Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence has authored thousands of articles expounding on the three primary forms of sports handicapping: Fundamental, Statistical and Technical. To be a successful handicapper, blending all three forms of analysis into the handicapping equation. Marc relies heavily on a proprietary powerful database of scores, stats and results of games played since 1980, both College and Pro Football and College and Pro Basketball.

Marc has been handicapping sports professionally since 1975, having won more documented Top 10 Handicapping Achievement awards than any handicapper in the nation. He won the 2005 STARDUST FOOTBALL INVITATIONAL Contest and was a SEMI-FINALIST in the 2006 $100,000 LEROYS' MONEY TALKS Contest last season. He finished the 2006 season as the No. 1 handicapper in the NFL as documented by SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. Marc also finished No. 1 in the nation in College Football win percentage in 2005 as documented by both the SPORTS MONITOR in Oklahoma and SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. He was named HANDICAPPER OF THE YEAR in 2005 by FOOTBALL NEWS.

In 2008, he finished No. 1 in NFL win percentage according to SPORTS WATCH and also captured 1st place honors in the 2008 PLAYBOOK WISE GUYS CONTEST.

Marc has hosted a national radio show "MARC LAWRENCE AGAINST THE SPREAD" for each of the last 16 years on over 100 stations syndicated in the USA. He is a tireless handicapper who works a minimum 60-hour week during the football and basketball seasons. As a handicapper he firmly believes that three things can happen when you bet an underdog, and two of them are good. He enjoys helping others to become better informed.

Marc married his high school sweetheart 40 years ago and has one son, Marc Jr., who works with him in the industry. Aside from publishing the PLAYBOOK Football Yearbook magazine and Weekly Newsletters, Marc enjoys golf and horse racing.

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Thursday, December 06, 2018

Best NFL Upsets, DEC 8 Weekend


Philly over Dallas by 7

Both teams picked up much needed wins last week and find themselves in a fierce chase for the playoffs with the winner of this contest assuming the top spot in the NFC East. With it we turn to our all-knowing database as it reminds us that defending Super Bowl champions are at their best as road dogs against opponents coming off consecutive SUATS wins, going 16-10-1 SU and 20-6-1 ATS, including 6-3 SU and 7-1-1 ATS in division games. Meanwhile, the Cowboys have been roped up and put away wet as home chalk during December behind head coach Jason Garrett going 2-8 ATS, including 0-4 ATS in division games. It ties in directly with Garrett’s god-awful 16-33 ATS career mark when laying points at home. If the Boys’ 3-13 ATS failure as hosts in this series in games where Philly does not sport a winning record – coupled with the AWESOME ANGLE on page 2– isn’t enough for you, we turn it over to THE CLINCHER: Garrett is 5-19 ATS in his career as a home favorite against foes coming off a win, including 0-15 ATS in games in which Dallas scored fewer than 30 points in its previous games.

Indianapolis over Houston 6

The scorching-hot Texans ride a 9-game win streak into this AFC South division dandy despite being outgained in four of those games (outstatted, 428-384 in win over the Browns last week). Nonetheless, the tall, tall Texans edged Indianapolis, 37-34, in overtime the final week of September – a win that started the current skein. However, they’ve struggled as a host in this series, going 1-4 SU and 0-4-1 ATS the past fi ve seasons. Meanwhile, the Colts were blanked last week but ride a nice 8-1 ITS streak into this contest. QB Andrew Luck counters that, though, with a sterling 9-2 SUATS mark in games when Indy is coming off a SUATS loss as a favorite. Better yet, he is 16-2 SUATS in his NFL career when coming off a loss behind a team with a win percentage of more than .333.

Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at - One Click Handicapping
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Thursday, November 29, 2018

College & Pro Upsets Weekend DEC 1-2

Utah over Washington by 6

The Huskies were odds-on favorites to win this title at the start of the season at 5-to-8, while the Utes were one of the longshots at 15-1. However, after losing to both Washington and Washington State on consecutive weekends in September, the Utes caught fire by going 7-1 over the remainder of the regular season. Last Saturday’s emotional Mormon conflict against BYU in the “Holy War” found the Utes trailing 21-0 at the half, but Kyle Whittingham’s adjustments brought his team back for a 35-27 victory. The Utah head coach is now 14-3 ATS as a dog coming off an ATS loss when facing .600 or greater conference foes. Meanwhile, the Huskies’ 28-15 upset of Washington State in the snow earned them a spot in this game, and it was the ground attack that got the job done, as Myles Gaskin closed out his prolific career (over 1,000 yards on the ground in all four seasons) with 170 yards and 3 TDs against the Cougars. Our numbers definitely indicate a play on the Utes is in order, though, as Utah is 4-1 ATS as underdogs with conference revenge and 4-1-1 ATS when getting 6 points or less, while Washington is 4-6 SU and 3-7 ATS as favorites coming off a SU underdog win, plus 1-6 ATS after allowing 15 or less points. Also, don’t forget that before the Apple Cup win to get here, the Huskies were riding a 6-game ATS losing streak – all as a favorite, the role they find themselves reverting back to this week. In addition, the green machine supplies us with this nugget: dogs in College Conference Championship games with an identical win percentage are 12-2-1 ATS all-time if they are facing a foe that is not off an ATS loss of more than 4 points. We close it out with THE CLINCHER: Utah is 15-0 SU and 9-2 ATS in weekday games.

Fresno St over BOISE ST by 6

Despite being tucked away in the Boise Mountains and dwarfed by today’s Power Five matchups that will hog most of the media’s attention, this could turn out to be one of the day’s most entertaining clashes. With both squads 10-2 SU and led by outstanding quarterback play – BSU’s Brett Rypien (29 TDs, 7 INTs, 298 YPG) and FSU’s Marcus McMaryion (24 TDs, 3 INTS, 274 YPG) – we’re expecting a high-altitude barnburner. Boise State has taken the last two tightly-contested meetings between these MWC foes, beating Fresno State in last year’s championship game, 17-14, and prevailing by a 7-point margin on this fi eld as a 2-point dog three weeks ago. This isn’t new ground for either side, as the Bulldogs are making their 4th MWC Championship appearance (3-3 SU / 4-2 ATS) while the Broncos are showing up for a third time (2-0 SU). While Boise head coach Bryan Harsin has certainly done a fine job in his fi ve years with the wild horses, we can’t say enough about Fresno’s Jeff Tedford, who inherited a 1-11 squad in 2017 and has gone 20-6 SU and 17-6-1 ATS since then. Tedford is also the answer to this week’s TRIVIA TEASER on page 2, good company for his team as they’ve seen the underdog go 4-0 ATS in the last four MWC title bouts. The kudos don’t stop there: the Bulldogs are a perfect 4-0 ATS as dogs of 5 or fewer points, 9-2 ATS off a SU win / ATS loss, and 12-3-1 ATS with conference revenge. We realize the visitors are on an 0-3 ATS slide while Big Blue has covered its last three but we think the early odds-on favorite (BSU was 4-7 to win the title before the season started) will stumble on the blue turf tonight. Grab the points, and maybe a money line play if you’re so inclined.


Buffalo over MIAMI by 3

If we’re setting odds on NFL coaches making it thru the end of the season, we have Adam Gase listed as the leading candidate to get pink slipped before Black Monday. On his next resume he should list ‘run the ball on 3rd-and-10’ as his favorite offensive call. It’s what cost Miami a victory in last week’s loss at Indianapolis and the deer in the headlights look is Miami’s new face these days. Making matters worse this week, the Fish bring a 1-7 ATS mark as home favorites when hosting their seventh game of the season at Miami into this battle. They are also 3-7 SUATS the last ten games in this series. With the resurgent Bills 4-1 ATS as road dogs between home games, and fitting snugly inside this week’s INCREDIBLE STAT on page 3, it’s Bambi at his best in another choke job today.

Written by John Pricci

Marc Lawrence can also be found at - One Click Handicapping
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Wednesday, November 21, 2018

Best College & Pro Upsets NOV 24-25

OHIO State over Michigan by 6

Known as “The Game”, the stakes are high once again, and this year we have a real twist. In spite of the fact Ohio State has won six in a row (2-4 ATS) and 13 of 14 (10-4 ATS), the Buckeyes are home underdogs. That would end a streak of 51 consecutive contests in which Ohio State was favored. Nonetheless, Michigan is a bedrock solid 5-0 ATS with Big Ten revenge and 4-0 ATS versus .750 or greater conference opponents. The Maize-and-Blue is also 3-0 SUATS on their revenge our (Wisconsin, Michigan State and Penn State) this season and held those foes to an average of just 188 YPG. Urban Meyer gets to theplay the underdog card and he’s been a master at it. When Meyer puts on the (under)dog ears, he is amazing: 18-6 ATS catching points,and since donning the Scarlet and Gray colors, 6-0 SUATS with the Buckeyes and 4-0 SUATS as a home dog. When the coach is facing .800 or greater foes, his teams are 8-3 SU and 10-1 ATS. However, this is not all about the current Ohio State coach as the Buckeyes are 11-5 ATS as home dogs since 1982 (last time 2011 versus Wisconsin, won 33-29), 7-1 ATS as home dogs versus .900 or greater foe, and a perfect 8-0 ATS as home dogs of +2.5 or more points. For Michigan, this is all or nothing. Win and they should handle Northwestern a second time and reach the playoffs. A loss and it is a major move backward to a less rewarding New Year’s Day bowl. Remember, the line on this game in Las Vegas before the season started was Ohio State -9. With the pressure squarely on the Wolverines, we’ll abide by THE CLINCHER: Meyer is 102-10 SU at home on his career, with only four losses by more than 4 points

Washington over WASHINGTON ST by 10

Value galore here with UDub riding a 6-game ATS losing skein – but they are also 9-1 In The Stats their last ten games. Remember, behind a deeply experienced squad, the Huskies were an overwhelming choice to win the Pac-12 at the start of the season and perhaps make it to the CFB Final Four. While its playoff dreamshave since been dashed, Washington can fulfill the first part of the prophecy here, as the winner of tonight’s Apple Cup clash advances to the Pac-12 title game. Yes, the Cougars have been one of 2018’s
feel-good stories and we’ve been riding the “Ginsu” Train with QB Gardner Minshew II and head coach Mike Leach all year. But with the Huskies dressing up as a ‘DIA play’ (dominating Dog In Action, Doing It Again) with their season on the line, this is where we jump off the train. The landing will be a soft one: recent series results have seen Washington State go 0-4 SUATS the last four, 1-7 ATS as a favorite and 0-5 ATS at home. Along with our triple dip, we see that the Huskies are 9-3 SU and 8-4 ATS weekday conference games, including 4-0 ATS versus .800 or greater opponents. Not to mention that the line on this game in Las Vegas before the season started was Washington -14.5. How bout them apples? We close our case with THE CLINCHER: Huskies head coach Chris Petersen is 5-0 ATS in his career as a dog of less than 12 points when facing .840 or greater opponents coming off a win of 6 or more points.


DENVER over Pittsburgh by 8

We loved QB Ben Roethlisberger’s comment about trash talking Jag Jalen Ramsey, who has taken potshots at Big Ben in the past, when he said after the Steelers dramatic come from behind win over Jacksonville last week: “They like to talk a lot before the game, during the game. But I’m carrying the game ball home.” Today the Steel Curtain takes their smoldering act to the Mile High city knowing they have struggled mightily in games against teams from the AFC West, going just 3-11 SU and 2-12 ATS as road chalk since 1980, including 0-9 ATS when favored by more than 3 points. Meanwhile, the Broncos return home on a 4-1 ATS and ITS run with a stellar 9-1 ATS home dog log against .500 or greater foes. With the Steelers having a bigger AFC West rival on deck with the playoff hopeful LA Chargers, and still reveling in their playoff loss revenge victory over the aforementioned Jaguars, we turn it over to THE CLINCHER: Denver is 14-3 SU and 15-1-1 ATS as a home dog since 1980 when coming off a division game.

Green Bay over MINNESOTA by 8

Aaron Rodgers has lost 7 straight regular road starts for the first time in his career, but as Marc alluded to in his USA TODAY SPORTS WEEKLY column this week: Rodgers is in a situation in which he has responded well in the past with the Packers going 21-8 SU and 18-10-1 ATS in games they play with a sub .500 record. In division games with a sub par record Rodgers has been superb, going 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS. And when not installed as a favorite of more than 6 points in these games Rodgers has gone a perfect 7-0 ATS. It ties directly with his sparkling mark outline in “THE CLINCHER” below. On the other side of the coin Minnesota QB Kirk Cousins is just 9-15-1 SU in division games in his NFL career, including 2-7-1 SU and 2-8 ATS the last ten games. With the Packers currently the No. 9 seed in the NFL playoff picture, and the Vikings the No. 6 seed, this becomes do-or-die
time for Mr. Rodgers. We say he does, with special thanks to THE CLINCHER: Green Bay QB Rodgers is 42-15-1 SU and 38-20 ATS in his career in division games, going 17-4 SUATS in division games when coming off a loss, including 6-0 ATS away.

Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at - One Click Handicapping
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