Tuesday, November 11, 2014
Racing’s only sure thing: Fans will get screwed
The Breeders' Cup Classic left a bad taste in many fans' mouths. But this is nothing new for racing. Fans get shafted regularly in all sorts of ways. The latest example is a race at Churchill Downs in which an ineligible horse won. The owners of the rightful winner got paid, the jockey and trainer got theirs but fans who bet on the horse who was eventually awarded the win got nothing. This need not be in the age of computer and account wagering. Also, fans who had 5 winners at the Breeders' Cup were shortchanged because there was a carryover to Sunday, which should not be allowed in this specific case.
MIAMI, Nov. 11, 2014--My favorite Saratoga promotional campaign was one about 15, 20 years ago. The tagline, as thoroughbreds thundered around the turn and into the Spa stretch was, â€śWeâ€™ve been doing this for 120 years (I donâ€™t recall the exact number; it is irrelevant) and we still donâ€™t know how itâ€™s going to turn out.â€ť This summarized everything that keeps fans coming back to the track.
Unfortunately, the same line canâ€™t be adapted to an element of racing, which goes on every day at tracks everywhere. As long as there has been racing, the one predictable outcome has been that in the end, fans will get screwed. Whether itâ€™s takeout, breakage, admission, parking, over-priced concessions or bad DQâ€™s, fans always take the worst of it.
A killer for any business is to have patrons leave feeling they have been shafted. It doesnâ€™t matter if they are right. If this is their perception, this is their reality and it doesnâ€™t bode well for customer loyalty. I would contend that these factors, more than suspicions of drugging, are the biggest drag on racing.
While the Breedersâ€™ Cup Classic non-disqualification is a debatable point, there are myriad other inarguable situations that evoke justifiable patron disgust. The latest example derives from a race at Churchill Downs on Oct. 30. Proud Azteca crossed the wire first and bettors who had their money on him were paid.
It later turned out that Proud Azteca was ineligible for the race, which carried one of those complex conditions. It was for 3-year-olds, non-winners of two races other than maiden, claiming, starter or state bred allowance or non-winners of three races.
The problem arose from the â€śstate bred allowanceâ€ť stipulation. Proud Azteca had won a minor stakes for Indiana- breds on Aug. 6. It was contested under allowance conditions but it was a stakes. This made Proud Azteca ineligible for the Churchill race.
So those who bet on runnerup Hesinfront were beaten by a horse who shouldnâ€™t have been allowed to run. But not everyone involved with Hesinfront got the dirty end of the pitch fork. When it was discovered that Proud Azteca was ineligible, the purse money was redistributed with Hesinfrontâ€™s connections getting the major share.
Coincidentally, Hesinfront would have been the 1,000th winner at Churchill for Robby Albarado. It might not have been the way he would have liked it to happen but Albarado was credited with the milestone victory after the fact.
So the owners and trainer of the new winner were made whole. The jockey was made whole. But people who bet on Hesinfront are SOL.
Kentucky rules make the trainer responsible for making certain a horse fits the race conditions. But Mike Maker, trainer of Proud Azteca, will not face any punishment, according to the Racing Form. The racing office is the backstop for horsesâ€™ eligibility. Proud Azteca got by it, too. But no heads will roll there, either.
So the only people to suffer are those who bet on Hesinfront. They got screwed. The official result is the official result for pari-mutuel purposes. Always has been.
It need not be this way. â€śThis is the way weâ€™ve always done itâ€ť is no longer an acceptable business plan, although race tracks have been maddeningly slow in realizing this.Weâ€™re in an age where a substantial amount of wagering is done through accounts, which retain records of bets. People who can establish they bet on Hesinfront through these records or even those who save their losing tickets should be able to get paid.
Racetracks would shudder at this possibility because it means they could wind up paying out to two sets of winners, resulting in a big net loss for the track. Too bad. Any other business that makes a big mistake, which shortchanges customers, has to pay the penalty in make goods.
The people who bet on Hesinfront suffered the consequences of the trackâ€™s error but those who made the mistake didnâ€™t. I donâ€™t know that this has ever been challenged in court but I would love to see someone take the case in front of a judge and jury.
BC Pick 6 carryover unfair
Fans who bet the Pick 6 at the Breedersâ€™ Cup, especially anyone who picked five, also have a beef. No one picked six, not surprising given the cavalcade of longshot winners. Five winners paid $114,472, a handsome reward. But it should have been a lot more.
The Breedersâ€™ Cup is its own meet. Wagers that generally carry over should be treated as if the Classic is the end of the meet. The entire pool should be distributed to those with the most winners, as used to be the case.
Fans travel from far and wide to the Breedersâ€™ Cup. Many, if not most, make their travel plans to get out of Dodge as early as possible on Sunday. Everything is keyed toward Saturday and, to a lesser extent, Friday, where carryovers go into Saturdayâ€™s pool, as they should.
Saturdayâ€™s $1,335,505 carryover came out of their pockets. It was a windfall for Santa Anita, which had a monstrous Sunday thanks to the carryover. But this is no way to reward fans, who go to great expense to attend the Breedersâ€™ Cup.
A perhaps revealing sidelight is betting on the BC Pick 6 was down about $800,000 this year. This goes against the theory that wide open races with full fields encourages more wagering. There could be too much of this good thing.
This year there was no Wise Dan, Groupie Doll or Mizdirection, horses you might feel confident singling to keep the cost of the ticket down. Each race seemed to have five or six legitimate contenders, some even more.
I suspect some players decided it would cost tens of thousands of dollars to feel comfortable with their Pick 6 selections, so they threw up their hands and opted for the less expensive Pick 4. Almost $4 million was bet into this pool, against $2.5 million (which suggests the guarantee wasnâ€™t met) for the Pick 6.
The potential for a huge payoff was still there. Indeed, the Pick 4 ending with the Classic returned $18,335 for 50 cents.
There are two lessons here: Tracks might be short-sighted in taking big favorites out of the Pick 6. These â€śfree spacesâ€ť might actually encourage players to jump into the poolâ€”and, of course, the big favorites donâ€™t always win. When they donâ€™t, a carryover becomes more likely.
The other is that wagers with low minimums are the wave of the future. Check that. They are the wave of now.
Written by Tom Jicha
Tuesday, November 04, 2014
Now the world knows how incompetent the Santa Anita stewards are
Southern California horse players have been aware for years how incompetent and inconsistent the stewards are. Now the whole world knows.If Bayern didn't deserve to be disqualified from his Breeders' Classic win, they might as well adopt the greyhound model and make each race official as soon as the horses cross the wire.
MIAMI, Nov. 4, 2014--Ron Nicoletti, who does the closed circuit handicapping at Gulfstream East and West, likes to joke that heâ€™s going to write a book on his bad beats titled, â€śDQâ€™ed at the Dog Track.â€ť
For those who have never been to the greyhound races, getting taken down would be the ultimate bad beat. Disqualifications are not part of the game. Greyhounds can bite, jump on and knock competitors over the rail with impunity. The order of finish is the official result.
Just like at Santa Anita.
The two worst non-disqualifications I have witnessed in a lifetime at the track both happened at The Great Race Place. Coincidentally, horses trained by Bob Baffert were the beneficiaries in both. (Lest anyone think this is sour grapes, I cashed in both instances.)
One was leaving up Game on Dude in the 2011 Big Cap after Chantal Sutherland allowed her horse to â€śshift outâ€ťâ€”Trevor Denmanâ€™s words, not mineâ€”and knock Twirling Candy sideways into Setsuko, who recovered to miss by only a nose.
That was the all-time worst in my experience until Saturdayâ€™s Breedersâ€™ Cup Classic. There are incidents out of the starting gate, which are generally tolerated, and there is what Martin Garcia did aboard Bayern. Breaking from No. 7, Garcia let (encouraged) Bayern take a sharp left hand turn, which took out half the field. Garcia made no effort to straighten his mount as they made a diagonal beeline toward the rail. This is what separated it from a commonplace incident out of the gate.
Among the most compromised were undefeated Shared Belief and Moreno, who represented a serious pace threat to Bayern. Eric Guillot, the motor-mouth trainer of Moreno, is fond of saying that any horse in front of his colt early is going too fast. Without Moreno to prod him on the front end, Bayern didnâ€™t need to worry about going too fast.
And with Shared Belief getting ping-ponged because of what Garcia and Bayern did and, to a lesser extent, eventual place horse Toast of New York blasting him a few strides later, Shared Beliefâ€™s chances were severely diminished. But the stewards determined none of this figured into the outcome.
Richard Migliore, who has developed into as much a talent analyzing and commenting on races as he was riding in them, was adamant on the Players feed that Bayern had to come down. Like many sweating out the decision, he was astonished when the stewards allowed the finish to stand.
There must be different rules for the fifth race on a Wednesday than there are for the Breedersâ€™ Cup, The Mig said. He added the observation that the stewardsâ€™ non-action might encourage riders to take dangerous liberties out of the gate in the future.
The stewardsâ€™ explanation was a classic (no pun intended) cover your ass exercise. â€śWhen the contact occurred at the start, according to the rules, we thought (Shared Belief) was not cost a better placing,â€ť Kim Sawyer said.
Not only was Shared Belief sawed off by Bayern as he was trying to get into stride, he was thwarted again when Toast of New York crossed over and forced him to check. But Sawyer and her cohorts ruled that neither incident cost Shared Belief, who had never had a horse finish in front of him in seven lifetime starts, a better placing.
In a statement released later through the California Horse Racing Board, Sawyerâ€™s colleague Scott Chaney doubled down. â€śThe incident occurred in a part of the race where the horses interfered with were not cost the opportunity to place where they were reasonably expected to finish.â€ť
Amazing! Less than a furlong into a mile and a quarter race, the stewards knew exactly where every horse was reasonably expected to finish. Chaney stuck to this interpretation in a press conference Sunday.
The incompetence and inconsistency of the Santa Anita stewards has long been a burning issue on the West Coast. Now it has been exposed to the world.
The outcome of stewardsâ€™ inquiries at Southern California tracks has become the equine equivalent of Las Vegas boxing decisions. Favored sons are treated remarkably well despite what fans see with their own eyes. Is anyone more a favored son of California racing than Baffert?
This is one more reason why anchoring the Breedersâ€™ Cup in Southern California should not even be seriously discussed. Inasmuch as the Breedersâ€™ Cup will be back in Southern California for at least two more renewals after a detour to Keeneland next fall, it is time to consider a change in the stewards stand for future editions.
Like boxing has started to do, outside judges should be imported, maybe one from the East Coast and another from the South or Midwest to serve with a hometown representative. Divers perspectives might result in more equitable decisions.
As unacceptable as the call by the Santa Anita stewards was, it was even more infuriating that Chaney said the decision was unanimous. Of course it was. These three people spend all day every day with each other. No way are they going to publicly disagree on such a controversial issue.
It would have been close to impossible to randomly pluck any three people from the Santa Anita grandstand or the television audience and get a unanimous decision that Bayern deserved to be left up.
Bayern got the money but he might become collateral damage of the outrageous decision. There were headlines Sunday morning that Bayern had put himself into position to be voted the Eclipse Award as 3-year-old champion.
I doubt it. Iâ€™m not sure Bayern would be the favorite for the Eclipse even if he had won on the square. The Classic was his second Grade 1 triumph. California Chrome has three Grade 1â€™s and one of them is the Kentucky Derby, the only event that dwarfs the Classic in prestige and importance.
Throw in the backlash triggered by the way Bayern won and not even the Santa Anita stewards could find a way to put him on top.
Written by Tom Jicha
Friday, October 31, 2014
Goldencents makes his bid for a title
Goldencents lived up to his odds-on favoritism in the BC Dirt Mile but he had to gut it out the length of the stretch to get it done. Will this be enough to overcome Palace Malice for best older horse? Earlier, Wesley Ward got off his Breeders' Cup schneid in a big way, finishing first and second with Hootenanny and Luck of the Kitten in the Juvenile Turf.
It didn't take long for the Breeders' Cup to produce an Eclipse controversy.
Goldencents' incredibly game win in the Dirt Mile stakes his claim for best older horse, a prize pretty much conceded to Palace Malice on the strength of his four graded stakes wins. The Mile was only the second stakes win of 2014 for Goldencents but it was the big one.
Palace Malice still boasts coming out on top the only time the two met, in the Metropolitan Mile. But that was in June and we've seen on many occasions that what have you done for me lately becomes a deciding factor. What's more, the Met Mile was Palace Malice's only Grade 1 and now Goldencents has him tied in that category.
It didn't look like that was going to be the case at the top of the Santa Anita stretch. Going into the weekend, Goldencents loomed the most probable winner of the two days. With a quarter mile to go, those who took the 3-5 probably would have taken a penny on the dollar.
Johnny Velazquez uncharacteristically opted to go on a kamikaze mission aboard Vicar's in Trouble. They went the quarter in 22:06 and the half in 44.80, ridiculous fractions on a track that wasn't the paved highway Santa Anita often is on big days.
Vicar's in Trouoble was gone by midway down the backstretch and wound up getting vanned off, an exhausted horse. But Goldencents didn't get much of a breather as Tapiture charged at him on the turn. But Goldencents dug in and Tapiture never really gained a step on him, even though Goldencents had a bad case of the wobbles in final eighth.
Pants On Fire got up for third without ever menacing the top two. Good for Chilean Bronzo, who grabbed fourth place money.
Untapable clinches title
There's no question who the 3-year-old filly champion is. Untapable settled that beyond question by overcoming a 3- and 4-wide trip to capture the Distaff, catching Iotapa in the stretch, then holding off late-running Don't Tell Sophia.
The latter might have grabbed the older female title with her second, as Close Hatches threw in her second straight clunker.
Depending on what happens Saturday, a case could be made for Unbtapable as Horse of the Year. The Distaff was her sixth win, which includes the Kentucky Oaks, in seven starts. The only blemish was a fifth in the Haskell against colts on a day when no one was going to beat Bayern on the speed-biased New Jersey track.
Untapable's win tied a nice bow around Steve Asmussen's year, which has been mired in controversy that he really had nothing personal to do with.
Ward kills the duck with elan
The Juvenile Turf created another controversy, although not one of much consequence. Is Hootenanny, who outgamed Luck of the Kitten, a Euro or on Uncle Sam's squad?
The son of Quality Road is a Kentucky bred and made his first two starts in America. Then Wesley Ward took him to Europe, where he won at Ascot then ran second in a Group 1 in France.
In any case, Hootenanny and Luck of the Kitten, both trained by Ward, ended the trainer's 0 for 17 schneid with style. Ward can be proud of the job he did with both. Luck of the Kitten, who went in with two wins and two seconds on four different tracks played catch me if you can from the start and it took everything Hootenanny had to get him in the closing yards. None of the others ever reached serious contention.
The fans had no faith. Hootenanny was the 3-1 morning line favorite but when the gate opened, he was double that price. You won't see 6-1 again on Hootenanny any time soon.
U.S. 1-2 in Juvenile Fillies Turf
Maybe the Euro turfers aren't that superior this year.Lady Eli led a 1-2 sweep for Team America in the Juvenile Fillies Turf.
Lady Eli, bided her time stalking dueling pace-setters. For a moment or two on the backstretch, it appeared she might get trapped but Irad Ortiz stayed patient and waited for his oppoortunity. It came as the field turned into the stretch when Sunset Glow drifted out and opened the rail. Lady Eli exploded up the fence and galloped away to a facile score.
The Chad Brown-trained colt ruined Wesley Ward's bid to sweep the two grass events on Friday. Ward's Sunset Glow, who also had a trip to England this summer, hung on gamely for the place.
Osalia saved face for the foreigners getting up for third.
There's no telling how good Lady Eli might be. The Fillies Turf was her third straight win and she had tough trips in her first two wins in New York. Maybe she had a dream trip like Friday's coming to her..
Written by Tom Jicha