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Derby Day Provides a Tremendous Opportunity

By Cary Fotias

New York City, May 1, 2012--If value is your game, this year’s Kentucky Derby is right up your alley. No recent Derby has offered the betting opportunities that are sure to be present this Saturday.

The Derby field is often competitive but I have never seen one this deep. Some years the race is competitive but the horses aren’t that good.

This year, however, not only is the field super competitive but the horses are above average in talent. It wouldn’t surprise me to see a few develop into stars.

Union Rags has deservedly gotten a lot of press; Bodemeister was dominant in Arkansas; undefeated Gemologist gamely took the Wood; Creative Cause always runs his race; Take Charge Indy has Calvin.

That’s not all of it: Santa Anita Derby winner I’ll Have Another has proven his mettle; Alpha’s worked well and looks back in top shape and Daddy Nose Best impressed taking the Mine That Bird route for Asmussen.

Only two talented colts might have something to prove: Dullahan must show that he can run just as well on dirt and Hansen might have distance limitations. We’d be surprised if the favorite is under 5/1.

Equiform data might not always point out the winner but the methodology is sure to put you on horses that offer wagering value.

All Derby day long there will be gobs of uninformed money swelling the pools. Along with the Derby, several other races traditionally provide excellent value on the stakes-laden undercard. Executive Editor, John Pricci, and I will be hosting a live two-hour online seminar with HRI Executive Editor John Pricci on Friday, May 04, from 9:00 – 11:00 PM EST.

Over the last five years, Equiform Top Projections have won three times (Street Sense 2007, Big Brown 2008 and Super Saver 2010).

In 2009, top projection Pioneer of the Nile ran second to the improbable Mine That Bird. Last year, top choice Archarcharch never had a chance and was injured in the running, but an Exotic Totebuster, Animal Kingdom, saved the day.

When it comes to the Derby, Mr. Pricci and I have a pretty strong record together. If you’re looking for big scores, this is a day to swing for the fences. If you hit a home run on Derby Day, the huge pools will reward you handsomely.

John and I will analyze each race on the Derby Day card. For every race, you will get our value plays, top Equiform projections and our unique exotic tote-buster approach.

We’ll show you how to structure bets using these three categories. Of course, we’ll give you some exotic plays where we see the potential for a monster payoff.

If you’re serious about attacking the Derby Day races, you owe it to yourself to attend our seminar on Friday evening.

John and I have been hosting these Triple Crown seminars for years and we know you will find them both entertaining and informative. Without a doubt, they will give you a big leg up on the competition.

We believe that Equiform data is the best in the business but don’t take our word for it. Simply go to the “In the Press” tab at and see what experts such as Jim Quinn, Barry Meadow and Mark Cramer have to say about us.

The hallmark of the seminar is that “you don’t have to be there to be there”. You can review the entire transcript at your convenience and will also receive the Equiform Betting Guide (with plays for all the races) via e-mail.

Rain is the forecast for the Louisville area for the weekend, so pay particular attention to previous off-track efforts and pedigrees if turns up wet.

On my first run through the Derby field (without knowing post positions), it looks like 10-12 horse have a legitimate chance on the Equiform numbers.

In my gut, I think Union Rags is the real deal and the horse to beat. But the price must be right, as this seventeen-hands bundle of energy will have to negotiate his way through a bulky field of 19 other competitors.

Bodemeister exploded in the Arkansas Derby. Was that too much of an effort, especially coming back on three weeks rest? Creative Cause has been a model of consistency and looks to be sitting on a career best. Alpha and Daddy Nose Best could be very big prices that would merit use in all positions.

And I haven’t even mentioned Hansen, Gemologist, Dullahan, Take Charge Indy and I’ll Have Another. Is that wide open enough? Sure, it’s a tough puzzle but when you get it right the reward will be bountiful.

John and I can’t promise you winners but we promise to put you on live horses all day that offer wagering value. And that, my friends, is what the game is all about.

So gallop over to the Equiform site and get all the details on our Triple Crown seminars along with the sign up information.

Winning Is Thus…

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Do you have a take on the state of the game, a favorite race horse, trainer or jockey? Share your ideas. Show the racing industry and media the folly of their ways. The HRI Readers Blog: "When you lose it, Use it." Submit your blog to HRI Webmaster.

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