Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence has authored thousands of articles expounding on the three primary forms of sports handicapping: Fundamental, Statistical and Technical. To be a successful handicapper, blending all three forms of analysis into the handicapping equation. Marc relies heavily on a proprietary powerful database of scores, stats and results of games played since 1980, both College and Pro Football and College and Pro Basketball.

Marc has been handicapping sports professionally since 1975, having won more documented Top 10 Handicapping Achievement awards than any handicapper in the nation. He won the 2005 STARDUST FOOTBALL INVITATIONAL Contest and was a SEMI-FINALIST in the 2006 $100,000 LEROYS' MONEY TALKS Contest last season. He finished the 2006 season as the No. 1 handicapper in the NFL as documented by SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. Marc also finished No. 1 in the nation in College Football win percentage in 2005 as documented by both the SPORTS MONITOR in Oklahoma and SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. He was named HANDICAPPER OF THE YEAR in 2005 by FOOTBALL NEWS.

In 2008, he finished No. 1 in NFL win percentage according to SPORTS WATCH and also captured 1st place honors in the 2008 PLAYBOOK WISE GUYS CONTEST.

Marc has hosted a national radio show "MARC LAWRENCE AGAINST THE SPREAD" for each of the last 16 years on over 100 stations syndicated in the USA. He is a tireless handicapper who works a minimum 60-hour week during the football and basketball seasons. As a handicapper he firmly believes that three things can happen when you bet an underdog, and two of them are good. He enjoys helping others to become better informed.

Marc married his high school sweetheart 40 years ago and has one son, Marc Jr., who works with him in the industry. Aside from publishing the PLAYBOOK Football Yearbook magazine and Weekly Newsletters, Marc enjoys golf and horse racing.

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Friday, November 16, 2018

College & Pro Upsets, NOV 17-18

TENNESSEE over Missouri by 6

With just three actual SEC matchups this week, CBS decided to grab this conflict as its main afternoon game and give Alabama the week off since they are playing the Citadel. As Gary Danielson said during last week’s Bama contest, he had a lot of experience in his time at Purdue as a quarterback in games like this. He was referring to a team like Tennessee, who is seeking bowl eligibility with a 5-5 record. This is Senior Day for the Vols and those players that have been in Knoxville four or five years have been through a lot of criticism and want to go bowling after missing last year. Missouri was supposed to vanquish Vanderbilt last week and had to come from behind instead to win, 33-28, as a 14.5-point home favorite. In all likelihood, the Tigers’ bowl positioning is not going to change much with a win or loss where they have checkerboard end zones. Plus, Mizzou is 1-5 ATS after allowing 450 or more yards and 1-8 SU and 3-6 ATS away versus .500 or greater opponents. We’ll side with the hungry home underdogs who are 4-1 ATS in their last fi ve SEC contests and off two straight victories to cover. THE CLINCHER: CFB home teams off consecutive home wins, the last a SU underdog win of more than 14 points, are 12-2-2 ATS, including 6-0 ATS against foes coming off consecutive wins.

Minnesota over Northwestern by 8

Both teams stared down adversity last week and emerged with big wins. Northwestern clinched the Big Ten West crown by beating Iowa at Kinnick Stadium, holding the Hawkeyes to a puny 64 rushing yards while piling up 184 yards on the ground themselves (165 belonged to RB Isaiah Bowser). Meanwhile, Minnesota limped
back home after a sobering 55-31 loss at Illinois to take on redhot Purdue, knowing a loss to the Boilermakers would doom the Gophers to a 2nd straight season without reaching a bowl under HC P.J. Fleck. We guess Fleck’s ‘row the boat’ message finally took hold because Minnesota routed the Boilers, 41-10, as a 10.5-point
home dog. But while last Saturday’s win over Iowa clinched bowl-eligible status for the Wildcats, the Gophers still need one win in their last two games to go bowling–and we think they’ve got a better shot at beating Northwestern here than taking out Wisconsin at Madison next week. Let’s face it… the 24th-ranked Purple Cats’
numbers don’t match those of other Power Five division champions. Their offense is ranked No. 112 in the country and they’re being outgained by an average of 23 YPG. Furthermore, our History Book reminds us Northwestern is just 1-7 ATS as road chalk against foes coming off a win, including 0-6 ATS as favorites of 6 or fewer points. Minnesota has also had this game circled since last season after an ugly 39-0 loss in Evanston cost the 5-win Gophers a bowl bid. This is an ideal spot for a payback, and with Fleck’s team standing 5-1 SU at home this season, we’re there in this double bowl get-up-and-letdown spot.


Philadelphia over New Orleans by 3

If you’re trembling in your boots at the thought of jumping in front of the Who Dey Express, we understand. But like a much-needed visit to the shrink can help ease your fears, so too does knowing that defending Super Bowl champions have been at their best in underdog roles. These ring-bearers love playing the disrespect card, going 52-37-4 ATS in these games dating back to 1981. Better yet, bring them in as red-faced dogs in games when coming off a SU favorite loss and they respond with aplomb, going 17-8-2 ATS in these games. And for even more, see the ‘THE CLINCHER’ outlined below, as well as the INCREDIBLE STAT on page 3. Meanwhile, the Saints enter just 2-10 ATS at home in non-division frays when coming off a non-division contest after scoring 40 or more points. The bottom line in this league is “what goes up must come down” as well as “what goes down must come up”. We seal the deal with THE CLINCHER: Defending Super Bowl champions who are underdogs when coming off a SU favorite loss are 8-3 SU and 9-0-2 ATS in this situation when facing foes coming off a win of 7 or more points.

Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at - One Click Handicapping
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