Utah over Washington by 6

The Huskies were odds-on favorites to win this title at the start of the season at 5-to-8, while the Utes were one of the longshots at 15-1. However, after losing to both Washington and Washington State on consecutive weekends in September, the Utes caught fire by going 7-1 over the remainder of the regular season. Last Saturday’s emotional Mormon conflict against BYU in the “Holy War” found the Utes trailing 21-0 at the half, but Kyle Whittingham’s adjustments brought his team back for a 35-27 victory. The Utah head coach is now 14-3 ATS as a dog coming off an ATS loss when facing .600 or greater conference foes. Meanwhile, the Huskies’ 28-15 upset of Washington State in the snow earned them a spot in this game, and it was the ground attack that got the job done, as Myles Gaskin closed out his prolific career (over 1,000 yards on the ground in all four seasons) with 170 yards and 3 TDs against the Cougars. Our numbers definitely indicate a play on the Utes is in order, though, as Utah is 4-1 ATS as underdogs with conference revenge and 4-1-1 ATS when getting 6 points or less, while Washington is 4-6 SU and 3-7 ATS as favorites coming off a SU underdog win, plus 1-6 ATS after allowing 15 or less points. Also, don’t forget that before the Apple Cup win to get here, the Huskies were riding a 6-game ATS losing streak – all as a favorite, the role they find themselves reverting back to this week. In addition, the green machine supplies us with this nugget: dogs in College Conference Championship games with an identical win percentage are 12-2-1 ATS all-time if they are facing a foe that is not off an ATS loss of more than 4 points. We close it out with THE CLINCHER: Utah is 15-0 SU and 9-2 ATS in weekday games.

Fresno St over BOISE ST by 6

Despite being tucked away in the Boise Mountains and dwarfed by today’s Power Five matchups that will hog most of the media’s attention, this could turn out to be one of the day’s most entertaining clashes. With both squads 10-2 SU and led by outstanding quarterback play – BSU’s Brett Rypien (29 TDs, 7 INTs, 298 YPG) and FSU’s Marcus McMaryion (24 TDs, 3 INTS, 274 YPG) – we’re expecting a high-altitude barnburner. Boise State has taken the last two tightly-contested meetings between these MWC foes, beating Fresno State in last year’s championship game, 17-14, and prevailing by a 7-point margin on this fi eld as a 2-point dog three weeks ago. This isn’t new ground for either side, as the Bulldogs are making their 4th MWC Championship appearance (3-3 SU / 4-2 ATS) while the Broncos are showing up for a third time (2-0 SU). While Boise head coach Bryan Harsin has certainly done a fine job in his fi ve years with the wild horses, we can’t say enough about Fresno’s Jeff Tedford, who inherited a 1-11 squad in 2017 and has gone 20-6 SU and 17-6-1 ATS since then. Tedford is also the answer to this week’s TRIVIA TEASER on page 2, good company for his team as they’ve seen the underdog go 4-0 ATS in the last four MWC title bouts. The kudos don’t stop there: the Bulldogs are a perfect 4-0 ATS as dogs of 5 or fewer points, 9-2 ATS off a SU win / ATS loss, and 12-3-1 ATS with conference revenge. We realize the visitors are on an 0-3 ATS slide while Big Blue has covered its last three but we think the early odds-on favorite (BSU was 4-7 to win the title before the season started) will stumble on the blue turf tonight. Grab the points, and maybe a money line play if you’re so inclined.


Buffalo over MIAMI by 3

If we’re setting odds on NFL coaches making it thru the end of the season, we have Adam Gase listed as the leading candidate to get pink slipped before Black Monday. On his next resume he should list ‘run the ball on 3rd-and-10’ as his favorite offensive call. It’s what cost Miami a victory in last week’s loss at Indianapolis and the deer in the headlights look is Miami’s new face these days. Making matters worse this week, the Fish bring a 1-7 ATS mark as home favorites when hosting their seventh game of the season at Miami into this battle. They are also 3-7 SUATS the last ten games in this series. With the resurgent Bills 4-1 ATS as road dogs between home games, and fitting snugly inside this week’s INCREDIBLE STAT on page 3, it’s Bambi at his best in another choke job today.