Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence has authored thousands of articles expounding on the three primary forms of sports handicapping: Fundamental, Statistical and Technical. To be a successful handicapper, blending all three forms of analysis into the handicapping equation. Marc relies heavily on a proprietary powerful database of scores, stats and results of games played since 1980, both College and Pro Football and College and Pro Basketball.

Marc has been handicapping sports professionally since 1975, having won more documented Top 10 Handicapping Achievement awards than any handicapper in the nation. He won the 2005 STARDUST FOOTBALL INVITATIONAL Contest and was a SEMI-FINALIST in the 2006 $100,000 LEROYS' MONEY TALKS Contest last season. He finished the 2006 season as the No. 1 handicapper in the NFL as documented by SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. Marc also finished No. 1 in the nation in College Football win percentage in 2005 as documented by both the SPORTS MONITOR in Oklahoma and SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. He was named HANDICAPPER OF THE YEAR in 2005 by FOOTBALL NEWS.

In 2008, he finished No. 1 in NFL win percentage according to SPORTS WATCH and also captured 1st place honors in the 2008 PLAYBOOK WISE GUYS CONTEST.

Marc has hosted a national radio show "MARC LAWRENCE AGAINST THE SPREAD" for each of the last 16 years on over 100 stations syndicated in the USA. He is a tireless handicapper who works a minimum 60-hour week during the football and basketball seasons. As a handicapper he firmly believes that three things can happen when you bet an underdog, and two of them are good. He enjoys helping others to become better informed.

Marc married his high school sweetheart 40 years ago and has one son, Marc Jr., who works with him in the industry. Aside from publishing the PLAYBOOK Football Yearbook magazine and Weekly Newsletters, Marc enjoys golf and horse racing.

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Thursday, October 20, 2016

Marc Lawrence Best College & Pro Upsets, Weekend of Oct. 21, 2016

Arkansas over AUBURN by 10

A tip of the visor to Auburn head coach Gus Malzahn. After a 1-2 start, Gus was perched above a flaming-meteor hotseat when he not only staved off execution, he finally lit a fire under his football team. Now riding a 3-game SUATS win skein, including a 38-14 dismantling of Mississippi State at Starkville two weeks ago, Auburn is playing with supreme confidence on both sides of the ball. And Tiger fans who were pissed by their team’s absence in this year’s AP Preseason poll (six other SEC teams made the Top 25) are now enjoying talk that Aubbie is on the verge of becoming a legitimate darkhorse in the SEC. To which we say: wake up. Because of their sudden public appeal, the Tigers are certainly overpriced here, laying near-doubles today when they took a full TD from the Hogs at Fayetteville last year. Bret Bielema’s Razorbacks proved they could compete for a full 60 minutes when they survived an epic 34-30 slugfest against Ole Miss last Saturday, and the Hogs own a soo-weet 5-1 ATS mark when taking 17 or fewer points as conference road dogs. Currently obscured by the Auburn spotlight is the fact that the Tigers are a terrible risk in this situation, going just 3-9 ATS as SEC chalk of 7 or more points from Game Three out. Hey, just winning the contest outright won’t be easy as Malzahn stands a shaky 4-10 SU in his last 14 conference games! Making matters worse, Auburn is caught smack in the middle of a Mississippi revenge sandwich: off the MSU revenge win (1-5 ATS after Miss State) with an Ole Miss revenger on deck (2-6 SUATS before playing the Rebels). Will the Tigers summon a superior effort to honor former Auburn DE Quentin Groves, who died unexpectedly this week at the age of 32? Perhaps, but deaths within football programs usually result in dreadful perfomances the following game with broken hearts not yet ready to mend so quickly. With that, we’ll side with a scrappy bunch of Hogs that have posted a 4-2 SU winning effort in their last six games versus ranked foes. While head Tiger Malzahn basks in the glow of his team’s recent success, we’ll focus instead on THE CLINCHER: Arkansas coach Bret Bielema is 12-3-1 ATS as a dog off a SUATS win in his career, including 11-1 ATS as a dog of 10 or less points.

TCU over West Virginia by 8

After getting throttled at home by the Hokies two weeks ago, the Tar Heels surprised the Canes last week on the road and now sit atop the ACC Coastal. You would think with road wins at Tallahassee and Miami already on this year’s resume, we would have no problem riding shotgun into Charlottesville with Larry Fedora and company. However, we prefer taking the ‘Bronco’ as the Virginia head coach is 24-11-1 ATS as a dog of 3 or more points, including 8-2 ATS in conference play. In fact, his Cavs are 10-3 ATS in the second of three straight homers and 4-1 ATS as home dogs of 6 or more points. Meanwhile, the Heels are 0-5-1 ATS as road favorites of 7 or more points and 3-10-1 SU and 3-11 ATS on the conference highway off an away win of 3 or more points, including 0-6 ATS versus a foe off a SU loss. Even our MIDWEEK ALERT is hesitant in tipping its cap to Fedora as UNC is being out-gained by 12 YPG in FBS contests this season while the Cavs own the better net stats in similar games. More importantly, our NCAA Coaches League database supplies THE CLINCHER: Bronco Mendenhall is 4-0 SU and 3-0 ATS at home in games off a SU home loss.


INDY over Tennessee by 4

It was a hard loss to endure, for sure. Leading by 14 points in the fi nal three minutes of the game, the Colts imploded and somehow became the fi rst of 41 previous Indianapolis teams to blow a 14-point 4th-quarter lead when they dropped a 26-23 decision in overtime to Houston. The question is can they bounce back? We think so, given today’s opponent. For openers, they catch the Titans off back-to-back wins (albeit over Cleveland and Miami), a role in which they stand 0-4 SUATS since 2011. Furthermore, Tennessee is 7-15 ATS at home following a home game, including 1-7 ATS off a SU win. On the other side of the coin, Colts’ QB Andrew Luck is 9-2 SU and 8-2-1 ATS away in division games, while the Horseshoes are 6-0 SU and 5-0-1 ATS in this series when playing off an away game. In addition, Indy is 18-8 SUATS following the Houston Texans. And just in case you’re new to this newsletter, we need to remind you of THE CLINCHER: Tennessee head coach Mike Mularkey is 3-15 SUATS in his last 18 home games.

Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at - One Click Handicapping
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Thursday, October 13, 2016

Marc Lawrence College & Pro Best Upsets, Nov. 14-16

VIRGINIA over Pittsburgh by 7

The Panthers continue to win slugfest games as they’ve scored 36 or more points in all fi ve FBS contests this season while surrendering 27 or more in each game. The feeling here is that a bigger game with Virginia Tech is up next and might grab more of their focus… and that would be a mistake. Especially since the Cavaliers have gone full circle under Bronco Mendenhall, dropping their fi rst three games of his tenure before responding with a pair of wins in the last two contests. The Cavs are now Homecoming dogs with rest, a terrifi c spot for avenging teams, and Virginia is currently riding a 10-game ATS win skein as a dog versus FBS foes. Our Coaches’ Database kicks in with THE CLINCHER: Mendenhall is 8-1 ATS as a conference dog of 3 or more points, including 8-0 ATS when his team’s win percentage is less than .600.

INDIANA over Nebraska by 8

The Cornhuskers are off to great 5-0 start but that falls right into the hands of Marc’s ‘Take it to the Limit’ BETCHA DIDN’T KNOW article on page 2. Their last victory before the off week, a 31-16 decision over Illinois, appears on the surface to be a comfortable win, but the Huskers actually trailed in that contest entering the 4th quarter as 3-TD chalk. The Hoosiers will be looking to take down these 5-0 ‘Fat Cats’ and have the offensive fi repower to do so. Entering this year, Kevin Wilson’s offenses have set 54 school records, including single-season points, total yards, passing yards and rushing yards – and now this looks like his best team ever. For the fi rst time they are gaining more yards than they are allowing, thanks to a defense that has improved 143 YPG over last year’s unit. Nebraska has slipped into the Top 10 for the fi rst time in nearly fi ve years, and it’s the fi rst time since 1960 that the Big Ten has had this many Top 10 teams during the regular season. But here’s THE CLINCHER: Nebraska head coach Mike Riley is 7-15-1 ATS as a favorite of 3 or more points versus .600 or greater opponents, including 0-4 ATS away.


BALTIMORE over NY Giants by 6

A change was in the wind in Baltimore this past week when the Ravens canned offensive coordinator Marc Trestman following the team’s lethargic offensive effort in a lackluster performance against Washington. The Black Birds, though, have a propensity for bouncing back from such games as they are 18-12 SUATS following a SU favorite loss in which they tallied 10 or fewer points, including 5-0 SU in their last fi ve efforts. In addition, Baltimore is 9-4 SU and 10-3 ATS in its last thirteen games when facing teams from the NFC East division. Enter the equally disappointing Giants, who bring a paltry 0-7 SUATS record in their last seven games following a Sunday Night game. There is only one way to look in this battle of fallen foes. Oh yeah, there’s also THE CLINCHER: Baltimore is 9-0 ATS in its last nine games as a road dog versus an opponent off a loss.

Kansas City over Oakland by 10

As highlighted on Marc’s weekly ‘Against The Spread’ football podcast show (tune in to listen in the iTunes store throughout the season, or on the site at, or MarcLawrence radio. com), the Chiefs are this week’s ‘Most Embarrassed NFL Team’ and are ready to do something about it. That’s because they are off a red-faced 43-14 loss at Pittsburgh two weeks ago, in a game in which they yielded more than 400 yards for the fi rst time since Thanksgiving week last season. What can they do about it, you ask? For openers, KC is 8-2 SU and 9-1 ATS in games in this series when arriving off a loss. In addition, head coach Andy Reid is 6-1 ATS in his career in games after surrendering 38 or more points when facing a foe off a win, including 3-0 ATS when taking on a division rival. On the other side are the Raiders, currently sitting at 4-1 on the season despite being out-gained in every contest, while allowing seasonhigh yardage in each games as well. Oakland boss Jack Del Rio is 1-8 ATS following division games when his teams are off SUATS wins in their last two games. Toss in the Black-and-Silver’s 4-10 SU and 3-11 ATS mark at home in division games following a division game, including 1-6 ATS as a favorite, and it’s enough to make the red disappear, pronto.

Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at - One Click Handicapping
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Wednesday, October 05, 2016

Marc Lawrence’s Best College & Pro Upsets, Oct. 8 Weekend

Virginia Tech over NORTH CAROLINA by 10

The Tar Heels have quietly won 15 of their last 16 regular season games, including 9 straight in Chapel Hill. However, they are coming off that huge last-second win over Florida State and have the Canes on deck, so this becomes a very tricky sandwich for Carolina. On the fl ip side, the Hokies are beating FBS foes by an average of 148 YPG this season – while UNC is losing the stats by 10 YPG against the same ilk. Hence, with the better defense this season by 158 YPG in FBS contests, it’s not diffi cult taking points with an avenging dog (dropped a 30- 27 decision at home to the Heels last year). Remember, Hokies head coach Justin Fuente is 3-0 ATS as a dog of 10 or less points when his troops are off a win. He’s also 16-8 SUATS in games against foes who allow more than 28.5 PPG, including 5-0 ATS in those games as a dog of less than 20 points. But when push comes to shove in this contest, we’ll rely on THE CLINCHER: teams who beat Florida State are just 12-20 ATS at home the following game, including 1-9 ATS when facing a winning foe off a double-digit win.

TENNESSEE over Texas A&M by 6

Autumn is here, and much like the arrival of cooler climes, you can always count on watching a headliner SEC matchup every Saturday afternoon on CBS. This week it’s a Texas Triangle showdown pitting the No. 8 Aggies against the visiting No. 9 Volunteers. No doubt you’re still in shock if you saw the end of last week’s miracle Tennessee win over Georgia. How many times has a team LOST a game with just seconds remaining on the clock, then WON it right back on the fi nal play? Then again, we’re dealing with a Vols squad that coughed up a 4th-quarter lead in all four of their losses last season, but have now won four games this season after trailing by double-digits in the contest. WTF? While Kevin Sumlin’s Aggies are 3-0 in SEC play for the fi rst time since entering the conference, they own dreadful numbers in this matchup, going 1-5 ATS before a conference revenge road game and 2-5 ATS as SEC home chalk of less than 8 points. Another ominous note for the Aggies: they have surrendered season-high yardage in each of their last two contests. Tennessee two-steps into town with an identical 5-0 record, the Vols’ fi rst since 1998 – the last year they won a National Championship – and they’re 4-2-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in conference road games versus an undefeated foe when playing off a previous away game. Honestly, Big Orange has yet to put together a 60-minute effort this season and if they deliver here, UT won’t fold in the late going like Arkansas did versus the Aggies.


DETROIT over Philly by 10

Part of the hottest new quarterback duo to hit the league since the rookie tandem of Andrew Luck and Russell Wilson in 2012, Philadelphia’s Carson Wentz – along with Dallas’ Dak Prescott – represent the new wave of nouveau riche QB’s this season. With it though, comes a price – and one we’re not willing to pay. Granted, teams with new NFL coaches (re: Philadelphia with Doug Pederson) who win their fi rst three games of the season are 12-5 SU and 13-4 ATS in Game Four. But Lions’ head coach Jim Caldwell is 5-1-1 ATS in his NFL career in games versus opponents from the NFC East division, including 4-0 ATS versus opponents owning a .400 or better percentage. Add to that Detroit’s sparkly 7-1 ATS record in non-division games when coming off a pair of division bouts. And Detroit is also 8-3 ATS in non-division home games following the Chicago Bears. Yes, we realize Wentz has been near perfect in his NFL debut this season, but it all comes down to THE CLINCHER: 3-0 SUATS NFL teams away in Game Four of the season are 1-11 SU and 2-10 ATS in nondivision games if they were a losing team the previous season.

Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at - One Click Handicapping
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