July 12, 2022 – So, how does the much anticipated Saratoga race meet compare to the best Thoroughbred horses and horsemen from around the world?
This should help separate reality from hyperbole. Thoroughbred Racing Commentary uses a sophisticated algorithm to create its Global Rankings, a measure of the best of the best from around the globe.
The Global Rankings measure the achievements of the five best horses, jockeys, trainers, sires, and owners, most of whom are breeders.
Well, according to the TRC rankings, Life Is Good and Jackie’s Warrior are two of the world’s five best horses. Each is scheduled to appear in Saratoga.
Two of the world’s leading horsemen, Chad Brown and Brad Cox. are expected to be major players at the meet.
Any horse in Saratoga could be ridden by three of the world’s top riders: Irad Ortiz Jr., Flavien Prat, and Joel Rosario.
As for pedigrees, and those who either own, or breed horses, or both, all Top Five sires and owners will be represented over the 40 days of racing in upstate New York.
And so, as the adage goes: Saratoga is simply the best, better than all the rest.
HorseRaceInsider plans to cover the meet–live from Whitney through Travers–via daily handicapping and race reports and once again will continue our role as racing analyst for WNYT-TV, NBC-Ch-13, Albany, as we have for more than two decades.
Expect, at minimum, an assessment of the stakes race of the day, in many instances more than one, priority-ranked by grade or conditions.
Dear Diary: Day 1, JULY 14
G3 ADIRONDACK Race 9
The Skinny: Mark Casse has entered three here while Wayne Lukas will try to win this race for the seventh time. The notable surprise is the lack of a Todd Pletcher juvenile trainee.
All nine that have entered have only one start; eight broke maiden on debut, the other was a good late-rally third.
The co-fastest Thoro-Graph figures belong to the top and bottom entered, Just Cindy and Summer Promise. There were no ratings on two Casse fillies from Woodbine.
As to the visuals, they are in the eye of the beholder. Of all these debut winners, the ones that impressed us most were the two WO fillies and Wayne’s filly.
This will be all about trip, tactics, and price.
MOST PROBABLE WINNER: 6-Me and My Shadow (7-2)
MORNING LINE VALUE: 3-Adora (6-1) to win
EXOTICA: Exacta Box: 1-Just Cindy)-3-6 Exacta Box 3-6-9-Summer Promise). Dime Super Key: 6 first and second with 1.3.9. with 126.96.36.199.7.9 with 188.8.131.52.7.9
WILTON STAKES Race 7
The Skinny: Todd Pletcher is attempting to surround this race around one and a half turns with three horses: Goddess of Fire (3-1), Favor (7-2) and A Mo Reay (5-1).
Favoritism goes to Tarabi (5-2) who comes from a series of fast sprints, her last at 7 furlongs, and may get the jump on her strongly tested two-turn rivals Pletcher rivals. She is on an incremental forward line.
‘Goddess’ had no chance racing wide, wider, and widest in KY Oaks and was an excellent second to Kathleen O in the G2 Gulfstream Oaks previously. Favor was out-posted in the Black-Eyed Susan and previously held gamely for third behind champion Echo Zulu in the G2 Fair Grounds Oaks.
MOST PROBABLE WINNER: Countess of Fire
MORNING LINE VALUE: Favor
STRAIGHT & EXOTICA: Betting Countess of Fire to win at 5-2 or greater. Exacta Box: 1-6-7 Trifecta and Superfecta Wheel 1.6.7 with 1.6.7 with 184.108.40.206.7.9 with 220.127.116.11.7.9
Per usual, when more than one horse is listed in a categories, they are listed in preferred order. Exotic bets suggested at minimums available, straight wagers in $2 units.
All Diary entries–just as we have done on our Saturday Tote Busters selections, are live columns, to be updated as needed