Tuesday, October 14, 2014
Tracks don’t know or care what bettors want
Racing has to be a great game to survive the people running it. Low minimum multi-race wagers are all the rage, so what do Belmont and Santa Anita do? They create the Coast to Coast double with a $2 minimum. It has received the frigid reception it deserves. Racing's leaders have identified drug abuse as the sport's biggest problem. But California and New York let serial drug offender Doug O'Neill off the hook with what amounts to less than a slap on the wrist. Also, the Racing Form, which should be serving its customers, repeatedly changes symbols for well known tracks to appease track operators while confusing bettors.
MIAMI, Oct. 14, 2014--Drugs are a scourge of racing but far from its biggest drawback. A bigger problem is race track management not knowing nor caring what their customers want
They still behave as if itâs the mid-20th century when tracks could afford to conduct themselves as if they were doing bettors a favor by giving them the lone legal gambling option. They totally ignored Bob Dylanâs warning that, âThe times, they are a changinâ.â
The Coast to Coast double introduced last week by NYRA and the Stronach Group at Santa Anita isnât the most useless bet ever. NYRAâs Grand Slam retired that trophy years ago.
I donât know a single player who invests in the Grand Slam, which isnât even offered at any simulcast site I have ever visited. It handles only a little more than $20K a day, even on weekends. Players outside the NYRA sphere would likely have a hard time explaining what it entails (three in-the-money finishes with a winner in the finale.)
I donât expect the reception to the Coast to Coast double to be much better. Who asked for this bet? Not customers. Early returns bear this out. Its high point was Friday when it handled more than $33K. The other three days, including Saturday and Sunday, betting was around $27K. To put this in perspective, NYRA's late double on those four days handled $93K, $115K, $109K and $130K. Santa Anitaâs late double guarantees a $100K pool.
The lack of enthusiasm for the new bet is is only partially a product of the higher 20% takeout in California rather than the 18% in New York. Letâs be generous and allow a $30K average. The extra 2% takeout generates an additional $600 for the two jurisdictions to split before expenses and the state and horsemen get their cut. A busy table in the dining room generates more revenue.
The $2 minimum, which has otherwise been abandoned in New York except for the Pick 6, is another negative. If there is one thing that has been established beyond dispute, it is that players have gravitated toward lower minimum multi-race bets. Fifty-cent Pick 3âs, which New York, Florida and California stubbornly refuse to adopt, regularly outhandle $2 Pick 6âs.
This is players voting with their wallets. Yet track managements are oblivious to the obvious.
NYRA's genuflecting to its partner in takeout and minimum is a product of Santa Anita not wanting to take part in a bet that offers players a better deal than the California norm. Next thing you know, theyâll expect such things on a regular basis. Canât have that.
Racing Formâs priorities misplaced
The Daily Racing Form also ignores the needs and preferences of its customers. Its mission should be to serve the people who shell out $8 a copy ($9 off track). Instead it is more concerned with servicing the whims of race track operators.
The latest example is adopting the Gulfstream Park West initials, GPW, in past performances for races and workouts over the Calder track. Itâs understandable Gulfstream would prefer to be identified by its more popular brand as it operates what used to be part of the Calder meet.
Bettors couldnât care less about that. The identification of the racing surface is whatâs crucial to handicapping. Either that or the expression âhorses for coursesâ is meaningless.
So the switch from Gulfstreamâs oval to the unique Calder surface is significant. That the Stronach Group is running the operation now matters not at all to the player trying to come up with the winner of the next race.
This isnât an isolated occurrence. I was in a Las Vegas race book betting the tail end of the Santa Anita season a few years ago when I saw a symbol that was strange to meâBHP. There were a lot of West Coasters around, so I wondered aloud what it signified. âThatâs the new initials for Hollywood Park,â a neighbor informed. Indeed new owners had chosen to adopt Betfair Hollywood Park as the trackâs identity.
Whatâs next? NYRAB, CDFG, SGSA?
An owner can call a track anything he wants. But the Racing Form owes it to its customers to make its information as useful and understandable as possible. Initials that made Hollywood Park, one of Americaâs best known tracks, look like a training center and Calder appear to be Gulfstream is abdicating this obligation.
OâNeill case an outrage
The sweetheart deals negotiated by Doug OâNeill are a kick in the gut to fans alienated by the rampant drug abuse in racing and show that the lip service paid to cleaning up the game is nothing more than a public relations ploy.
OâNeillâs 45-day suspension in New York for his 19th medication violation became a farce when he was allowed to cut a deal to serve it following the Breedersâ Cup, the deadest zone of the year on the racing calendar.
The California Horse Racing Board compounded the travesty when it waived what should have been another 135 days for a major drug violation during the 18-month period OâNeill was on probation from a prior offense out West. Instead, it let OâNeill off the hook with only a 45-day suspension. More infuriating, OâNeill will be allowed to serve the California penalty concurrently with New Yorkâs. This translates to California effectively doing nothing.
Then you wonder why cheaters operate fearlessly.
Classic stakes increase as Wise Dan is sidelined
The stakes got higher for the Breedersâ Cup Classic on Monday. Two-time defending champion Wise Danâs injured right ankle means there will be a new Horse of the Year and unless something totally unforeseeable occurs, it will be the winner of the Classic.
Shared Belief and California Chrome have the inside track. If either wins the Classic, he will be Horse of the Year. This was the case even before the injury to Wise Dan, the fallback choice if there was an upset in the Classic and he completed an undefeated season in the Mile.
Now there is no real fallback outside the Classic. The door is slightly ajar for Tonalist or Bayern. But it would take a super performance to turn the electorate. Winning a photo probably wonât be enough, although it would elevate anticipation of the outcome of the vote to more suspenseful than what is expected from the mid-term elections.
Written by Tom Jicha
Tuesday, October 07, 2014
Wise Dan’s People Should Opt for Discretion Over Valor
Horse of the Year has essentially come down to Wise Dan vs. Shared Belief. Dan's usual array of detractors say he should go in the Breeders' Cup Classic against Shared Belief, et al, to settle the issue. But no one is asking Shared Belief to tackle Wise Dan on turf to prove himself worthy. It looks like Wise Dan's people will stick to their guns and keep their two-time Horse of the Year on turf in the Mile. It's the right call.
MIAMI, Oct. 7, 2014--Wise Danâs heart of a champion win in Saturdayâs Shadwell Turf Mile and Close Hatchesâ disappointment in the Spinster has essentially brought the Horse of the Year contest down to Shared Belief and Wise Dan. (California Chrome could grab the gold with a Classic win but his clunker in the Pennsylvania Derby, his only race in four months, doesnât encourage the thought this will happen.)
Nevertheless there is a strange dynamic coming into play. Wise Danâs detractors--the same ones who have been diminishing his achievements for three years--want him to go in the Classic on dirt to earn the championship. Yet no one is suggesting Shared Belief needs to win a turf race to earn the title.
Wise Danâs trainer Charlie Lopresti opened the door a crack after the Shadwell, saying if he and owner Morton Fink were ever to try the 7-year-old gelding in the mile-and-a-quarter Classic, this would be the year. Fink is not enamored with this move but he is not known as a meddling owner who often overrules his trainer. However, in this case, I would side with Fink.
That Lopresti would even consider a Classic run this year has to be partially an acknowledgement that age inevitably will take its toll on Wise Dan and that he would be the ranking older horse in this yearâs Classic against 3-year-olds Shared Belief, California Chrome, Tonalist and perhaps Bayern. That Lopresti would like to shut up those who have been knocking his horse might figure in a little bit, too.
Itâs not as if Wise Dan doesnât have credentials on dirt. He won the 2011 Clark Handicap and was second in the 2012 Stephen Foster, both Grade 1 races.
It was also a tacit admission that Wise Danâs chances for a third straight Horse of the Year are dependent on the outcome of the Classic. Wise Dan could cap an undefeated season with a triumph in the Breedersâ Cup Turf Mile but if Shared Belief wins the Classic, heâs Horse of the Year. Case closed.
This probably also would apply to California Chrome. The Classic would be the Kentucky Derby-Preakness winnerâs fourth Grade 1 win, including three of the four most important races in America.
On the other hand, if someone other than Shared Belief or California Chrome wins the Classic and Wise Dan again scores in the Mile, Dan would be in line for a Triple Triple--Horse of the Year, Older Horse and Turf Horse for the third straight year.
The two-time reigning Horse of the Year taking on the 3-year-old hot shots would be great for racing and NBCâs ratings. But if I were Fink and Lopresti, I would take a discretion over valor approach and Wise Dan would stick to doing what he does best.
Only Goldikova has been able to win the BC Turf Mile three times. Wise Dan could equal that this year and, the way heâs going, itâs not inconceivable he could go for four next year. Thereâs a Horse of the Year every season but that would be a singular feat that might never be matched.
What took so long?
The posse finally has caught up to Doug OâNeill. A 45-day suspension issued by the New York Gambling Commission has set off a dominos effect that could banish OâNeill for a long time.
The NYGC suspension is for a major drug positive in an OâNeill horse who won at Belmont on June 2, 2013. Itâs a travesty that it took more than a year for justice to be served. Worse, OâNeill was allowed to negotiate a deal in which he would serve the days starting Nov. 3, the day after Breedersâ Cup weekend. In other words, the slowest period on the racing calendar. Thatâs not punishment. Itâs a vacation.
That any commission would allow this, especially after OâNeill dragged out his appeals for more than a year, is incomprehensible and unacceptable.
The Breedersâ Cup got wind of the deal and said no way. It has a âconvicted trainers rule,â which stipulates that any trainer with a major drug conviction within the past year cannot enter his horses in a BC race.
Now OâNeill is facing tough sanctions in his home state of California. The guy with the nickname âDrug OâNeillâ for his many violationsâthe New York violation is his 19th, according to the Racing Form--got a 180-day suspension in California in 2012 for a 2010 offense (another justice delayed is justice denied joke) but 135 days were waived if OâNeill had no further offenses for 18 months. The New York finding fits within that period.
California has not announced if it will enforce that stipulation, which should have been done the same day New York issued its ruling. More justice delayed.
But then, thatâs California. Trainer A.C. Avila has yet to face the music for the Masochistic shenanigans last March in which the horse was found to have 40 times the recommended dose of a tranquilizer in his system and the stewards all but said Masochistic was stiffed by his rider when he finished off the board against Cal-breds. Next out, he beat open maidens by 14 on Derby Day at Churchill Downs, a betting coup for the ages.
The Jockey Club can wring its hands until they are raw about drugs fouling the sport but as long as trainers know they can drag out appeals, negotiate penalties downward and serve suspensions at their convenience, nothing is going to change.
Written by Tom Jicha
Tuesday, September 30, 2014
Espinoza got off easy with only seven days
Santa Anita stewards wasted no time in slapping Victor Espinoza with a seven-day suspension for his ride on Sky Kingdom in the Awesome Again in which the regular rider of California Chrome's sole purpose seemed to be to get Shared Belief beaten. Espinoza's defenders say he was only race riding but the fact that he has chosen not to appeal is revealing.
MIAMI, Sept. 30, 2014--Justice was swift but not as severe as it might have been for Victor Espinozaâs ride in the Awesome Again. Within 24 hours, the Santa Anita stewards came down on Espinoza with a seven-day suspension. Considering the magnitude of the event, I would have made it more.
Iâm flabbergasted reading comments on Horse Race Insider and other sites that there are those who think Espinoza did nothing wrong. The fact that Espinoza has chosen not to appeal says all you need to know.
The defense goes he was only race riding. My response is where does race riding end and irresponsibility and tampering with a race begin? Espinoza allowed Sky Kingdom to drift more than halfway out on the track in the first turn, then stayed out there down the backstretch. Would it have been race riding if he took Shared Belief to the outside fence?
Mike Smith, Shared Beliefâs Hall of Fame jockey, who knows the difference between race riding and something more sinister, was so ticked at Espinoza that he was quoted as saying in the jockeysâ room as Espinoza walked by, âKeep going or Iâll take your head off.â
In my opinion, Espinoza made no attempt to help Sky Kingdom win. Indeed he finished last. Espinoza was all in toward one purpose, to get Shared Belief beaten. His possible motivations made his actions more deplorable. Foremost, Espinoza is the regular rider of California Chrome, whose lock on the 3-year-old championship has been unhinged by Shared Belief.
The power of wins in the Kentucky Derby and Preakness in addition to the Santa Anita Derby is such--as they should be--that the only way Shared Belief could overcome them was by running the table of the Awesome Again and Breedersâ Cup Classic to go with the Pacific Classic and Los Alamitos Derby.
If not for the brilliance and tenacity of Shared Belief, Espinozaâs ride could have clinched the title for California Chrome. I believe that even if Shared Belief finishes ahead of California Chrome in the Classic but doesnât win the race, the 3-year-old Eclipse will go to California Chrome.
Jockey Club Gold Cup winner Tonalist could put in a claim with a win in the Classic but even under those circumstances I still feel that the streak of the last 16 Kentucky Derby-Preakness winners also wearing the divisional crown will remain intact.
Apparently Bob Baffert still harbors aspirations that Bayern could cop the Eclipse. There is no other rationale for pointing the speedster with distance limitations to a mile and a quarter in the Classic. He would have only one serious threat in the Dirt Mile, Goldencents, who might go in the Sprint.
Kelso winner Vyjack is staying in the East to await the Cigar Mile. Itsmyluckyday also will skip the Mile after his disappointing Kelso and prepare for either the Cigar or a winter campaign at Gulfstream.
Espinoza was riding for Baffert in the Awesome Again. A defeat by Shared Belief would have advanced Bayernâs standing, too.
On reflection, of all the suggested motivations for Espinozaâs ride, the one I put the least stock in is he was trying to help Baffertâs uncoupled stable mate Fed Biz. Espinoza gets up on a fair number of Baffert horses but heâs not the barnâs go-to guy. I donât think Espinoza cared who won as long as Shared Belief didnât.
Shared Belief, a gelding owned by sports talk star Jim Rome, could give racing such a boost for years to come itâs disheartening to think that anyone would go to the lengths Espinoza did to dim the luster of his star power.
Going all out to beat him on the square is one thing. Thatâs what jockeys are supposed to do. What Espinoza did is something else. He deserves the sanctions and scorn he is getting.
Racing as it was meant to be returns
After last weekendâs orgy of world class stakes action at Belmont and Santa Anita itâs hard to believe there are still championship caliber horses who havenât had their final Breedersâ Cup preps. But Keeneland has five more Grade 1âs among nine graded stakes on opening weekend starting Friday.
Better yet, much better yet, real dirt is back after seven years in the synthetic wilderness. I have often pointed out how winners of major Keeneland stakes on kitty litter were non factors in races on mainstream dirt courses. This should no longer be the case.
If Beholderâs bid for a third straight Eclipse is to be thwarted, it likely will be by Close Hatches, the probable favorite in Sundayâs Grade 1 Spinster. Not to be overlooked is Donât Tell Sophia, who is three-for-four in 2014, including Churchillâs recent Locust Grove. Her lone loss was a third behind Close Hatches in the Azeri but Donât Tell Sophia was hindered by a quarter crack, which forced her to run with a bar shoe. That problem is history.
Juveniles also have their final Breedersâ Cup preps at Keeneland and Belmont. The opening day feature in Kentucky will bring out what is expected to be a full field of fillies in the Alcibiades. Colts will get their chance Saturday in the Breedersâ Futurity.
Back at Belmont, the Grade 1 open Champagne and Frizette for fillies are set for Saturday with 2-year-old sprinters of both genders getting their chances on Sunday in the Futurity and Matron.
American Pharohâs dominant win in Santa Anitaâs Frontrunner makes him the one to beat in the BC Juvenile but the filly division is still looking for a leader. Angela Reneeâs win in the Chandelier was workmanlike but she was well beaten by Easterners in a couple of Saratoga stakes.
Keenelandâs five Saturday stakes also include the return of Wise Dan in the Shadwell Turf Mile. Dan suffered his only defeat of 2013 in this race last fall but it carried an asterisk. It became the Shadwell (fake dirt) Mile when a monsoon forced the race off the turf.
Horse of the Year is still Shared Beliefâs to lose but if he comes up short in the Classic and Wise Dan takes the Shadwell and a third BC Turf Mile, another Horse of the Year laurel is a strong possibility.
Written by Tom Jicha