Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence has authored thousands of articles expounding on the three primary forms of sports handicapping: Fundamental, Statistical and Technical. To be a successful handicapper, blending all three forms of analysis into the handicapping equation. Marc relies heavily on a proprietary powerful database of scores, stats and results of games played since 1980, both College and Pro Football and College and Pro Basketball.

Marc has been handicapping sports professionally since 1975, having won more documented Top 10 Handicapping Achievement awards than any handicapper in the nation. He won the 2005 STARDUST FOOTBALL INVITATIONAL Contest and was a SEMI-FINALIST in the 2006 $100,000 LEROYS' MONEY TALKS Contest last season. He finished the 2006 season as the No. 1 handicapper in the NFL as documented by SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. Marc also finished No. 1 in the nation in College Football win percentage in 2005 as documented by both the SPORTS MONITOR in Oklahoma and SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. He was named HANDICAPPER OF THE YEAR in 2005 by FOOTBALL NEWS.

In 2008, he finished No. 1 in NFL win percentage according to SPORTS WATCH and also captured 1st place honors in the 2008 PLAYBOOK WISE GUYS CONTEST.

Marc has hosted a national radio show "MARC LAWRENCE AGAINST THE SPREAD" for each of the last 16 years on over 100 stations syndicated in the USA. He is a tireless handicapper who works a minimum 60-hour week during the football and basketball seasons. As a handicapper he firmly believes that three things can happen when you bet an underdog, and two of them are good. He enjoys helping others to become better informed.

Marc married his high school sweetheart 40 years ago and has one son, Marc Jr., who works with him in the industry. Aside from publishing the PLAYBOOK Football Yearbook magazine and Weekly Newsletters, Marc enjoys golf and horse racing.

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Tuesday, May 10, 2011


NBA RUNNER-UPS Back in the Playoff Waters


Nowadays everyone is familiar with the term’ Super Bowl loser’.

Simply out, these are teams that made it to the NFL Super Bowl game but failed to win the trophy.

The one common denominator of these teams is they have struggled, both straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS), the following season.

Thanks to my powerful database, I explored the same school of thought with NBA teams that made it to, but lost, in the Championship series. More specifically, how these have fared in the post season the following year.

The results were interesting, to say the least. Presented below are four situations that warrant attention when it comes to backing defending runner-ups in the playoffs. All results are from 1991 through last season.



RESTED FOES CAUSE WOES
Rest can be a killer when opposing teams happen to be the beneficiary, especially for these defending losers.

That’s because these teams are 13-29-1 ATS when playing facing an opponent playing with three or more days of rest, including 5-15-1 ATS when the runner-ups are playing off a SU and ATS win.

TWICE IS ENOUGH
These defending losers don’t like it when they’ve been beat two times in a row.

That’s confirmed by their 17-12 ATS overall mark in games when playing off back-to-back defeats, including 13-5 ATS when they are on their home court.

A DOZEN WILL DO
Defending runner-ups do not like it when they’ve suffered a bad beating, and it shows.

These guys are a highly profitable 19-8-1 ATS in playoff games off a loss of 12 or more points, including 12-4 ATS at home. FYI: they are on a nice 6-0 SU and ATS run in this role the last three years.

WORST IN SHOW
Let a defending loser pull the rug out on an opponent as an underdog and watch their tail stop wagging.

These teams are 10-18-2 ATS off a SU underdog playoff win, including 4-11 ATS at home.

There you have it. A quick look into some of the do’s and don’ts when it comes to ‘playing on’ or ‘playing against’ defending NBA Championship game losers.

Keep a close on the Boston Celtics this season and play accordingly.


Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at Playbook.com - One Click Handicapping
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