Just like that.
I understand how the time-flies phenomenon intensifies with advancing age, but the notion the next race from New York anyone will see will be happening at Belmont Park on Long Island.
So, before HRI jumps on the Road to the Breeders’ Cup, here are a few indelible impressions of a Saratoga race meet recently past.
Bullet Proof Spa Defies Industry Trends The only thing you need to know about the Saratoga brand is this: Wagering nationwide was down 12.3% in August while betting on-track at Saratoga increased 5.6% from 2010.
All-sources handle also made for a glaring comparison despite the fact this was the only category in which numbers were lower, down 4.6% year over year, but approximately 63% better when compared to the national numbers.
What may be easier to riddle, however, is the fact that attendance was up, depending on which set of numbers is more valid. Total attendance for the 39-day meet--the Sunday post-Travers program, usually a good day owing to post-event syndrome, was canceled due to Tropical Storm Irene--was 0.7% less than 2010.
However, factoring in that 2010 was a full 40-day meet, compared to this year’s 39, daily average attendance, including premium giveaway days, of 22,253 was up 1.8%. Pro-rating the attendance figures does seem more like a Hand melons-to-Hand melons comparison, anyway.
NYRA CEO Charles Hayward posited that on-track attendance and handle were up due to the closure of New York City Off-Track Betting, whereby down-staters drove upthe Thruway to see and bet on the live Saratoga action.
Given current industry realities, it’s as good an explanation as any.
The special Saratoga features on Versus, given the network quality production values, showed what a special place Saratoga is to go racing, a place where even claiming sprints somehow seem special. The competitive nature of this meet also seems to produce more close finishes. That's the perception, anyway.
What Does Todd Pletcher Do For An Encore Even though Pletcher does not train every horse in America--although it often seems that way---he dominates the high-profile race results like no other Eastern-based trainer we’ve ever seen. The negative is that his horses attract a lot of money, making many races unbettable except in the vertical and horizontal pools.
Pletcher’s horses almost always make a great appearance and generally run to those looks. His 38 winners eclipsed the record he set last year. This was his eighth Saratoga training title.
Is Chad Brown The Next Pletcher? Next best at 22 winners for the meet, the feeling is that Brown has made the transition from newcomer to major player faster than anyone.
A former assistant to the late Hall of Famer Bobby Frankel, it’s evident that he’s learned his lessons well. Brown wins with every manner and style of horse, although he seems particularly adept with turf runners. Given his mentor, this does not qualify as an upset.
You Can Go Home Again A native of the Capital District’s Mechanicville, Brown received a lot of local publicity during this year's race meet. But it was Saratoga Springs native Terri Pompay who stole the show on closing day by saddling her first ever Grade 1 winner, Hopeful hero Currency Swap, who was an impressive maiden winner over the track earlier at the meet. Pompay hopes to ride Currency Swap all the way to Louisville and the juvenile championship.
Tomorrow: The Riding Title, the Horses, and the people who own them


06 Sep 2011 at 02:48 pm | #
John,
I agree that this was a very successful race meeting considering the factors not controllable ie. weather,etc. I only wish my bankroll fared better during the meeting. LOL
Once again thanks John for the professional coverage..long live the saratoga Diary.
06 Sep 2011 at 03:18 pm | #
“the next race from New York anyone will see will be happening at Belmont Park on Long Island.”
Except for Finger Lakes
Mr Corrow may take you to task for that one as that is the land of the claimer.
Nice work with the Diary. Figured I’d run into you up there but never did.
06 Sep 2011 at 04:11 pm | #
Jack, thanks for the props. And, yes, if you’re a fan of turf racing, you probably had a rough meet. Those races were super competitive!
Al, not only will Wendell take me to the woodshed on Finger Lakes, but the Todd Pletcher reference as well.
JP
06 Sep 2011 at 05:27 pm | #
John,
As for the turf racing ..when I was on the speed horse the choppers got me and vice versa. hey but there is always Belmont to nail ‘em.
06 Sep 2011 at 06:13 pm | #
Saratoga will continue to prosper, even in the face of a nuclear holocaust. It’s that unique and special.
TTT
07 Sep 2011 at 05:37 am | #
For the record, I didn’t make one wager at Saratoga this year; why should I, when Philly, Delaware, Calder, and Finger Lakes were and are operating?
You readers out there; how many of you made money at Saratoga this year? Be honest now.
Mr. Pricci, you are really pulling at straws. You write that nationwide handle for August was down, but Saratoga handle was up 5.6%. What are the actual dollar amounts? And boy you are really stretching it when you write that though all-source handle for August was down nationwide, and was also down at Saratoga, the percentage down at Saratoga is 63% better than the national average (you should join the Obama campaign, your good at spin). How about a blurb that the ‘quality’ of racing at Saratoga took a real dive this year, and that on some days ‘better’, or is it ‘quality’ racing, was elsewhere.
Pletcher this, Pletcher that. I swear that some day in the near future the Derby and Travers entrants will be all trained by Pletcher. BTW, do you really believe that Pletcher has trained and started 726 thoroughbreds to date this year, and that he trained and started 129 at Saratoga this year? It must be true, as the Daily Racing Form reports these numbers - the guy is superman!
Versus vs. Apathy: So, TV exposure will regenerate Thoroughbred racing, hum? Wasn’t racing shown on TV pretty regularly ten, twelve years ago? What did it accomplish? As I wrote in a previous post, what should be marketed is people shown gambling at the track or OTB; this won’t happen, as then the beloved, hyped, thoroughbred, bred and/or owned by those controlling racing, can’t accept the fact that it is all about cashing tickets - that their expensive horseflesh is merely a means to an end.
Also in a recent post, I demonstrated that
Saratoga is not all that profitable. Figures don’t lie. It may very well continue operating for decades, but it will be a lonely outpost waiting for the summer vacation crowd - the true gamblers of the ‘game’ long departed.
Question! Every year all-source handle declines by 10% or so. How many more years will it take for handle to be virtually zilch? How many times can 10% be taken out of X?
Hey you readers, what think of the shippers from Finger Lakes that won at Saratoga this year. How about dat!
And the beat goes on ....
07 Sep 2011 at 08:50 am | #
The NBC telecast of the Travers and King’s Bishop was a delight for those of us unable to attend, and very likely increased demand for next year’s Saratoga product while whetting appetites for the next multiple-graded-stakes sequence on Woodward day.
On paper, the Travers promised to be a closer race than it actually turned out, but the “horse for the course,” Stay Thirsty, was an impressive winner; contesting the early pace and finishing strongly. Caleb’s Posse and Uncle Mo couldn’t have provided more drama at the “graveyard of favorites.”
In case wmc didn’t notice, repeat winners Caleb’s Posse and Stay Thirsty delivered a rather hefty payoff for a formful Pick Three, rewarding handicappers who liked Hilda’s Passion as well as or more than another dust-biting favorite, Sassy Image.
Pletcher-trained, favored Sidney’s Candy couldn’t repeat in the Forego, but Jackson Bend did and even sandwiched by favorites, another formful yet profitable Pick Three resulted when Havre disGraced the Pletcher-trained duo in the Woodward.
I know graded stakes aren’t available to play every day, wmc, but even if you can’t tell the difference between stakes horses and claimers when they’re running, they sure look different on paper. I challenge you to consider handicapping the JC Gold Cup card at Belmont on October 1. We can compare our selections here at HRI, if you’re willing.
Try it. You might like it. Perhaps handle will start covering purses if players like yourself start betting them.
07 Sep 2011 at 08:58 am | #
Goer,
I stay current with the posts, seldom revisit old stories for lack of time, trying to keep up with the day-to-day, and I don’t remember seeing a long one from you. If you can why not cut and paste it into the latest post? If warranted, I will respond, per usual.
WMC,
the figures and percentages were culled from information provided by the Jockey club and NYRA, respectively. Once done , I delte or shred that information. My personal paper trail is voluminous.
I use percentages because everything in life, as far as I’m concerned, is a “compared to what” scenario, and interested parties get a better overall picture from percentages, in my view. These aren’t small samples, after all. BTW: Love the way you pick and choose precise words to fit your agenda at that particular moment. That’s fine, that’s what the Internet is.
I made a judgment call that specific dollar amounts were unnecessary in that they have no meaning without context.
The point was, to repeat the sub-head, that “Saratoga is bullet proof.” The 5.6% rise in handle was ON TRACK, compared to a national handle decline of 12.3%, from ALL SOURCES, a trend that has continued since nationwide handle reached its peak in 2003, as has been written here on several occasions.
This nitpicking is becoming tedious, don’t you think?
Handle will decline another 25% in the next decade, according to the research commissioned by the Jockey Club, which has also been stated here previously.
Promoting gambling on horses without an educational program would be useless in the long term. I suggest you make that part of your “solution.”
Finally, to grow the handle you need fresh bodies, new blood to provide liquidity to the betting pools. Horses are not part of the culture as they once were; the masses need to be introduced to modern day horses, via television, to make the sport or betting game more mainstream, in the same way slots and casinos are accepted by the public.
Rather than attack my ideas, or others in the industry with whom you may disagree, tell us your idea on how playing the horses can and should be promoted. I’m sure all of us are willing to learn to embrace new ideas. Looking forward to that day.
JP
07 Sep 2011 at 09:19 am | #
Indulto,
Taped most of the Versus shows from Saratoga and enjoyed them, even after the fact. If they can interest even a couple of people to visit a racetrack, some might actually return one day--if they have a good experience, defined as a fun and interested diversion and a pleasant way to spend the day. First create the fan; money will follow.
Horse racing is no less exciting than football or NASCAR, just not as widely accepted or available. In this era, only video can change that, in my view.
I did notice that WMC did not respond to the fact that while handle has declined by approximately one-third in the last decade, wagering on graded stakes races actually increased by, if memory serves, 23%.
It’s obvious to reasonable and fair-minded people that the overwheling majority of fans and gamblers are interested in following and betting on the best horses.
Versus is doing two Saturdays at Keeneland, right? I’m getting the DVR ready as we speak.
JP
07 Sep 2011 at 11:31 am | #
Mr. Pricci: I just speed read you response to my comment this day. I am now trying to come up with the double at Delaware and to handicap the remaining card, along with having a few beers and hoping no beer gets spilled on the laptop, so I will respond later today. What has blown my mind is your comment, “rather than attack my ideas tell me your idea of how playing the horses should be promoted.” Your kidding, right? What did I say in my comment just today, and have said in probably fifty comments at HRI to date? It is now very clear to me that no turf writer comprehends or listens to anything anyone writes or says.
Indulto: Am intrigued by your commenting that stake races look different on paper - very interesting. Not to rain on your parade, but numerous claiming races at Philly, Delaware, and Finger Lakes had photo finishes and paid very well.
As to the Jockey Gold Cup race, I am not interested, as just about all the participants could win. I would rather bet my $2 on a claiming race where a few of the nags can be eliminated with confidence. After all, it is real money I are using, and the claiming race I chose to bet could very well be a photo finish, and also pay terrific.
BTW, you write than I cannot tell the difference between a claiming race and a stake race while they are running. Can you?
07 Sep 2011 at 03:13 pm | #
Mr. Pricci: I can’t let your following comment, mentioned by you above, go without comment. You write, ‘promoting gambling on horses without an educational program would be useless in the long term.’
At times you have used the phrase ‘dumbing down’; from this statement I reason that you believe that Thoroughbred racing is simply to difficult for the average person, a primary reason for Thoroughbred racing’s decline in popularity. I don’t think, I know that you are absolutely wrong in your assumption.
The young people today are very smart, whether schooled or not, particularly when it comes to gambling vehicles. Thirty-five years ago I played poker at the kitchen table with my seven-year-old daughters. Today, seven-year-old kids work a smart phone like it was an appendage to their body from birth. The Daily Racing Form in complexity to the current young generation is about as difficult as using a dial telephone to them.
Solving computer problems is extremely difficult for me. Keeping my laptop working properly is basically beyond my ability. Who keeps it in fine shape? A young teenager!
I will be 74 years of age next month, and I know that Thoroughbred racing is not suffering because of the difficulty of understanding how to handicap, wagering options, and odds; it is suffering from the ability of breeders, owners of horses, and track management to understand what it actually is, what its real attraction is.
Yes, new blood is needed, and guess where that new blood is needed most.
07 Sep 2011 at 07:02 pm | #
wmc,
I hope you’re not denying your oft-repeated claims on these pages that no one is capable of discerning that difference.
I suppose there are some for whom watching races whose contestants and basic conditions they don’t know ahead of time—live or replay – is not a pointless exercise, e.g., students of equine physicality, and those learning how – or practicing—to spot riding violations and/or trouble encountered.
I also suspect that a trained eye could recognize physical issues among the contestants that would tip them off assuming they didn’t actually recognize at least one of them individually.
At any rate, I prefer the image of a race presented to me as I peruse past performances as more profitable use of my own time.
Sorry you didn’t see fit to accept my challenge as I’m sure I’d be no match for your mastery of minor league racing.
08 Sep 2011 at 03:23 am | #
Indulto: Have you ever given a so-called second- tier racetrack a close look? Meaning, have you tried handicapping a race?
You can’t ignore the fact that in most stake and high allowance race the horses are fit and anyone could win the race; and, in claiming races fitness becomes a tool of the handipper: which entrants are fit and which aren’t. Plus, in the majority of claiming races at the second-tier racetrack, the entrants have an established racing record, which clearly demonstrates their maximum potential.
Over the many years I have proven to myself that I cash more tickets wagering on claiming races.
I am very saddened to observe that a) Thoroughbred racing is fading rapidly, 2) that second tier racetracks deserve better from turf writers, 3) that racing in general is not marketed and advertised as it should be, and 4) no one is doing a damn thing about the continuing handle decline.
08 Sep 2011 at 05:45 am | #
wmc,
First, I agree with you that understanding PP data is not difficult, but interpreting and applying it is a creative art that more often than not requires mentoring if not instruction. As we all can probably attest, some people and methodologies are more effective than others in transferring knowledge. IMO moving the classroom to the computer has not resulted in more effective and entertaining education, but that could and should change. Racing could break new ground in this area with intelligent yet humorous videos.
I also agree that today’s youth is too clever (street smart?) to embrace a legal gambling alternative that punishes them financially.
Prior to relocating from NY to CA I had spent a profitable two weeks at the old Tropical Park, so I had no negative expectations of attending Bay Meadows and Golden Gate Fields for the duration of my assignment in Northern California. It turned out to be a humbling couple of years from which only a subsequent extended vacation at SAR and BEL enabled me to recover. Moving permanently to Southern California exposed me to SA, HOL, and DMR where I did a lot better, but rarely as well as I had done in NY and Fl.
We all eventually find our comfort zone, and mine is somewhat north of Pennsylvania. One last note, I’ve always had better results trying to anticipate improvement from up and coming horses than depending on veteran campaigners repeating previous successes.
08 Sep 2011 at 07:43 am | #
Indulto: You write, ‘interpreting and applying it is a creative art that more often than not requires mentoring if not instruction.’ Are you saying that though absorbing PP data isn’t difficult moving on to picking a winner requires instruction from someone more skilled in massaging the PP data? Who would these people be? Me? As I have said numerous times, I am no better a ‘capper today than decades ago. Somedays I can’t even get a selection to hit the board. Since few bettors are profitable over time are there really skilled handicappers (mentors) out there?
Please elaborate on your suggestion to create intelligent and humorous videos (ie: who would create them, where would they be shown, what would the content be, and what would the message be?
It should be kept in mind that newbies to racing aren’t stupid, and I don’t believe that newbies get discouraged from a lack of understanding of how to interpret PP data and how to utilize such; I believe they get discouraged, not from takeout, but from not winning coupled with the long wait between races (racing is simply to slow for the younger generation). Since the industry is fragmented and has no central leadership that could organize a presentation involving videos to attract newbies, it is obvious that in a very short time niche racing will be upon us; how long it lasts will be dependent on how long the casinos involved want to feed the racetracks.
---------
Who would have thunk it forty years ago: an industry unable to survivd on its own, dependent on casino dole.
08 Sep 2011 at 08:50 am | #
wmc.
I’ll get into specifics regarding educational videos when you start providing details for promoting horseracing as gambling, but I think the various producers of the following videos are on the right track:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NyEy10S6MFM
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tlabBAdkLmY&feature=related
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w0EV2SSNLss&feature=related
What evidence dro you have that suggests that others regard newbies as stupid? Also, the time between races is only boring when one is not engaged in information collection such as reviewing replays, physically inspecting the contestants, and/or reviewing the tote for prices and patterns.