Tuesday, February 10, 2015
No question who’s No. 1 now
Shared Belief didn't win an Eclipse last month but he left no doubt who the best horse in America is with his scintillating performance in the San Antonio. Horse of the Year California Chrome ran a winning race, finishing well ahead of the rest of the field, including streaking Hoppertunity. But he was no match for Shared Belief. With California Chrome heading for Dubai and Donn Handicap winner Constitution also appearing to be headed to the Middle East, the question now is who's left to test Shared Belief?
MIAMI, Feb. 10, 2015--Vindication is sweet. Iâ€™ve been championing Shared Belief as the best horse in America since last summer. Even when I voted for California Chrome as outstanding 3YO and Horse of the Year, I wrote in my HRI column, â€śAmericaâ€™s best thoroughbred in 2014, in my opinion, Shared Belief, will not be Horse of the Year. He wonâ€™t even be named best of his generation. Ergo, I am taking my Eclipse ballot to the scoreboard.â€ť
In the wake of Shared Beliefâ€™s dazzling triumph in the San Antonio, I donâ€™t think there is anyone who would not acknowledge he is the true No. 1. Given a cleanly run race, which he didnâ€™t have in the Breedersâ€™ Cup Classic thanks to Bayern and Toast of New York, Shared Belief charged right by California Chrome, who had a perfect trip, got first run, had a length or two at the top of the stretch and beat the rest of the field by daylight.
Unfortunately, this might be the last time for a long while, perhaps ever, the two champions will meet. California Chrome is headed for the Dubai World Cup--also a possible next stop for Donn winner Constitution--and the long layoff that usually follows. Art Sherman also mentioned a turf campaign. California Chrome did win a Grade 1 on grass, albeit a weak one, in his only infield start. If your horse was beaten as decisively by Shared Belief as California Chrome was, how anxious would you be to try him again when there are other options?
Shared Belief will stay home for the Big Cap. Unless Bayern shows up, the concept of handicaps, will be made a mockery of, which they should be. They are a relic of another era. With no California Chrome and no Bayern, Shared Belief would have to be assigned a Kelso-type load to try to bring him back to those in for minor shares. Santa Anita isnâ€™t going to do anything--and shouldnâ€™t--to keep racingâ€™s biggest crowd magnet back in the barn.
Other than the BC Classic, the only flaw on Shared Beliefâ€™s credit sheet is he has never raced outside California. If nothing goes wrong, this will be eradicated in the fall when the Breedersâ€™ Cup is run at Keeneland. It would be great if it happened before then.
After the Big Cap, there is really nothing for him out West until the (formerly Hollywood) Gold Cup in June. The Alysheba, whose purse was just kicked up to $400,000, on Derby Day, and/or the $1.25 million Met Mile on the Belmont Stakes undercard could entice Jerry Hollendorfer to shed his stated reluctance to put his superstar gelding on a plane.
We can only hope.
Constitution emerged as a new top contender among older horses winning the Donn over Lea, who couldnâ€™t run him down with the length of the stretch to do it. On the basis of the Beyer Figs, Constitutionâ€™s 113 was a stronger race than Shared Beliefâ€™s 106. Iâ€™m a big fan of the Beyers. They are one of my main handicapping tools. But is there anyone who believes Constitution ran a better race or that he is a better horse?
Jeff Siegel, one of the finest evaluators of horses in America, said on HRTVâ€™s The Player
on Sunday that he doesnâ€™t buy the superior fig for Constitution. â€śShared Belief may be as good a horse as weâ€™ve seen this centuryâ€¦There is no way Constitution is beating Shared Belief.â€ť
The greatest generation?
The beat goes on for foals of 2011, which is shaping up as one of the strongest crops ever.
Trailing home Shared Belief, who was beating older horses for the third straight time (fourth if you count the BC Classic) and California Chrome in the San Antonio was Hoppertunity, who had bested older horses in the Grade 1 Clark and Grade 2 San Pasqual in his two most recent starts.
Three-year-olds swept the first three positions in the Clark. One of those Hoppertunity beat in the Clark was then 3-year-old Constitution, who, as mentioned, vanquished now 5-year-old Lea, the defending champion who was on a three-stakes winning streak.
Weâ€™re still waiting for the 2015 debuts of BC Classic winner Bayern and Tonalist, who won the Jockey Club Gold Cup against older rivals as a 3-year-old.
And letâ€™s not forget super filly Untapable, who made short work of older foes in the BC Distaff.
Hereâ€™s something to consider: Itâ€™s a relatively small sample of races but Shared Belief, California Chrome, Bayern, Tonalist and Untapable have never been beaten to the wire by an older rival.
What did it pay?
I was at Gulfstream so I didnâ€™t have an opportunity to properly evaluate the Fox Sports telecast of the four stakes. The bits I did see and hear were well done.
But the most promoted aspect was the Cross-Country Pick 4. Thanks to the dragging of posts at Gulfstream and Santa Anita, as well as a lengthy inquiry in the San Marcos, which should have been decided in less than a minute, little time was left in the allotted two hours after the San Antonio â€śofficialâ€ť was posted.
The prices at Santa Anita were put on the screen but the one coast to coast players were waiting for, the Pick 4, didnâ€™t make it onto the telecast. This shouldnâ€™t have happened and everything possible must be done to make sure it doesnâ€™t happen in future shows tied to a Pick 4.
Pick 4 â€świll paysâ€ť are posted before the final leg at every track that offers the bet. So the Fox crew should have known what they would be before the San Antonio gate was sprung. It should have been the first thing reported after the race was made official.
There was a wonderful mood-soother for those angry that it wasnâ€™t. The 50-cent bet returned $68.25 (not including rebates offered for ADW wagers). It was an extraordinarily generous payoff, which projected to $273 for a $2 wager, for two favorites and two second choices, who went off at 7-5, 5-2, 9-5 and even-money.
You canâ€™t do that in NY
David Jacobson announced shortly after Salutos Amigos surged from the back of the pack to win Saturday's Grade 3 Toboggan Stakes at Aqueduct that he intends to run the horse back in the Grade 2 General George on Feb. 16.
Itâ€™s a good thing the General George is at Laurel and not Jacobsonâ€™s home track. Under NYRAâ€™s new short-sighted 14-day rule, the entry of Salutos Amigos would not be accepted.
As long as Iâ€™m on the subject, Dortmund and Firing Line, were so dominant in the Grade 3 Robert Lewis at Santa Anita it was 21 Â˝ lengths back to third-place finisher Rock Shandy.
Under another of NYRAâ€™s not well thought out rules, the fourth- and fifth-place finishers, Hero Ten All and Tizcano, who were more than 25 lengths back, would have to work a half-mile for the stewards in less than 53 seconds before they could be entered in a race. So a couple of stakes caliber horses, who had the misfortune to run into arguably the two best 3-year-olds on the West Coast, would be treated the same as a talentless $12,500 maiden claimer.
This underlines the absurdity of hard and fast rules, which amount to the same thing as zero tolerance edicts, which treat a school kid, who chews his grilled cheese sandwich into the shape of a gun, the same way as a young thug who brings his parentsâ€™ Glock to school to intimidate class mates.
Written by Tom Jicha
Tuesday, February 03, 2015
Cheating is a problem but itâ€™s not whatâ€™s hindering racingâ€™s growth
Every sport has its cheaters (so does Wall Street). But Deflate-Gate,the premature, injury-caused deaths of celebrated players and debilitating injuries didnâ€™t discourage more people than ever from watching the Super Bowl. Likewise, cheating in racing is a problem but it is not what is keeping the sport from growing or even holding its own.
MIAMI, Feb. 3, 21015--Sundayâ€™s Super Bowl delivered the highest overnight television ratings in history. The Patriots and Seahawks pulled a 49.7 Nielsen rating. This translates to almost one of every two homes in America tuned in to the game. Thatâ€™s all homes, not those with a TV set turned on, a significant difference when you take into account how many folks watch in sports bars or in groups at a friendâ€™s home. Thus their home is treated as if no one is watching the game.
When the final headcount comes in, Super Bowl 49, will probably have drawn an audience of about 115 million. Thatâ€™s the game that took place in the midst of Deflate-Gate, the most overplayed faux scandal in recent sports history.
This was no surprise. A headline on the front pageâ€”1A, not the sports frontâ€”of the Sunday Miami Herald read, â€śDespite scandal, pro football is still the most popular sport in America.â€ť
The same edition contained a story on Junior Seauâ€™s selection to the pro football Hall of Fame. Seau wonâ€™t be in Canton this summer to accept his accolades. The hard hits the linebacker took did so much damage to his brain that he committed suicide at 42 years-old.
Seauâ€™s is not an isolated story. On Dec. 1, 2012, Jovan Belcher of the Kansas City Chiefs shot and killed his 22-year-old girlfriend then went to the Chiefs training facility and shot himself fatally. He was 25. An autopsy showed Belcher suffered from chronic traumatic encephalopathy. In laymanâ€™s terms, itâ€™s an affliction found in athletes with a history of repetitive brain injuries.
I could go on. The point is, in spite of these tragedies, which given the ever increasing speed and weight of contemporary NFL players are probably going to become more frequent, America loves the game. As the Miami Herald headline said, pro football is more popular than ever.
There is an inherent danger in almost all sports. Athletes, human and equine, are going to suffer severe injuries. Some will die. This doesnâ€™t mean it has to be accepted. Everything possible should be done to prevent such tragedies. But it must be recognized, bad things are going to occasionally happen.
Jim Tressel, a national championship winning coach at Ohio State, was driven from his job. The NCAA put him on its equivalent of a no-fly list for cheating, lying about it and covering it up. Any school that hires him before December 2016 must show cause why it should not suffer sanctions. Last month, Tressel was named to the College Football Hall of Fame. He will be inducted into the gameâ€™s shrine while his sanctions are still in place.
There arenâ€™t more than a handful of major college football programs in America that havenâ€™t gotten caught cheating. Yet the popularity of college football hasnâ€™t suffered an iota. More people watched the national championship gameâ€”coincidentally won by Ohio Stateâ€”than any telecast in ESPN history.
In the interest of brevity, I wonâ€™t detail the well known facts of baseballâ€™s steroids scandal. But I will note that the home run derby it created drove the game to new levels of popularity, which continue to grow even as players still are regularly identified as using performance enhancing drugs.
There is a message here. If the product is good, people will look past a few cheaters. Theyâ€™ll even put death and debilitating injuries on an out-of-sight, out-of-mind back burner. This isnâ€™t something to be proud of or to condone in any way but itâ€™s a fact.
Irving Rudd was one of the greatest sports publicists ever. He worked for Yonkers Raceway in the pre-casino era. Harness racing was the red-headed stepchild of pari-mutuel sports back in the second half of the 20th century. It rarely got any publicity. Ruddâ€™s signature success came when Yonkers was reopening with an all-new clubhouse.
The harness track is adjacent to the New York Thruway right over the New York City line. Millions drive past it every day. Rudd concocted an inspired way to get countless dollars of free publicity for the reopening. On the side of the clubhouse facing the Thruway is â€śYonkers Racewayâ€ť in huge letters. The day before the opening, Rudd arranged to have it misspelled to Yonkers "Racewya.â€ť
Every local TV station in the Big Apple showed footage and made fun of Ruddâ€™s â€śmistakeâ€ť on that nightâ€™s newscasts. And every viewer in the nation's most populated market was made aware of the Yonkers reopening. It didn't cost Rudd a dime.
Rudd used to say that his dream was to be able to run a spot whose tagline was â€śNine fixed races tonight.â€ť There wouldnâ€™t be enough cops to control the people who would try to get in, he said with a knowing laugh.
The point is I think racing uses drug scandals and equine tragedies as a crutch for all the other issues that have reduced attendance and handle. The biggest single reason is the loss of the monopoly on the gambling dollar racing enjoyed for decades. With casinos everywhere, many of them at racetracks, itâ€™s almost miraculous that racing is doing as well as it is. Greyhound racing is in its death throes. Jai alai is essentially dead. Look at what casino competition has done to Atlantic City.
For the first time, racing has had to learn to compete and it has not been an exemplary student. I wonâ€™t offer myself as a universal gauge but I have never met a player who said he is going to stop going to the races because of cheating. However, an unjustified hike in the takeout led horse players nationwide to successfully boycott Churchill Downs last year.
I have heard plenty of â€śIâ€™m not coming backâ€ť gripes about poor customer service and accommodations and price gouging at concession stands. There is no excuse for $6 or $7 cups of beer and $5 hot dogs when the track is cutting 20 cents or more out of every dollar wagered. This is where customers feel cheated.
It should never be overlooked that a big reason Saratogaâ€™s popularity is so enduring is that fans can bring in their own food and beverages. I would argue that most of the money they save winds up going through the betting windows.
Nine dollars for a Racing Form is another turnoff for fans old and new. Coming from the newspaper business, which has been forced to drastically cut back on the size of papers in a bid to survive, I understand why the Form has to be so expensive. Next to employee salaries, the actual paper it is printed on is the biggest expense for any publication. But the Formâ€™s elevated price is still an obstacle to racingâ€™s growth.
Most tracks have a less expensive past performance book but only for the local races. To enjoy the game the way it is played now with simulcast action at several tracks, at least a couple of these books are needed. This wipes out any savings from not buying a Racing Form.
Race books in Las Vegas have counters where players can peruse past performances without buying a paper. I realize the logistical problems this could create at a race track with many times more customers but it is something worth looking into. Maybe a two-minute rule to avoid people camping out all day in front of the free paper.
PETAâ€™s allegations against Steve Asmussenâ€”who has since been exonerated after a year-long investigation--were prominent in media that never bothers with racing last spring. It didnâ€™t keep NBC from achieving blockbuster ratings for the Kentucky Derby. Two weeks later the usual 100,000-plus packed Pimlico for the Preakness. Three weeks after that the Belmont Stakes set attendance records despite charging inflated Broadway prices.
Give people an event that excites them and provides enjoyable entertainment and theyâ€™ll overlook a lot of what goes on behind the scenes. This should be racing's priority.
Written by Tom Jicha
Tuesday, January 27, 2015
New NYRA rules ignore real problem: winter racing
Reacting to a disheartening number of fatal thoroughbred breakdowns, NYRA has come up with a new series of rules and regulations, one more pointless than the others. They all gloss over the real problem. Winter racing at Aqueduct attracts a disproportionate number of problem horses. The only solution is to curtail racing during the worst weather months of the year.
MIAMI, Jan. 27, 2015--The latest steps taken by the New York Racing Association, whose board is now dominated by political appointees, are examples of what happens when racing allows politically motivated individuals rather than horse people to dictate when and how racing will be conducted.
Less than a month into winter racing (with five racing dates knocked out by weather) there have been 14 thoroughbred deaths. This is a horrid, unacceptable situation demanding informed, thoughtful attention.
Rick Violette, president of the New York Thoroughbred Horsemenâ€™s Association, stated emphatically after saddling Upstart to a dominating win in Gulfstreamâ€™s Holy Bull, â€śThere is nothing wrong with the (Aqueduct) racetrack. I have 30 horses that I train over it every day.â€ť
(Of course, his best horse is training under optimal conditions in South Florida.)
Violette was speaking as an individual but what he said is in synch with the official NYRA position. So, if itâ€™s not the track, it has to be something else. Any horsemen and most fans can see the hastily created remedies for what â€śsomething elseâ€ť might be are drastic over-reactions designed by people with limited racing expertise.
Meanwhile, the real culprit, winter racing, over populated by horses with infirmities that render them incapable of earning their keep during the prime racing months, gets a slide because curtailing it doesnâ€™t serve political interests.
There is no relief in sight. Gov.Cuomo indicated last week that the state is not ready to privatize NY racing again, which was supposed to happen by this coming October. If you are offered a deal by the devil to live without fear of death until the state relinquishes control of NYRA, jump at it.
The most ludicrous new rule, in a tight photo, is the edict that horses will not be allowed to run back within 14 days of a race. There are, however, about a half-dozen examples of horses who fatally broke down after having run more than once within those parameters.
However, these cannot be taken in a vacuum as cause and effect. Other horses ran within the same period without negative ramifications. Some even won.
Did the horses in this sample have a history of injuries that caused them to the sidelines for lengthy periods? Were they horses being dropped drastically in claiming price, a red flag to soundness issues? What pharmaceuticals were they being treated with? Just taking the number of days between starts ignores these other potential factors.
There are ample examples of horses running back with great success far more quickly than the new rules allow. Willy Beamin won the 2012 Albany Stakes at Saratoga then came back three days later to take the Kings Bishop which, as a Grade 1, is supposed to represent the most difficult race in the sport to win.
Emollient fired a clunker in the 2013 Gulfstream Oaks but came back seven days later to win the Grade 1 Ashland. Whatâ€™s more, Emollient has continued to race regularly at the highest levels. She won a couple more Grade 1 races in 2013 and another this past September, almost a year and a half beyond what NYRA would have people believe is a debilitating regimen.
NYRA has already bitten itself in the buns on this one. Eight horses, who were entered before horsemen were fully aware of the new restrictions, had to be scratched from the Jan. 25 card, resulting in two three-horse fields and two four-horse fields on a nine-race card. How many new friends among those who made the trip to the track do you suppose this made?
It could be worse on Thursday. Eleven of the 63 horses entered are ineligible under the 14-day rule, according to the Daily Racing Form. This is before normal scratches. Maybe the blizzard expected to bury the Northeast will spare NYRA the embarrassment of running the Thursday card.
Nosed out for pointlessness is the reduction of NYRAâ€™s winter agenda by three races a week. Winter cards on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday will be reduced to eight races. This is like, instead of giving up smoking, cutting back from three packs a day to two.
It is indisputable that the fewer the races, the fewer chances for breakdowns. Continuing this to its illogical conclusion, why not seven-race cards or six or five until we get down to zero when, of course, there would be no race-related breakdowns.
Not to be underestimated for the distinction of most absurd new rule is the one that raises the minimum claiming level for maidens to $16,000 from $12,500. Only someone totally oblivious to the way claiming prices work would be impressed by this. The $16,000 claiming races will now be populated by horses who have been running for $12,500 and would be entered for $10,000 or $7,500 if it were the bottom.
The â€śpoor performanceâ€ť list is another joke. Any horse beaten by 25 lengths has to work a half-mile in 53 seconds before it can be entered in a race again. This is ridiculous on a couple of levels.
It doesnâ€™t distinguish between a horse getting beat 25 lengths in a stakes or even a high priced claimer and one losing by 25 lengths in a bottom level maiden claiming race. Also 53 seconds is hardly a taxing standard. A horse that has to go all out to make 52 4/5 isnâ€™t going to be any more competitive on the NYRA circuit than one that lumbers under the wire in 53.
Expectations are these rules, especially the 14-day restriction, will be re-examined and likely shelved when the better horses start showing up in the entries during the spring.
Isnâ€™t this a de facto admission that the real problem is winter racing?
Written by Tom Jicha