Saratoga Late Pick 4, Roll Tide
Exclusively for http://www.123BET.com, reprinted via promotional agreement
RACE 9 GRADE 1 FOURSTARDAVE 1 MILE INNER TURF
1-King Kreesa (12-1)
won the Forbidden Apple after getting loose in soft fractions on a speed-kind course…but these are Grade 1 rivals.
2-Grand Arch (6-1)
returns to what might be his favorite course--over which he won this race last year. A four-time winner at the trip, returns with profitable spacing for Lynch barn that’s come alive recently. Nicely drawn, sheds 6 pounds and ML odds offers value.
3-Reporting Star (20-1)
four of five lifetime wins have come at this trip, sheds six pounds, and won G3 Appleton at the distance three back. In top hands but this is a different level.
4-Force the Pass (8-1)
just missed catching ‘Kreesa’ after chasing the loose leader in the Forbidden Apple. Has enough versatility to adapt to dynamics, well drawn and three of four lifetime wins at today’s distance. Excellent value on early line.
won the Oceanport when Jersey Joe took advantage of demanding course and timed his late run perfectly. Meeting tougher, obviously, and at his best with a little more ground.
6-Ring Weekend (3-1)
handles any type of footing, has won at G1 level, and just missed in G2 Dixie making first start in 14 months. Loves tis course, working bullets at Fair Hill base and goes very well for Johnny.
7-A Lot (10-1)
drops significant weight exiting two rapidly run sprints, gets switch to Javier. Has run very well on this course but this is a different level and had better inside draw in last week’s canceled renewal.
won his lone start on this course, three of four at this trip lifetime and exits long series of G1 event. Has enough tactical gas to overcome wide draw and reunites with winning rider Rosario. Worthy favorite.
9-Takeover Target (9-2)
would have preferred last week’s softer ground but likes Spa turf. Freshened awaiting this, sheds five pounds but loses Rosario to Tourist. Chad white hot, has good spacing, but this a tough spot.
Great Talent and Future Stars on Display Whitney Day
SARATOGA RACE COURSE LATE PICK 4 RESULTS JULY 30, 2016
By John Pricci, exclusively for http://www.123BET.com
Comments from July 30 P4 at SARATOGA, notable winners & money finishers
SARATOGA LATE PICK 4 JULY, 30, 2016
RACE 8 ALLOWANCES 1-3/16 MILES MELLON TURF
5-Ray’s The Bar (3-1)
showed high promise in first two starts as 2015 juvenile but so far has failed to show added development at 3. Chad 24% in LAY-3 scenario, may come around reuniting with Javier. (WON: $8.60 )
finished well after the fact last time out, his first start since 2014, but was away again since April appearance. Chad 27% effective with 90-days+ layups and Irad a profitable 30% for this barn last two months, winning with 4 of last 11 rides. (2ND, EX: $53.00)
RACE 9: Grade 1 VANDERBILT HANDICAP 3&UP 6 FURLONGS
4-A.P. Indian (5-1)
comes off consecutive sharp scores going seven-eighths, including G3 Belmont Sprint Championship. Sharp blowout for streaking Delacour barn having career season and Bravo, looking to make it three straight, on board. (WON: 11.40 )
5-Holy Boss (9-2)
is effective when patiently handled but has proven inconsistent sort. True North third gets Johnny on the re-ride, loves the Spa and Asmussen has been live at meet thus far; nicely posted. (EX: 58.00)
RACE 10 Grade 2 JIM DANDY STAKES 3YO 1-1/8 MILES
had fastest recent blowout of 130 peers last week on this surface. Given that, and switch to Jose Ortiz, Guillot appears intent on the lead. Still winless in seven lifetime starts. (WON: 56.00)
5-Governor Malibu (9-2)
has steadily improving PERs since taking state-bred stakes on Aqueduct Inner this winter. Good-finish Peter Pan runnerup was victimized by tough trip in Belmont. Has worked his way—literally—into this race and gets along well with Joel. (EX: 269.50)
RACE 11 Maiden Claiming F & M 1-16 MILES INNER TURF
drops into claimer for the first time for Proctor, a 23% angle, has trained steadily (missing work Jul 19?) at Fair Hill base and picks up Geroux; Looks like live ship-in. (WON: 8.80)
1-Smile Big (3-1)
never has raced this cheaply for Chad, whose dropdowns have been hot and colt at meet thus far. Showed improved early speed when adding blinkers for MTH finale; drop and switch to Irad for logical, formidable early favorite. (EX: 29.40)
SARATOGA LATE PICK 4 WHITNEY DAY AUGUST 6, 2016
RACE 8: Grade 1 TEST STAKES 3YO F 7 FURLONGS
1-Poala Queen (20-1)
tried the G1 Kentucky Oaks and Acorn to no avail in last two starts and while likely appreciating the cut back, this group appears to too tough for breakthrough performance.
2-One True Kiss (15-1)
has come close in G3 sprints recently but lacks Spa experience. Would take a Hall of Fame miracle in this spot.
is a very exciting prospect, barn taking exact Jersey Girl Stakes prep route that was successful with Cavorting in 2015. Co-fastest Thoro-Graph figures and owns top Pricci Energy Rating. Visually impressive and likely to make the Grade here.
4-Malibu Stacy (15-1)
has improved this summer, just missing when beaten a neck in G3 Victory Ride following maiden score. Weaver barn going well at meet and filly can earn minors with continued improvement.
earned field’s co-fastest figure breaking maiden at the trip in GP debut followed by win in 7F G3 Beaumont at KEE. Third in recent G1 Mother Goose, Lynch barn profitable with turnbacks and is major threat with a return to winter-spring form.
6-Lewis Bay (9-2)
is not as fast as these but is multiple G2 winner and recently toughened in G1s. Chad profitable at otherworldly 44% rate with his turnbacks given sizable sample and Irad fits perfectly.
7-Off the Tracks (8-5)
won G3 Schuylerville here at 2 and Todd 25% efficient in LAY-3 scenarios. Mother Goose winner carefully managed into this spot and is well posted at this trip; formidable rival.
8-Kinsley Kisses (15-1)
is the uncoupled Todd in this matchup and a specialist at the trip (3) 2-0-1. Reunites with Johnny but this a very tall order meeting faster despite adding blinkers on the turnback.