Nebraska over Wisconsin by 8

With the Badgers in the last leg of a stretch that has found them taking on three consecutive opponents (Michigan, Ohio State and Iowa) that are a combined 18-4 on the season – and possibly looking ahead to a double revenger with Northwestern next week – expect them to wear down against the undefeated and highly-motivated Silk tonight. Add the fact that Nebraska is 4-1 ATS as a conference dog of 8 or less points while Wisconsin is just 3-7 ATS as home chalk by the same numbers, plus Bucky is a tired 1-3 ATS at home versus Big Ten revenge. The pissed-off Huskers rank behind 1-loss Louisville and Ohio State in the AP poll as they continue to earn little respect despite the fact they are 7-0. In addition, head coach Mike Riley chips in as the answer to this week’s TRIVIA TEASER (see page 2). But as always, it’s the well-oiled machine that supplies THE CLINCHER: 5-0 or greater college football dogs of 14 or less points who allow 19 or fewer PPG on the season are 30-6 ATS since 1980 when facing a foe off back-to-back ATS wins that won 10 or fewer games last season.

Purdue over Penn State by 3

A sea of white came gushing on to the fi eld at Happy Valley following the Lions’ stunning upset of Ohio State last week... and with it an obvious letdown situation is in order today. HC James Franklin spent a short time savoring the victory, his fi rst win over a Top 25 team since arriving at Penn State in 2014. Now, the Lions have moved into the AP Top 25 themselves for the fi rst time since 2011, and with the abrupt decline of Sparty this season, the remaining schedule for the Nittany Lions is fi lled with fi ve winnable games and a possible 10-2 record on the horizon. Who would have believed it? Unfortunately, the Lions are 0-5-1 ATS as favorites away from State College behind Franklin, and 0-3 ATS as road chalk since 1983 following a SU home underdog win. They will match up with a Purdue team that fought hard in a gutty loss to Nebraska last week in the fi rst contest following the dismissal of Darrell Hazell. The strange thing is that despite the pink slip issued to their head coach, the Boilers need just three wins in their fi nal fi ve games to make themselves bowl-eligible. Taking advantage of a Penn State here today in the Mother of all Letdowns would be a good start.


GREEN BAY over Atlanta by 8

Hooray. After 15 straight games, Packers QB Aaron Rodgers fi nally surpassed the 300-yards passing plateau in last Thursday’s game against the Chicago Bears. And that sets the table for this showdown, as Green Bay is 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS in games with a winning record following a game on Thursday. Speaking of Rodgers, he brings a 17-7 SUATS career mark into this fray in games against foes off a SU favorite loss, including 10-2 SUATS when the Packers sport a win percentage of .666 or less on the season. His counterpart, Matt Ryan, checks in at 1-4 SU and 0-4-1 ATS in his last fi ve starts versus NFC North opponents. With the Falcons quickly coming back to earth with a pair of losses – and a similar pattern to last year looking like it’s in full effect again this season (Atlanta went 3-8 out following a 5-0 start under Dan Quinn in 2015, and now 0-2 after beginning 4-1 in 2016) – we quickly turn to THE CLINCHER: The dog in Falcons’ games with Quinn is 20-3 ATS.