WISCONSIN over Penn State by 6

The Nittany Lions were installed as 1.5-point favorites in this game at the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas before the season started. Now, this inflated number seems to fly in the face of the Lions’ 42-7 beating at the hands of Jim Harbaugh’s Wolverines on Saturday. We understand the Badgers have underperformed but so too have the Lions, who enter on a 4-game ATS losing skein, losing the stats in each game, which makes them another ‘leaking oil’ favorite. In addition, Wisky is a stellar 5-0 ATS since 1990 when seeking triple revenge-exact. Meanwhile, since taking over for Gary Andersen after the 2014 season, head coach Paul Chryst is 40-10 SU in Madison, including 14-3 SU and 12-5 ATS away, with only 3 losses by more than 7 points. This is still a hugely important game for Bucky, as Wisconsin is tied with Purdue, just a game behind Northwestern in the Big Ten West.


NEW York Giants over SF by 7

Niners QB Nick Mullins’ debut start last week was one for the record books. His 151.9 passer rating was the second best ever (behind Marcus Mariota in 2015) for a quarterback in his first NFL game. The ex-practice squad signal-caller stunned the NFL nation when he took apart the Oakland Raiders last Thursday. Then again the Raiders are falling apart like a cheap suit these days, as their reputed “dive for draft picks” crusade is well under way. Frisco returns after Mullins’ coming out party in another prime-time affair sporting bodacious Monday Night numbers, including 12-1 ATS the last twelve. The problem we have, however, is the Niners are just 1-12 ATS as a favorite the last five years, with the only cover by Jimmy Garoppolo (now on the DL for the season). In addition, they are also 1-7 ATS against rested foes coming off consecutive losses. And while the well-rested visiting Giants aren’t much, they set up THE CLINCHER: 125 or less NFL teams with a week of rest are 19-3-1 ATS when facing an opponent coming off a win.

Detroit over CHICAGO by 3

When we find a team that scores 40 points in a game while putting up only 190 yards of offense, we’re first in line to fade them the following game. And when they are laying more points at home than they have won by in the last six years in the series, we’re prepared to snap the rubber band. The Lions enter trailing the Bears by two full games following last week’s disappointing 24-9 loss at Minnesota. Its sets this game up, though, as Detroit is 5-1 ATS following a division game in which they failed to score 10 points. On the fl ip side, Chicago is 1-6 ATS after scoring 40 or more points when facing losing foes coming off a SUATS loss. Strap on Matthew
Stafford’s 9-1 SU mark in his last ten starts in this series and we’re on our way to the window.