Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence has authored thousands of articles expounding on the three primary forms of sports handicapping: Fundamental, Statistical and Technical. To be a successful handicapper, blending all three forms of analysis into the handicapping equation. Marc relies heavily on a proprietary powerful database of scores, stats and results of games played since 1980, both College and Pro Football and College and Pro Basketball.

Marc has been handicapping sports professionally since 1975, having won more documented Top 10 Handicapping Achievement awards than any handicapper in the nation. He won the 2005 STARDUST FOOTBALL INVITATIONAL Contest and was a SEMI-FINALIST in the 2006 $100,000 LEROYS' MONEY TALKS Contest last season. He finished the 2006 season as the No. 1 handicapper in the NFL as documented by SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. Marc also finished No. 1 in the nation in College Football win percentage in 2005 as documented by both the SPORTS MONITOR in Oklahoma and SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. He was named HANDICAPPER OF THE YEAR in 2005 by FOOTBALL NEWS.

In 2008, he finished No. 1 in NFL win percentage according to SPORTS WATCH and also captured 1st place honors in the 2008 PLAYBOOK WISE GUYS CONTEST.

Marc has hosted a national radio show "MARC LAWRENCE AGAINST THE SPREAD" for each of the last 16 years on over 100 stations syndicated in the USA. He is a tireless handicapper who works a minimum 60-hour week during the football and basketball seasons. As a handicapper he firmly believes that three things can happen when you bet an underdog, and two of them are good. He enjoys helping others to become better informed.

Marc married his high school sweetheart 40 years ago and has one son, Marc Jr., who works with him in the industry. Aside from publishing the PLAYBOOK Football Yearbook magazine and Weekly Newsletters, Marc enjoys golf and horse racing.

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Wednesday, January 15, 2014

Marc Lawrence NFC Championship Upset Jan. 19

49ers Over Seahawks by 3

This should be interesting. Yes, Seattle brings the NFL’s No. 1 defense into this fray but Pete Carroll’s Seahawks have not been playing with the same fiery intensity they used to lock up home field advantage for today’s game, especially QB Russell Wilson. Wilson may own an intimidating 16-1 SU and 12-5 ATS record on his home turf but he’s looked like ‘Little Boy Lost’ in recent weeks, failing to throw for 200 yards in the last five games and finishing 9 of 18 for a career-low 103 yards in Seattle’s 23-15 win over the Saints last Saturday. Not so for Frisco QB Colin Kaepernick, who has clearly saved his best for the playoffs, battering foes with both his arm and his legs. ‘King Tat’ thrives on the NFL highway, going 10-4 SU and 10-3-1 ATS in his brief career, and his 49ers can become the 4th team in a row to reach the Super Bowl despite having to win three straight playoff games on the road. According to our powerful database, that’s a good news-bad news scenario for San Francisco.

Good: playoff road teams who were favored on the playoff road in their previous game are 8-1 ATS. Bad: Super Bowl losers are 0-11 SU and 2-8-1 ATS as playoff dogs of 3 or more points. Even so, the Niners are the first Super Bowl loser since 1977 to make it back to a conference championship game – which speaks volumes about who they are – plus it’s the 3rd straight year Jim Harbaugh’s gold-diggers have reached the NFC
title game. Our well-oiled machine also informs us that since 1990, playoff matchups involving division rivals who lost the most recent game involving a series split have gone just 4-10 SU and 5-9 ATS, including 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS when facing a .720 or greater foe. Harbaugh owns a solid ATS edge over Carroll, too: Jawin’ Jim is 12-2 SUATS versus greater-than .700 opposition while Petey is only 1-7 ATS as division chalk off back-to-back wins, including 0-5 ATS when favored by 3 or more points. Remember, no NFC #1 seed has won the Super Bowl since 1999 – and you can’t win the prize if you don’t get there. The 49ers fi eld a pretty stout defense of their own (ranked No. 5 in the league) and with the hungry Kaepernick making all the right moves, we’ll call for San Fran to crush the Seahawks’ Super Bowl dreams in Seattle.

Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at - One Click Handicapping
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Friday, January 03, 2014

Marc Lawrence Bowl and Playoff Upsets Jan. 3-5


Clemson over Ohio St by 6

If you’re a Clemson fan, the last thing you want to hear about is the Tigers’ previous trip to this bowl, a 70-33 blowout loss to West Virginia – a loss so one-sided that many were deluded into thinking QB Geno Smith could flourish in the NFL. Something you will appreciate hearing, though, is an absolute ton of trends that should very likely converge to bury the Buckeyes tonight. Ready? New Year’s Day and later ACC bowlers are 9-3-1 ATS off SUATS loss, all ACC bowl dogs off a loss are 17-4-1 ATS, including 12-1 ATS 12-1 ATS when getting +3.5 or more points, and ACC bowl dogs off a loss are 17-
4-1 ATS! Wait it gets better – or worse if you’re an Ohio State fan. New Year’s Day and later Big 10 bowlers are just 2-16 SU and 3-15-1 ATS off DD ATS loss, and the Bucks are a weak 3-7 SU and 2-8 ATS of late in bowl games off a loss. The Clincher? Bowl teams off their first loss of the season that won 7 or more games last year and allow more than 15.5 PPG on the season are 0-6 ATS since 1990. Whew! Don’t expect a cakewalk as OSU HC Urban Meyer is a fearsome 48-4 SU and 34-10-1 ATS versus non- conference opposition, besides being 6-1 SUATS in bowl games. But the Buckeye defense is clearly down a notch, best illustrated by allowing 34 points to offensively-challenged Michigan State in their bitterly disappointing Big 10 Championship game loss. With Clemson’s ‘D’ leading the nation in tackles for loss (9.4 per game), we’ll call for Tiger QB Tajh Boyd to keep pace with OSU’s Braxton Miller and pull out a late upset win for Clemmie.

GREEN BAY over San Francisco by 3

Simply put, we just don’t feel that this 49ers team is as good as the one from last year: Kaepernick is defi nitely not as sharp, and the defense is not as dominant. Nor do we feel strongly that the Niners can go into the frozen tundra of Lambeau Field and beat a recovered Aaron Rodgers in the clutch. The Green Bay signalcaller owns a 5-3 SUATS mark in the playoffs, and the early game forecast is for 17 degrees with snow flurries possible. San Fran has won and covered just 5 of the last 19 showdowns between these two squads. HC Jim Harbaugh has had good success over non-division opponents, going 26-9 SU and 26-8-1 ATS – including
12-3 SU and 13-2 ATS away – and is 3-0 SUATS mark over Mike McCarthy. However, Super Bowl losers are 0-5 SU and 0-4-1 ATS since 1980 in opening playoff games on the road the following season. There is also a serious revenge angle here since the 49ers knocked the Pack out of the playoffs last season, then came back and 0-4-1 ATS since 1980 in opening playoff games on the road the following season. There is also a serious revenge angle here since the 49ers knocked the Pack out of the playoffs last season, then came back and that them again in the opening weekend this year. The all-powerful database kicks in with two interesting trends: 8-win teams are 5-0 ATS in the playoffs since 2000, and are 3-0 SUATS all-time as playoff hosts. Plus, NFL playoff home dogs are 20-14 and 22-12 ATS since 1980, including 15-7 SU and 16-6 ATS when seeking revenge. Green Bay has waited a long time for some payback, and they get it here. Smile and say cheese.

Written by John Pricci

Marc Lawrence can also be found at - One Click Handicapping
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Friday, December 27, 2013

Marc Lawrence College & Pro Upsets Weekend of DEC. 28

TEXAS Over Oregon by 1

Will he stay or will he go? Day after day on the sports pages, ad nauseam… at least now a decision has been made and Mack Brown is riding his steer off into the sunset. We can’t deny that the man is uber-popular in Austin, so there will be plenty of burnt orange in the stands in San Antone for Ol’ Mackie’s swan song – along with some inspired play from his troops on the field. But let’s take emotion out of the equation for a moment and look at some numbers. Big 12 dogs of 3.5 or more points are 5-1 ATS in bowl games versus Pac-12 opponents, while pre-New Year’s Day Pac-12 bowlers are 1-11 ATS as favorites of 6 or more versus foes off a loss. And once again, we go back to the middle of October when the Ducks were 6-0 and had anointed themselves a spot in the BCS Championship game already, and all the Nike execs were scrambling to get their spots reserved in the Rose Bowl suites. It was then that the Ducks pulled on the hot pink helmets to play Washington State and were summarily torched for 557 yards passing by Mike Leach’s offense and a statistical slide ensued. From that point on, Oregon has slipped a -101 net YPG, the 4th biggest decline among bowl squads. We also found this trend very interesting: bowl teams with first-year coaches are 1-4 SUATS as
double-digit favorites (that’s four SU losses in five tries, folks). Add it all up and you will not fi nd us fading a Texas team that is obviously in a ‘Win One for the Gipper’ mode. In fact, when you bring emotion back into the discussion, the Longhorns might fi nish by chanting “Remember the Alamo!” after tonight’s upset. The Clincher: pre-New Year’s Day dogs of 7 or more points off a SUATS loss are 20-5-1 ATS when facing an opponent that failed to beat the spread by more than 7 points in its last game.

Washington over NY Giants by 8

After cashing last week’s 5* call on the Redskins, we’re putting the war paint back on again in what looks to be Mike Shanahan’s swan song in Washington. For openers, they will look to avenge a 24-17 home loss to the Giants on the 1st of December, a game in which the Skins won the stats. The win snapped a 5-game ATS series win skein by the Hogs and that ties nicely into Washington’s 10-1 ATS record as division road dogs of less than 7 points when seeking revenge. Not to mention the Hogs’ 7-1 ATS mark in games after clashes with the Cowboys. Meanwhile, the Giants return home off a road win ‘leaking oil’ like the Exxon Valdez, having been outgained in each of their last four contests. Not good news when they’re being quarterbacked by an erratic signal caller (Eli Manning) who is 3-7 SU and 2-8 ATS home off a win in division games, including 0-5 ATS versus .500 or less opponents. While the rating is lowered to a 4* this week, the intensity is ratcheted up in Mike’s final curtain call. Especially with our AWESOME ANGLE (page 2) fi rmly in his corner. The Clincher: Shanahan is 17-8 SU and 18-7 ATS in division games off back-to-back losses, including 9-1 SU and 10-0 ATS when his team owns a losing record.

Written by John Pricci

Marc Lawrence can also be found at - One Click Handicapping
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