Sunday, February 21, 2016
Perspective in Saturday’s Gulfstream Feature
HALLANDALE BEACH, FL., February 21, 2016—Today’s lead story was supposed to be all about the Risen Star Stakes but that’s secondary compared to the events which transpired during the running of yesterday’s nominal feature race at Gulfstream Park.
Easy to say from the safety of the press box, this was as chilling a spill as one might see, the incident occurring at headstretch during Saturday’s Melody of Colors turf sprint stakes. Joel Rosario and Rafael Hernandez are fortunate they will “only” be sidelined five or six weeks. It could have been much, much worse.
Following a spill, jocks are taught to stay down and not move until help arrives. But in the immediate aftermath of seeing horses and jockeys collide and get tossed around every which way, none of the riders, including a third, Edgard Zayas, moved for what seemed like forever.
Unfortunately, the accident did take the life of Rosario’s mount, three-year-old filly Kandoo.
Hernandez, like Zayas, who also rode consecutive winners on the card, got the worst of it with several broken ribs and a broken clavicle and will be hospitalized for the next few days. Agent Cliff Collier clarified, saying there was “no damage to the spine.”
Rosario, Gulfstream’s fifth leading rider with a win percentage of 18, second only to Javier Castellano’s preponderance of favorite-aided 22% efficiency, will have a plate inserted Monday to repair a broken wrist. Zayas, off his Sunday mounts, is scheduled to return Wednesday.
Anyone who watched the spill unfold knows that all three were lucky to survive. Rosario’s riding helmet was split in two and it “probably saved his life,” agent Ron Anderson told Gulfstream Park press staffers.
Call it karma or whatever but it is ironic that Rosario’s injury came at the end of a week when it was learned Ramon Dominguez, forced into premature retirement, the result of a traumatic brain injury in 2013, is eligible for inclusion on this year’s Hall of Fame ballot. Dominguez’ helmet was crushed, too, and, like Rosario, is lucky to be alive.
Indeed, HRI has learned that Dominguez’s skull was fractured all the way around and so the helmet did its job in 2013 and again Saturday at Gulfstream by diffusing the blunt force of the impact. Concussions, however, are another issue.
On TVG Saturday, co-host and trainer Ron Ellis spoke of concussions in football relative to recent NFL storylines, and how racing is behind the times when it comes to researching new technologies that can help reduce post-traumatic effects of concussed jockeys.
Some tracks currently are talking about conducting brain scans before it provides jockeys with a license to ride. Since discoveries relative to chronic traumatic encephalopathy are learned post-mortem, establishing a baseline makes sense in terms of future discovery.
All this is fact-of-life, business-as-usual for riders, the only athletes who’s every move on the job is followed by an ambulance trailing them all the way from flag-fall to finish.
Ellis also made the point that while other paid athletes can take their time convalescing from injuries given guaranteed contracts, jockeys are independent contractors who don’t earn when forced to remain on the ground.
Jockeys don’t think about the dangers associated with their jobs because if they did they’d never do the job effectively. Fans and bettors hardly ever give these issues a second thought when placing their bets.
And that was the case Saturday at Gulfstream, until a near tragedy once again loomed as a jockey’s co-pilot.
BETS N’ PIECES:
Asmussen Had Gun Runner Loaded
: Good training job to get Gun Runner
to win off the bench in a good workmanlike Risen Star performance, one that should move him forward toward Louisville with continued development. It was great ride from Florent Geroux
, his fourth win on the card…
What amazes is, considering Fair Grounds’ truncated racing schedule and lower than prime-time purses, Geroux is third in wins and money this year according to TVG
reports. Geroux understood that the inside was really live at the Fair Grounds yesterday and took full advantage. Parenthetically, the HRI Derby Power 10
will make it's 2016 debut next week.
The Eagle Has Lost: Neil Howard
trainee was beaten by a loose leading, rail running Majestic Harbor; Cinco Charlie
went wire to wire from the pole beneath Geroux; the $150 upsetter Venus Valentine
rallied up the fence with Corey Lanerie
and Risen Star runnerup Forevamo
benefitted from an inside, tip-out trip. As the race was run, troubled Mo Tom
was probably best; see replay…
There was another unfortunate accident 3,000 miles from Gulfstream in which jockey Kyle Frey
suffered left-leg and right-arm fractures in a fifth-race incident at Golden Gate Fields. Frey is third in the standings and a former Eclipse-winning apprentice…
D.C. International Redux?
A bill in the Maryland House of Representatives would transfer 1.1 million lottery dollars to horse racing, of which $500,000 would be earmarked for a new “Maryland International,” intended as a prep for the Breeders’ Cup Turf. It would be a shot across the bow of Belmont Park’s Joe Hirsch Turf Classic…
Speaking of rejuvenating Maryland stakes of yore, the Free State still runs the John B Campbell Handicap. Once a storied fixture, it was run last weekend as a $75,000 ungraded overnight stakes. It deserves better.
Back in the day, the race named for legendary racing secretary John Blanks Campbel
l was won by Kelso, Mongo
, the great race-mares Tosmah
and Relaxing, Skip Trial
Throw some of that lottery money at this once big-time event and someday it may earn its graded status back. Scheduling could be a bit trickier; unlike the Turf Classic, might not want to run afoul of the Jockey Club Gold Cup.
Written by John Pricci
Sunday, February 14, 2016
The Davis, Tepin and Tampa in Winning Performances
OLDSMAR, FL.,February, 14, 2016--A little hard to imagine or, perhaps, not so much, but Tom Jicha and I drove 4 hours north via Alligator Alley only to see Todd Pletcher emerge with another multi-victory Saturday, including the Sam F. Davis Memorial, the focal point of our visit.
That, and to invest loyal support of bettor friendly Tampa Bay Downs. We had a great weekend, even if it turned out to be a tad expensive--if you catch my meaning.
Following the running of the Davis, we sidled up to Mark Casse who was watching the race replay and it was hard for him to hide his disappointment with the effort turned in by Whatawonderflworld, fresh off his victory in the Ocala Breeders’ Championship.
“Maybe he’s just not ready for these horses yet,” Casse said, more of a question to himself than an answer to me query. And what the mare, he was asked.
“She’s doing great,” Casse said of Tepin, the 2015 Filly and Mare Turf Champion. “She’s fit enough to race but she’s not 100 ready to give her best.” It was suggested that at 80 percent, maybe that’s all it would take to get her job done.
As disappointed as he was in the effort of his Davis colt, how could he not be pleased with Tepin’s Endeavour performance? Indeed, how could any of her fans? Or putting it another way: Hard to imagine the kind of season she could have if she needed this run.
In a wow performance, Tepin stalked the soft pace of loose-leading Lovely Loyree, accelerated upon Julien Leparoux’s request, matched a few strides then exploded. With a dazzling display of foot, she won the 1-1/16 miles in 1:42.91 with a final sixteenth of 5.40, ridden out to win by 3-1/2 widening lengths.
By way of comparison, male Reload, finishing fast late off a half-mile pace of 46.65--compared to the Endeavor’s split in 50.17--Tepin’s final time was only 2.76 seconds slower than Reload’s 1.40.15 in the Tampa Stakes, a move that required a final sixteenth in an all-out 5.97.
In the Davis, Destin turned his rally-too-late, fourth-place finish in Fair Grounds’ Le Comte into a 2-1/4 length score over seasonal-debuting Rafting who clearly endured tougher circumstances.
Taking nothing from Destin’s effort, raced in 1:43.67 for 1-1/16 miles over Tampa’s demanding surface and proving he is better than previously rated, I will bet on Rafting again should both colts return for the Tampa Bay Derby.
The running time was 13/100s off General Quarters’ stakes record set in 2009. The victory, Pletcher’s third of the day, was the trainer’s sixth Davis.
Noted in the official chart, Rafting’s bump was more of a light kiss. Rafting is tactical enough to be in any distance race from the start but he wound up at the back of the pack on the first turn. Victimized of circumstances, Edgar Prado was compelled to rate wide while near last throughout.
Johnny Velazquez, rating in the 3-path throughout himself, got the jump on Edgar with a 3-wide surge while Prado simultaneously tried a 4-wide balcony move, showing a better turn of foot at that juncture. But the momentum carried Rafting into the slower going at headstretch.
Shortly thereafter, Rafting, apparently fatigued, lost momentum and, despite Prado’s efforts, never switched over to his correct right lead. Parenthetically, the rating-wide-backstretch tack didn’t work all afternoon.
Parenthetically, if/when you put Rafting in your stable-mail, add Pancoast show-finisher, seasons-debut-making Smart Shopping, a winner of her only start at 2. She must be a good one as Robby Albarado shipped in for the re-ride, his only mount on the Tampa card.
Speaking of three-year-olds, Saturday was stablemates day. Juvenile champion Nyquist, who makes his 2015 debut in Monday’s San Vicente, has a talented mate in Frank Conversation, who completed the California Derby/El Camino Real Derby double at Golden Gate Fields.
However, it was Rafting’s mate Kasseopia who made the more lasting impression. Working in company with Rafting this winter, the Graham Motion import was sent to NoCal to avoid the Davis and get back on a synthetic track over which he broke maiden at Kempton last year.
Making his 2015 debut at nine furlongs, he broke so slowly it appeared more like he half-dwelt. After that, he raced in the 5-path the rest of the way, made a 6-path balcony sweep on the final turn and continued courageously to win a show photo behind Frank Conversation and his El Camino stablemate, Tusk.
The Champ is back.
There was much to be learned from Saturday’s racing, with three horses to watch and bet back in the right spot next time. Meanwhile, 122 horses have been entered on Gulfstream’s Presidents Day 12-race card, plus the San Vicente and Southwest.
Thank you Presidents Washington, Lincoln, et.al, for not closing ATM windows on Monday.
TAMPA BAY ROLLS ON:
While not in South Florida’s racing league, the Northern Florida track known for its bettor friendly takeout rates remains one of the most popular simulcast signals in the country.
With winter racing frozen out in New York, both Florida tracks figured to have good days based on traditional metrics and they did. Gulfstream handled $15.1 while $9.5 was wagered at Tampa. Both figures are from all sources and each held 12-race programs.
What is a tad surprising however is that, despite losing 22 turf races to a colder and wetter Tampa winter, and with two less days of racing and resultantly smaller fields, year-over-year handle is up 2.6% at $4.149 daily.
This is yet another lesson for American racetracks who fail to heed the lessons of competitive pricing.
Despite higher takeout rates in straight and vertical pools relative to the best of the best, Tampa Bay Downs still ranks 6th of 62 tracks continent-wide due to fair-pricing practices in virtually all horizontals, according to the Horseplayers Association of North America.
Written by John Pricci
Tuesday, February 09, 2016
Not So Super
HALLANDALE, BEACH, FL., February, 9, 2016—I don’t usually wander off message, knowing the HRI Faithful doesn’t like it when I do, but even straight-laced Newsday permitted me to write a Super Bowl column as its public-handicapper-in-residence.
Whenever I stray into NFL-speak, I recall what Andrew Beyer once said to me about the Super Bowl. “I consider it my patriotic duty to bet the game,” he said. And that was long before the Air Force buzzed stadiums and mega-stars replaced marching bands at halftime.
From a handicapping perspective, I had no feeling for Sunday’s game and said so last week to the best sports handicappers I know: Trainer John Parisella, HRI’s own Tom Jicha and two New England best-buds, Vin O and Tony P. All liked the Broncos, as did sports maven Marc Lawrence.
But I saw no way the Broncos could outscore the Panthers. And Carolina had a strong defense, too, just not #1: I’ve been a defense-first guy ever since the New York Jets beat the mighty Baltimore Colts in Supe III, the day I married Toni Bresha, January 12, 1969.
I’m embarrassed to admit this but it’s true: I made a token $10 bet on Carolina to win the first half at -3½. I bet sports for entertainment, bragging rights, not for income. If critics want to say I bet this game “like a little bitch,” I’d be defenseless.
Speaking of defense, Denver’s was much faster than I anticipated but neither did I hear too many geniuses observe that beforehand. Then again my TV was set to TVG, not the NFL Network.
Bottom line: The best team on the day won.
But Carolina would win seven or eight of 10 match-ups if the current teams brought their ‘A’ games. So, the best team lost this day. Just like in horse racing, it happens. You accept loss as a fact of life and move on.
Most often, TJ and I agree to disagree. He hates instant replay; I think it’s a must-see TV. The idea is to get the best call possible, in a perfect world, get it right. Well they didn’t get it right on Carolina’s first challenge, a significant turning point in the game.
This observation has nothing to do about whether Carolina would have continued the drive and scored; that’s not knowable. But realizing that the future changes given a pivotal moment is not up for discussion.
How they got it wrong remains unfathomable to me, and I get the meaning of “inconclusive.” But I’m still waiting for the ball to touch the turf. This new “in control” interpretation is what’s inconclusive; I don’t even know what a catch is supposed to look like anymore.
“I agree [it changed the course of the game],” TJ said Monday morning. “If you want to bolster your argument, both Denver touchdowns were on drives of four yards and zero yards.”
That’s why I hang with TJ; when he’s right--i.e. agrees with me--he’s right. But I knew my 10-spot was in trouble before that, pre-anthem in fact. Parenthetically, Lady Gaga’s rendering in today’s language was amazing; awesome.
Loose-as-a-goose Cam Newton appeared very tight on the sidelines; that seemed obvious. I, too, have a breathing technique for relaxing in stressful situations, but Newton’s breathing was labored, his more about exhaustion than exhalation.
I flashed back to the unflappable Derek Jeter fielding grounders in his final Yankee Stadium inning. That’s the good news and bad news when adrenaline meets emotion. This was underscored when Newton’s early passes sailed over the heads of his receivers.
I also think that Newton played hurt, especially late in the game, the reason why he didn't dive for the ball prior to Denver’s second touchdown. Nance and Simms called a good technical game but were not particularly perceptive.
Neither discussed Carolina’s failed first challenge until the second half---after the network’s half-time analysis. Simms mentioned that Newton took a big hit early in the game, reaching for his shoulder as he later approached the scrimmage line.
Aside from Ted Ginn, who has a reputation for fumbling, no one else made plays besides Newton, that long jump-ball reception downfield notwithstanding. It was other players who fumbled; no one stepped up.
There were something like six procedure penalties, how many dropped balls? There was a missed, makeable field goal and no halftime adjustments? However, I’m not sure what Coach could have done; maybe there’s just was no way to game-plan superior speed.
But Ron Rivera never touched the ball; this was a total defeat by his team. The young QB did not have his best game but the seemingly inevitable outcome remained interesting only because of Newton’s unique athletic talent at his position.
We were happy that classy, legendary Peyton Manning went out a winner but also because he is the ultimate team player, one who shows respect for teammates, coaches and rivals alike. And that brings us to Cam Newton’s post-game behavior.
As if this bears repeating, I’m old school; tolerant of but incapable of embracing playing-field celebrations, smack talking, et al. I understand it; different times, different generations, different cultures. But I don’t have to like it.
Being hypocritical is never acceptable. Marshall Faulk said that he too lost a Super Bowl and knows how sick Cam Newton felt inside, but that he owes it to the game to sit there and field questions. But Faulk was older, more mature when he lost the big game.
And I’m sure he’s never tried to interview Charlie Whittingham or Tom Proctor or Frank Whiteley Jr. or Steve Asmussen after a tough beat. Under those circumstances, Faulk would have been fortunate if all they did was walk away.
And the chutzpah of fellow NFL Network analysts Deion Sanders and Michael Irvin to chime in as if they were choir boys in their playing days. Where’s the perspective guys? I’m not condoning what Newton did, I’m only saying I‘m empathic and that young people make mistakes.
Speaking for myself, I don’t know how I might have reacted were I were a 26-year-old black man who, after being named the NFL’s Most Valuable Player 24 hours earlier failed everyone including himself on his sport’s biggest stage.
Cam Newton appeared angry with how game events unfolded and didn’t make locker room thoughts public in the heat of the moment. He looked into the abyss and found no one staring back except people with microphones and notepads, incapable of staying out of the void.
Newton looked into one of sport’s brightest spotlights and blinked. It happens. You acknowledge it, rededicate yourself, and move on.
PILLOWS OF INTEGRITY:
The New York Gaming Commission puts on a Belmont Stakes/Travers dog-and-pony, over-the-top, photo-op of what heightened security looks like, decries practices that put horses and riders at risk, then last week adopts a rule eliminating universal post-race testing of claimed horses, suggesting instead that new owners request a post-race test on Claim Forms at $150 per exam.
Claimant’s fees would be waved in the event a claimed horse is already subject to mandatory testing but horsemen requesting post-race tests should have funds available on account when their request is made. Here’s an idea: Since state racing officials are paid from parimutuel takeout, why not pay those workers out of the state’s budget, already subsidized in part by horseplayers, and take the $150 fee from the rake? That way horseplayers would know where the money is going.
BYK FIRESTORM BETTER LATE:
Interesting that many racing fans are just beginning to learn what kind of industry flack Sirius Radio’s Steve Byk is. Byk recently has attacked Dinny Phipps, a stance popular with leaders of the New York Thoroughbred Horsemen’s Association, the basis of which is, of course, Lasix-related.
Byk also condemned Water, Hay and Oats Association in thinly veiled fashion, explaining that influential owners force horsemen into taking positions the trainers know are wrong and, my personal favorite, how the industry should organize a sustained attack campaign on perceived negative media types, bloggers and horseplayer activists.
But there’s no need for any of the industry’s alphabet groups to concern themselves with all this, not when they already have someone like Byk cheerfully doing their bidding.
Written by John Pricci