AUBURN over Georgia by 10

If you’re a fan of good old-fashioned head-knocking football (it’s only an expression… we don’t encourage targeting), then you need to get comfy and watch these two SEC powerhouses go at it on Saturday afternoon on CBS. The stakes are huge: a win for Auburn means the Tigers can position themselves for a winner-take-all contest against Alabama to wear the SEC West crown. Meanwhile, Georgia wants to remain unbeaten and prove they’re still hungry despite clinching the SEC East title last Saturday. With the nation’s best RB tandem in Nick Chubb and Sony Michel, it’s no surprise that Georgia is the top team in the nation in Red Zone Offense and No. 3 in 3rd Down Conversion Percentage. The heady play of QB Jake Fromm, though, has enabled the Dawgs to move from a run-heavy attack to a more balanced offense. Still, our ‘As the Noose Tightens’ SMART BOX insists we fade them, especially knowing Georgia HC Kirby Smart is 0-3 ATS as a favorite against avenging foes. The visitors also bring along some bad before-and-after numbers for today’s game, going 0-5 ATS before playing Kentucky and 1-4 ATS after facing South Carolina. Auburn head coach Gus Malzahn has lost three straight games to the Bulldogs but he excels in today’s role, going 3-0 SUATS at home with a winning record versus undefeated foes. Malzahn is also a nearperfect 7-1 ATS in his last eight tries as a conference home dog of fewer than 13 points. And while Chubb and Michel garner all the headlines for UGA, Auburn’s ‘double-deuce’ offense (averaging over 200 YPG both rushing and passing) is fully capable of trading points with the Dawgs. If you need more ammo to go against No. 1, we offer up THE CLINCHER: The Tigers are 12-2 SU and 11-3 ATS with conference revenge following consecutive wins, including 7-1 SU and 8-0 ATS versus greater than .600 opponents.


LA Chargers over Jacksonville by 10

QB Blake Bortles will be asked to step up and do something he has never done in his NFL: win three consecutive games. He is 0-2 SUATS in two previous attempts, with both losses as a favorite. Bortles is also 6-17 SU and 8-15 ATS against opponents coming off a SUATS loss, including 0-6 SUATS at home versus non-division foes in this role – losing four times straight up as a favorite. All of which ties in neatly into Bortles’ regretful 1-5 SUATS career mark as chalk in nonconference foes. You get our drift. Yes, thanks to a potent rushing attack, the Jaguars are vastly improved this campaign. But they are 0-6 SUATS in this series since 2010, and 1-9 SU and 1-8-1 ATS at home following a home game. Enter the Chargers, who are 5-1 ATS in AFC East sandwiches, and 16-3 ATS as road dogs of more than 3 points. And then there is QB Phillip Rivers’ ungodly 21-5 SU and 22-3-1 ATS career mark in games against AFC South opposition. All of which ties perfectly into THE CLINCHER: The Chargers are 26-7 SU and 28-4- 1 ATS all-time against AFC South opponents, including 7-0 ATS as underdogs of more than 3 points.