While some of the nation’s top older horses will be on display in Saturday’s Whitney, and with the Pacific Classic and Woodward upcoming next month, it will be interesting to see how this week’s poll shakes out.
Last week, seven voters still had the retired dual classic winner I’ll Have Another ranked #1, reasoning that no other horse accomplished as much--three Grade 1s and 4-for-4 on the year—thus far.
Those votes, as well as some others that place him in the Top 10, was good for a #7 ranking overall, down from #6 a fortnight ago.
As for that, the conjecture is that some voters, by leaving the Derby-Preakness winner out of the Top 10 entirely, are more interested in punishing the connections which is, of course, not fair to the horse.
Hopefully, the news won’t reach Japan.
Following today’s Haskell, won impressively by Paynter, the Derby of Midsummer, a.k.a. the Travers Stakes, becomes pivotal, especially if the runner can go on and win something important en route to the Breeders’ Cup Classic.
Fans of the sport should be rooting for some sophomore to have a big second half, a possible epic battle that would turn the Classic into a…well, classic.
The question is which colt will it be?
Recalling Friday’s Curlin, that colt is unlikely to be Ever So Lucky, a colt that hasn’t had much good fortune since making a juvenile splash last fall at Churchill Downs. He finished in the money two days ago but highly likely ran his way out of serious Travers consideration.
But not so Street Wise, who showed his turn of foot earlier than he had in recent races in which he finished third and fourth in the Peter Pan and Belmont Stakes, respectively.
The Chad Brown runner powered up to take command just above the three-sixteenths pole and completed nine furlongs as if to say I’ll have another--no word play intended. The question is whether he will have enough brilliance against the division’s heavy-heads.
Not so Alpha, who lived up to the hype of winter and early spring, and then some. Speed was a new dimension for the Jim Dandy winner and, yes, while he got away with a soft pace, the sealed wet surface appeared demanding late Saturday afternoon.
Runnerup Neck N’ Neck loomed a serious threat at midstretch. Ramon Dominguez went to work and after holding the challenger safe, he drew off as he was reaching the wire, winning in full stride.
So that’s a new dimension, strong visible suggestion that another furlong will not be an issue, he loves the surface and has the all-important race over the track when he meets the impressive Haskell winner.
And make no mistake; Paynter was impressive. Fact is this is a very impressive animal, so much so in fact that his trainer, Bob Baffert, was saying this spring he thought this colt was better than Bodemeister.
His career has been nothing short of remarkable especially after putting today’s Haskell performance in perspective. But the story is HOW he got to this point in his current occupation, that of stone cold runner.
After a 5-1/2 furlong maiden win in February, he moved up dramatically in class and distance, to the Grade 1 Santa Anita Derby and was beaten less than four lengths by the subsequent Derby winner 48 days later after beating non winners.
Three weeks later, he was turning back to a one-turn mile in the G3 Derby Trial, chased a strong pace and finished a game second, beaten a length and a half.
Twenty one days after that, it was off to Pimlico where he freaked in an allowance race on the Preakness undercard. And three weeks after that, he lost the Belmont by a neck when the rail opened up for Union Rags.
That’s a lot of accomplishment considering that the modern racehorse is hardly stout when it comes to pressure-packed competition, yet in 164 days, less than a half year, he’s run six times, won half his starts with two seconds and, if his Haskell tour de force means anything, when he returns from California it will be as the Travers favorite.
The nuts and bolts are a 3-3/4 length victory in 1:48.87 after he stalked and crushed Gemologist, making his first start since his Derby debacle. Now it’s debacles back to back. Needing a race is one thing; finishing last of six, 15 lengths behind the winner, as the 2-1 second choice is another.
For sure, Paynter will break into the Top 10, perhaps knock stablemate Bodemeister out of 9th, or even higher.
So, if he proves to be this country’s leading 3-year-old by duplicating his Haskell effort four weeks from now, just where does that leave a horse such as I’ll Have Another, and all the rest for that matter.


30 Jul 2012 at 03:04 am | #
Paynter should probably be a two-time grade I winner right now. If not for an amateur-like mistake by Mike Smith in the Belmont, not keeping Union Rags bottled up behind him.
Of course my comment is admittedly sour grapes, since I stood to collect $1700 on the Pick 4 that day if Paynter had won!
I also was guilty of leaving UR off my backup ticket and can only blame myself for that.
30 Jul 2012 at 09:08 am | #
How did Monmouth Park management come up with the
over $2-million bucks they provided for purses for yesterday’s race card? The track is no longer receiving any casino dole. The NJSEA must have been playing Power Ball.
If anyone picks up a #2 pencil and does the math (generously computed), they will note that the track lost well over a cool million, as purses totaled over two million, and takeout and signal fees didn’t reach one million.
The Haskell Invitational was a thriller, wasn’t it? About as thrilling as a cup of instant coffee.
You like $4.00? Appears two more super stars as deemed by turf writers, have joined the claiming ranks: Dullahan and Genologist; maybe they will now appear at Parx or Delaware, and get beat again.
The people at the Jersey shore didn’t get to excited about Haskell day, as only 35,253 bothered to show up, wagering $73 per capita.
The topic at the table today at the local OTB wasn’t what hyped horses are in the top ten or in the running for HOY; in fact, the topic changed every few minutes: “who do ya like in the next race?” Inside the OTB is the real world of Thoroughbred racing.
And the beat goes on ....
30 Jul 2012 at 04:46 pm | #
“Only 35,253 bothered to show up?” Only? Without a baseball cap giveaway? How did they do it?
“Only 35,253?” Would that be 35,250 more than showed up at the OTB parlor Sunday?”
BTW: They say that Folgers is pretty good...not Fosters, WMC, Folgers.
It did sound like sour grapes Denny. But that’s not it. When anyone refers to the Belmont, the sense I get from all was that somehow UR wasn’t deserving. Many horses get intimidated on the fence; let’s give him a little credit.
But agree, Paynter does appear the better horse; he’s had a short but remarkable career to date.
30 Jul 2012 at 06:11 pm | #
Mr. Pricci: I knew you were going to jump all over the attendance figure. A typical conclusion drawn by just about everyone reporting on horseracing. No thought given to whether the takeout and signal fees covered the purses. If the total handle were entirely on-track ($12,848,981) and Monmouth enjoyed a mixed takeout rate of 20%, the track would barely have covered the purses. Unfortunately, on-track handle was only $2,556,669.
Past attendance for the Haskell has been between 47,000 and 54,000.
Would 35,253 have shown up at the local OTB joint? it only can accept 144 hard-core bettors.
“Just the facts madame , just the facts:” 1) Haskell day at Monmouth was a financial disaster; 2) About 32,000 of those in attendance won’t be scene at the track again until next year’s Haskell;
3) The Haskell Invitational was boring; 4) Zayat, Baffert, and Bejarano got to divvy $600,000. The 35,253 in attendance and those wagering around the world had to use their own money to participate and received crumbs for their efforts.
Parx, Delaware, and Finger Lakes operating today.
Doesn’t get any better than this.
30 Jul 2012 at 08:34 pm | #
Preach, Thankyou for the Saratoga Diary. How’s Toni?
Lots of IF’s in life, sports and gambling.
IF the Triple Crown started yesterday, Paynter might win it.
IF Bejarano rode Paynter in the Belmont maybe he would of won, maybe not.
IF the Kentucky Derby, Preakness and Belmont winners were able to run in the Haskell yesterday, maybe attendance and handle increases would have occurred making the day a financial success for Monmouth Park.
IF there was no Haskell, Monmouth could not create newbies nor recognition.
IF the Haskell ever needs a name change how about the Bob Baffert Derby?
IF the Queen had balls she would be King?
IF there was no WMC would the beat go on?
If a picture PAYNTS a thousand words,
Then why can’t I PAYNT you?
The words will never show
the you I’ve come to know.
If a face could launch a thousand ships,
Then where am I to go?
There’s no one home but you,
You’re all thats left me too.
And when my love for life is running dry,
You come and pour yourself on me.
If a man could be two places at one time,
I’d be with you.
Tomorrow and today, beside you all the way.
If the world should stop revolving spinning slowly down to die,
I’d spend the end with you.
And when the world was through,
Then one by one the stars would all go out,
Then you and I would simply fly away…
31 Jul 2012 at 02:59 am | #
Cat, Toni’s on the mend, back on solid food, and should be sprung from the hospital any moment now. Thanks for asking!
WMC, Bodemeister might have drawn another 3-5,000, maybe. Union Rags and Bode might have doubled that number, maybe.
But you miss the point, too. On a average Sunday Monmouth might get 5,000 people in the building. The Haskell is a part of Monmouth County culture; a celebration.
It’s not always about the bottom line; sometimes it’s about community pride and a party atmosphere at the Shore: Priceless.
31 Jul 2012 at 05:38 am | #
Great news re: TP!
Pride and partying at MTH may once have been priceless in Oceanport, but the new leaseees need to focus on profit.
Six-horse Haskells for $1M make no cents.
SAR handle was barely beaten by MTH despite distributing less in purses.
Without attention to the bottom line, this meet by horsemen for horsemen shall perish from the earth as racing remains a war between states.
31 Jul 2012 at 07:05 am | #
Who’s John Galt? Who’s Indulto? Who are those guys?
Will wonders never cease? Indulto takes a position that is in concert with me. I’ll be damned!
For years and years, I have always scringed when I read the headlines in Daily Racing Form: ‘Attendance record broken, record handle, et cetera, et cetera’, when, in fact, the day was a total financial disaster at numerous racetracks.
Racing associations are a business, and no business survives, unless receiving slot revenue, without paying attention to profits.
NYRA, and other racing associations, on life support from slot revenue is operating in a frivolous and carefree manner with their six and seven figure purses funded by slot revenue; the governors of the states involved are not oblivious to this and will, in time, see that the slot revenue is redirected in another direction (think West Virginia Derby and the other stake races at Mountaineer, the Pennsylvania Derby, the Delaware Handicap, and the purses being offered at Presque Isle and Charlestown).
It is just a matter of time until the state government in all states where racetracks are fueling purses with slot revenue turn the spigot off.
Million dollar purses being distributed to three owners, three trainers, and three jockeys; a very narrow distribution of money within the industry IMO. So, how is the industry being helped?
----
Think Baffert also received an appearance fee?
31 Jul 2012 at 12:18 pm | #
JRP,
I’ve come to wonder whether you are really a refugee from the witness protection program and Wendell is a former adversary.
I’m thinking maybe you are really Henry Hill and Wendell is the Paul Sorvino character Paulie Cicero.
That would explain a lot.
31 Jul 2012 at 06:32 pm | #
Nick:
As long as you’re doling out roles, I’ll play Paulie Cicero for various reasons: 1) I’m 100% of the Italian persuasion; 2) I would never think of serving Veal Cutlets as an appetitizer; 3) as long as it’s my name up front here, I’ll play boss and, finally, I move slowly because I don’t have to move at all.
JP
31 Jul 2012 at 06:35 pm | #
Just keep shaving that garlic thiiiiiiiiiinnn Paulie!
31 Jul 2012 at 08:02 pm | #
Why can’t I stop laughing when I picture Corrow saying Casino Dole?
Bob Baffert actually got 60 grand from Jersey for staying in Cali.
31 Jul 2012 at 10:37 pm | #
Breaking news… Paynter spikes a fever, may miss 1 million dollar Casino Dole Travers Stakes. May now point towards 1 million dollar Casino Dole Pennsylvania Derby at Parx Casino and Racetrack.
Meanwhile Hansen with new jock Mike Smith replacing Ramon Dominguez, drew post nine for Saturdays 3/4 million dollar Casino Dole West Virginia Derby, part of a 1.5 million dollar Casino Dole card at Mountaineer Casino and Racetrack.