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Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence has authored thousands of articles expounding on the three primary forms of sports handicapping: Fundamental, Statistical and Technical. To be a successful handicapper, blending all three forms of analysis into the handicapping equation. Marc relies heavily on a proprietary powerful database of scores, stats and results of games played since 1980, both College and Pro Football and College and Pro Basketball.

Marc has been handicapping sports professionally since 1975, having won more documented Top 10 Handicapping Achievement awards than any handicapper in the nation. He won the 2005 STARDUST FOOTBALL INVITATIONAL Contest and was a SEMI-FINALIST in the 2006 $100,000 LEROYS' MONEY TALKS Contest last season. He finished the 2006 season as the No. 1 handicapper in the NFL as documented by SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. Marc also finished No. 1 in the nation in College Football win percentage in 2005 as documented by both the SPORTS MONITOR in Oklahoma and SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. He was named HANDICAPPER OF THE YEAR in 2005 by FOOTBALL NEWS.

In 2008, he finished No. 1 in NFL win percentage according to SPORTS WATCH and also captured 1st place honors in the 2008 PLAYBOOK WISE GUYS CONTEST.

Marc has hosted a national radio show "MARC LAWRENCE AGAINST THE SPREAD" for each of the last 16 years on over 100 stations syndicated in the USA. He is a tireless handicapper who works a minimum 60-hour week during the football and basketball seasons. As a handicapper he firmly believes that three things can happen when you bet an underdog, and two of them are good. He enjoys helping others to become better informed.

Marc married his high school sweetheart 40 years ago and has one son, Marc Jr., who works with him in the industry. Aside from publishing the PLAYBOOK Football Yearbook magazine and Weekly Newsletters, Marc enjoys golf and horse racing.

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Monday, September 13, 2010


EARLY RESPITES


In the majority of cases, rest is considered advantageous for most college football teams, especially late in the season. An extra blow not only helps heal tired bodies but also gives coaches a chance to better study an opponent’s game film in greater detail. However, rested teams during the opening month of the season tend to develop dichotic personalities.

RESTED TEAMS OFF A SEASON OPENING LOSS TEND TO STRUGGLE
A week of rest right out of the box in a new season, however, can either help or hinder a team depending on their previous effort and venue. In college football, teams in Game Two, playing off a LOSS with a week of rest, are just 56-70 ATS, including 28-43 ATS when on the road. This week we find North Carolina and Oregon State (both home) in this not-so-desirable role.



RESTED TEAMS OFF A SEASON OPENING WIN TEND TO PERFORM WELL
On the other side of the coin, college football teams in Game Two, playing off a WIN with a week of rest, are 114-84-4 ATS, with Boise State, Fresno State and Indiana are in this role this week.

When playing foes with wobbly defenses (allow 27 or more PPG on the season), these rested winners improve to 36-14 ATS. Boise State and Indiana fit the bill on Saturday. That’s this week’s wake-up call. You know what to do...

Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at Playbook.com - One Click Handicapping
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Tuesday, September 07, 2010


Game Two Bowler Blues


BOWLERS OFF SEASON-OPENING LOSSES STRUGGLE TO REGROUP IN GAME TWO

The knee-jerk reaction would be to make a case for teams in Game Two off a season opening loss if they were a bowl team last year. Before you blow out an ACL, check this out:

• Bowlers (last year) off a loss in Game One of the season are just 100-106-2 ATS in Game Two since 1990. This week’s wounded list includes the likes of - Bowling Green, Marshall, Mississippi, SMU and UCLA. Next week will find North Carolina and Oregon State dressing up as Game Two bowlers off a loss.

GAME TWO BOWLERS OFF A LOSS FOLD LIKE CHEAP TENTS AS FAVORITES

Following up, Game Two bowlers off a season opening defeat have an especially difficult time getting their act together when laying points, going just 56-70-1 ATS. This week’s creaky chalk is Mississippi and SMU.



These teams are especially vulnerable in competitive contests when favored by less than 10 points. That’s because they are:

• 28-28-1 SU and 21-34 ATS.

GAME TWO BOWLERS OFF A LOSS ARE CONFERENCE CASULTIES

Beaten bowlers in Game Two find the conference waters unsettling. When squaring off against conference rivals they are 21-20 SU and 13-38 ATS. Making a conference call this week is SMU and UCLA.

A deeper look inside in these conference clashes, we find these downtrodden bowlers are at their worst against an opponent that did not lose ATS in its last game, where they are:

• 10-14 SU and 6-18 ATS.

There you have it. Now you know why Game Two bowlers off a loss often like to sing the blues!


Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at Playbook.com - One Click Handicapping
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Tuesday, June 01, 2010


NBA Championship Round Betting Edges…Four All The Marbles


With the Boston Celtics and the Los Angeles Lakers meeting in the 2010 NBA Finals, rather than rehash stories of Larry Bird and Magic Johnson, let’s instead look at four solid Championship Round betting theories outlined below from our powerful database. (Note: all results are ATS since 1991 unless noted otherwise.)

NO. 1 SEEDS DO NOT LIKE TO LOSE
You might beat them once. Twice in a row is another story.

That’s confirmed by the fact that No.1 seeds are 15-9 SU and 17-7 ATS in games off a SU and ATS loss if they own a win percentage of .700 or more since 1996.

Put these top-flight teams on the road off a SU loss and they improve to 13-5 ATS, including 12-2 the last 14 games.



HOME ON THE ROAD
Life may be cozy at home, but the money can be found on the road.

Our database finds visiting teams are moneymakers in the championship round, cashing 57% of the time, going 59-44-2 ATS. Better yet, put them in a game with the Over/Under total is 181 or higher and they improve to a 67% winning proposition, going 48-24-1 ATS
Put these same teams on the road in games with a total of 181 or more off a SU and ATS loss and they ratchet all the way up to 17-4 ATS.

RETURN TO EARTH
Defense rules in the championship round.

When teams manage to score an inordinate amount of points in any one game, they return to the earth faster than a spaceship from a mission.

That’s validated by the fact that teams who score 110 or more points in a championship round showdown are just 7-12 SU and 5-14 ATS in their next contest.

Dress these same teams up as favorites after igniting the scoreboard and they short-circuit out, going 2-12 ATS.

ZIG-ZAGGING
While the famed ‘Zig-Zag’ theory has unraveled the last 10 years in the playoffs, it still works in this round… if you work it right.

To do so you want to play on a dog off one loss exact in the championship round, as they are 20-15 ATS.

Take 5.5 or more points in this role and they increase to 12-5 ATS, including 10-2 ATS if they own a win percentage of .636 or more.

There you have it. Four time tested Championship Round theories. Play sharp as a marble and for keeps and, like the eventual champions, you too shall rule.


Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at Playbook.com - One Click Handicapping
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