And gambling America loves ‘America’s Race’ card, too. All-sources wagering was up a whopping 13.2 percent to $187-million; heady numbers considering the game’s recent travails and an economy that’s improved but far from back to pre-crash levels. A record $113-million was bet on the Derby alone.
But the numbers could have been better were it not for shortsightedness and greed. I’m sure Churchill Downs Inc. will say Dime Superfectas are not available on Derby weekend because it would mean chaos at the betting windows, the tourists creating insanely long lines and shut-outs; counter-productive.
But there are ways around this, such as additional self-service machines specifically dedicated to Dime Super wagering, or designated windows at the end of each betting bay for Dime Super betting only.
If it wasn’t about greed why would the minimum Super bet go from a dime to a dollar on the two biggest days of the year including the Breeders’ Cup championships? Here’s an example of how CDI Inc. cost its shareholders, and one horseplayer, money.
I consider myself an average bettor, big by $2 standards, guppy-like when compared to the whales. As such, I try to be in as many of my preferred pools possible, considering each event part of a wagering portfolio.
In the main, a typical race wager would include win, exacta, and Dime Supers. My bankroll generally can accommodate handle of from $40 to $60 per race, as much as 50 percent more on a handful of preferred bets.
The lack of Dime Supers, available at Churchill since 2007, cost me a minimum of $387 on Oaks day alone. And that amount doesn’t include churn, a concept many industry leaders, including horsemen, fail to grasp when they think it’s time to raise the takeout.
I didn’t have a strong opinion about the Oaks but I did have what I thought were good ideas earlier, in the Eight Belles and Edgewood Stakes. The Eight Belles was a sprint for 3-year-old fillies and the exacta of Contested (even) and Good Money (3-1) appeared to be a cold proposition.
I rarely bet even-money shots to win. Instead I hope optimize the odds in the multiple pools. First would come a one-way exacta and next the superfectas using the “all button” in the third and fourth positions and second and fourth positions.
(This strategy allows bettors to be wrong by definition but likely to cash a bigger ticket. To make the play suggested above in an 8-horse field would cost $6, or two separate $3 bets. But at $1 per combination, the cost is $60).
Not only is $60 too rich for my bankroll but it takes me out of my comfort zone for a race and situation like this; after all, the keys here are a heavy favorite and a 3-1 shot in a relatively small field. Chances of making a score are slim.
I played a cold 7-3 exacta for $10 and collected $70 when the two Eight Belles favorites finished 1-2. If Dime Supers were available, I could have taken two tickets on the favorites running 1-2 with “All,” and one ticket with “All” finishing first and third.
In that case, the $9 wager would have returned $143. Had the favorites been split, I might have collected more, even if I one combination and not two. These are good percentage plays because “All” makes a friend of chaos.
The Edgewood result really stung. The turf event for 3-year-old fillies marked the return of Stephanie’s Kitten to Churchill, the course over which she won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf last year. Her Equiform performance figures towered over the field.
Another strong favorite, but this one coupled with two price-shot exacta opinions, virtually the same approach as was used in the Eight Belles. Two cold exactas using ‘Stephanie’ over Welcome Dance, 12-1 with Julien, and Treasured Up, also 12-1, with Garrett Gomez.
When faced with this situation in the Super pool, I would use ‘Stephanie” over the two pricey fillies, hoping for a 2-3, 2-4 or 3-4 finish, with “All” to finish fourth or third or second.
The Edgewood had a full field of 12. Taking a series of $1 Superfectas using Stephanie first with 10,13 with 10,13 with All; Stephanie with 10,13 with All with 10,13, and finally Stephanie with All with 10,13 with 10,13, combinations costing $54 (3 x $18)--out of my price range.
For a Dime, however, each of those three tickets cost $5.40, a total of $16.20. Even if I had lost the Eight Belles, it’s likely I would have taken each ticket twice. But another longshot, Firehouse Red, finished second, at 26-1. The Dime Super payout on the 3-5-13-10 would have paid $315.25.
There’s really no telling how much money Churchill Downs management cost me--and their company--the remainder of the weekend. We were terrible in the Derby itself but had a tremendous undercard.
Between Cary Fotias and myself at Equiform’s E-Seminar Derby Eve, we selected Top Projected Value Plays of $33.30, keying a $2 Super worth $3,129.20, and a $10.80 winner, keying a $1,341 Super. Further, three Top Projected Tote Busters returned $17 ($72 exacta), $13.80 and $42.40 ($203.60 exacta). [All results are verifiable on the Equiform website].
But I wasn’t the only player who jumped OUT of Churchill’s Superfecta pool last weekend. Here’s an admittedly small, but instructive sample:
On four racing days prior to the Oaks, when Dime Supers were available, Super handle on the day’s feature races, as a percentage of 50-Cent Trifecta handle, was 54%, 60%, 51% and 60%. These were allowance events featuring three 8-horse and one 7-horse field--not an attractive Super proposition.
But in the 14-filly Oaks and 20-horse Derby, $1 Super wagering only attracted 33% and 38%, respectively, as a percentage Trifecta handle. The positive effects of fractional wagering cannot be starker even in this small sample.
Hopefully, Churchill Downs management will study this phenomenon more closely and make Dime Supers available on and off track come Derby 139 week-end. And maybe the New York Racing Association can take a look at this, too.
Despite years of making suggestions to NYRA executives, bettors still are unable to make fractional bets such as 50-Cent Trifectas at simulcast tracks that offer them. It’s a simple programming issue, so the question is why not?
The other question is why fan/horseplayer grass roots organizations purporting to be bettor-friendly are not fighting for fractional wagering across the board in an effort to make racing’s costly learning curve more affordable? Isn’t it about the player? Or is it about advancing some other agenda? How about some enlightened self-interest?


08 May 2012 at 08:57 pm | #
JRP,
I don’t know if this is correct, but I was told the problem was that CDI offers additional bets on Oaks and Derby day which use capacity normally used for dime supers. Hence, machines can’t handle them.
Now, that doesn’t let them off the hook because it could be corrected by upgrading software.
It is outrageous that CDI, NYRA, & other tracks haven’t gotten this done since fractional betting has been doable for years in other countries.
This is one more example of how US racing shoots itself in the foot
09 May 2012 at 04:10 am | #
Should be able to walk into any gas station, newspaper store, bowling alley, bar, hotel, massage parlor, bordello, coffee shop, or grocery store, and right next to the ATM, Red Box, Lottery Ticket machine, should be the thoroughbred simulcast machine, and it should take pennies. If you have ten of them, you should be able to make a bet on a straight superfecta. If you manage to save 50 of them, you should be able to place a wager on a superfecta, and should you be fortunate enough to have a whole dollar, a win, place, show, exacta, pick 3,4,5,6, or any other bet of your choice. These machines should also take bottle returns to make a bet (if they were smart). What is wrong with these people? Why has racing, formerly the only legal gambling in the country, allowed itself to suck hind mamory. Was it because it was the only game in town, and fell asleep at the wheel, while the evil forces took over? It needs to be easy to make a wager, not difficult. I stood in line at 7-11 the other day for 10 minutes for a can of cat food, while some moron bought a couple of hundred dollars worth of lottery tickets. Is anybody listening out there. I’m available to implement these changes, and have these machines put in place, if you elect me Governor. If elected, I promise that the NYRA will not be the last to get Trakus, and will be thwarted in their attempts to put pay toilets in the bathrooms at Saratoga.
TTT
TTT
09 May 2012 at 05:46 am | #
T, you get my vote.
Seriously, however, Keeneland had a great meet and offered fractional wagering on track in all pools. You know, if tracks started there, maybe there’d be a little boost in the live gate. Wouldn’t knock anyone for trying.
Nick, I had not heard that and you may be right. Howerver, it stll comes down to programming and CDI is in the gambling business. Spend some of that record handle on software already. P.S. Interesting spot you picked out for Bodemeister; but what if Shackleford goes there. I had talked about the Met with Todd Pletcher re one of his 3-year-olds. He correctly pointed out that for some reason, 3-year-olds don’t get that much of a break in the weights anymore. Interesting observation.
09 May 2012 at 06:14 am | #
JRP,
From what I’ve seen in the last two races, if Bodemeister remains healthy and enters the Met Mile, the Shack crew better look for another spot.
If he doesn’t, think how much fun Jackson Bend and Caleb’s Posse might have.
Switching topics, consider this.
New York has the State Racing & Wagering Board, appoints several members of the NYRA Board of Trustees, and has the NY Franchise Oversight Committee.
Now Andy Cuomo is said to be pondering packing the NYRA Trustees with more state appointees. You mean to say those first three layers weren’t enough to control NYRA?
Maybe someone besides Charlie Hayward & Patrick Kehoe wasn’t doing his/her job.
09 May 2012 at 07:39 am | #
Nick,
Don’t know why all those Board members are needed. Let’s face it; C Steven Duncker and Stuart Janney, the executive committee, makes all final decisions re Board matters as to policy. You may be on to something.
09 May 2012 at 08:26 am | #
Nice post John, and you are correct, imo.
Supposedly, the lack of dime supers on the big cards at CD, are due to lineups at the tellers, with too many people taking ten cent tickets bogging things down. As well, allowing ADWs to have ten cent bets and $1 on track is apparently a nonstarter. I have no idea if that’s true or not, but that’s what I hear.
Studies have shown fractional wagering to be a boon to handle, and HANA’s track ratings use that as a determinant. The narrative has changed the past year as we move from $2 pick 6’s to 50 cent pick 5s. Years ago tracks would not touch a 50 cent pick 5 for fear of cannibalization.
In addition, even big players are speaking up. Mike Maloney on HANA’s conference call last week for the Derby said “$1 supers are good for me as a professional, but as a player advocate, and doing what’s good for the game, I abhor the decision”
If more people speak up and out, we may see dime supers in the coming years. After all, you are 100% right, in my opinion. Handle will go up, bankrolls will last longer, and people will have a better time at the races.
That’s what it’s all about isn’t it?
PTP
09 May 2012 at 09:03 am | #
John, you have got it right. Thanks for trying to help the player. I wonder when the tracks will figure it out. They seem to operate the same way they did 50 years ago. I sometimes wonder if there is a competent track official anywhere in racing.
Keep fighting the good fight. Thank You.
09 May 2012 at 10:16 am | #
Mr. Pricci You are wrong about the dime super. Being a teller you’re inviting disaster. You would have people in line buying thousands of worth of quick picks. Do you really want to stand behind people buying $100 worth of quick picks where the return could be $48,000?
09 May 2012 at 11:10 am | #
PTP and Aaron, thanks for your confidence and support. Maybe if more players would send emails to track executives, maybe…
jr, what is wrong with designated self-service windows at the end of betting bays, or extra s.s. machines standing alone somewhere out of heavy traffic areas, as I suggest above?
And PTP, I think you’re right about a $1 on-track/ 10-Cent ADW being a non-starter; that’s why it needs to be offered on track. Because of Dime Supers, superfecta handle keeps catching up with the rest of the super-exotic verticals. For the whales like Maloney, there’s always the Super High-5, with my compliments.
JP
09 May 2012 at 03:11 pm | #
It seems to me there are simple ways around the on-track bottleneck:
1) A cell-phone app exclusively for on-track dime super bettors
2) Betting Cards like those for the P6 at HOL which are filled out by the bettor and then automatically scanned rather than punched by the teller; and which are accepted at both the windows and self-service machines.
a. Typical combination structures and instructions for calculating the total amount of the wager could be printed on the card. On Derby day, one or more exceptions tellers could only issue refunds for—but not correct or re-enter—problem tickets.
3) Separate queues exclusively for dime super bettos with bet cards.
a. Multiple express windows for experienced bettors that require varying minimum transaction entry intervals and kick slower bettors off automatically
b. Two windows reserved for refunds only
4) Video stations to provide instruction for filling out bet cards and determining the best queues to utilize for one’s experience level.
10 May 2012 at 09:12 am | #
Like your thinking, T, but not sure about practicality of bet cards in that when I play, I often use many variations on the theme and it could discourage bettors from playing. As much as I love and use the better on a regular basis, I can need to print 8 or 10 different tickets to accommodate the play.
A designated self service machine at the end of each bay and extra stand-alone SAMs shoud do the job. Further, a requirement could be made everywhere that Dime Supers must be advance bet on Friday--not ideal but, as they say, it beats a blank.
JP
10 May 2012 at 11:21 am | #
Great Post John!
The industry has been cultivating fractional Horseplayers quite successfully only to stick it to them on the BIG day. To me it was shameful, but consistent with the industry’s treatment of their customers.
Indulto makes some offers great solutions to the perceived problem...where there’s a will...there’s a way. Churchill was obviously missing the will.
In Canada the situation is horrible. Our exclusive ADW, HPI (owned by Woodbine) does not offer fractional wagering on US tracks. They rec’d regulatory approval to do so last August. They had indicated to me they would be up and running within 30-60 days. We are still waiting. The delay has been blamed on tote reprogramming and individual state regulatory issues.
This is contrasted with Woodbine receiving regulatory approval for US Tracks to wager into Canadian fractional pools last September. They were able to negotiate state regulatory issues and address reprogramming issues and began accepting US fractional wagers in late September.
Unless you are a super Whale, US fractional pools become a no-play wager. If you want to play fractional pools, you must play it exclusively on Canadian tracks or Woodbine licensed signals (ie Australia), where Woodbine’s take is much greater.
In the short term Woodbine may benefit by achieving higher margins, but they will suffer in the long term as Horseplayers search for more customer friendly options.
10 May 2012 at 11:29 am | #
As Turo Escalante would say: “What a surprise,” tracks acting in their own petty self interest--grabbing a bigger share of a smaller pie.
And the fact that tracks in the wagering business won’t spend money on IT solutions is beyond shameful. Thanks for the heads-up about what’s going on north of the border: Meet the new border, same as the old border.
Tabasco Cat, where are you? Hope all is well.
10 May 2012 at 05:24 pm | #
Preach,
Thanks for asking, all is well, still enjoy reading the site everyday. Thought I’d step back from commenting for a while when WMCorrow left. Also to concentrate on the Derby. I thought Bodemeister was a lock, then I realized the only locks are in jails. Wendel where are you? Love you buddy! Even you could not negatively spin the handle and attendance records of the Oaks and Derby.
THE WEIGHT of bad press like the NY Times article and the PETA bad vibe towards horseracing leading up to the Triple Crown is for now lifted. The fans have spoken in record numbers about their love for the sport and horses.
Like I’ve said many times before the game or sport of kings is bullet proof. Too much money for the owners, breeders, sheiks etc. invested to lose. Could track management be more customer friendly? absolutely! But fans of horseracing love the excitement the game has to offer. They love the horses. They love the game or puzzle of handicapping. No matter how much the fan gets hit in the head by bad track customer service, high takeout etc. they come back for more.
I will respectfully disagree with you on dime supers for Derby day. IMO the dime cheapens the wager. Too easy to wheel with a dime. The dollar minimum gives the little guy a chance for a life changing score. If it’s out of your budget then get some friends to partner up.
Shout out to two fond beings we lost lately;
RIP Dynaformer and Levon Helm
I pulled into Nazareth, I was feelin’ about half past dead;
I just need some place where I can lay my head.
“Hey, mister, can you tell me where a man might find a bed?”
He just grinned and shook my hand, and “No!”, was all he said.
Take a load off Fanny, take a load for free;
Take a load off Fanny, and you put the load right on me.
I picked up my bag, I went lookin’ for a place to hide;
When I saw Carmen and the Devil walkin’ side by side.
I said, “Hey, Carmen, come on, let’s go downtown.”
She said, “I gotta go, but my friend can stick around.”
Take a load off Fanny, take a load for free;
Take a load off Fanny, and you put the load right on me.
Go down, Miss Moses, there’s nothin’ you can say
It’s just ol’ Luke, and Luke’s waitin’ on the Judgment Day.
“Well, Luke, my friend, what about young Anna Lee?”
He said, “Do me a favor, son, won’t you stay and keep Anna Lee
company?”
Take a load off Fanny, take a load for free;
Take a load off Fanny, and you put the load right on me.
Crazy Chester followed me, and he caught me in the fog.
He said, “I will fix your rack, if you’ll take Jack, my dog.”
I said, “Wait a minute, Chester, you know I’m a peaceful man.”
He said, “That’s okay, boy, won’t you feed him when you can.”
Take a load off Fanny, take a load for free;
Take a load off Fanny, and you put the load right on me.
Catch a Cannonball, now, to take me down the line
My bag is sinkin’ low and I do believe it’s time.
To get back to Miss Fanny, you know she’s the only one.
Who sent me here with her regards for everyone.
Take a load off Fanny, take a load for free;
Take a load off Fanny, and you put the load right on me.