Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence has authored thousands of articles expounding on the three primary forms of sports handicapping: Fundamental, Statistical and Technical. To be a successful handicapper, blending all three forms of analysis into the handicapping equation. Marc relies heavily on a proprietary powerful database of scores, stats and results of games played since 1980, both College and Pro Football and College and Pro Basketball.

Marc has been handicapping sports professionally since 1975, having won more documented Top 10 Handicapping Achievement awards than any handicapper in the nation. He won the 2005 STARDUST FOOTBALL INVITATIONAL Contest and was a SEMI-FINALIST in the 2006 $100,000 LEROYS' MONEY TALKS Contest last season. He finished the 2006 season as the No. 1 handicapper in the NFL as documented by SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. Marc also finished No. 1 in the nation in College Football win percentage in 2005 as documented by both the SPORTS MONITOR in Oklahoma and SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. He was named HANDICAPPER OF THE YEAR in 2005 by FOOTBALL NEWS.

In 2008, he finished No. 1 in NFL win percentage according to SPORTS WATCH and also captured 1st place honors in the 2008 PLAYBOOK WISE GUYS CONTEST.

Marc has hosted a national radio show "MARC LAWRENCE AGAINST THE SPREAD" for each of the last 16 years on over 100 stations syndicated in the USA. He is a tireless handicapper who works a minimum 60-hour week during the football and basketball seasons. As a handicapper he firmly believes that three things can happen when you bet an underdog, and two of them are good. He enjoys helping others to become better informed.

Marc married his high school sweetheart 40 years ago and has one son, Marc Jr., who works with him in the industry. Aside from publishing the PLAYBOOK Football Yearbook magazine and Weekly Newsletters, Marc enjoys golf and horse racing.

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Thursday, September 15, 2016

College & Pro Underdog Best Bets September 16


So begins the next chapter in Michigan State football… let’s call it ‘AC’ (after Cook). In Sparty’s season opener against Furman, it looked like things would be FUBAR without graduated signal caller extraordinaire, Connor Cook. But new QB Tyler O’Conner kept throwing and three TDs later, MSU closed out the pesky Paladins, 28-13. Now it’s time for bigger business, and our database dutifully shares the Spartans’ 6-0 ATS mark before playing Wisconsin, along with a 10-2-1 ATS success when playing off an unlined home win. Need we mention that Sparty is looking to avenge three straight losses in this series? What we fi nd especially appealing is MSU head coach Mark Dantonio’s record in away games – where his teams have managed to win SU in 35 of 65 games – and his 17-6-1 ATS record when facing a foe off a SUATS win (he’s also 5-1 SUATS as a dog when playing with rest). Yes, the Irish punished Nevada last week in front of Touchdown Jesus to chase away memories of their OT loss to Texas, but the well-oiled machine won’t be giving out ATS party favors to the Golden Domers tonight. Brian Kelly’s boys are a dismal 0-5 ATS at home versus a rested opponent, 2-12 ATS as chalk of more than 6 points versus a Big Ten foe, and just 2-6 in the second of three straight games at Notre Dame Stadium. Yikes! If our AWESOME ANGLE on page 2 doesn’t do it for you, there’s always THE CLINCHER: MSU coach Dantonio is 8-0-1 ATS in his career away in games off a win when seeking revenge agaisnt an opponent off a win – including a 17-14 victory as a 16.5-point dog behind O’Conner at Ohio State last year.


INDIANAPOLIS over Denver by 10

Safe to say the Broncos are coming off their most satisfying wins in franchise history, with back-to-back victories over Cam Newton and the Panthers in the last year’s Super Bowl 50 and this year’s season opener this past week. Meanwhile, the Broncos are just 1-8 SU and 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games in this series. In addition, Denver is just 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS as a favorite in games off a win when tackling the AFC South. Enter Andrew Luck and his 9-4 SU and 10-3 ATS log as a dog of less than 7 points in this league. More important our sister publication, the MIDWEEK ALERT (which debuts next week) points out this a classic ‘double-inside-out’ affair, meaning Indy lost the game but won the stats while Denver won the game yet lost the stats in each of their contests last week. The Colts’ 6-0 ATS mark against the AFC West, and the Broncos’ 0-5-1 ATS ledger in their 2nd home games cements it. And lest we forget, there is always THE CLINCHER: Colts QB Luck is 16-4 SUATS in games off a loss in his NFL career, including 7-1 SUATS away.

Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at - One Click Handicapping
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Friday, September 09, 2016

Marc Lawrence College & Pro Upsets Weekend 1

Rice over ARMY by 6

...Our INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK expects an about-face considering the Cadets are 0-18 SU and 4-14 ATS in games off a SU win (upset Temple last Saturday) since 2010. They are also a winless 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS in this series since 2006 – taking points in each of the last three contests. Yes, Army took ‘offense’ to our comments that we wouldn’t trust them facing ISIS on the road, scoring 28 points in the surprise win, but they may actually be in a more precarious position today in West point as: non-conference favorites in Game Two of the season, off a SU win as a dog of 10 or more points in Game One, are just 4-12-1 ATS since 1980. In addition, Rice returns 16 starters and is 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS in games off its initial loss of the season over the last six years. And though these Owls don’t appear as wise as the ones from Temple, they benefit from the fact that the hosts fall prey to THE CLINCHER: Army is 4-18 as favorites of more than 7 points, including 0-6 ATS versus a foe that won five or more games the previous season.


SAN DIEGO over Kansas City by 6

Despite finishing the season with positive overall stats, the Bolts were swept in all six of their division contests last season. That’s not good news for the AFC West this year, as NFL teams suffering this fate have gone 86-59-2 ATS in division games the following season since 1999. All of which sets the table for this opening day payback. QB Philip Rivers, who engineered an offense that improved 30 YPG last season, reunites with former OC Ken Whisenhunt – which should work wonders on Rivers’ gaudy 10-2-1 ATS career mark as a road dog in division games. On the other side of the coin, Kansas City has gone ‘over’ its season win total each of the last 3 years and, as a result, has endeared itself to its backers. What wasn’t endearing to us was their 10-game win skein last season, after a 1-5 start. It included victories against the Steelers without Big Ben; over the Lions in London; the Broncos in Peyton Manning’s worst game of his career; against this same San Diego squad without 5 OL starters; the Raiders thanks to three 4Q picks by Derek Carr; the Ravens with Jimmy Clausen behind center; and the Browns in a game in which Cleveland outstatted the Chiefs by 100 yards. In the final tally, they had just TWO WINS versus winning foes throughout the course of the fortuitous run. Toss Chiefs head coach Andy Reid’s 5-10 SU and 5-9-1 ATS mark in home openers into the mix and you understand our stance in this contest.

Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at - One Click Handicapping
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Thursday, January 07, 2016

Marc Lawrence NFL Wildcard Upsets

HOUSTON over KC by 4

This year’s playoffs mark the 19th consecutive year at least four new teams will be joining the festivities, with Houston and Kansas City representing two of the four new kids on the block. The Texans managed to hold six foes to season-low yards this year, including four of the last seven games. Bill Barnwell of ESPN notes that Houston turned the ball over 10 times in its first five games, but since going back to QB Brian Hoyer for good as the starter in Week 6, the Texans have just 10 giveaways in their concluding 11 games. And Hoyer is the key as he is 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in this NFL career in games versus opponents off back-to-back wins. The Chiefs enter riding a season-best 10-game win skein despite outyarding foes by only 11 YPG during the streak. Couple KC’s 2-8 SU and 0-10 ATS mark in its last ten Wild Card round games, along with head coach Andy Reid’s rotten 2-9 SU and 3-8 ATS effort in his playoff career versus an opponent off back-to-back wins – including 0-5 ATS
as a favorite – and suddenly the points become the play with this better offensive and defensive home dog.

CINCINNATI over Pittsburgh by 3

It appears the Bengals will be relying on AJ to A.J. in this division rivalry rematch with the condition of starting QB Andy Dalton’s injured thumb still up in the air (cast came off Monday – check status reports). That’s not good news considering Cincinnati has yet to eclipse 295 total yards in any of McCarron’s three starts. Rest assured there is no love lost between these two Ohio River rivals. Not only did Dalton suffered his thumb injury against Pittsburgh in their last meeting, a 33-20 win here by the Steelers, the game was so ugly that nearly $120K in fi nes were levied against the players. Good news for the Steel Curtain is its 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS record in the last 10 non-Super Bowl postseason games, and also a 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in playoff games versus division opponents
since 1989. Put alongside the Bengals’ recent postseason failures (0-6 SUATS last six playoff games), it practically looks like a closed case for the Pittsburghers. We’re not buying it, though. At least not until the redheaded rifle’s status is confirmed… and certainly not with playoff home dogs standing 9-3-1 ATS in games in which they own the better record.

Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at - One Click Handicapping
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