we can put ourselves into position to make a key score or two between now and the start of the playoffs.

Listed below are each coach and their Best or Worst ATS situational record. All results are regular season ATS from Games 13-16 and are lifetime with current and former teams. Enjoy the run to the wire…



COACH • ROLE
Belichick • 12-3 home opp off loss
Cable • 0-3 off division
Caldwell • 2-0 off DD win
Carroll • 0-6 favorite
Coughlin • 3-13 off win 7 >
Del Rio • 2-8 off SUATS loss
Fisher • 7-0 fav 9 >
Fox • 7-0 w/division revenge
Gailey • 0-4 vs non-division
Haley • visitor 4-0
Harbaugh • 5-1 vs non-division
Kubiak • 5-0 home off loss
Lewis • 1-7-1 fav 3 >
Mangini • 5-0 road dog
McCarthy • 5-0 dog
McDaniels • 0-3 fav or dog < 7
Morris • visitor 4-0
Payton • 1-5-1 opp off SUATS win
Reid • 1-6 fav 8 >
Ryan • 3-0 off win 14 <
Schwartz • 0-2-1 vs .500 <
Singletary • 3-0 dog < 7
Shanahan • 1-11 vs division
Smith L • 0-7 off BB wins
Smith M • 4-0 vs opp off win
Spagnuolo • 0-3 off loss 21 <
Sparano • visitor 8-0
Tomlin • 1-4 vs > .666
Turner • 10-2-1 off BB wins
Whisenhunt • 0-6 vs non-division


Written by HRI Publisher

Marc Lawrence can also be found at Playbook.com - One Click Handicapping
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