Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence has authored thousands of articles expounding on the three primary forms of sports handicapping: Fundamental, Statistical and Technical. To be a successful handicapper, blending all three forms of analysis into the handicapping equation. Marc relies heavily on a proprietary powerful database of scores, stats and results of games played since 1980, both College and Pro Football and College and Pro Basketball.

Marc has been handicapping sports professionally since 1975, having won more documented Top 10 Handicapping Achievement awards than any handicapper in the nation. He won the 2005 STARDUST FOOTBALL INVITATIONAL Contest and was a SEMI-FINALIST in the 2006 $100,000 LEROYS' MONEY TALKS Contest last season. He finished the 2006 season as the No. 1 handicapper in the NFL as documented by SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. Marc also finished No. 1 in the nation in College Football win percentage in 2005 as documented by both the SPORTS MONITOR in Oklahoma and SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. He was named HANDICAPPER OF THE YEAR in 2005 by FOOTBALL NEWS.

In 2008, he finished No. 1 in NFL win percentage according to SPORTS WATCH and also captured 1st place honors in the 2008 PLAYBOOK WISE GUYS CONTEST.

Marc has hosted a national radio show "MARC LAWRENCE AGAINST THE SPREAD" for each of the last 16 years on over 100 stations syndicated in the USA. He is a tireless handicapper who works a minimum 60-hour week during the football and basketball seasons. As a handicapper he firmly believes that three things can happen when you bet an underdog, and two of them are good. He enjoys helping others to become better informed.

Marc married his high school sweetheart 40 years ago and has one son, Marc Jr., who works with him in the industry. Aside from publishing the PLAYBOOK Football Yearbook magazine and Weekly Newsletters, Marc enjoys golf and horse racing.

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Tuesday, October 05, 2010


5-0 FAT CATS


It’s the time of the season in which undefeated teams in the world of College Football begin entertaining ideas of playing in the coveted BCS title game. Especially for those teams that have managed to open the season with five consecutive wins in their first five games.

Forewarned is forearmed, however, when it comes to ‘playing on’ these 5-0 clubs as Game Six is often times a major chuckhole on the road the the BCS title game for these Fat Cats. That’s confirmed by the fact that, since 1980, these teams are 222-100-6 SU and 130-168-4 ATS overall. Hence, the bubble bursts better than 30% of the time in Game Six situations for teams that start the season on a 5-0 note. Alabama, Auburn, LSU, Michigan, Michigan State, Northwestern, Ohio State, Oregon, and TCU will all take the field this week looking to improve to 6-0 this week.



Put the 5-0 Fat Cats up against foes that are not undefeated and the dip to 104-138-3 ATS. Better yet if these Fat Cats won 7 or more games last season and a taking on an opponent with at least one loss on the season the shrink up faster than a hemorrhoid staring at a tube of ‘Preparation H’, shriveling to 69-105-2 ATS. Alabama, Auburn, LSU, Northwestern, Ohio State, Oregon, and TCU will be bending over for an application this week.

Best of all, these particular Fat Cats who won 7 or more games last season, taking one a one or more loss foe, are just 12-34-1 ATS when playing off a win of 7 or more points and back-to-back ATS wins, including 1-13-1 ATS if the opponent is off a loss of seven or more points.

As one of our all time favorite bands - the Traveling Wilburys - once said, it just might be the ‘End Of The Line’ for the Auburn Tigers this weekend. Stay tuned.


Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at Playbook.com - One Click Handicapping
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Monday, September 27, 2010


Freshen Up


According to our powerful database, it seems Game Four of the College Football season is often times a critical stepping-stone for teams who play with a week of rest. This is especially true for teams that are on the road off a SU and ATS loss. That’s confirmed by their 30-20 ATS winning mark since 1980.

When these reinvigorated road artists are playing off their initial loss of the season they improve dramatically, going 17-5 ATS. That’s a 77% winning step in the right direction, to be sure.



This week finds two teams that will be taking a ‘freshening approach’ to the game when they shower in visitor’s locker rooms, namelyEast Carolina and Texas Tech.

More important is a startling 13-1 ATS mark if these teams were either a favorite or a dog of three or less points in their last game. Now, if you’re Red Raider raise your hand if you’re sure!


Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at Playbook.com - One Click Handicapping
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Monday, September 20, 2010


Four on the Floor


Our powerful database tells us that Game Four is a critical turning point for most College Football teams, especially if they’re playing off their first loss of the season. From a handicapping perspective, the venue goes a long way in determining Game Four ATS results as well. Check out the situations of teams in Game Four, off their initial loss of the season, since 1980...

BAD HOMERS
Teams playing at HOME in this role tend to perform poorly as evidenced by a 79-101-2 ATS overall mark. Home teams in that role this week include: Arizona State, Clemson, Houston, Iowa, Maryland and San Diego State, If these teams surrendered 28 or more points in last week’s defeat they dip to 36-64-2 ATS. Houston, Iowa and Maryland qualify here. To top it off, if they are allowing 27.5 or more points per game on the season and allowed 28+ points last week they drop to 4-15 ATS, not good news for Houston. In addition, teams that allowed 28+ points last week and won four or less games last season are just 4-16-1 SU and 4-17 ATS as bummed-out hosts. Maryland finds themselves in this precarious role this week.



GOOD VISITORS
Teams playing AWAY in this role somehow find pointspread success, nearly reversing their home counterparts by going 94-72-1 ATS. This week finds Air Force, Baylor, California and Wake Forest taking to the road this week after having their dreams of a perfect season ruined last week. (Note: East Carolina and Texas Tech journey out in this role next week.) When these teams are also off an ATS loss they improve to 83-51-1 ATS in these ‘Game Four On The Floor’ situations, those teams this week being Baylor, California and Wake Forest.And if the opponent is off a SU and ATS loss they ratchet up to 25-10 ATS, including 21-6 ATS if they allow 25 or fewer points per game on the season. That would put Baylor in this desirable role.

There you have it... a critical Game Four theory that will likely ‘floor’ a team or two this week!


Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at Playbook.com - One Click Handicapping
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