THURSDAY: Minnesota over DETROIT by 13

If it’s Thursday, and the Lions are involved, then it’s Thanksgiving Day. And if Detroit is playing it’s worth noting they are 37-38-2 SU all-time on Turkey Day, including 4-0 SU and ATS the last 4 years (defeated the Vikings here last year, 16-13). That’s where the good news ends for the men from Motown, though, as all NFL favorites on this traditional holiday are 51-14 SU and 42-22-1 ATS in games since 1990. Worse, the Lions are 0-6 ATS in division games when coming off a division game, as well as 0-5 ATS coming off an away game versus an opponent coming off a home game. Enter the surging Vikings, a club that has been outstatted only one time this season, as well as having allowed no sacks over the last fi ve contests. Minnesota is 4-2 SUATS on Thanksgiving Day since 1987. They are also 18-7- 1 ATS in this series with revenge (lost 14-7 at home six weeks ago to the Lions), including 8-2 ATS away. And then there is Detroit QB Matthew Stafford who is just 3-9 ATS in his NFL career following consecutive wins when facing a division opponent. We wrap up this Turkey Day delight up with THE CLINCHER: NFL division teams seeking triple revenge-exact (the Vikings) are 16-4 ATS when coming off consecutive SUATS wins, including 14-1 ATS before Game 15 of the season.



College

Mississippi over MISSISSIPPI ST by 1

It may be Thanksgiving but we could have plenty of ‘Egg’ on our face if the Rebels perform like the oddsmakers say they will – as 16-point underdogs who are just playing out the string. Yes, win or lose, the 5-6 Rebels won’t go partying for a second straight season due to self-imposed bowl sanctions. But revenge from last season’s 55-20 beating – their worst loss in the series since 1916 – provides plenty of motivation. We also can’t overlook Johnny Reb’s 15-3 SU and 14-4 ATS mark in this series when scoring 21 or more points (Mississippi is averaging over 33 PPG this season against conference foes not named Alabama). Or the fact that an Egg Bowl win in Starkville would be tastier than any pre-New Year’s Day bowl victory would be. Couple that with Missy State’s 11-25 ATS log at home against sub .600 avenging foes, including 0-5 ATS the last fi ve, and you may not even need THE CLINCHER: Ole Miss is 12-4 SU and 11-4-1 ATS in this series with revenge, including 9-1 SUATS when they own a win percentage of more than .400.

NFL

Denver over OAKLAND by 6


How bad have things been in Denver this season, you ask? You have to look back 27 years to 1990 to fi nd the last time they lost 6 consecutive games. So bad that OC Mike McCoy got the boot this week. And so bad that they even fi nd themselves in the AFC West cellar, one game behind the Chargers and Raiders. The key in this contest is the last sentence, as Oakland is having troubles of its own. So much so that Denver brings the better offense and the better defense into this fray. And to the point that the Broncos own the league’s No. 3 overall defense. So why is it that Denver is No. 26 in points allowed? Because of their -16 in net TOs, that’s why. Denver is, however, 9-0 ATS as dog in the fi rst of consecutive away games following a non-division game. On the other side of the coin, the Raiders are 2-9-1 ATS in this series, including 1-5 ATS the last 6 games at home. Toss in the fact that Oakland QB Derek Carr is 0-3 ATS in his career as a division favorite and we’ll back the Wild Horses knowing that NFL teams on a 0-6 SUATS slide are 23-8-1 ATS in games against .500 or less opponents coming off a loss. And lest we forget, there is also THE CLINCHER: Oakland is 0-11 ATS as a favorite against double avenging foes.