Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence has authored thousands of articles expounding on the three primary forms of sports handicapping: Fundamental, Statistical and Technical. To be a successful handicapper, blending all three forms of analysis into the handicapping equation. Marc relies heavily on a proprietary powerful database of scores, stats and results of games played since 1980, both College and Pro Football and College and Pro Basketball.

Marc has been handicapping sports professionally since 1975, having won more documented Top 10 Handicapping Achievement awards than any handicapper in the nation. He won the 2005 STARDUST FOOTBALL INVITATIONAL Contest and was a SEMI-FINALIST in the 2006 $100,000 LEROYS' MONEY TALKS Contest last season. He finished the 2006 season as the No. 1 handicapper in the NFL as documented by SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. Marc also finished No. 1 in the nation in College Football win percentage in 2005 as documented by both the SPORTS MONITOR in Oklahoma and SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. He was named HANDICAPPER OF THE YEAR in 2005 by FOOTBALL NEWS.

In 2008, he finished No. 1 in NFL win percentage according to SPORTS WATCH and also captured 1st place honors in the 2008 PLAYBOOK WISE GUYS CONTEST.

Marc has hosted a national radio show "MARC LAWRENCE AGAINST THE SPREAD" for each of the last 16 years on over 100 stations syndicated in the USA. He is a tireless handicapper who works a minimum 60-hour week during the football and basketball seasons. As a handicapper he firmly believes that three things can happen when you bet an underdog, and two of them are good. He enjoys helping others to become better informed.

Marc married his high school sweetheart 40 years ago and has one son, Marc Jr., who works with him in the industry. Aside from publishing the PLAYBOOK Football Yearbook magazine and Weekly Newsletters, Marc enjoys golf and horse racing.

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Thursday, October 29, 2015

Marc Lawrence College & Pro Upsets Oct. 31-Nov.1

NC STATE over Clemson by 3

There is not a soul in the world – not even Dave Doeren’s mom – that would step in front of the Clemson Express following the Tigers’ 58-0 waxing of Miami last week. In fact, the Colts’ special teams coach probably spent more time drawing up that fake punt than the Tigers have trailed this entire season (six minutes). No, that can’t be possible! Then why has Doeren’s Wolfpack earned Best Bet status this week? For starters, Clemmie is looking dead-ahead to a revenge match with FSU and a 3-7 ATS log before facing the Seminoles tells us they have not been focused the prior week. They are also a winless 0-3 ATS after meeting Miami so this Florida sandwich may just be what Doeren ordered – especially when you consider that the striped ones are 0-7 ATS away versus a foe with conference revenge. And that fits like an inevitably botched American football punt by an Australian kicker to the ‘Pack’s 11-3 ATS mark at home with conference revenge. Even a 4-1 ATS series history since 2010 favors State. All that and there’s still room for The Clincher: Marc’s ‘Kick In The Assets’ angle from the 2007 BLACK BOOK points out the fact that undefeated road favorites from Game Five out, off a DD ATS win facing a .500 or greater conference foe off a SUATS win, are just 8-34-4 ATS since 1980.

Georgia over Florida by 13

Jaybird The Bulldog, our SEC scout, got a call from a longtime Georgia season-ticket holder just minutes after the Dawgs outlasted Missouri, 9-6, in an epic snorefest two weeks ago. When Jay asked his friend if he was planning on making it to this year’s Georgia-Florida game, the man replied, “Jaybird, I would rather face open-heart surgery.” Such is the mood in Athens as Mark Richt and company arrive as underdogs in today’s meeting. The Gators were a favorite or pick’em at the ‘World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party’ for six straight seasons under Urban Meyer, winning five of the six games on the scoreboard. But in the last four seasons, the Gators have been favored only once (6.5-point chalk in 2012), and they lost that one outright, 17-9. With both teams off a Bye, the edge goes to Georgia head coach Richt who is 3-1 SUATS as a dog with rest. In addition, his teams are
5-1 ATS as dogs off three or more spread losses, and are seeking revenge for last year’s 38-20 loss as 11.5-point favorites. “We’re in a one-game playoff,” Georgia senior inside linebacker Jake Ganus said. “It’s do or die every Saturday for these next three SEC games. Win or go home, so we’ve got to find a way to win.” This rivalry has come down to running the ball as the team with the most rushing yards has won nine straight – including last year when the Gators rushed for a mind-boggling 418 yards. However, it will likely be their Achilles’ heel here today as they’re averaging a feeble 99 RYPG and only 2.9 YPR in conference action this season. And we’d be remiss if we didn’t mention the dreaded ‘Bubble Burst’ hanging over the Gators’ heads.

IOWA STATE over Texas by 3

The Longhorns failed to crash and burn following a monster win over Oklahoma as they derailed Kansas State in dreary, monsoon-like conditions last week, scoring with 1:47 remaining to grab the cover. Now they play only their third true road game of the season and while both foes (Notre Dame and TCU) were superior to this Iowa State squad, Texas TOTALED just 10 points and 28 first downs, proving how feeble the offense truly is. A quick glance shows the Cyclones are allowing 465 YPG but when we take away games versus the No. 2 pass offense of Texas Tech and the No. 5 pass offense of TCU, we discover they are only allowing 372 YPG... and this week they face Texas’ No. 122 pass offense. Iowa State’s defense also just held Baylor to a season-low 485 yards, which is amazingly 235 yards below their average. Meanwhile, Iowa State’s Paul Rhodes is 8-2 ATS at home off back-back losses versus sub .700 opponents. Our head coaching database supplies The Clincher: Texas’ Charlie Strong is 1-7 ATS as a conference favorite of 4 or more points off back-to-back straight up wins.


CHICAGO over Minnesota by 6

Surprise. If the NFL playoffs were to start this week, one of these two NFC North rivals would have a ticket... and it’s not the Bears. Mike Zimmer’s Vikings were pretty much a Vegas ‘wise guy’ pick in the preseason and they have not disappointed, breaking out to a 4-2 start and a second-place standing in the Black-and-Blue division. To remain in the talk, however, they must do something they haven’t been able to accomplish since 2012 –the last year they went to the playoffs – and that’s to win three consecutive games. We do know they’ve failed miserably when playing in a division game off a division game and are facing an avenging foe, going 3-13 ATS in this role when they own a .500 or greater record. On the other side of the coin, the in-and-out hibernating Bears are 6-1 SUATS the last seven games as a host in this series. And behind a sneaky good defense, they have also held no less than four opponents to season-low yards this year under John Fox and DC Vic Fangio. We smell an upset.

Written by John Pricci

Marc Lawrence can also be found at - One Click Handicapping
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Wednesday, October 21, 2015

Marc Lawrence College & Pro Upsets, Oct. 23-25

KANSAS StATE over Texas by 11

We’re sure it’s no surprise that a Kansas football team is off back-to-back-to-back losses, surrendering 50 or more points in the last two, including getting blanked 55-0 versus the Sooners. However, what is surprising is that the Kansas team in question is the one coached by Bill Snyder! We can thank Oklahoma for at least 7 points of line value here with the Longhorns now installed as the favorite (a month ago, the Horns would have been 4-point dogs). Both of these teams faced the Sooners in their last game with 62-point differential from a 55-point Kansas State loss and a 7-point Texas win, getting UT HC Charlie Strong off the hot seat for the moment. The No. 1 lesson to remember is that no team is as bad – or as good – as their last effort. The Wildcats are 9-1 ATS after allowing more than 35 points and Grandpa Snyder is 27-8 ATS of back-to-back SU losses, the last by double digits. Normally we would end this by referring you to this week’s INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK on page 3. But we close instead with The Clincher: Bill Snyder is 12-0 ATS off a loss of 28 or more points in his career with the Wildcats.

GEORGIA TECH over Florida St by 3

Hey, if you’re looking at this prediction and think you have somehow been pulled into an alternate universe, snap out of it. We’ll admit that Georgia Tech has been one of this season’s most gigantic disappointments but the 2-5 Yellow Jackets still have five games remaining if they want to keep alive HC Paul Johnson’s string of seven straight bowl appearances with Tech. The linesmaker is a bit wary, too, installing FSU as just 5.5-point road chalk when many expected them to be a double-digit favorite over the appropriately-named Ramblin’ Wreck. It all comes down to this: can Georgia Tech find a way to dismiss the failure of the last five weeks and rediscover its A-game against the undefeated No. 9 team in the current Amway Coaches Poll? You’d better believe it! The Jackets are in the midst of their first 5-game losing skid since 1996 but through it all, they’re still outgaining opponents by 43 YPG on the season. Tech has also cashed five straight tickets in this series and owns a perfect 3-0 ATS mark as conference home dogs of 3 or more points. And Johnson, who we affectionately refer to as Ol’ Sourpuss, has gone 4-2 SU in his last six home games when playing off a home loss. Florida State edged these guys in last year’s ACC Championship game, 37-35, but the Seminoles are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games versus a squad with conference revenge. FSU is also beginning to show strains of the noose-tightening pressure that goes along with a perfect season, trailing at halftime against Louisville last week before mounting a comeback. We wrap it up with Jimbo Fisher’s poor 1-4 ATS effort on the road versus ACC foes off consecutive defeats.


NY JETS over New England by 1

There’s nothing better in Boston than a happy Brady bunch. Tom Brady may not like Pepsi (poison for your body) or Frosted Flakes (fake food), but he certainly likes beating Indianapolis – especially the rat-fink Colts. Now that he’s evened the score (for now) from the Deflategate debacle, his focus shifts to an old division nemesis in the Jets, a team against whom the Pats are 0-5 ATS at home when New England finds itself undefeated. Does it matter that New England coughed up a season-high 409 yard to the Colts in Sunday night’s win? We think so, given the fact that New York owns the league’s top ranked defense, one that surrenders 87.6 YPG less than the Patriots. We also like the fact that the Flyboys are 8-1 ATS away in this series when avenging a pair of losses from the last two meetings. Todd Bowles has done a terrific job with the Jets as they’ve outgained all five opponents this season and took down Andrew Luck and the Colts at Indianapolis, 20-7, as 6-point dogs earlier this year. We like teams playing with supreme confidence against those with their heads in the clouds. And then there is always The Clincher: Pats QB Tom Brady is 1-7 ATS at home against the Jets in games in which New York is playing with revenge.

Written by John Pricci

Marc Lawrence can also be found at - One Click Handicapping
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Thursday, October 15, 2015

Marc Lawrene College & Pro Upsets Oct. 17-18

Cincinnati over BYU by 6

This interesting matchup finds the 3-2 Bearcats on the prowl in Provo in search of back-to-back wins for the first time this season and looking to complete a perfect non-conference slate. It’s the first-ever meeting between these schools and we like Cincy’s chances – regardless of which quarterback is under center (Gunner who?) – as their 5-0 ‘ITS’ mark this season (winning the stats by an average of 190 YPG) has us strongly believing they’re still undervalued. A 10-2 SU record in their last 12 regular season contests, with both losses
coming against undefeated opposition, certainly speaks volumes. In addition, veteran HC Tommy Tuberville is a well-prepared 36-23 SU and 37-22 ATS away off a SU win, including
23-9 ATS before Game Seven. Meanwhile, the Mormons are an accommodating 1-6 ATS as home favorites versus rested opponents. More importantly this mid-October catfi ght finds the Cougars in the midst of a four-game home stand, which brings into play The Clincher: BYU is 2-14 ATS at home off back-to-back home games, including 1-13 ATS off a SU win.


UCLA over Stanford by 10

For this Thursday nightcap, there’s no need to bring back Richard Harris or Andy Williams – not when you have the SMART BOX supplying its ‘Deep Six’ soliloquy. And while the ‘Square’ tells us it’s ‘to be’ for the Bruins tonight in Palo Alto, our well-versed database says it’s ‘not to be’ for the Cardinal as it notes their 1-5 ATS log as conference chalk of 10 or less points. An additional not-so-silent aside from the machine also reminds us that the Bruins are 5-0 ATS with rest and 6-1 ATS in Weekday affairs. And what would this ‘Stanfordian’ tragedy be without a little revenge? You see, the Cardinal handed the Bruins a 31-10 setback in last year’s regular-season finale (the worst home loss of HC Jim Mora’s UCLA career), costing them the Pac-12 South title. And speaking of Mora, he arrives with a 5-0 SUATS dagger with regular season rest and an 8-1 SUATS record away versus a foe off a SU win. We have a feeling you’ll also be taking a look at the juicy money line after a getting a load of The Clincher: 4-1 teams off their first loss of the season are 105-53 SU in Game Six conference skirmishes, including 20-5 ATS away versus a foe off a SUATS win.

MICHIGAN STATE over Michigan by 1

An Oct. 12, 2015 report from Dolphins won’t pursue Jim Harbaugh for coaching job. Nah, there are no distractions in Ann Arbor. The good news for the ’85 Bears, err the Wolverines, is that teams off three straight shutout wins are 4-0-1 SU since 1980 (but only 2-2 ATS) while Harbaugh is 4-0 SUATS as a favorite versus undefeated foes as a CFB head coach. Are you ready for the bad news? Michigan is 1-4 ATS in the second of back-to-back home games, 2-7-1 ATS as a home chalk with conference revenge, and 4-10 ATS as a Big Ten home favorite of less than 10 points. More bad news for Michigan, via positive Michigan State records, include the Spartans being 6-1 SU, coveriing seven straight in the series, and going 4-0 ATS as dogs versus conference revenge. Yes, MSU is the only team in our database to open the season with six straight wins and six straight ATS losses. Let’s see... the preseason line on this game was MSU -5.5, and all the Spartans have done is go 6-0 to start the season... now they’re 6.5-point dogs? Baloney! It’s hard not to like a conference monster taking a touchdown, especially one that is 19-1 SU in its last 20 Big Ten games, including 10 straight conference road wins. Sometimes it’s good to be a ‘Little Brother.’

PRO: CHICAGO over Detroit by 7

What’s this? Have we suddenly become Jay Cutler groupies or is it more a case of not liking the sounds coming out of Motown these days? Call it a mix of both as Cutler’s presence in the Chicago lineup has re-invigorated Da Bears, while Detroit’s 0-5 start to the season makes last year’s playoff appearance seem like a distant memory. Granted, winless teams in Game Six of the season have been profitable in the past, but not when not taking points as they’re just 3-6 SUATS as either a ‘pick’ or favorite in these games, including 1-5 SUATS since 1996. That the Lions are 2-11 ATS in the first of back-to-back division games, and 2-9 ATS as home favorites off a home game, only adds to the Motown misery. Finally, the MIDWEEK ALERT comes strong to the Bears, noting Chicago has held three of its last four opponents to season-low yards, while the Lions have surrendered season-high yards on three occasions this campaign. With that, we hand it off to The Clincher: Detroit is 2-13 SU in this series in games where it owns a win percentage of less than .200.

WASHINGTON over NY Jets by 10

You have to give it to the Redskins. They’re looking more and more like the Hogs of old, owning the league’s No. 11 ranked rush offense and the No. 12 ranked rush defense – miles ahead of last year’s unit. As a result, Washington has outgained four of its five foes this season behind the league’s 6th-ranked overall defense. That’s not to take anything away from the Jets, a vastly improved team under the direction of new head coach Todd Bowles. The Flyboys return home off a win in England over division rival Miami at just 1-8 ATS in
games when finding themselves favored against NFC opponents. The Jets are also just 8-21-1 ATS home after dueling with the Dolphins. Having a double-revenger up next with the defending Super Bowl champion New England Patriots sets the table in this live division sandwich where New York is just 3-14 ATS at home in games before the Pats when hosting a foe off a loss. Oh yeah, and then there’s The Clincher: NFL teams off a win in London are 1-7 ATS at home in their next game.

Written by John Pricci

Marc Lawrence can also be found at - One Click Handicapping
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BallHype: hype it up!

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