So, no horse has ever won the Kentucky Derby from post 17 yet he is the 3-5 early line choice to win Derby-146. Can you say statistical anomaly?
Let’s not forget that Big Brown won the Derby from post 20–from an auxiliary gate; no such issues this time.
The only issue could be the break. He’s drawn directly inside the high quality speed of #18 Authentic with the very tactical quality of #15 Ny Traffic who will be asked from the jump by Paco Lopez to gain position.
Between the three is #16 Honor A.P. who makes up with late kick what he lacks in early lick. It will be up to Mike Smith to break on time and drop over searching for a little ground to save.
Meanwhile, Manny Franco has to break sharply and cleanly and establish outside position tracking the speed. He needs to ride Tiz the Law like the best horse because he is the best horse.
The best horse often gets beaten. That’s why it’s called gambling.
Off the top, good draws were had by #2 Max Player, a late runner who will save ground; #6 for King Guillermo is good, neutral ground; Samy Camacho will have some options.
Bob Baffert’s tactical #10 Thousand Words has drawn what can be a perfect post for him.
This lineup has the earmarks of a real barn burner. Can’t wait!
The Field for DERBY-146
1-Finnick the Fierce (50-1) Martin Garcia
2-Max Player (30-1) Ricardo Santana Jr.
3-Enforceable (30-1) Adam Beschizza
4-Storm the Court (50-1) Julien Leparoux
5-Major Fed (50-1) James Graham
6-King Guillermo (20-1) Samy Camacho
7-Money Moves (20-1) Javier Castellano
8-South Bend (50-1) Tyler Gaffalione
9-Mr. Big News (50-1) Gabriel Saez
10-Thousand Words (15-1) Florent Geroux
11-Necker Island (50-1) Miguel Mena
12-Solo Volante (30-1) Luca Panici
13-Attachment Rate (50-1) Joe Talamo
14-Winning Impression (50-1) Joe Rocco Jr.
15-NyTraffic (20-1) Paco Lopez
16-Honor A.P. (5-1) Mike Smith
17-Tiz the Law (3-5) Manny Franco
18-Authentic (8-1) Johnny Velazquez