Wisconsin over Ohio State by 3

At first glance, it would appear that the Badgers want no part of the Buckeyes in this Discover Big Ten Championship as they are 0-5 SU and 1-3-1 ATS against Ohio State since 2010. Among those losses was a 59-0 whitewash in the 2014 title tilt which vaulted Urban Meyer’s gang past both TCU and Baylor and into the CFB Playoffs. However, a deeper look shows the Buckeyes stand 1-6 ATS versus 6-0 or greater Big Ten opposition and 2-7 ATS off a double-digit conference road win. It also pays to ‘Discover’ the power of our database as it notes: undefeated teams in conference title games are 18-10 SU since these games began in 1992, including 16-5 ATS against sub .900 opposition – which tightens to 12-2 ATS when these unbeatens surrender 16.5 or fewer PPG on the season. That’s certainly the case for the Badgers’ top-ranked stop-unit (236 YPG, 12 PPG) that is hitting on all cylinders, holding each of their last three foes to season-low yardage. Thus, we’re not about to sour on Wisky, not with dogs in this event 4-2 SU and 6-0 ATS all-time since its inception in 2011. And especially not after hearing from THE CLINCHER: The Badgers are 30-10-2 ATS as dogs of 3 or more points when owning a win percentage of .750 or greater, including 19-2-2 ATS in games in which they allow less than 19 PPG on the season.


ARIZONA over LA Rams by 7

For all the success the resurgent Rams have met with this season, remember this: they will take the fi eld today knowing they are just 3-9 ATS the last twelve games as division road favorites, including 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS against avenging foes. And you can paint the word revenge in red ink as far as head coach Bruce Arians is concerned: a 33-0 licking in London earlier this season marked the only time the Boss has been whitewashed in his NFL career. Los Angeles saunters into the desert sitting atop the NFC West having just pulled the plug on New Orleans’ 8-game win streak. And speaking of which, this comes from the all-knowing database: NFL teams who knock off a foe riding an 8-game exact win streak are just 5-8 SU and 4-8-1 ATS the following game, including 0-2 SUATS against division foes. Meanwhile, Arians is 8-2 ATS as an underdog during the month of December and also 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS in the fi nal month of the season against an opponent coming off a SUATS win. With their confi dence back following an upset win over Jacksonville last week – in which they held the Jaguars to a season-low 219 yards of offense – we close it out with THE CLINCHER: Arians is 19-8 SUATS against foes coming off a SUATS win, including 13-1 SU and 12-2 ATS at home.

CAROLINA over New Orleans by 6

All good things eventually come to an end. And they did for the super-surging Saints last week when they fell to the upstart Rams in Los Angeles, snapping an 8-game win skein. Unfortunately, for fans riding the N’Awlins carousel our well-oiled machine reports that NFL teams who lost their last game while riding an 8-game exact win streak are 0-3 SU facing a .700 or greater foe the following game. That and the fact that Carolina QB Cam Newton is 19-5 SU in his NFL career during the month of December. And we didn’t even mention that the Panthers are 6-1 ATS away off an AFC game when seeking revenge versus a division foe, as well as 6-1 ATS in the 2nd of consecutive away games with revenge. On the other side of the coin, New Orleans comes in 2-9 ATS as home favorites off an away game versus avenging division foes also off an away game. Finally, we close it out with THE CLINCHER: Carolina head coach Ron Rivera is 10-3 ATS away as an underdog when coming off a win, including 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS against sub .750 opponents.