Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence has authored thousands of articles expounding on the three primary forms of sports handicapping: Fundamental, Statistical and Technical. To be a successful handicapper, blending all three forms of analysis into the handicapping equation. Marc relies heavily on a proprietary powerful database of scores, stats and results of games played since 1980, both College and Pro Football and College and Pro Basketball.

Marc has been handicapping sports professionally since 1975, having won more documented Top 10 Handicapping Achievement awards than any handicapper in the nation. He won the 2005 STARDUST FOOTBALL INVITATIONAL Contest and was a SEMI-FINALIST in the 2006 $100,000 LEROYS' MONEY TALKS Contest last season. He finished the 2006 season as the No. 1 handicapper in the NFL as documented by SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. Marc also finished No. 1 in the nation in College Football win percentage in 2005 as documented by both the SPORTS MONITOR in Oklahoma and SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. He was named HANDICAPPER OF THE YEAR in 2005 by FOOTBALL NEWS.

In 2008, he finished No. 1 in NFL win percentage according to SPORTS WATCH and also captured 1st place honors in the 2008 PLAYBOOK WISE GUYS CONTEST.

Marc has hosted a national radio show "MARC LAWRENCE AGAINST THE SPREAD" for each of the last 16 years on over 100 stations syndicated in the USA. He is a tireless handicapper who works a minimum 60-hour week during the football and basketball seasons. As a handicapper he firmly believes that three things can happen when you bet an underdog, and two of them are good. He enjoys helping others to become better informed.

Marc married his high school sweetheart 40 years ago and has one son, Marc Jr., who works with him in the industry. Aside from publishing the PLAYBOOK Football Yearbook magazine and Weekly Newsletters, Marc enjoys golf and horse racing.

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Wednesday, December 16, 2015

Marc Lawrence College Bowl & Pro Upsets, Weekend of Dec. 19, 2015

PHILLY over Arizona by 6

Another rescheduled Sunday night flex game pits two teams on opposite paths to the playoffs – one with a cushy 3-game lead in its division looking forward to a Bye week at the end of the season; the other locked in a heated battle atop its division looking to punch its ticket via a Wild Card invite. While the main concern in this contest is Philly’s penchant for surrendering more yards than it gains (-35 net YPG on the season), it should be noted the Cardinals are just 4-26 SU in Last Road Games of the campaign the last 30 years, including 1-23 SU versus greater than .400 opponents. Jeez. Toss in the fact that NFL home dogs in Game Two of a three-game home stand, off a SUATS home favorite win, are 3-0 SUATS the last seven years in this rare but highly successful role. We also can’t ignore Arizona’s dreary 8-15 SU and ATS record on Sunday nights. The always-informed database supplies The Clincher: Game 13 or greater .460 or better home dogs who won 9 or more games last season, taking on a foe off back-to-back wins that won 14 or less games the previous year, are 18-4-1 ATS when the visiting team is off a home game.

New Mexico Over Arizona by 1

The 2015 NCAA Bowl Season kicks off in ‘The Land of Enchantment’ but unlike Bugs, Rich Rod and his stumbling Wildcats – losers of four of their last five – probably wish they didn’t have to make a left turn into Albuquerque where only a minor payday ($456,250) awaits. Rodriguez can blame that on a lousy 3-6 Pac-12 record but this non-conference clash doesn’t figure to pique the ‘Cats’ curiosity. As it is, ASU is just 1-4 ATS in its last five bowl games while Rich Rod has only cashed twice in nine tries. The host Lobos are also just 1-4 ATS in their last five trips to the alleys but they are 9-5 ATS versus Pac-12 opposition and we just can’t pass up double-digit home dogs in this spot, not with ‘Zona arriving with the No. 106 scoring defense (35.7) in the land. And remember – New Mexico’s last bowl appearance was on this field in 2007 and they promptly whitewashed Nevada, 23-0. From a pure football style, it should be an interesting clash as the Wildcats operate from a spread-option attack while Bob Davie’s men like to ground-and-pound. And if the Lobos can do what they do best, our database likes their chances as it notes: bowl dogs who out-rush a .sub 700 opponent are 110-27-1 ATS, including 41-6-1 ATS as dogs of 6 or more points. That has us grabbing the points... especially when a disinterested favorite is handing them out. An absolute must-take.

Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at - One Click Handicapping
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Wednesday, December 09, 2015

NFL Upsets Weekend Dec.11-13

PITTSBURGH over Cincinnati by 10

Speaking of cushy leads, the Queen City Cats could lock up the AFC North with a win today over their division rivals. The problem, however, is two-fold: the Steelers are 13-3 SUATS in this building since Y2K (that’s 2000 for all of us old-timers) and have no wiggle room as they’re tied with the Chiefs and the Jets at 7-5 for one of two Wildcard spots. They also arrive with a chip on their shoulders as they lost a 16-10 home decision to the Red Rifle Gang earlier this season despite outgaining the Bengals, 356-296, which brings into play an 8-1 SUATS mark on this field with revenge. And though Pittsburgh’s 22nd-ranked defense (365 YPG) resembles more of a see-through drape than a Steel Curtain these days, December usually brings out the best in Mike Tomlin’s troops. That’s evidenced by Tomlin’s 21-11 SU record over the season’s final four games. And for a formidable 1-2 punch, we couple that with The Clincher: QB Ben Roethlisberger is 17-4 SU and 15-5-1 ATS in division games during December, including 5-0 SUATS as a dog.

New Orleans over Tampa Bay by 10

As unbelievable as it seems, the Bucs currently hold down the No. 7 seed in the NFC Wild Card playoff chase while the Saints are the No. 14 seed. And while it seems like the Grand Canyon is separating the two, the gap is only two games between these NFC South division foes. Thus, rest assured the Saints will come with everything they’ve got here today. Revenge from a 7-point loss as double-digit favorites in their home opener this season ensures it. Tampa enters 1-5 ATS in the 2nd of back-to-back division games, while head coach Lovie Smith is 1-6 ATS off a win during final four games of the season versus a foe off a pair of losses. The bottom line here is as long as Drew Brees is mathematically alive and breathing for a chance at a Wild Card playoff berth, we’ll continue to look at him, especially as a division dog with revenge, a role in which he is 9-3-1 ATS in his NFL career, including 5-1 ATS with the Saints. If that’s not enough, there’s The Clincher: New Orleans head coach Sean Payton is 8-1 SUATS in the final four games of the season versus a foe off back-to-back wins – including 8-0 SUATS if not as a double-digit dog.

Written by John Pricci

Marc Lawrence can also be found at - One Click Handicapping
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Thursday, November 26, 2015

Marc Lawrence College & Pro Upsets Nov. 27-30

Marshall over W KENTUCKY by 3

Two trains on one track usually leads to a slam-bang collision and that’s what we expect here when this pair of streaking teams – Marshall is 8-1 SU in its last nine and WKU is 7-1 SU in its last eight – lock horns in Bowling Green. Tonight’s battle for the C-USA East’s top spot is a Black Friday rematch from last year’s stunning 67-66 loss the Herd suffered as 23.5-point home chalk, spoiling an 11-0 perfect season mark. Now THAT’S what we call meaningful revenge! Doc Holliday’s crew has also enjoyed a week of rest to bask in the glow
of their confidence-building 52-0 rout over FIU and prepare a game plan for this circled-in-red rematch. Don’t expect the Hilltoppers to relinquish their throne without a fight: their only two losses this year came on the road against Indiana and LSU, and they’re 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS on this field, winning by an average of 22.8 PPG at L.T. Smith Stadium. But while Western Kentucky may own an intimidating 10-1 SU mark in Last Home Games, the ‘Toppers are a bottom-feeding 1-6 ATS in their last seven home contests versus avenging foes. Not so for Marshall, who stands 14-3 SU in the last 17 games away from Huntington and will dress up as a dog for only the third time in the last three years. Holliday’s Herd is also 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in their last six games when seeking revenge, which leads us to The Clincher: The Hilltoppers are 2-10 ATS as favorites versus .500 or greater opponents, including 0-7 ATS at home.

NEBRASKA over IOWA by 10

With a golden ticket to this year’s Big Ten title game already in hand, Iowa hopes to avoid a treacherous SMART BOX ‘As The Noose Tightens’ trap today. And while the 11-0 Hawkeyes don’t need a win here, the allure of an undefeated regular season – and revenge for last year’s 37-34 home loss to Big Red – should provide them with plenty of incentive. On the flip side, this matchup is HUGE for Mike Riley and his Cornhuskers, already a major disappointment at 5-6 and facing the distinct possibility of being stranded in Lincoln this December while a gazillion other schools make the trip to play in a bowl game. Iowa head coach Kirk Ferentz, beneficiary of one of the weakest Big Ten schedules
in recent memory, shows up today riding a gaudy 15-3 career record in away games when looking to avenge a home loss – but in none of them was his team unbeaten and in contention for a National Championship. The Corn Boys don’t show up empty-handed: they’re 3-1 ATS in the last four series meetings on this field, 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS in the series when taking points, and 6-1 ATS as conference home dogs when owning a win percentage of less than .700. Coach Riley also arrives for this regular season-ender with a 7-2 ATS log as a dog off back-to-back wins versus an opponent off consecutive wins, and a 6-0-1 ATS mark the last seven times he’s challenged an undefeated foe. With Nebraska’s six losses coming by an average of less than 4 PPG, the all-knowing database wraps it up with The Clincher: 11-0 teams away in Game Twelve are 4-10 ATS when facing a foe off a win, including 0-5 ATS in games versus a .700 or less adversary.

NC State over North Carolina by 6

The up-and-down Wolfpack is 6-1 SUATS in Last Home Games, including 5-0 ATS when coming off a double-digit win, but will need to overcome mistakes today as they finished last week’s Syracuse win with 10 penalties for 98 yards. It’s the third time in ACC play the Wolfpack has been penalized at least nine times. Meanwhile, the Tar Heels surrendered a
14-point lead and needed to rally in OT to beat Virginia Tech last week. More troubling for today’s matchup, they’re just 1-5 ATS as conference road favorites of 4 or more points and 2-5 ATS away with conference revenge. Plus, the Heels are a ‘Times They Are A-Changin’ BLACK BOOK fade (6-7 team last year away off a SU win) and with a ticket to the ACC
title game in their back pocket, we’re going against them as well. A quick look at this series sees 12 upsets in the last 17 matchups and State has covered six of the last eight meetings. All good fodder for the dog,


Tennessee over Oakland by 8

We’re still trying to figure out who died and proclaimed Oakland to be a good team. Looking back, we find the Raiders have been installed as favorites on four occasions this season – or four times as often as they had been the previous two years combined. And they have yet to win a game when expected to do so, losing all four times straight up as chalk. They blew as road favorites at Detroit last week and, still not convinced, the proclamation-makers have come right back and installed them as road chalk once again this week – in another 10 AM body clock start time to boot. Jeez Louise, trust us... it’s okay to raise the flag and admit you’ve made a mistake! The Titans check in with a glitzy 5-0 ATS log after playing on Thursday when facing sub .500 non-division opponents. They are also 7-2 ATS the last nine games as a host in this series. Unlike those who still have an infatuation for the Black-n-Silver, we say it’s time to ‘remember the Titans’ and forget all about the Raiders today. The Clincher: Oakland is an ignominious 0-8 SU and 0-7-1 ATS off a SU favorite loss when facing sub .500 opponents.

Pittsburgh over Seattle by 6

Now that both teams appear back on track and ready to make a run to the postseason, it’s time to get the scalpel out and look inside each team’s body of work. Seattle is outgaining foes 111 YPG since Game Seven of the season, while Pittsburgh is 74 YPG better than its opponents over the same course. The caveat is the fact that Ben Roethlisberger did not start in two of the last four games for the Steelers. His counterpart, Russell Wilson, brings a stellar 10-2 SU and 8-4 ATS career mark versus Super Bowl winning quarterbacks into this contest, but only a 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS log in his last three matchups. In addition, the Seahawks are just 3-7 ATS in the third of three straight home games, including 0-4 ATS the last four versus non-division foes, and 0-2 SUATS when hosting a rested opponent. Meanwhile, the Steel Curtain rises in games against NFC opposition off a win, going 5-0 SUATS in its last five gatherings. It’s Big Ben time and we’ve got our clocks set. The Clincher: Roethlisberger is 19-8 SU and 20-7 ATS as a dog versus foes off a win in his NFL
career, including 5-1 SUATS versus the NFL West.

Written by John Pricci

Marc Lawrence can also be found at - One Click Handicapping
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BallHype: hype it up!

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