Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence has authored thousands of articles expounding on the three primary forms of sports handicapping: Fundamental, Statistical and Technical. To be a successful handicapper, blending all three forms of analysis into the handicapping equation. Marc relies heavily on a proprietary powerful database of scores, stats and results of games played since 1980, both College and Pro Football and College and Pro Basketball.

Marc has been handicapping sports professionally since 1975, having won more documented Top 10 Handicapping Achievement awards than any handicapper in the nation. He won the 2005 STARDUST FOOTBALL INVITATIONAL Contest and was a SEMI-FINALIST in the 2006 $100,000 LEROYS' MONEY TALKS Contest last season. He finished the 2006 season as the No. 1 handicapper in the NFL as documented by SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. Marc also finished No. 1 in the nation in College Football win percentage in 2005 as documented by both the SPORTS MONITOR in Oklahoma and SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. He was named HANDICAPPER OF THE YEAR in 2005 by FOOTBALL NEWS.

In 2008, he finished No. 1 in NFL win percentage according to SPORTS WATCH and also captured 1st place honors in the 2008 PLAYBOOK WISE GUYS CONTEST.

Marc has hosted a national radio show "MARC LAWRENCE AGAINST THE SPREAD" for each of the last 16 years on over 100 stations syndicated in the USA. He is a tireless handicapper who works a minimum 60-hour week during the football and basketball seasons. As a handicapper he firmly believes that three things can happen when you bet an underdog, and two of them are good. He enjoys helping others to become better informed.

Marc married his high school sweetheart 40 years ago and has one son, Marc Jr., who works with him in the industry. Aside from publishing the PLAYBOOK Football Yearbook magazine and Weekly Newsletters, Marc enjoys golf and horse racing.

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Wednesday, December 14, 2016

Best Bowl & NFL Upsets Dec. 16-18

AT Orlando, FL: Arkansas St over C Florida by 7

The Red Wolves hit the Sunshine State on a two-game bowl-losing skein, having been outscored 110-72 in the process. So why do we feel the wrong team is favored tonight in Orlando, especially with the nearby Knights only having to travel 16 miles to Camping World Stadium? For starters, UCF is 0-6 SU against fellow bowlers this season, losing the stat battle by an average of 93 YPG. And speaking of yardage, our MIDWEEK ALERT informs us that the Knights finished the year on a 0-8 ‘In The Stats’ run while the Wolves are 9-1 ‘ITS’ over their last 10 games. In addition, Arkansas State’s defense has improved by 45 YPG over last year’s edition, a ‘Cure’ needed to deliver a bowl win. We should probably also mention that the favorite has lost SU in four of the last six UCF bowl games (this is just one of hundreds of gems found in this year’s Playbook Bowl Stat Report which is available online this Wednesday). We could also point out, like Houston above, that AAC bowlers are 0-4 SUATS off a SUATS loss and that the Knights are 0-2-1 ATS of late against the Sun Belt.

NY JETS over Miami by 6

The 8-5 Dolphins were handed an early Christmas present Monday night when the Pats knocked off the Ravens, giving Miami some control of their playoff destiny (they’ll be, once again, rooting for their division mates this week in Denver). With Dean Martin crooning “Baby it’s cold outside” on the team airplane as the Fish prepare for their annual sojourn to the Big City, the question now becomes does Miami have ‘Moore’ than enough to hold onto their Wild Card spot should the Broncos falter as starting QB Ryan Tannehill will miss at least a couple of games with a sprained ACL and MCL. Another Playbook exclusive (read: our unique NFL QB Club) tells us that the Dolphins are in good hands as Matt Moore is 18-7 ATS as a starter in the NFL but a deeper search fi nds the majority of that success has come against .500 or better opposition (14-2 ATS) as Moore is just 4-5 SUATS when facing losing foes. Todd Bowles’ bunch definitely fi ts that bill but it won’t stop our database from ‘Jet’-setting tonight as New York is 4-1-1 ATS in their last fi ve Saturday showdowns while Miami is 0-8 SU and 1-7 ATS away on Saturdays. Our MIDWEEK ALERT is also along for the ride as it notes the Dolphins are just 2-4 ‘In The Stats’ in their last six games – and that was with Tannehill behind center. Even in their 27- 23 victory as 4-point home favorites earlier this season, the Fish were outyarded by the Flyboys. That put the Jets at both 5-0-1 ATS in the series of late and 5-0-1 ATS as division underdogs versus a foe off an ATS win. All this and we still haven’t mentioned that Todd Bowles is the answer to this week’s TRIVIA TEASER on page 2. Hopefully you saved room for THE CLINCHER: Miami is 1-15 ATS following a win versus an opponent coming off a SU underdog win.

CINCINNATI over Pitt by 8

For a team that was certified dead in the water, the Bengals have certainly done an about face. Currently on a 3-3-1 SU run – with the three losses by 10 combined points – Cincinnati still finds itself (barely) mathematically alive in the Wild Card chase. For openers, they can take care of business on their end as each of their fi nal three foes on the slate are all positioned to make the postseason. Granted, Pittsburgh has roughed up Cincinnati in this series going 16-5 SU and 15-6 ATS the last 21 meetings, including 9-2 SU and 8-3 ATS away. And they are currently cooking on 4-0 SUATS and 7-game ATS win skeins. But the resourceful black cats are 19-7-1 ATS following the Cleveland Browns, including 14-3 ATS when seeking revenge (lost at Pittsburgh in Week Two in a game in which they outstatted the Steel Curtain). Not to mention QB Andy Dalton’s dandy 16-8 SU and 16-7-1 ATS career mark in games during the month of December, and his 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS career mark as an underdog seeking revenge following a double-digit win. And with it, another live division home dog – like the Giants last week – is ready to bark, according to THE CLINCHER: Cincinnati is 5-0 SUATS in its last fi ve regular season home underdog roles.

Carolina over Washington by 10

For all intents and purposes, it looks as if the Panthers are cooked. Last year’s Super Bowl loser, Carolina resides in the basement of the NFC South with only a prayer of recording a .500 season (should they win each of their fi nal three games) at its beck and call. This, however, is where these teams tend to be at their best. According to our allknowing database, Super Bowl losers are 30-17-1 ATS during the fi nal four games of the season when they are not favored, including 24- 10 ATS when squaring off against winning foes. (There’s nothing like good competition to bring the best out in a formerly good team). The Panthers are 3-0 SUATS the last three games in this series, and 4-0 ATS away all-time as underdogs in this series… not to mention 10-1 ATS off a SU underdog win during the fi nal four games of the season when facing non-division opponents. Washington checks in at 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS in its last seven games following the Philadelphia Eagles, who they defeated by the skin of their teeth in an ‘inside-out’ stat win last Sunday. And lest we forget, there is THE CLINCHER: See this week’s INCREDIBLE STAT on page 2.

Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at - One Click Handicapping
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Thursday, December 08, 2016

Marc Lawrence Best NFL Upsets, Dec.10-11

New Orleans over Tampa by 11

Don’t look now but the Bucs have reeled off four straight wins – all as underdogs – and suddenly fi nd themselves tied atop the NFC South with the Atlanta Falcons, two full games ahead of the visiting Saints. They’ll need their best effort of the season today, though, as New Orleans enjoys playing here, winning six of its last seven visits while bagging the cash in each of its last six roles as a road puppy. The tall task for Tampa is that there have been only 16 teams in the NFL to win four consecutive games as an underdog since 1980. Those teams went 5-11 SU and 5-10-1 in follow up contests. The really bad news is the Bucs are 1-7 ATS in 2nd to Last Home Games of the seasons the past eight years, not to mention QB Jameis Winston was 0-4 SUATS in his fi nal four games of the season last year. With New Orleans in survival mode, and QB Drew Brees 20-5 ATS as a dog against foes off consecutive wins in his NFL career, we’re once again all over the boys from Bourbon Street like ants on an uncovered beignet. With that, here’s THE CLINCHER: Over the last fi ve seasons, NFL teams with 1st-year head coaches (read: Tampa Bay’s Dirk Koetter) are 12-18 SU and 5-23-2 ATS as home favorites following a SU underdog win, including 1-12-1 ATS from Game Ten out.

Arizona Over Miami by 11

If Bud Collyer of ‘To Tell The Truth’ fame were still alive today, we could see him replacing Jimmy Cefalo as the Miami play-by-play man. Who else better to say, “Will the real Dolphins please stand up?” After reeling off six straight wins (following a 1-4 start), the Fish hit Baltimore disguised as the Browns and promptly dropped a 38-6 decision. They now face a 5-6-1 Arizona squad that has no margin for error if they hope to cash a postseason check for the third straight season. And though HC Bruce Arians has failed three times in this role already this year, he was 14-1 ATS as an underdog of 4 or less points in his NFL career entering this season. Well, we say the fourth time is a charm and for good reason: not only are the Dolphins 1-9 ATS at home versus losing NFC opposition, they are 5-12-2 ATS as home favorites versus the NFC West. Our MIDWEEK ALERT also points out that these ‘phony’ Fish are 1-4 ‘ITS’ over its last fi ve contests. ‘To Tell the Truth’ – this week’s INCREDIBLE STAT on page 2 is also THE CLINCHER: Miami is 1-11-1 ATS at home versus losing opponents off a SU win.

Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at - One Click Handicapping
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Wednesday, November 30, 2016

Marc Lawrence NFL Best Bets Dec. 4

Miami by 6 over BALTIMORE

First off, let’s set the table: if the NFL Playoffs started this week it would be the 3rd seeded Ravens and the 6th seeded Dolphins all set to go. The Fish enter today’s fray as one of the hottest teams in the league, winners of six straight games following a disastrous 1-4 start to the season under 1st-year head coach Adam Gase. It’s no coincidence that Miami has committed only TWO turnovers during its 6-game win skein, while winning four of the games straight-up as underdogs. Meanwhile, Miami takes a 5-1 ATS record in its last six games played in Baltimore, while the Ravens are 0-5 ATS the
last five years in their seventh home game of the season. Baltimore QB Joe Flacco joins the party, going 3-13 ATS in his last 16 starts during the month of December, including 0-8 ATS as a favorite. The final icing in the cake comes from THE CLINCHER: NFL teams riding a 6-game-exact win streak into Game Twelve of the season are 9-2 ATS off a win of 21 or fewer points since 1980, including 7-0 ATS if they scored less than 35 points in their last game.

NEW ORLEANS over Detroit by 15

Let’s cut right to the chase… for the most part NFL teams generally suck in post-Thanksgiving day affairs, especially the Lions who are 3-17 SU (1-4 ATS the last five) following Thanksgiving Day games the last 20 years. That works like a charm into a red-hot Saints’ squad that is playing its best ball of the season, going 5-3 SU and 7-1 ATS, after starting the year 0-3. Along the way, the Who Dats have out-yarded all seven foes since their bye week. N’Awlins has also bagged the cash in five of the last six games in
this series. And did we mention the Saints are 7-0 ATS at home off a home game, which fits like a training bra at a Heidi Klum newbies runway show next to Detroit’s 1-7 ATS mark in road games following consecutive homers. And chew on this, if you would: if the NFL playoffs started this week the Lions would be in and the Saints would be out. Finally, we’d be remiss if we didn’t call out THE CLINCHER: See this week’s AWESOME ANGLE on page 2.

Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at - One Click Handicapping
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