Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence has authored thousands of articles expounding on the three primary forms of sports handicapping: Fundamental, Statistical and Technical. To be a successful handicapper, blending all three forms of analysis into the handicapping equation. Marc relies heavily on a proprietary powerful database of scores, stats and results of games played since 1980, both College and Pro Football and College and Pro Basketball.

Marc has been handicapping sports professionally since 1975, having won more documented Top 10 Handicapping Achievement awards than any handicapper in the nation. He won the 2005 STARDUST FOOTBALL INVITATIONAL Contest and was a SEMI-FINALIST in the 2006 $100,000 LEROYS' MONEY TALKS Contest last season. He finished the 2006 season as the No. 1 handicapper in the NFL as documented by SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. Marc also finished No. 1 in the nation in College Football win percentage in 2005 as documented by both the SPORTS MONITOR in Oklahoma and SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. He was named HANDICAPPER OF THE YEAR in 2005 by FOOTBALL NEWS.

In 2008, he finished No. 1 in NFL win percentage according to SPORTS WATCH and also captured 1st place honors in the 2008 PLAYBOOK WISE GUYS CONTEST.

Marc has hosted a national radio show "MARC LAWRENCE AGAINST THE SPREAD" for each of the last 16 years on over 100 stations syndicated in the USA. He is a tireless handicapper who works a minimum 60-hour week during the football and basketball seasons. As a handicapper he firmly believes that three things can happen when you bet an underdog, and two of them are good. He enjoys helping others to become better informed.

Marc married his high school sweetheart 40 years ago and has one son, Marc Jr., who works with him in the industry. Aside from publishing the PLAYBOOK Football Yearbook magazine and Weekly Newsletters, Marc enjoys golf and horse racing.

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Thursday, September 20, 2018

Top College & Pro Upsets, Weekend of SEP 22

Marshall over NC State by 6

The 2-0 Wolfpack were another victim of Hurricane Florence’s postponement roll call last week, not getting the opportunity to square off with highly-ranked West Virginia at Raleigh. Now State makes its first road trip of the season before returning home again for a pair of ACC contests. In this case, though, that extra week of
rest may not pay off: 2-0 away teams in Game Three with a week of rest are 32-49 ATS, including 14-28 ATS in non-conference games. On the flip side, 2-0 home teams with rest like Marshall (the Herd’s game at South Carolina was also canceled) are a healthy 38-17 SU in Game Three when hosting non-division foes. Doc Holliday’s team backs up those numbers with a defi ant 6-1-2 ATS record in their last nine appearances as non-conference home dogs. Marshall also lays down the law with a 4-0-2 ATS effort of late versus the ACC, not to mention a 10-4 ATS run dating back to last year. Taking on the Herd at Huntington has never been easy; even in 2016’s horrendous 3-9 campaign, seven of their nine losses came on the road. All things considered, we look for Holliday to continue rebuilding the
Marshall mystique as his squad pulls one of the evening’s bigger upsets – fully supported by THE CLINCHER: Rested, undefeated non-conference home dogs are15-6 ATS versus undefeated foes, including 11-1 ATS against opponents playing off an ATS win – winning 7 of the games straight-up.

Texas over TCU by 10

The Froggies blew their chance to bring down mighty Ohio State last Saturday night in a hard-hitting contest where the Buckeyes seemed to wear out TCU in the late going of the 40-28 fi nal. Not so for Texas, who took full advantage of a shaky Southern Cal squad last week to roll up a big 37-14 revenge win over the Trojans. Now
the Horned Frogs travel to Austin for a matchup of 2-1 teams on Saturday afternoon. TCU is 3-10 ATS as Big 12 road chalk of less than 21 points and just 7-15 SUATS off a SU loss & ATS win when facing .500 or greater foes. The Longhorns enter off a 37 to 14 win over USC falling behind 14-3 before reeling off 34 unanswered points to secure the victory. Riding a wave of momentum after reeling off 34 unanswered points in the drubbing of USC, the Longhorns arethe answer to the Texas Two Step question: who leads and who follows on Saturday afternoon. Texas head coach Tom Herman is not only the answer to this Week’s TRIVIA TEASER on page 2, he’s also 20-4 SU in games in which his squad boasts a .666 or greater win percentage. Best of all, Herman’s adversary today chips in to provide THE CLINCHER: Gary Patterson is 3-10 ATS as a conference favorite.


SF over KC by 4

A matchup of the league’s latest en vogue quarterbacks – San Francisco’s Jimmy G and Patrick ‘KC Masterpiece’ Mahomes. The Patomic Bomb has tossed an NFL record 10 TD passes the first two weeks of the season to lead the Chiefs into the favorite’s role to the Super Bowl. However, before he’s crowned as the almighty,
the Kansas City Cannon is going to need his defense to make an appearance sooner than later. It’s a stop-unit that ranks DEAD LAST in the NFL, allowing 508 YPG to date. As a result, the Chiefs are 2-0 SUATS but 0-2 ITS this season as they’ve been outyarded in both games by 205 total yards. Perhaps it should come as no surprise, as Marc alludes to in his USA TODAY SPORTS WEEKLY column, that KC has been out-yarded in 50 of Andy Reid’s 87 games with the Chiefs. On the other side of the coin, Pistol Pat’s counterpart, Jimmy Garappolo, owns a 95.7 career passer rating and is 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS as a starter in the NFL. In addition, the Niners are 3-0 SUATS away under Kyle Shanahan in games with at least one win on the season. With NFL teams playing their home opener in Game Three ofthe campaign just 20-45-2 ATS against non-division foes, we close it out with THE CLINCHER: San Francisco is 8-1 ATS with a .500 or greater record in games against foes off a SU underdog win.

Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at - One Click Handicapping
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Thursday, September 13, 2018

Marc Lawrence Best Upsets SEP 15-16

As Arte Johnson used to say while wearing a World War II German soldier’s uniform on Rowan and Martin’s Laugh-In (remember that?), this matchup between the Hurricanes and Rockets looks to be “Verrry interesting.

TOLEDO over Miami by 6

” Even though the MAC is off to a 9-12 SU start versus non-conference foes in 2018, the truth is SEVEN of those wins came at the expense of FCS opponents. And with league standard-bearers like Northern Illinois and Western Michigan off to miserable 0-2 starts, it’s a necessity that someone step forward to restore the conference’s dwindling reputation. We’ll hand that job to Toledo, 20-7 SU in two seasons under HC Jason Candle, and probably the only MAC squad currently capable of going toe-to-toe with a big-time Miami team. Although we do have to say ‘shame’ on the Hurricanes for scheduling hapless Savannah State last week, a team blanked 52-0 in a season-opening loss at UAB two weeks ago before being flattened by Miami last Saturday, 77-0. And if that blowout of SSU isn’t enough to put the Canes back in good graces with the pollsters despite Miami’s lopsided loss to LSU to kick off the year, then the new 7-pound turnover chain they unveiled drew enough attention to confirm the fact that, at the very least, the bling is back. UM shows up at the Glass Bowl with a solid 7-1 ATS mark as non-conference road chalk but current head coach Mark Richt has accounted for only one of those spread wins. Toledo counters with a 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS log in non-MAC games when coming off a win of 21 or more points, plus the Rocketeers are an intriguing 5-1 SUATS of late as home dogs when they own a winning record. We’ll light this candle with THE CLINCHER: See this week’s AWESOME ANGLE on page 2.


JACKSONVILLE over New England by 8

Verrry interesting, indeed.The Jaguars enter this game carrying a huge revenge chip on their shoulder from last year’s loss at New England in the AFC title game. Yes, we realize the Patriots have won 21 games in a row against the AFC South, and that Pats QB Tom Brady holds a huge edge over Jacksonville’s Blake Bortles, but our well-oiled machine comes to the Jags’ rescue noting that home dogs in season openers that were in the playoffs the previous season are 4-1 SUATS when
coming off a win, as well as 10-4 ATS against foes arriving off a win. FYI: Bortles is 14-6-2 ATS as a dog in his NFL career against foes coming off a win including 7-0 ATS the last seven. Besides, New England’s 0-7 ATS mark away off a win of less than 8 points when facing an avenging foe looms large for the hosts. Biggest concern for the Jags this week is the injury status of star RB Leonard Fournette’s whose hamstring injury lists him as day-to-day at the moment. Nonetheless, the Patriots take the field in the worst of roles for defending Super Bowl losers and we’re ready to pounce on it with these revenge-minded cats as we turn it over to THE
CLINCHER:Defending Super Bowl losers are 1-7 SU and 0-8 ATS as a non-division road pick or favorite in games with a win percentage of greater than .666 if they were favored by 4 or more points in their previous game and are facing a greater than .500 opponent.

Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at - One Click Handicapping
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Friday, September 07, 2018

Marc Lawrence Taking Points Weekend SEP 7

College Picks

PITTSBURGH by Penn St by 3

Nittany Lions could still be hyperventilating after they needed a 16-yard TD pass with less than minute remaining to force an overtime and eventual win over gutty Appalachian State last week. Penn State was out-statted by ASU and trailed for 4:43 in the game. That’s noteworthy considering out of the 780 minutes they playedlast season, the Nits trailed for ony 37 minutes and 42 seconds (less than 5% of the time). Heisman hopeful QB Todd McSorely is having to adapt to life with RB Saquon Barkely and TE Mike Gesicki first and second round picks in this year’s NFL draft) and even though he struggled last week, he delivered when his team needed him the
most. Now Penn State must head to steeltown to take on one of its fiercest rivals, Pittsburgh. The Panthers didn’t show much in their 33-7 drubbiing of Albany last week but they actually outgained the Lions in a 33-14 loss at Happy Valley last season. Pitt head coach Pat Narduzzi is putting special emphasis on the run game this year,which could go a long way in pulling the rug out from underneath PSU tonight. Not much to support the Lions in recent ATS history as they’re an awful 1-8-1 ATS as road favorites of less than 14 points, and just 3-9 ATS off a SU non-conference home win. Pitt brings an impressive 9-2 ATS log to the fray when playing with non-conference revenge, plus the black cats have cashed a ticket in 5 of the last 6 series meetings with PSU (5-0-1 ATS). We’ve got more if you want it but for the sake of brevity, we’ll go directly to THE CLINCHER: The Panthers are 11-0-1 ATS as home dogs of 8 or more points.

Kansas State over Mississipi State by 8

Don’t bash Kansas State too bad for having to come from behind in the fourth quarter to defeat South Dakota in this season’s opener. After all, the Coyotes made it to the semifinals of the 2017 FCS Playoffs. On second thought, go ahead and let the purple cats have it: they lost the turnover battle 4-0, the offense failed to score atouchdown until the final period and new OC Andre Coleman’s much-hyped offensive schemes failed to translate into yards and points. As is usually the case, Grandpa Snyder took one for the team by saying, “I just didn’t have them prepared to play, which is my responsibility.” Well, if we know G-Pa (and we think we do), he should get a lot more wild out of his Cats today. New Mississippi State head coach Joe Moorhead’s debut was much better than his former team’s lid-lifter (Penn State) last Saturday when the Bulldogs bullied S.F. Austin, 63-6. The problem today, though, is new coaches are just 9-67 SU away in Game Two of the season when facing an unbeaten non-conference foe coming off a win. Gramps is at his best in this role, going 87-49-1 ATS at home in his career, including 20-6 ATS against foes that scored 42 or more points in their previous game (8-1 ATS as a dog). If that’s got you reaching for the Geritol, remember that KSU is the best team in the nation over the last 19 seasons in non-offensive TDs, netting more than 2.5 per season than the yearly average. The Manhattan Cats also played more underclassmen than any FBS team during the last two years,and the defense held their last 8 opponents in 2017 under their scoring average. Our database shares that the Starkville Bulldogs have covered just once in their last 6 tries as a favorite or dog of 4 or less points, while Kansas State has gone a perfect 7-0 ATS in the second of 3-plus home games and 4-1 ATS in its last 5 at home when tackling a non-Big 12 adversary. We wrap it all up with THE CLINCHER: Snyder is 37-3 SU at home when undefeated and facing non-conference foes, with only ONE LOSS by more
than 7 points.


Cincy over Indy by 10

How much does Andrew Luck’s presence in the lineup mean to the Colts? They were double-digit dogs against the Bengals in 2017, and were favored in only two games without him last season. The fact of the matter is Indy is 46-30 with Luck and 10-16 without him. For Luck to win today, though, he’ll need to shake off some serious rust
behind a new coaching staff. And he’ll need to do so knowing he is just 1-4 SUATS in Colts’ season openers in his NFL career. Enter the mad-as-hell Bengals, a team that has missed the playoffs the past seasons. The good news is Cincinnati is 17-7-3 ATS away during the month of September under head coach Marvin Lewis, including 11-
2-3 ATS in non-division contests. And as our NFL guru Mike Mains, the author of the NFL preview in the PLAYBOOK Football Preview Guide magazine, so astutely points out: Bengals QB Andy Dalton is 1-9 SU and 3-7 ATS against Houston, Pittsburgh and New England since 2015. He is 22-12-1 SU and 22-11-2 ATS against everyone else.
With a huge edge in coaching experience in this contest to the visitors, we turn it over to THE CLINCHER: Bengals QB Dalton is 8-2-1 ATS as a dog in September in his NFL career, including 5-0-1 ATS in non-division games.

Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at - One Click Handicapping
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