BELMONT PARK LATE PICK 4 ALL-ENTRANT ANALYSIS
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RACE 7 MAIDEN CLAIMING F & M 3 & UP 1 MILE WIDENER TURF
1-Fired Up Sensation (3-1)
owns highly competitive Pricci Energy Ratings, drops into maiden claimer for first time (Clement 29%, profitable) with switch to Leading rider Ortiz and first-Lasix (28%, profitable. Obvious strong contender.
2-Truly Bound (12-1)
drops into claimer first time for Tony Dutrow (24%, profitable). Outrun lone turf start and one of dam’s two winners have won on grass. Switches to Irad.
3-Tiz Twice (5-2)
showed marked improvement with early speed when dropped to this level and stretched to route last out. Bred for distance both sides, dam’s five winners include three on turf, and Alvarado on the re-ride. Sharp blowout, very solid contender.
4-Say Cin Cin (12-1)
drops into claimer for first time since November 2015and raced competitively despite rough trip in lone grass try; switch to Luis Saez
5-French Dressing (15-1)
placed twice in four turf starts, two on this course; last raced in claimer October 2015; goes first-time for Gyarmati (20%, profitable) and gets switch to Lezcano; viable price shot on early line.
6-Mo’s Ginny (6-1)
was a good second in lone start under similar conditions at two now returns to that level in a LAY-2 situation for Albertrani, profitable when dropping in with maiden claimers; switch to Javier augurs well.
7-Charlotte’s Hope (30-1)
, the other Albertrani, makes second with serviceable pedigree and takes confident class rise after being non-threat in turf/racing debut; interesting.
8-More Than a Legend (8-1)
drops into maiden claimer for first time but deep closer compromised with late run style and wide draw. Nevertheless, Kimmel 25% profitable on this type of drop.
had wide trip from wide post going 6F now drops into maiden claimer for the first time getting second Lasix (Ribaudo profitable) with distance pedigree on top side; obvious solid contender must overcome wide post.
All Stakes/All Entrants Pick 4 Profiles; HRI Staff Picks Belmont 148
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RACE 8 Grade 1 JUST A GAME F & M 1 MILE WIDENER TURF
1-Strike Charmer (8-1)
won only start on Belmont turf but mile record is soft. Comes off career run with Joel and pole position. Need 8-1 or greater.
comes off the roughest trip of the meet in Strike Charmer’s Beaugay, making remarkable finish for third. Strong contender with smoother journey.
has come into her own at 4 but is winless on Belmont ground after three tries and this is saltier than she’s used to.
4-La Berma (30-1)
Group placed Euro battled on lead through U.S. debut at Santa before tiring in G2 Royal Heroine. Worked purposefully since but not sure what to expect here.
5-My Miss Sophia (8-1)
ran off rankly setting the Beaugay pace in 2016 debut. One-for-two on BEL ground and third to Tepin in KEE G1 last fall. Switch to Smith augurs well.
6-Prize Exhibit (30-1)
never had a stretch chance in Royal Heroine season’s debut has been competitive in long line G1s and G2s. Has won at trip thrice and gets switch to Prat. Interesting at early line odds.
7-Mrs. McDougal (4-1)
blew the recent overnight stakes open with mid-move in Big A season’s debut, showing good Thoro Graph development at 4. She’s 2-for-2 at the trip, 3-for-4 with Ortiz, Chad 27% with repeaters and a 29% profit with this type of spacing.
earned excellent Pricci Energy Rating winning G2 Honey Fox last out, showing good development at 4, is 2-for-2 on Belmont lawn and 3-for-4 at trip; value on early line.
9-Irish Rookie (10-1)
Euro miler was Group 1 placed in Britain at 3 now makes U.S. debut in third start off the layup. Trainer Meade an unknown quantity in this scenario and looms legitimate dark horse. Not easily dismissible.
came from last with very wide rally for place in aforementioned Royal Heroine with Van Dyke, re-riding here. Owns worthy (8) 3-2-2 slate at trip, appears well pointed to this for Motion, profitable in graded events.
11-Lexie Lou (15-1)
gave gritty stretch performance to win Canadian G2 last out and 2-for-3 at this trip. This is a completely different ballgame and returns on short rest.
12-Rainha Da Bateria (5-1)
gained ground during fast mid-race fractions in G2 CD mile before altering course wide at headstretch, finishing gamely for place. Goes second time for Brown/Castellano.
13-Lady Lara (15-1)
in-and-our mare is capable on her best day and lost all chance with wide trip in G2 Honey Fox and Lezcano sticks. Tricky read here.