Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence has authored thousands of articles expounding on the three primary forms of sports handicapping: Fundamental, Statistical and Technical. To be a successful handicapper, blending all three forms of analysis into the handicapping equation. Marc relies heavily on a proprietary powerful database of scores, stats and results of games played since 1980, both College and Pro Football and College and Pro Basketball.

Marc has been handicapping sports professionally since 1975, having won more documented Top 10 Handicapping Achievement awards than any handicapper in the nation. He won the 2005 STARDUST FOOTBALL INVITATIONAL Contest and was a SEMI-FINALIST in the 2006 $100,000 LEROYS' MONEY TALKS Contest last season. He finished the 2006 season as the No. 1 handicapper in the NFL as documented by SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. Marc also finished No. 1 in the nation in College Football win percentage in 2005 as documented by both the SPORTS MONITOR in Oklahoma and SPORTS WATCH in Las Vegas. He was named HANDICAPPER OF THE YEAR in 2005 by FOOTBALL NEWS.

In 2008, he finished No. 1 in NFL win percentage according to SPORTS WATCH and also captured 1st place honors in the 2008 PLAYBOOK WISE GUYS CONTEST.

Marc has hosted a national radio show "MARC LAWRENCE AGAINST THE SPREAD" for each of the last 16 years on over 100 stations syndicated in the USA. He is a tireless handicapper who works a minimum 60-hour week during the football and basketball seasons. As a handicapper he firmly believes that three things can happen when you bet an underdog, and two of them are good. He enjoys helping others to become better informed.

Marc married his high school sweetheart 40 years ago and has one son, Marc Jr., who works with him in the industry. Aside from publishing the PLAYBOOK Football Yearbook magazine and Weekly Newsletters, Marc enjoys golf and horse racing.

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Friday, September 07, 2018


Marc Lawrence Taking Points Weekend SEP 7


College Picks


PITTSBURGH by Penn St by 3

Nittany Lions could still be hyperventilating after they needed a 16-yard TD pass with less than minute remaining to force an overtime and eventual win over gutty Appalachian State last week. Penn State was out-statted by ASU and trailed for 4:43 in the game. That’s noteworthy considering out of the 780 minutes they playedlast season, the Nits trailed for ony 37 minutes and 42 seconds (less than 5% of the time). Heisman hopeful QB Todd McSorely is having to adapt to life with RB Saquon Barkely and TE Mike Gesicki first and second round picks in this year’s NFL draft) and even though he struggled last week, he delivered when his team needed him the
most. Now Penn State must head to steeltown to take on one of its fiercest rivals, Pittsburgh. The Panthers didn’t show much in their 33-7 drubbiing of Albany last week but they actually outgained the Lions in a 33-14 loss at Happy Valley last season. Pitt head coach Pat Narduzzi is putting special emphasis on the run game this year,which could go a long way in pulling the rug out from underneath PSU tonight. Not much to support the Lions in recent ATS history as they’re an awful 1-8-1 ATS as road favorites of less than 14 points, and just 3-9 ATS off a SU non-conference home win. Pitt brings an impressive 9-2 ATS log to the fray when playing with non-conference revenge, plus the black cats have cashed a ticket in 5 of the last 6 series meetings with PSU (5-0-1 ATS). We’ve got more if you want it but for the sake of brevity, we’ll go directly to THE CLINCHER: The Panthers are 11-0-1 ATS as home dogs of 8 or more points.




Kansas State over Mississipi State by 8

Don’t bash Kansas State too bad for having to come from behind in the fourth quarter to defeat South Dakota in this season’s opener. After all, the Coyotes made it to the semifinals of the 2017 FCS Playoffs. On second thought, go ahead and let the purple cats have it: they lost the turnover battle 4-0, the offense failed to score atouchdown until the final period and new OC Andre Coleman’s much-hyped offensive schemes failed to translate into yards and points. As is usually the case, Grandpa Snyder took one for the team by saying, “I just didn’t have them prepared to play, which is my responsibility.” Well, if we know G-Pa (and we think we do), he should get a lot more wild out of his Cats today. New Mississippi State head coach Joe Moorhead’s debut was much better than his former team’s lid-lifter (Penn State) last Saturday when the Bulldogs bullied S.F. Austin, 63-6. The problem today, though, is new coaches are just 9-67 SU away in Game Two of the season when facing an unbeaten non-conference foe coming off a win. Gramps is at his best in this role, going 87-49-1 ATS at home in his career, including 20-6 ATS against foes that scored 42 or more points in their previous game (8-1 ATS as a dog). If that’s got you reaching for the Geritol, remember that KSU is the best team in the nation over the last 19 seasons in non-offensive TDs, netting more than 2.5 per season than the yearly average. The Manhattan Cats also played more underclassmen than any FBS team during the last two years,and the defense held their last 8 opponents in 2017 under their scoring average. Our database shares that the Starkville Bulldogs have covered just once in their last 6 tries as a favorite or dog of 4 or less points, while Kansas State has gone a perfect 7-0 ATS in the second of 3-plus home games and 4-1 ATS in its last 5 at home when tackling a non-Big 12 adversary. We wrap it all up with THE CLINCHER: Snyder is 37-3 SU at home when undefeated and facing non-conference foes, with only ONE LOSS by more
than 7 points.

Pro

Cincy over Indy by 10

How much does Andrew Luck’s presence in the lineup mean to the Colts? They were double-digit dogs against the Bengals in 2017, and were favored in only two games without him last season. The fact of the matter is Indy is 46-30 with Luck and 10-16 without him. For Luck to win today, though, he’ll need to shake off some serious rust
behind a new coaching staff. And he’ll need to do so knowing he is just 1-4 SUATS in Colts’ season openers in his NFL career. Enter the mad-as-hell Bengals, a team that has missed the playoffs the past seasons. The good news is Cincinnati is 17-7-3 ATS away during the month of September under head coach Marvin Lewis, including 11-
2-3 ATS in non-division contests. And as our NFL guru Mike Mains, the author of the NFL preview in the PLAYBOOK Football Preview Guide magazine, so astutely points out: Bengals QB Andy Dalton is 1-9 SU and 3-7 ATS against Houston, Pittsburgh and New England since 2015. He is 22-12-1 SU and 22-11-2 ATS against everyone else.
With a huge edge in coaching experience in this contest to the visitors, we turn it over to THE CLINCHER: Bengals QB Dalton is 8-2-1 ATS as a dog in September in his NFL career, including 5-0-1 ATS in non-division games.

Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at Playbook.com - One Click Handicapping
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Thursday, January 18, 2018


Marc Lawrence Playoff Upset, Jan 20-21


Philadelphia over Minnesota by 4

Shock and Skol. Safe to say, Minnesota should not be here. Not when the Vikings were 25 seconds and 75 yards away from elimination. Not after blowing a 17-0 halftime lead. And definitely not after trailing with 10 seconds left from their own 39-yard line! QB Case Keenum made one last play-call: Seventh Heaven. Somehow, miraculously, it worked and as a result they find themselves as 3-point favorites in the NFC championship game in Philly, looking to become the first team in NFL history to host a Super Bowl game with a win today. It’s quite a story, but so too is the Philadelphia saga, one we feel most are overlooking. And our database concurs, noting the Vikings are just 2-11 SU and 3-10 ATS on the playoff road since 1988. On the other side of the coin, though, is the fact that teams coming off a SU home underdog playoff win are just 1-16 SU and 2-15 ATS in follow-up games. But we can’t dismiss the fact that Minnesota has NEVER beaten Philadelphia in the playoffs, going 0-3 SUATS all-time dating back to 1980. Toss in the fact that No. 1 seeds are 28-12 SU in championship games since 1980, including 7-0 the last four years, and we’re ready to soar with the Eagles. After all, they literally shine at home under Doug Pederson, going 14-3 SU – the best home record in the NFL. In addition, they rank No. 1 in the NFL with a 197 point scoring differential at home, as well as having allowed just 241 points at the LINC, marking the fewest such points allowed over the same span. Then there is the ugliness of indoor teams playing outdoors during the playoffs with game time temperatures of 35 or fewer degrees, a bitter stat that has seen these temperature-controlled teams go just 4-24 SU (see Atlanta here last week). And we didn’t even mention that NFL playoff home dogs with an equal or better record are 19-6-1 ATS since 1980. Forget the Skol chant. Around these parts, it’s Fly Eagles Fly.



Written by Marc Lawrence

Marc Lawrence can also be found at Playbook.com - One Click Handicapping
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Friday, January 05, 2018


Marc Lawrence NFL Playoff Upset


New Orleans Over Carolina by 1

Same-season rematches in the NFL playoffs aren’t rare. They just aren’t all that profitable (90-79-4 ATS since 1990). It’s noteworthy in this contest, though, as the Saints took the Panthers behind the woodshed twice this season. Still, Carolina is 5-2 SUATS as an underdog this season, and the Panthers are 4-0 SUATS in playoff games against foes coming off a loss. The problem is Superman (re: Cam Newton) has been overdosing on too much kryptonite of late as the black cats have been outgained in 5 of their last 6 games. In addition, Carolina finds itself in a similar role to Buffalo in that away teams in the NFL playoffs, following a season-ending away game, tend to struggle in opening-round games. That’s confi rmed by a dismal 22-55 SU and 24-48-4 ATS mark since 1980. The question is can the Saints, who are 6-1 SUATS versus .600 or greater opponents this season, take advantage as they, too, are stumbling at the finish line. Since its 8-game win streak from the end of September to late November, New Orleans is just 3-3 SU, as well as 2-4 ATS and ITS, in its last 6 games. Looking inside the stats in this game – as we like to do each week in the MIDWEEK ALERT – Carolina was outyarded by -35 net YPG during the second half of the season, while New Orleans was also outgained during the final six games of the campaign. With no major edges either way, we’ll lean to the double-avenging division dog with the better defense.



Written by John Pricci

Marc Lawrence can also be found at Playbook.com - One Click Handicapping
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