Sunday, May 10, 2015
Governor, Let My People In
When Pharoah was in NYRA's land
Let my people in
Upon the grounds they could not stand
Let my people in
Go down there, HANA,
Way down in NYRA's Land
Let my people in
May 9, 2015—Just like the Horseplayers Association of North America and Bladerunners, early advocates for a National Horse Racing Commission, learned, the National Thoroughbred Racing Association (NTRA) is finding out that organizing horseplayers is even more difficult than herding cats.
Sixteen million people watched the Kentucky Derby. According to the
, however, less than two thousand fans responded to an NTRA request for emails in support of tax reform on large winnings over the 300-1 odds threshold.
That's fewer people than HANA’s membership!
"The NTRA has created an easy-to-use form that makes it easy for the public to submit an e-mail directly to the appropriate IRS and U.S. Treasury officials at http://www.ntra.com/IRScomment. Nearly 2,000 comments originating from all 50 states and the District of Columbia have already been submitted via NTRA.com."
This apathy is not being lost on racing industry executives determined to extract whatever additional dollars it can from this seemingly disinterested bunch of horseplayers.
In another example of industry number gamesmanship reported by the New York Times
, the newly board-chaired New York Racing Association announced it would cap Belmont day attendance at 90,000 despite last year's crowd of 102,199, or the record 120,139 for Smarty Jones's Triple Crown attempt in 2004. Now, what segment of horse racing participants do you suppose represent most of the disenfranchised?
Interest in the run-up to the Derby and the Triple Crown events are what most horseplayers have in common. Some even feel compelled to justify this apathy annually. Despite all this, racing is in no danger of dying despite badly needed contraction to stay afloat, as long no damage is done to this annual rite of spring and early summer.
As above, horseplayers are very likely to take this sitting down in some bet shop and send their dollars in on American Pharoah in support of a pyramid scheme built on their backs; exploitation in the form of excessive takeout; difficult wagers with high-minimums that discourage churn; inadequate transparency and information and other contributors to customer-base erosion.
Who could have figured that the Cuomo-controlled version of NYRA was capable of making the Stronach Group look benevolent by comparison?
You might take comfort that NYRA's gall will only be rewarded if American Pharoah wins the Preakness; no sure thing despite the shorter distance. Hopefully, Todd Pletcher will decide to give his healthy Derby runners a chance to redeem themselves in Baltimore.
Parenthetically, Materiality deserves that chance. And so does Bob Baffert’s Dortmund, although I'm not totally convinced he will start. Baffert arrives Sunday and assess the current condition of his colts. No one wants to see an entry made only to result in a late-minute scratch, possibly denying another a place in the starting gate. Worse, Danthebluegrassman redux.
NYRA's tack is impressive. The Times also reported, "[CEO Chris] Kay said 66 percent of all seats for Belmont day have already been sold, which is about 1,000 more than this time last year, perhaps owing to the public’s belief in American Pharoah."
The cap should ensure that most of the remaining seats are purchased before the results of the Preakness are known, thereby ensuring NYRA's revenue from ticket sales will exceed what it would be if American Pharoah were to lose in Maryland. If he wins; no harm, no foul: The high rollers already will be assured a place. There will be no need for the added expenses associated with an overflow crowd. This is “guest” manipulation at its most profitable.
An opportunity exists to show our displeasure with NYRA's disregard for the average horseplayer's desire to be a part of history in the making. Horseplayers should just avoid NYRA racing on-track and off between the Preakness and Belmont weekends to show solidarity with those deprived of a possible date with destiny.
Perhaps a self-imposed three-week vacation from the game between the Preakness and Belmont, which can’t be good for business, might just make Belmont weekend much more enjoyable with executives getting the message they should be willing to service all
Meanwhile, Preakness day will answer lots of questions. Will Firing Line switch leads this time to deny American Pharoah a record making run three weeks later? Will Todd Pletcher second Materiality to Baltimore? Should Keen Ice be entered, what happens if he gets rolling earlier?
Can Divining Rod pull off a Bernardini? Will the Pimlico racetrack be souped-up for a Dust Commander-like performance, or will weather dictate one resembling Bee Bee Bee's? Will American Pharoah continue to respond to his overseer's whip?
I wonder if New York horseplayers will decide to freshen up a bit between the final two legs? If so, the Red Sea of Long Island might part, opening the gates to all those wishing to take a ride in American Pharoah's chariot.
Written by Indulto
Thursday, April 23, 2015
Money Maker Moreno and Other Memories
Los Angeles, April 22, 2015--Although I'm usually turned off when owners name their horses after themselves, the name of last year's Whitney winner never bothered me because it always reminds me of the lovely and talented Rita Moreno, of whom I'm a big fan.
So when Moreno the horse won the Charles Town Classic, I had a vision of Moreno the actress/dancer doing the Charleston. Absent the real thing, I offer HRI readers this video
which definitely captured the experience.
What amazes me about Moreno is the frequency with which he has been underrated only to finish first or second, often rewarding his supporters with inflated vertical exotic payoffs.
That might not have occurred last Saturday had the over-hyped Shared Belief been able to apply his ability. It was unfortunate racing luck that the 3-10 favorite sustained an injury, a little more serious than was originally believed.
It wasn't the emotional drain many associate with Bernardini's Preakness victory at Barbaro's tragic expense, but rather was a ringing reminder that races are lost when least expected, the reasons too numerous to count.
There is no such thing as a sure thing, obviously. Even Secretariat had his issues, with the letter “W,” as in Wood, Whitney and Woodward.
My approach, then, is try to be prepared for the unexpected while attempting to leverage the expected. It's great when it works out, but it can be a long way between waterholes.
What I wasn't prepared for on Saturday was the unannounced $2.00 minimum on tickets containing dime super combinations, which HRI’s executive editor referenced earlier this week.
When I key multiple horses on top, doing so well beforehand, I usually break the ticket down into multiple tickets with one key so that I can cancel easily later if I change my mind, without having to resubmit a revised play just before post time.
Slow late-wagering response on the Internet often makes it impossible to revise or submit saved wagers. (Can we have more bandwidth, please)!
When a $1.80 bet was refused, I assumed Dime Supers weren't available, just like 50-Cent Trifectas. I didn't have time to pursue the matter further so I just played the top two slots as exactas.
Parenthetically, I wound up hitting two $1.00 Exactas because I also make standard saver-exacta boxes of the best previous race survivors.
Moreno helped foil a favorite for me again, just as he did when finishing second in the 2013 Travers. Since that race, he has rewarded his backers from both sides of the exacta with some regularity – often when he competed against a rival previously:
$156.50 - Travers - Will Take Charge-Moreno (Jim Dandy)
$10.50 - PA Derby - Will Take Charge-Moreno (Travers)
$191.25 - Suburban – Zivo-Moreno
$78.75 - Whitney – Moreno-Itsmyluckyday
$11.40 - Woodward – Itsmyluckyday-Moreno (Whitney)
$5.40 - Santa Anita Handicap – Shared Belief-Moreno (BC Classic)
$165.90 - Charles Town Classic – Moreno-Imperative (Santa Anita H’cap)
Whereas Dime Supers were my primary weapon last year, I've been frustrated this year by an increasing number of situations where I had the top two finishers but wound up with third and fourth reversed, using ALL on the 4th line.
But I'll always wonder whether--if I thought I could have--I would have expanded that $6.00 exacta box into a Dime Super play using ALL in the two bottom slots for $25.20, pulling off a $1,900.00 score.
Instead, I'll have to settle for learning what it is about Charles Town that makes Imperative want to dance.
Closing Down Your Golden Gate; NoCal Racing There It Goes
When I last visited Golden Gate Fields in the mid-1970s, I saw Diabolo beat eventual Belmont winner Avatar in the California Derby. That’s when the race had more significance than it has today.
The track was built on a landfill in the San Francisco Bay and there were more seagulls than horseplayers in attendance those days. Since, the quality of Northern California racing, along with interest in it, has eroded, a process that began even prior to the closing of Bay Meadows.
One could argue that the remainder of the stakes schedule isn't likely to attract higher-profile SoCal horses to any greater extent than does California Racing Fairs.
The last vestige of major league racing there now is the Grade III El Camino Derby because of its inclusion among qualifying Kentucky Derby preps.
So it was hardly surprising when representatives of The Stronach Group announced they were considering closing the track at a recent meeting of the California Horse Racing Board.
What precipitated the announcement was TSG's desire to deny racing dates to Stockton which no longer hosts a County Fair.
Golden Gate loses money because its racing product can't attract enough handle to be profitable, either on-track or off. If Jerry Hollendorfer decided to relocate his stable elsewhere, they might have to shut racing down immediately.
The main incentive to close, however, like Hollywood Park’s back in the day, is the value of the location of the land occupied by the track.
It sure sounds as if the Stronach Squeeze placed on Calder is about to head west. Maybe the seagulls will save NoCal racing from a horde of locusts. It will certainly require a higher power than the CHRB.
Written by Indulto
Sunday, April 12, 2015
Will Fortune Finally Smile on Advocate Upstart Violette?
Though April fouls
Have come your way
You've got the points
To run in May
So keep campaigning
And have no regrets
Because Upstart will start
For horseman Violette
LOS ANGELES, April 9, 2015--New York Thoroughbred Horsemen Association President, New York Racing Association Board member, and 2015 Kentucky Derby contender-qualifying trainer, Rick Violette, Jr., is leaving the Sunshine State – and its apparent disdain for snowbirding New Yorkers – as potentially a newly-minted horseplayer advocate.
It may turn out that horseplayer advocate is a be too optimistic, but Violette's apparent concern for racing's customers was quoted in a text to HRI’s executive editor John Pricci and later at Daily Racing Form
: '"It's disappointing that as hard as [president] Tim Ritvo and [general manager] P.J. Campo are working to raise the standard of Gulfstream racing they will not be successful as long as they have the incompetence in the judge's stand and the maintenance of their racetrack," Violette said. "Nobody should feel confident with those people overseeing the racing product, especially the horse player."'
While Violette's remarks in the wake of a double dose of disqualification dispensing from both sides of the same offense may not merit induction into the Sportsman’s Hall of Shame, they do speak for having greater transparency and competency in the future.
When I wondered why Upstart had not been pointed for the Wood Memorial instead of the Florida Derby, considering he had been bred in New York and was being trained by such a visibly well-connected conditioner, it was suggested that getting the horse qualified with five weeks rest going into the Triple Crown series was putting the horse ahead of politics.
Perhaps, but the last TC winners did so on three weeks rest or less. Seattle Slew wintered in Florida and returned North to win the Wood only two weeks away from the Derby, after winning the Flamingo at Hialeah 14 days earlier. Like Secretariat, he swept all TC legs over a 5-week period after two weeks rest.
Big Red’s three preps were all in New York, including a loss in the Wood. Affirmed, who wintered in California, won his Crown following his victory in the Hollywood Derby three weeks earlier, after winning the Santa Anita Derby 14 days before.
I acknowledge this is not the 1970s, but the Wood still provides four weeks rest; which is all Upstart needed between the Holy Bull, which he won, and the Fountain of Youth, in which he finished first. Interestingly, Upstart won his first two races as a 2-year-old within a 10-day period, even if that was meant to be his foundation going into the Champagne later in the fall.
Some might consider it hypocritical for the highest-profile advocate of winter racing in New York to be training his Derby contender in more hospitable weather, even if excusable under such exceptional circumstances.
And recall that in 2014 Violette did take the NY-bred Samraat through Aqueduct's Withers-Gotham-Wood sequence to the Derby, where he was nosed-out for fourth by Wicked Strong, who also ended Samraat's unbeaten streak in the Wood. The man obviously knows something about consistency.
It takes a cold heart to fault him for pursuing a path less chilling.
Some might regard any failure to continue helping the home team present the largest, most competitive field possible for one of its most important events under more temperate conditions as a lapse in loyalty. For those so inclined, they must be enjoying the fact he was frozen out of first in two big spots.
New York loyalists look forward to Upstart's return for the Belmont Stakes. Indeed, the local boy could still become a conquering hero in addition to being a wandering one.
The chances of any horse winning the Triple Crown in 2015 seem very slim as the competition appears to be stronger among this year's sophomores than in recent years but Upstart still is as likely a candidate as any of his rivals.
Like the last three Triple Crown winners, his foundation includes the Champagne. Like Affirmed, he finished second in the Champagne and then had one more start as a 2-year-old before wintering in warmer climes.
The surface at Gulfstream this year has tested stamina rather than support speed. Upstart has run well whenever and wherever he has been asked to perform, and he might have prevailed each time with fewer obstacles to overcome. It would help if his "what doesn't kill me only makes me stronger" quality were better balanced against his penchant for attracting adversity.
May fortune finally smile upon him when post positions are drawn in Kentucky. Both man and beast have at least that much coming.
Written by Indulto