That’s the message Churchill Downs president Bob Evans sent to all of racing in a speech he made before the Kentucky Farm Managers organization earlier this week.
Is Evans right?
Without equivocation, we think the answers are yes, no, and this view doesn’t go far enough.
Racing’s critics think there’s no excitement in watching a bunch of brown horses running in circles around an oval. On it’s face, they’re not wrong.
But scratch just below the surface, as loyal fans do, and nothing is farther from the truth.
And nowhere does that manifest itself worse than when the sport is presented on television.
Racing broadcasts have tried without apparent success to present racing as a game, a puzzle to be figured out.
In the past, racing has partnered with one past performances disseminator in an attempt to sell the racing product. If anything, it winds up being a better commercial for the past performance company than it is for the game.
By using several data sources to reach a consensus, viewers could begin to learn about racing strategy. From pace analysis flows a conceptualized view of how a race could be run, and how different tactics might influence the final result.
The education process for potential fans shouldn’t be dumbed down. Whoever gets it, gets it. Whoever doesn’t, has no inclination to learn and won’t. Contrary to the stereotype when racing was the only gambling game in town, today’s most successful handicappers are highly educated and upwardly mobile.
Forget mass marketing to attract potential fans. Racing needs fans and gamblers with the mental acuity and wherewithal to get and stay engaged. What it needs is old school snob appeal.
Racing isn’t a game that will ever attract a wide audience. The trick then becomes to attract the right audience, not the attention-deficit crowd that follows Paris Hilton’s every move. Racing doesn’t want or need fans that are highly likely to move on when presented with the next big thing.
Evans thinks there’s too much racing but that’s not a new theory. Last year in the U.S. 7,375 racing dates offered almost 52,000 races with handle of $280,000 per race. Everywhere else, 117,000 races attracted handle of $780,000 per. Actually, those 51,688 races are 35 percent fewer than in 1990, another of the game’s many enigmas.
Fewer racing dates and presumably clever condition-book writing helped produce larger fields; nearly eight in the U.S as opposed to 10 at foreign venues. Evans correctly argues that 10 starters attracting $780,000 in handle is an economic model that would keep tracks flourishing.
Evans also thinks we need to produce more horses for fewer races since the number of starts per horse is down 20 percent since 1990. What he failed to mention to the Kentucky Farm Managers is that the industry needs to breed strength and stamina back into the thoroughbred, too.
Too much racing isn’t necessarily a bad thing. Too much racing can provide the kind of diversity that allows small market, second tier tracks to survive. Diversity is important for gamblers, too, especially horseplayers.
Many horseplayers actually prefer pedestrian mid-week fare to the tough big races on weekends. They reason the worse the quality, the greater the number of throw-outs. I’ll bet the majority of racetrack executives would be shocked to learn that’s the way many of their customers think.
Evans pointed to a Churchill Downs promotion, a contest to pick the Derby winner, the choices logged via text messaging. Churchill received over 90,000 messages after running only four contest promos. The fair assumption is that CDI reached a younger, tech savvy audience, a good thing.
What is needed is more of this kind of outside the box thinking.
Racing engages the vast majority of its audience through wagering via the participatory process of handicapping. What could be better than the latest technology servicing this data driven game to attract a younger audience? But, again, racing talks but doesn’t actually embrace technology.
Tracks still don’t get together to make a concerted effort to invest in software that would transmit betting information instantaneously. How can players have confidence in the overall integrity of the betting pools when odds continue to change as the horses reach the three-eighths pole?
There’s nothing wrong with racing's product, only with the way it’s presented to current and future customers. Nascar isn’t popular because there are only 76 major races as opposed to racing’s thousands; it’s popular because it does a better job.
For instance, has anyone thought of pooling racing’s resources to buy those same full-page advertising supplements like the car folks do in all the local papers?
Have racetracks made a real effort to service existing customers by providing the latest betting information for informed decision making, as if tracks don’t have a vested interest in the fiscal health of its customers?
Have the tracks done a good enough job lobbying their state houses for permission to do what other businesses do when income stagnates, such as lowering the cost of the product?
Supply-side economics dictates there is a price at which supply and demand meet to optimize profits. Shouldn’t racetracks, like other businesses, be allowed to test its pricing structure to find that level, unencumbered by inflexible and arcane legislation?
“Innovation comes out of competition,” Evans said, referring to the likely failure of a handful of modern racetracks to survive.
All Evans and other track executives and state governments need do is look within the borders of the Commonwealth of Kentucky to see what one new track executive, Ron Geary of Ellis Park, did; instituting a new Pick Four wager with a four percent takeout.
On a small scale, this innovation already is beginning to show dividends. Last year, the bet averaged a mere $18,000 daily. On Wednesday, $36,000 was bet into the Ellis Pick Four.
In the long term, price will prove more important than product. As for the product, it’s fine just the way it is.


13 Jul 2007 at 07:14 am | #
In one paragraph you say to forget mass-marketing, then in another you indicate that horse racing should adopt the full-page advertising that NASCAR utilizes.
To anyone who will listen, I have been advocating mas
s-marketing of racing, specifically directed to the thousands of slot players over fifty years-of-age who have the time and money to gamble, informing them that there is a more interesting, excitable gambling option.
Why should racing direct its efforts toward a younger crowd, who supposedly work and have far less time and money, to support racing than older people with far more disposible income?
You mention how many horseplayers prefer mid-week racing to the stake races on weekends. Boy is that the truth! And here is another truth: weekday racing is far more profitable for racetracks than weekend stake racing; which allows racetracks to ‘steal’ the profit from handle on the cheap weekday claiming races to boost the purses of the stake races. Can you name one stake race across this Dubya led country that offered a six-figure purse that was profitable, meaning that handle and signal fees covered the purse (except perhaps the Derby)? Isn’t it true that, virtually without exception, Saturday racing is a loss leader coast-to-coast each and every weekend?
Is racing’s problem attracting more people, thus
increasing handle; or, track managements failure to operate profitably?
I prefer claiming races to stake races, as more entrants can be eliminated. I am in the ‘game’ to make money, just as you are; and, the ability to pick the winner in a stake race is far more difficult.
Thus, to me, Thoroughbred racing is all about gambling; is not a sport; should not promote itself as a sport; and should market itself to the older crowd as a gambling option to casinos.
Aside, I read that Evans is conducting a study of 150,000 races to determine what races bettors like, determined obviously by how large the handle on each race was. Think he will also attempt to determine which races were the most profitable?
14 Jul 2007 at 11:07 am | #
I’ve followed the Triple Crown Races for years, ever since a buddy of mine began hosting Derby Parties some twenty years ago. Over the last couple of years I’ve expanded to other races. Typically I would see an article about several races at a particular track, get interested, and get the past performances for that day at that track. I’ll spend three to five hours handicapping the races for the entire card. I never go to the track itself as I’m typically interested in a track which isn’t near me.
I like to bet the exotics so if I like three horses in a race I’ll bet the trifecta rather than one horse to win.
Recently, I got very interested in the large Pick 6 carryover at Hollywood Park.
I didn’t win but was encouraged by having three of my horses win, one come in second, and two coming in third. There was only one race where I was surprised by the winning horse.
Anyway, I looked at the $20 I wagered on different combinations be better spent than if I had bought 20 lottery tickets.
I felt I had a better chance on the Pick six than haphazardly picking six numbers for the lottery. And it’s funny but the teller I placed my bet with said the same thing, “You gave a better chance than you do winning the lottery.”
So the point of all this that there should be:
1. Promotions to educate people on horse racing/wagering through something like Derby Parties where I had my introduction to horse racing.
2. Better information on wagering to the general public. When I first wanted to bet some exotics it seemed like I had to search forever to get educated, and even then I had some trouble explaining myself at the betting window.
3. I think more people knew they could male an informed decision on betting a pick 4 or pick 6 they would sooner do that then play the lottery.
To John Procci - I’ve enjoyed your articles on MSNBC.com, this article and the Ellis Park article.
Walt
14 Jul 2007 at 11:19 am | #
One point I forgot to make in my previous comments. I would bet more often if I had more information available for free than what is available. I’m a member of the drf.com site and I can understand paying for past performances but the info you get just looking at the entries for a racing day isn’t enough to make me want to bet. If even some additional information was available on every horse, such as number of races, wins, places and shows, type of horse (E,P,S), Beyer numbers, it would give me a better idea of whether or not I would want to bet that day. I hate to spend $3.75 a card and then not be too interested in that day’s races.
16 Jul 2007 at 01:34 pm | #
Thanks for posting gents.
Wendell, in terms of mass marketing, the idea of the NASCAR-type full-page ad is only to create some interest via human-interest and/or animal stories, just so that people know racing’s out there.
On the matter of purses, they are set to cover an entire meeting, not just high-purse weekends. Although in certain respects I find mid-week racing somewhat easier to handicap vis a vis degree of difficulty but fans, not players, bet more money on horses they are familiar with and are more confident that a good horse will hold its form longer which, on balance, it does.
But you’re absolutely right. The industry does very little to promote horse racing as a good gambling game, indeed, the best out there. It bothers me when the lottery (and its 50 percent takeout!) and upscale casinos advertise with impunity and racing, because of ignorant politicians motivated only by political correctness to get re-elected, somehow is for degenerate gamblers and must take an apologetic stance at every opportunity. My frustration with this borders on anger.
Walt, love the idea of racing parties, common for big events like the Derby and Breeders’ Cup. The reason people still go to tracks and OTBs is the social factor; people with things in common getting together.
Also love your idea of more free information. There was a time when newspapers devoted space to the last three outs and some sort of crude speed figure. But those things, and perhaps your idea of including some shorthand indicating running style, would give people a picture of a race without too much detail but might create interesting in delving further.
It makes me angry, too, when state governments, advertisers and the industry doesn’t respect the intellect of its customers, taking them for granted instead. Good suggestion. We’ll keep that in mind for future columns and such.
But you might want to get past performances every day for Saratoga. There are many, many interesting wagering possibilities. And we’ll try to provide some help with our daily “Saratoga Diary;” horses to watch, potential stars, big races, etc., etc.
John
16 Jul 2007 at 11:00 pm | #
First I want to say that I would not introduce a young person to horseracing. Any game that takes out an average of 20% of the pot is a bad bet. I wouldn’t want my niece or nephew investing in such a game. While I love handicapping races, it’s better in the long run to enjoy blackjack, poker or craps if they have the desire to gamble.
Secondly, at least half of the big stakes races are unbetable. Look at last weekend’s Barbaro Stakes at Delaware. King of the Roxy was unbetable at 3-5 and so was Xchanger at a miserably low 9-2. Monmouth wasted $150G’s on Long Branch Breeders’ Cup last Saturday but the folks who run Monmouth either don’t understand or care that the race killed their handle on Saturday because of a Frankel walkover. And the networks don’t get it either. Rags to Riches skipping the Coaching Club American Oaks is great news for gamblers - the people that sustain the sport. Now we might really have an exciting horserace with opportunity. But without R2R, ESPN will probably drop it.
One final thought: Steve Crist always talks about how disgustingly high takeout is. So how come I can’t get Ellis Park in my printed edition of DRF any day of the week in NJ? Either you are part of the problem or part of the solution.
17 Jul 2007 at 10:44 am | #
I feel your pain, Gregg, and understand your feelings vis a vis big races that often attract heavy favorites that often render those kind of races unbettable. But didn’t Todd Pletcher saddle five losing favorites just last Saturday? That should have presented an opportunity or two. Further, If my handicapping gave, say, Xchanger, a 25 percent chance to win, meaning he would win 25 out of 100 runnings, or 3-1, then 9-2 would be an overlay. If you think a horse would win fifty out of 100 races, then $4.80 would be an overlay. Odds are always in relation to each other and the resulative chances of success.
But you’re right. Takeout is too high and that’s why HRI staunchly supports the Pick Four with a four percent takeout at Ellis Park. Improvement in handle is showing the wager to be a success and it will continue to grow.
As for DRF, they have no excuse not to include Ellis. I can’t get it in my edition of the DRF in upstate NY either. If you complain, you’ll be told it’s available on line. But you’re right. They should advocate for the player, be part of the solution. Thanks for your interest.
But, please, remember to be patient. There’s value everywhere. You just need the time and inclination to seek it out. This is the best gamble for tyour buck, anywhere.